• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Measurement

검색결과 934건 처리시간 0.031초

Delphi/AHP를 활용한 다중이용업 신종업종의 화재위험평가지표 분석 (Analysis of Fire Risk Assessment Indicators of Publicly-Used Establishments using Delphi/AHP)

  • 김명철;김학중;박경환;윤해권;이승호
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2019
  • 국민권익위원회 2018년 7월 17일 보도 자료에 의하면 방탈출카페, 실내양궁장 등 신종업종이 다중이용업에서 제외되어 지정을 검토하고 화재예방 대책을 수립하도록 소방청에 권고하였다. 본 연구는 Delphi 기법으로 다중이용업 신종업종의 화재위험평가 측정영역 및 측정지표를 계층화하고 적합도(3.00 이상) 분석결과, 적합도 평균값이 4.25로서 적합성을 확보하였다. AHP 분석결과, 화재위험평가 측정영역의 일관성 비율은 4.0%로서 CR ≤ 0.1(10%) 보다 낮게 분석되었고 하위 측정지표의 일관성 비율도 0.1%~3.6%로서 모두 일관성이 있음을 확인하였다. 통합 측정지표의 중요도와 우선순위는 영업장 내부통로의 형태 및 출구의 피난능력(0.316), 점화원관리(0.141), 고유위험(0.106), 화재감지시스템의 적절성 및 적응성(0.097), 가연물관리(0.084), 피난안내 및 피난설비(0.075), 내화구조 및 마감재료(0.060), 구획 및 비상구(0.049), 연소확대위험(0.046), 소화설비의 적절성 및 적응성(0.026)의 순으로 도출 되었다. 본 연구는 향후, 화재위험평가지표 개발 연구의 중요한 자료로 널리 활용 될 것이다.

피로위험관리를 위한 조종사 피로측정방법 고찰 (A Study on the Pilot Fatigue Measurement Methods for Fatigue Risk Management)

  • 김대호
    • 항공우주의학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2020
  • Pilot fatigue is a great hazard to aviation safety. In recent years, long-distance fights have been increasing and flight hours have been increasing, which has made fatigue issues important. International organizations in the aviation sectors (ICAO, FAA, IATA etc.) recommend management of fatigue within the SMS (Safety Management System) framework. A scientific and systematic approach to measuring fatigue is required as a prerequisite to preparing safety management measures for pilot's fatigue. Therefore, in this study, I would like to consider recent trends and implications for fatigue measurement. First, I aimed to consider recent the accident cases related to fatigue. Second, I also considered how to measure the pilot's fatigue. Finally, the direction of the countermeasures against fatigue through fatigue measurement was developed and suggested.

Comparison Of Interval Estimation For Relative Risk Ratio With Rare Events

  • Kim, Yong Dai;Park, Jin-Kyung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.181-187
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    • 2004
  • One of objectives in epidemiologic studies is to detect the amount of change caused by a specific risk factor. Risk ratio is one of the most useful measurements in epidemiology. When we perform the inference for this measurement with rare events, the standard approach based on the normal approximation may fail, in particular when there are no disease cases observed. In this paper, we discuss and evaluate several existing methods for constructing a confidence interval of risk ratio through simulation when the disease of interest is a rare event. The results in this paper provide guidance with how to construct interval estimates for risk difference and risk ratio when there are no disease cases observed.

국방연구개발사업 수행위험 측정방안 연구 (A Study on Performance Risk Measurement for the Defense R&D Program)

  • 최명진;나호영;이상헌
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.309-316
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    • 2009
  • The risk management is a method to identify and to handle risk factors. In this paper, we introduce a methodology that can be used to measure of system's performance risk by combining system's TPM(technical performance measures) in the R&D(research and development) program for defense acquisition. By applying the suggested procedure, we can monitor risk trends in R&D program by calculation of system's overall TPM and find out where management should target to reduce or remove the system's performance risk.

Liquidity and Skewness Risk in Stock Market: Does Measurement of Liquidity Matter?

