• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국경영과학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
• /
• pp.76-94
• /
• 2008

본 논문은 마코위츠의 포트폴리오 선정 이론을 한국 주식 시장에 실제 적용할 경우 투자 성과를 평가해 본 실증적 연구이다. 이를 위해서 대중적으로 인기가 있었던 삼성그룹주펀드 5종 및 KOSPI지수 변화율을 마코위츠의 모형과 비교 분석하였다. 2007년 3월부터 2008년 9월까지 최근 1년 6개월의 기간에 대하여, KOSPI 지수는 0.1%로 거의 변화를 보이지 않은 반면, 삼성그룹주펀드 5종의 평균수익률은 20.54%였고, 삼성그룹주펀드를 구성하는 동일한 17개 종목으로 마코위츠의 모형에 따라 투자한 방식은 52%의 수익률을 올렸다. 수익률을 극대화하기 위하여 데이터 수집 기간 및 포트폴리오 교체 주기에 대하여 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 결론적으로, 투자자 개인의 주관이나 감정에 의한 판단을 완전히 배제하고 객관적 데이터에 의하여 포트폴리오를 수리적으로 변경하는 마코위츠의 모형에 의한 투자 방식이, 상대적으로 우월한 시장 정보를 가지고 주관적 판단에 의해 능동적으로 포트폴리오를 변경하는 시중 펀드매니저의 운영 성과에 비해 월등하였음을 본 연구에서는 삼성그룹주펀드의 실증적 연구를 통하여 보이고 있다.

• 한국안전학회지
• /
• 제27권4호
• /
• pp.121-127
• /
• 2012

Vehicle Inspection System is to examine the condition of vehicle regularly at the national level to protect lives and properties of the people from traffic accidents due to vehicle's fault. However, the vehicle inspection method, criteria, period and effectiveness have become a controversial issue, because of examining safety management of vehicle by drivers regardless of regular vehicle inspection. Therefore, the aim of this study is to investigate vehicle inspection timeliness and risk level of inspection items through basic statistical survey and portfolio analysis. The results of the research through practical analysis are: (1) The inspection failure rates between 3 and 6 model year tend to increase. (2) The failure of inspection items for safety highly impacts on traffic accident rate in terms of accident risks. (3) According to the result of portfolio analysis, faulty items located 1st quadrant are riding device, driveline system, controlling device, steering actuator, and fuel system.

• 한국경영과학회지
• /
• 제37권3호
• /
• pp.135-150
• /
• 2012

This paper presents a portfolio model for a long-term power generation mix problem. The proposed portfolio model evaluates generation mix by considering the tradeoffs between the expected cost for power generation and its variability. Unlike conventional portfolio models measuring variance, we introduce Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) in designing the variability with aims to considering events that are enormously expensive but are rare such as nuclear power plant accidents. Further, we consider uncertainties associated with future electricity demand, fuel prices and their correlations, and capital costs for power plant investments. To obtain an objective generation by each energy source, we employ the sample average approximation method that approximates the stochastic objective function by taking the average of large sample values so that provides asymptotic convergence of optimal solutions. In addition, the method includes Monte Carlo simulation techniques in generating random samples from multivariate distributions. Applications of the proposed model and method are demonstrated through a case study of an electricity industry with nuclear, coal, oil (OCGT), and LNG (CCGT) in South Korea.

• 아태비즈니스연구
• /
• 제11권4호
• /
• pp.37-48
• /
• 2020

Purpose - This study empirically investigates whether the risk property included in fat-tails of return distributions is systematic or unsystematic based on the devised statistical methods. Design/methodology/approach - This study devised empirical designs based on two traditional methods: principal component analysis (PCA) and the testing method of portfolio diversification effect. The fatness of the tails in return distributions is quantitatively measured by statistical probability. Findings - According to the results, the risk property in the fat-tails of return distributions has the economic meanings of eigenvalues having a value greater than 1 through PCA, and also systematic risk that cannot be removed through portfolio diversification. In other words, the fat-tails of return distributions have the properties of the common factors, which may explain the changes of stock returns. Meanwhile, the fatness of the tails in the portfolio return distributions shows the asymmetric relationship of common factors on the tails of return distributions. The negative tail in the portfolio return distribution has a much closer relation with the property of common factors, compared to the positive tail. Research implications or Originality - This empirical evidence may complement the existing studies related to tail risk which is utilized in pricing models as a common factor.

• 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.117-124
• /
• 2017

본 논문에서는 미용기기 분야에 대한 특허 동향 분석을 통해 주요 경쟁자별 기술경쟁력 등의 분석을 실시하고, 지식재산권 중심의 기술 동향 분석 등을 바탕으로 과제기술의 특허 포트폴리오 및 특허 확보 전략을 도출하였다. 전략적인 IP(Intellectual Property) 기반 연구개발 계획 수립에 활용할 수 있도록 특허 포트폴리오를 분석하여 특허 장벽 및 공백분야를 제시함으로써, 연구개발의 방향을 설정하기 위한 기초정보로 활용하여 중복연구를 방지하고 연구개발과제 수행의 타당성에 대한 객관적인 특허정보를 제공하고자 한다.

