• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Level Assessment

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정량적 리스크 평가를 기초로 한 경영관리 (Management Approach Based on Quantitative Risk Assessment)

  • 정원
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.167-179
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    • 2008
  • System risk is the totality of all safety risks to customers, employees, suppliers, and other third parties that arise due to system operations. To assess the risk of major hazards with the potential to cause fatality to the customers and other members of the public, quantitative risk assessment methodologies are used. This paper presents the general principles of risk based management approach to improve the safety of high risk systems such as aviation, railway, and nuclear power plants. For the suitable risk control arrangement, case studies of acceptable risk level, risk rating matrix, and safety management philosophy are presented.

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ETA 및 FTA를 이용한 철도 건널목사고 위험도 평가 모델 개발에 대한 연구 (Development of the Risk Assessment Model for Railway Level-Crossing Accidents by Using The ETA and FTA)

  • 김민수;왕종배;박찬우;조연옥
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.936-943
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 철도사고 위험분석 및 위험도 평가절차에 따라 철도건널목사고에 대한 정량적인 위험도평가를 위한 모델을 사건수목 및 고장수목 분석기법을 이용하여 개발하였다. 위험사건이 발생하여 인명피해로 결과하는 과정에서의 영향인자들을 분석하여 사고진전 시나리오를 구성하였으며, 고장수목분석(FTA, Fault Tree Analysis)을 이용하여 시나리오 경로별 발생확률을 산정하고, 사건수목분석(ETA, Event Tree Analysis)을 이용하여 심각도 값을 산정함으로써 이들의 조합으로 위험도를 산정하는 위험도 평가 모델을 제시하였다. 또한 실제발생한 위험도값과 개발모델을 이용하여 산정된 위험도값의 비교를 통하여 개발모델의 신뢰성 및 타당성을 검증하였다.

The Development of a Risk Management System in the Field of Industrial Safety in the Republic of Kazakhstan

  • Kudryavtsev, Sergey S.;Yemelin, Pavel V.;Yemelina, Natalya K.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.30-41
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    • 2018
  • Background: The purpose of the work is to develop a system that allows processing of information for analysis and industrial risk management, to monitor the level of industrial safety and to perform necessary measures aimed at the prevention of accidents, casualties, and development of professional diseases for effective management of industrial safety at hazardous industrial sites. Methods: Risk assessment of accidents and incidents is based on expert evaluations. Based on the lists of criteria parameters and their possible values, provided by the experts, a unified information and analytical database is compiled, which is included in the final interrogation questionnaires. Risk assessment of industrial injuries and occupational diseases is based on statistical methods. Results: The result of the research is the creation of Guidelines for risk management on hazardous industrial sites of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The Guidelines determine the directions and methods of complex assessment of the state of industrial safety and labor protection and they could be applied as methodological basis at the development of preventive measures for emergencies, casualties, and incidents at hazardous industrial sites. Conclusion: Implementation of the information-analytical system of risk level assessment allows to analyze the state of risk of a possible accident at industrial sites, make valid management decisions aimed at the prevention of emergencies, and monitor the effectiveness of accident prevention measures.

어깨 및 팔 동작 부하 측정을 위한 관찰적 기법 비교 (Comparison of Six Observational Methods for Assessing Arm- and Hand-intensive Tasks)

  • 기도형
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to compare six observational methods for assessing arm- and hand-intensive tasks, based on literature review. The comparison was conducted in viewpoints of body regions, force/external load, motion repetition, other factors including static posture, coupling, duration/break, pace, temperature, precision task, and final risk or exposure level. The number of risk factors assessed was more, and assessment procedure was more complex than the observational methods for assessing whole-body postural loads such as Ovako Working Posture Analysis System(OWAS), Rapid Upper Limb Assessment(RULA), and Rapid Entire Body Assessment(REBA). Due to these, the intra- and inter-reliabilities were not high. A past study showed that while Hand Arm Risk Assessment Method(HARM) identified the smallest proportion of the work tasks as high risk, Strain Index(SI) and Quick Exposure Check(QEC) hand/wrist were the most rigorous with classifying most work tasks as high risk. This study showed that depending on the observational technique compared, the evaluation factors, risk or exposure level, and evaluation results were different, making it necessary to select a technique appropriate for the characteristics of the work being assessed.