  • CHEUATHONGHUA, Massaporn;WATTANATORN, Woraphon;NATHAPHAN, Sarayut
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제20권12호
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aims to explore the relationship between stock liquidity and skewness risk-tail risk (stock price crash risk) in an emerging market, in which problems on liquidity are more severe than in developed markets. Research design, data, and methodology: Based on the Thai market stock exchange over the period of 2000 to 2019, our sample include 13,462 firm-period observations. We employ a panel regression models regarding to five liquidity measures. These five liquidity measures cover three dimensions of liquidity namely the volume-based, price-based, and transaction cost-based measures for the liquidity-tail risk relationship. Results: We find a positively significant relationship between stock liquidity and tail risk in all cases. The finding here shows that the higher the stock liquidity, the larger the tail risk is. Conclusion: As the prior studies show inconclusive effect of stock liquidity on stock price crash risk, we demonstrate that mixed results found in prior studies are probably driven from the type of liquidity measure. The stock liquidity-tail risk association is present in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The results remain the same regardless of the definition of tail risk and liquidity factors. An endogeneity issue is addressed by employing the two-stage least squares regression.

Whole-Body Vibration Exposure vis-à-vis Musculoskeletal Health Risk of Dumper Operators Compared to a Control Group in Coal Mines

  • Kumar, Vivekanand;Palei, Sanjay K.;Karmakar, Netai C.;Chaudhary, Dhanjee K.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 2022
  • Background: Whole-body vibration (WBV) exposure of coal mine dumper operators poses numerous health hazards. The case-control study was aimed at assessing the relative musculoskeletal health risk of dumper operators' exposure to WBV with reference to the nonexposed group. Methods: Measurements of WBV exposure were taken at the operator-seat interface using a human vibration analyzer for 110 dumper operators in three coal mines. This vibration measurement was supplemented by a questionnaire survey of 110 dumper operators exposed to WBV and an equal number of workers not exposed to WBV. The relative risk of musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) has been assessed through the case-control study design. Results: ISO guidelines were used to compare the health risk. It was observed that the prevalence of pain in the lower back was 2.52 times more in the case group compared to the control group. The case group of Mine-2 was 2.0 times more prone to vibration hazards as compared to Mine-3. Conclusion: The case group is more vulnerable to MSDs than the control group. The on-site measurement as well as the response of the dumper operators during the questionnaire survey corroborates this finding.

The association between measurement sites of visceral adipose tissue and cardiovascular risk factors after caloric restriction in obese Korean women

  • Lee, Hye-Ok;Yim, Jung-Eun;Lee, Jeong-Sook;Kim, Young-Seol;Choue, Ryowon
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2013
  • Quantities as well as distributions of adipose tissue (AT) are significantly related to cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and can be altered with caloric restriction. This study investigated which cross-sectional slice location of AT is most strongly correlated with changes in CVD risk factors after caloric restriction in obese Korean women. Thirty-three obese pre-menopausal Korean women ($32.4{\pm}8.5$ yrs, BMI $27.1{\pm}2.3\;kg/m^2$) participated in a 12 weeks caloric restriction program. Subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) were measured using computed tomography (CT) scans at the sites of L2-L3, L3-L4, and L4-L5. Fasting serum levels of glucose, insulin, triglyceride, total cholesterol (TC), low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), leptin and homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) were observed. Pearson's partial correlation coefficients were used to assess the relationship between AT measurement sites and changes in CVD risk factors after calorie restriction. When calories were reduced by 350 kcal/day for 12 weeks, body weight (-2.7%), body fat mass (-8.2%), and waist circumference (-5.8%) all decreased (P < 0.05). In addition, following caloric restriction, serum levels of glucose (-4.6%), TC (-6.2%), LDL-C (-5.3%), leptin (-17.6%) and HOMA-IR (-18.2%) decreased significantly (P < 0.05) as well. Changes in VAT at the level of L3-L4 were significantly greater than those at other abdominal sites, and these changes were correlated with changes in TC (P < 0.05), LDL-C (P < 0.001), SBP (P < 0.001) and HOMA-IR (P < 0.01). These results show that VAT at L3-L4 had a stronger correlation with CVD risk factors than with other AT measurement sites after caloric restriction.