• 경영과학
• /
• 제26권1호
• /
• pp.37-51
• /
• 2009

Korean IT industry has been given much weight in national R&D management. A negative side of this fact is that Korean economy is likely to become vulnerable to a condition of the export business in certain items of IT industry which has a serious influence on the national economy. A customized investment strategy through the analysis of technology competitiveness and R&D status in each technology of IT field is required in order to rectify the structural vulnerability and pursue a continuous growth. In this research, a strategic direction to set up an efficient investment strategy is presented. In this process, it draws a portfolio analysis with two axes of technology level and technology life cycle. It also derives a priority order of the national investment considering the degree of technological impact, marketability, and adequacy of public support from AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) method by a survey of IT experts. A portfolio analysis in the prior stage helps the respondents in AHP become more familiar with the alternatives' characteristics so that their decision making process more corresponds with national R&D strategies.

• 국제지역연구
• /
• 제20권4호
• /
• pp.121-145
• /
• 2016

본 연구는 제휴 포트폴리오 전략을 규명하고 특성을 비교분석하여 성공적인 제휴 활용방안에 관한 시사점을 도출하고자 수행한 것으로 2012년과 2013년 기업활동조사에 중복하여 응답한 제조기업 중 제휴 경험이 1번 이상 있는 477개의 표본을 대상으로 연구를 수행하였다. 분석결과, 기업의 제휴 포트폴리오 전략은 탐색, 활용, 양손잡이 제휴 포트폴리오 전략의 3가지 유형으로 나타났다. 탐색 포트폴리오 제휴전략을 추진하는 기업은 주로 공동기술개발과 기술제휴를 중심으로 제휴 포트폴리오를 구성하고 있었으며 제휴의 수가 다른 유형에 비해 많고 넓게 퍼져 있는 특성을 보였다. 두 번째 전략인 활용 포트폴리오 제휴전략을 추진하는 기업은 주로 공동마케팅, 공동생산, 공동브랜드를 중심으로 제휴 포트폴리오를 구성하고 있으며 제휴의 수가 탐색제휴에 비해 적고 제휴 범위도 좁은 특성을 나타내고 있었다. 세 번째 양손 포트폴리오 제휴전략을 추진하는 기업은 공동마케팅, 공동기술개발, 기술제휴, 공동생산, 공동브랜드를 모두 적극적으로 활용하는 포트폴리오를 구성하고 있으며 추진한 제휴의 수도 가장 많고 넓게 퍼져 있는 특성을 나타내고 있었다. 제휴 포트폴리오 전략 유형 간 기업의 특성과 내부 역량은 보유 특허수, 기술개발역량, 마케팅 역량, 국제화 역량이 각각 통계적으로 유의미한 차이를 나타내었다.

• 경영과학
• /
• 제30권3호
• /
• pp.55-70
• /
• 2013

In this study we suggested two optimization models to determine conversion weight of convertible bonds. The problem of this study is same as that of Park and Shim [1]. But this study used Value-at-Risk (VaR) for risk measurement instead of CVaR, Conditional-Value-at-Risk. In comparison with conventional Markowitz portfolio models, which use the variance of return, our models used VaR. In 1996, Basel Committee on Banking Supervision recommended VaR for portfolio risk measurement. But there are difficulties in solving optimization models including VaR. Benati and Rizzi [5] proved NP-hardness of general portfolio optimization problems including VaR. We adopted their approach. But we developed efficient algorithms with time complexity O(nlogn) or less for our models. We applied examples of our models to the convertible bond issued by a semiconductor company Hynix.

• 경영과학
• /
• 제30권3호
• /
• pp.1-16
• /
• 2013

In this paper, we deal with an enhanced index fund strategy by implementing the exchange trade funds (ETFs) within the context of the Black-Litterman approach. The KOSPI200 index ETF is used to build risk-controlled portfolio that tracks the benchmark index, while the proposed Black-Litterman model mitigates estimation errors in incorporating both active investment views and equilibrium views. First, we construct a Black-Litterman model portfolio with the active market perspective based on the momentum strategy. Then, we update the portfolio with the KOSPI200 index ETF by using the equilibrium return ratio and weighted averages, while devising optimization modeling for improving the information ratio (IR) of the portfolio. Finally, we demonstrate the empirical viability of the proposed enhanced index strategies with KOSPI 200 data.

• 경영과학
• /
• 제25권3호
• /
• pp.59-72
• /
• 2008

This paper proposes an R&D opportunity scan framework for information and telecommunications company in aging society. The framework consists of trend analysis, market-oriented search, technology-oriented search, and R&D Portfolio development. We identify technology themes in the market-oriented search by developing market scenarios and analyzing a new business model framework. And then we search prospective technologies in the technology-oriented recess by technology scanning and patent analysis. By matching technology themes with prospective technologies, generate an R&D portfolio. Finally, we evaluate the risk of the proposed R&D portfolio.