Internal Control Risk Assessment System Using CRAS-CBR

  • Hwang, Sung-Sik;Taeksoo Shin;Ingoo Han
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.338-346
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    • 2003
  • Information Technology (IT) and the internet have been major drivers the changes in all aspects of the business processes and activities. They have brought major changes to the financial statements audit environment as well, which in turn has required modifications in audit procedures. There exist, however, certain difficulties with current audit procedures especially for the assessment of the level of control risk. This assessment is primarily based on the auditors' professional judgment and experiences, not based on the objective hies or criteria. To overcome these difficulties, this paper proposes a prototype decision support model named CRAS-CBR using case based reasoning (CBR) to support auditors in making their professional judgment on the assessment of the level of control risk of the general accounting system in the manufacturing industry. To validate the performance, we compare our proposed model with benchmark performances in terms of classification accuracy for the level of control risk. Our experimental results showed CRAS-CBR outperforms a statistical model (MDA) and staff auditor performance in average hit ratio.

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퍼지 다기준 의사결정기법을 이용한 위험수준평가 (Determination of Risk Level Using Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Method)

  • 정상윤;조성구
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.627-638
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    • 1998
  • For any hazardous operation or risky project to be carried out safely and economically, it is of the utmost importance to formulate proper risk management policies based on the rational assessment of the risk levels of various potential hazards. In this paper, a Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making(FMCDM) method for risk assessment is proposed. The method evaluates, on the basis of fuzzy set theory, the risk level of a risky situation by aggregating the assessed levels of risk factors and their subjective weights. The method also allows some flexibility for the future users in the sense that, first, the relative importance weights for the three risk factors can be adjusted according to the nature of projects or systems and, second, the users have the choice between the two types of risk assessment results, that is, the assessed risk levels or the ranks of the risk situations. A numerical example for the proposed FMCDM method is provided to illustrate the computational procedure. To see how the suggested FMCDM method describes well people's perceived risk level, we compared the risk values derived from the suggested method with the subjective risk evaluations for ten risky situations.

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사업장 안전보건수준이 화학물질 사고예방 효과에 미치는 영향 연구: 화학물질 위험성평가(CHARM) 사용자를 중심으로 (A Study on the Effect of Workplace Safety and Health Levels on Preventing Accidents Caused by Chemical Substances: Focusing on Chemical Risk Management(CHARM) Users)

  • 백승수;박창권;장길상
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the factors affecting the effectiveness of the Chemical Hazard Risk Management (CHARM). A survey was conducted on 104 learners who participated in the Risk Assessment training course at Occupational Safety and Health Training Institute. Through a self-administered questionnaire, the effect of personal characteristics, corporate characteristics, and safety and health level of the company on the effectiveness of chemical risk assessment was investigated. As a result of statistical analysis, the safety and health level of the company had a positive (+) effect on the effectiveness of Chemical Hazard Risk Management(CHARM), but personal characteristics and corporate characteristics had no relation to it. This study can be used as basic data for further research related to chemical risk assessment in workplaces.

조선업 위험성평가 실용을 위한 개선 방안 (Improvement for practical application of Risk Assessment in shipbuilding industry)

  • 신운철
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.273-277
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    • 2014
  • Subcontracting business than the contracting business in shipbuilding industry is a lot of hazardous job and highly accident because of highly work intensity. In order to prevent the accidents, there is a need to analyze characteristic. of shipbuilding, to apply measures of risk assessment. In this paper, I suggested an improvement of the risk assessment through the actual condition research in shipbuilding industry. In the research method, I analysed accidents occurred until 2011-2013. Carried out the actual site survey while two weeks in May 2014. As a result, 1) The main pattern were caught-in or between, fall on the high level according to analyzed accidents. 2) To apply the weight show clear of magnitude for risk assessment. 3) Risk estimation of risk assessment is desirable to be quantization by accidents analysis, and to be greater than or equal to 4 steps.

The effect of the number of subintervals upon the quantification of the seismic probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant

  • Ji Suk Kim;Man Cheol Kim
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.1420-1427
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    • 2023
  • Seismic risk has received increased attention since the 2011 Fukushima accident in Japan. The seismic risk of a nuclear power plant is evaluated via seismic probabilistic safety assessment (PSA), for which several methods are available. Recently, the discrete approach has become widely used. This approximates the seismic risk by discretizing the ground motion level interval into a small number of subintervals with the expectation of providing a conservative result. The present study examines the effect of the number of subintervals upon the results of seismic risk quantification. It is demonstrated that a small number of subintervals may lead to either an underestimation or overestimation of the seismic risk depending on the ground motion level. The present paper also provides a method for finding the boundaries between overestimation and underestimation regions, and illustrates the effect of the number of subintervals upon the seismic risk evaluation with an example. By providing a method for determining the effect of a small number of subintervals upon the results of seismic risk quantification, the present study will assist seismic PSA analysts to determine the appropriate number of subintervals and to better understand seismic risk quantification.