가상화 환경 위험도 관리체계화를 위한 취약점 분석 (The Vulnerability Analysis for Virtualization Environment Risk Model Management Systematization)

  • 박미영;승현우;임양미
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2013
  • 최근 IT분야에서 클라우드 컴퓨팅 기술은 유연성, 효율성, 비용절감이라는 특징을 갖고 있어 현 사회에 빠르게 보급되고 있다. 그러나 클라우드 컴퓨팅 시스템은 보안의 취약점을 크게 갖고 있다. 본 연구에서는 클라우드 컴퓨팅 시스템 보안의 취약점 해결을 위해, 가상머신의 취약점에 대한 유형 및 영향분석 타입(impact type)을 정하고, 가상머신의 취약점에 대한 위험도 평가에 따른 우선순위를 정하였다. 취약점 분석을 위해서는 오픈프레임워크인 CVSS2.0을 기반으로 취약점에 대한 위험도 측정 기준을 정의하고 해당 취약점마다 점수를 매겨 위험도 측정을 체계화하였다. 제시된 취약점 위험도 기준은 취약점의 근본적인 특징을 제시하고 취약점에 대한 위험도를 제공하여 취약점 최소화를 위한 기술적 가이드를 작성하는 데에 활용 가능할 것으로 판단된다. 또한 제시된 취약점 위험도 기준은 연구내용 자체로 의미가 있으며 향후 추진될 기술 정책프로젝트에서 활용될 수 있다.

선량 환산 관례를 이용한 생애유효선량 및 라돈피폭 위험도 예측: 대학 강의실 라돈농도 중심으로 (Prediction for the Lifetime Effective Dose and Radon Exposure Risk by using Dose Conversion Convention: Base on the Indoor Radon Concentration of Lecture Room in a University)

  • 이재승;권대철
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.243-249
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    • 2018
  • The indoor radon concentration was measured in the lecture room of the university and the radon concentration was converted to the amount related to the radon exposure using the dose conversion convention and compared with the reference levels for the radon concentration control. The effect of indoor radon inhalation was evaluated by estimating the life effective dose and the risk of exposure. To measure the radon concentration, measurements were made with a radon meter and a dedicated analysis Capture Ver. 5.5 program in a university lecture room from January to February 2018. The radon concentration measurement was carried out for 5 consecutive hours for 24 hours after keeping the airtight condition for 12 hours before the measurement. Radon exposure risk was calculated using the radon dose and dose conversion factor. Indoor radon concentration, radon exposure risk, and annual effective dose were found within the 95% confidence interval as the minimum and maximum boundary ranges. The radon concentration in the lecture room was $43.1-79.1Bq/m^3$, and the maximum boundary range within the 95% confidence interval was $77.7Bq/m^3$. The annual effective dose was estimated to be 0.20-0.36 mSv/y (mean 0.28 mSv/y). The life-time effective dose was estimated to be 0.66-1.18 mSv (mean $0.93{\pm}0.08mSv$). Life effective doses were estimated to be 0.88-0.99 mSv and radon exposure risk was estimated to be 12.4 out of 10.9 per 100,000. Radon concentration was measured, dose effective dose was evaluated using dose conversion convention, and degree of health hazard by indoor radon exposure was evaluated by predicting radon exposure risk using nominal hazard coefficient. It was concluded that indoor living environment could be applied to other specific exposure situations.

제3회 전국기술사대회 특집(토목시공) - 지반구조물 재해 및 위험분석 연구 (The 3rd National Conference Of Professional engineers - On Geotechnical Structure Risk & Hazards)

  • 윤길림
    • 기술사
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.30-33
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    • 2009
  • Great concerns on geotechnical risk & hazard assessment have increased due to human and economic damage by natural disasters with recent global climate changes. In this paper, geotechnical problems in particular, landslide which is interested in European countries and North America, were mainly discussed. For these, 18 key topics on geotechnical risk and hazards which had been discussed at the LARAM 2008 workshop in Italy were analyzed after grouping by subjects. Main topic contents consisted of applications such as field measurement, early warning systems, uncertainty analysis of parameters using radar, optical data and statistical theory and so on.

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