• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Processes

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DERIVATION OF A PRICE PROCESS FOR MULTITYPE MULTIPLE DEFAULTABLE BONDS

  • Park Heung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 2006
  • We consider a zero coupon bond that is at the risk of multitype multiple defaults. Assuming defaults occur according to k Cox processes, we find a price process for zero coupon bonds. To derive this process we follow the Lando (1998)'s method which uses conditional expectations instead of the traditional methods.

Research on Improvement Measures for Chemical Risk Assessment for Small and Medium-Sized Businesses (중소규모 사업장을 위한 화학물질 위험성평가 개선방안 연구)

  • Ji Ung Choi;Woo Sub Shim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.845-853
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    • 2023
  • The Ministry of Employment and Labor announced a roadmap for reducing serious accidents to create a "safe and healthy workplace, happy Korea" and ordered a risk assessment for all work processes in all workplaces on November 30, 2022. Accordingly, even workplaces that handle new chemicals must conduct risk assessment when introducing new chemicals, but the risk assessment techniques currently proposed by the government focus on preventing conventional accidents such as falls, getting caught, and bumping. Currently, there is a Chemical Hazard Risk Management (CHARM) technique that is most commonly used for chemical risk assessment, but in small and medium-sized businesses that lack professional manpower related to chemical substances, there are many technical terms in the technique and it is difficult to interpret, so its utilization is very low. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to present a method that can make risk assessment easier and simpler before handling new chemicals so that it can be used well in small and medium-sized businesses that lack professional manpower related to chemical substances. Through actual cases, the method of using CHARM was confirmed step by step, and based on this, risk reduction establishment and execution methods were derived. Based on the results of this study, it is expected that it will be used as the best tool for preventing accidents such as acute poisoning when handling chemicals in small and medium-sized workplaces that lack professional manpower related to chemical substances and make every effort to protect workers' health.

Assessment Models of Political Risk and the Sensitivity Analysis (정치적 위험의 평가모형과 민감도분석)

  • Moon, Chang-Kuen;Yim, Chun-Ho
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2007
  • This paper identifies the dimensions of political risk on the basis of the classification between risk and uncertainties to implement the precise identification and assessment of the various types of political risk and develop the sound assessment model to accomplish their practical applications. This paper shows the concrete and detailed processes of deriving the assessment models and applying them with the microsoft excel spreadsheet, confirms the result of Butler and Joaquin(1998), and presents the methods of identifying the various combination effects of the political risk impact and the covariance relationship with the market portfolio return through the sensitivity analysis.

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A Study on the Risk Assessment Criteria to be applicable for Establishing Flight Procedure Design Process (비행절차설계과정에서 적용 가능한 위험평가기준 연구)

  • Kim, Dohyun;Kim, W.Y.;Jie, M.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2013
  • Risk assessment should be processed when physical circumstances of airspace such as establishment of new flight procedures or reconstruction of existing airspace are planned to change and one of the alternatives for the change have to be selected. This is an effort to find the best alternative which is able to maintain at or above the acceptable risk level. ICAO and its contracting states provide specialized guidance material for 'Safety Management System' relating to handing airspace matters. These manuals include a conceptual framework for managing safety as well as some of the systemic processes and criteria used to meet the objectives of a State's safety programme. This criteria must be established in compliance with the State's laws and regulations for air safety and for the fulfillment of the State's safety goals. This study is to carry out the risk assessment criteria through literature reviews relevant to the safety management, and to propose the results of criteria to be applicable for establishing flight procedure design process.

Ecological Risk Assessment of Chemicals of Concern for Initiation of Ecorisk-based Water Quality Standards in Korea (생태수질기준설정을 위한 대상물질의 생태위해성 평가)

  • An, Youn-Joo;Nam, Sun-Hwa;Kim, Yong-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.592-597
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    • 2008
  • Current water quality standard (WQS) in Korea is based on the protection of human health, not considering the protection of aquatic organisms. Most of chemicals can be toxic to ecological biota as well as human. Health of aquatic biota is closely related to the human health via food chain, therefore ecological risk based-WQS needs to be developed to protect the aquatic ecosystem. In this study, we selected the 31 chemicals in the Project entitled 'Development of integrated methodology for evaluation of water environment'. The methodology for calculating water quality criteria was derived from the Australian and New Zealand processes for deriving guideline trigger value for aquatic ecosystem. The available ecotoxicity data were collected from US EPA's ECOTOXicology Database (ECOTOX), TOX-2000 Database, European Chemicals Bureau (ECB)'s International Uniform Chemical Information Database (IUCLID) and Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA)'s report 'Ambient Water Quality Criteria (AWQC)'. The aquatic toxicity data for the Korean species were selected for risk assessment to reflect the Korean water environment. The monitoring values were calculated from the water quality monitoring data four main Korean rivers. We suggested the order of priorities of chemicals based on ecological risk assessment. We expect that these results can be useful information for establishing the WQS for the protection of aquatic ecosystem.

Analysis of Schedule Risk using PROMETHEE (PROMETHEE 기법을 활용한 공정리스크 중요도 분석)

  • Lee, Jang-Young;Yoon, Yoo-Sang;Jang, Myung-Hoon;Suh, Sang-Wook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.353-357
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    • 2008
  • The building construction projects include a variety of risk factors due to uncertainties. To succeed in the projects, it is important how risks are managed. Risk management processes identification, analysis and response. Especially, the analysis process is important to objectively identify importance and priority among risk factors. The purpose of this study is to develop the effective analysis process by studying and supplement the problem of the AHP analysis method. The study provides a analysis process to use the PROMETHEE analysis method proposed.

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Suggestion for Collaboration-Based UI/UX Development Model through Risk Analysis

  • Cho, Seong-Hwan;Kim, Seung-Hee
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.1372-1390
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    • 2020
  • An attractive user interface (UI) design with a clear user experience (UX) is the key for the success of applications. Therefore software development projects require very close collaboration between SI developers and front-end service developers. However, methodologies for software development only exist with inadequate development processes or work standards for collaboration. This survey derived 13 risk factors in developing UI/UX from 113 risk factors of IT projects through a questionnaire and factor analysis and proposed a collaboration-based UI/UX development model that can eliminate or mitigate six risks with high weights and reliability. To extract risk factors with high reliability, factor and reliability were analyzed to extract 13 major risks, and based on the expert opinions and the results of correlation analysis, UI/UX development stages were classified into planning, design, and implementation. The causal relationships between risks were verified through regression analysis. This study is the first to expertly analyze major risks based on collaboration in UI/UX development and derive a theoretical basis that can be used in project risk management. These findings are expected to provide a basis for research on development methodologies for higher levels of front-end services and to construct rational collaboration systems between SI practitioners and front-end service providers.

A Development of Prototype System for Monitoring and Checking the Safety-Status of NC Machines (제조업체 NC 공작기계의 모니터링 및 안전 상태 검사 시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Gwang-Ryeol;Lee, Cheol-Soo
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2004
  • In this study, the prototype of a system for checking risk-factor of NC machine is proposed. The proposed system can get the risk-related information by monitoring the status of real-time processes of NC machines. Using the information, the accidents can be prevented by the background process of an expert system tool. This paper consists of 2 parts: (1) the method for gathering data and definition of the risk-related factors of NC machines and (2) the procedure for finding the proper actions by using the forward chaining of a rule-base. Proposed system is implemented with C++ language under MS-windows.

Risk Based Approach to Business Planning and Management Control -Case Study on London Underground (위험도 기반에 의한 사업계획수립과 경영관리 -런던지하철 사례연구)

  • Jung, Won;Lim, Seung-Soo;Wang, Jong-Bae;Park, Chan-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.577-583
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    • 2007
  • In railway business plan, operations require a strategic and sustained level of planned investment to ensure assets are fit for purpose over the whole of their planned life. Therefore it is essential that operator can confidently plan and predict capital investment requirements over a number of years. This research addresses that how the London Underground apply a systematic risk based approach to their health and safety planning and investment decision making. Through this case study, we investigate the elements of management system that includes arrangements for the ongoing identification of hazards, assessment of risks and the implementation necessary control measures. Risk based business planning processes are also addressed.

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A NOTE FOR RESTRICTED INFORMATION MARKETS

  • Jianqi, Yang;Qingxian, Xiao;Haifeng, Yan
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.27 no.5_6
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    • pp.1073-1086
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    • 2009
  • This paper considers the problems of martingale measures and risk-minimizing hedging strategies in the market with restricted information. By constructing a general restricted information market model, the explicit relation of arbitrage and the minimal martingale measure between two different information markets are discussed. Also a link among all equivalent martingale measures under restricted information market is given. As an example of restricted information markets, this paper constitutes a jump-diffusion process model and presents a risk minimizing problem under different information. Through $It\hat{o}$ formula and projection results in Schweizer[13], the explicit optimal strategy for different market information are given.

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