• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability index approach

검색결과 138건 처리시간 0.028초

A New Sensitivity-Based Reliability Calculation Algorithm in the Optimal Design of Electromagnetic Devices

  • Ren, Ziyan;Zhang, Dianhai;Koh, Chang Seop
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.331-338
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    • 2013
  • A new reliability calculation method is proposed based on design sensitivity analysis by the finite element method for nonlinear performance constraints in the optimal design of electromagnetic devices. In the proposed method, the reliability of a given design is calculated by using the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method after approximating a constraint function to a linear one in the confidence interval with the help of its sensitivity information. The validity and numerical efficiency of the proposed sensitivity-assisted MCS method are investigated by comparing its numerical results with those obtained by using the conventional MCS method and the first-order reliability method for analytic functions and the TEAM Workshop Problem 22.

공동주택 주거만족도의 체계적인 분류를 위한 이론적 연구 (A Study on Theoretical Approach for the Residential Satisfaction Index Based on the Apartment Housing)

  • 김은희;서치호
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.50-59
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    • 2008
  • The study aims to establish the systematic residential satisfaction index which reflected perception of high rise residents are demand on the Apartment housing. Apartment house is developed to reduce the housing shortage caused by urbanism after industrialization in Korea. It has increased constantly since the 1970s and has become the most common residential type of Korean city dwellers. It shows Korean dwelling pattern and culture. Furthermore, it can be an index of private wealth. The main purpose of the thesis is the highlight on systematic planning process for actual users' needs. In other words, city planners are eager to reflect each individual preference when he/she designs a house. More practical and accurate research in user's satisfaction of housing can be helpful to overcome limitations of city planner's personal preference which can't provide certain evidences. First, the study has carried out the survey of importance of design elements which were selected on the basis of the results of the POE, Residential Quality, Quality Of Life which were carried out for the same subject. Then, the data were analyzed by SPSS 12+ program package in terms of frequency, factor analysis and reliability analysis. The results reveals that the Residential Satisfaction Index of Apartment housing are consisted of 8 factors which had been sorted out in factor analysis which can be interpreted to be closely related to the Physical, Social psychological and General environment.

HSPDA 모형 및 ADF index를 이용한 상수관망의 신뢰도 산정 (Estimation of the Reliability of Water Distribution Systems using HSPDA Model and ADF Index)

  • 백천우;전환돈;김중훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 HSPDA모형을 기반으로 한 상수관망의 신뢰도분석 방안을 제안하였다. 대표적인 상수관망의 신뢰도분석 방법으로는 수량과 수압의 확보가 불가능한 수요절점을 산정하고 필요수량/공급가능수량 혹은 압력확보절점수/전체절점수 등을 계산하여 상수관망이 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는가를 판단하는 것이 있다. 이를 계산하기 위해서는 수리모형을 이용한 상수관망의 모의가 필요하나 절점의 압력과는 상관없이 항상 모든 용수량은 공급가능하다는 가정을 사용하는 Demand-Driven Analysis (DDA) 를 신뢰도 분석에 사용할 경우 신뢰도가 과소 산정될 수 있으며, 절점수요는 절점수두에 비례한다는 가정을 사용하는 Pressure-Driven Analysis (PDA)의 적용이 필요하다. 그러나 기존에 수행된 많은 연구에서는 관망의 특성에 따라 제한적인 적용성을 가지는 PDA 모형과 semi-PDA모형이 비정 상운영상태의 상수관망 수리모의에 이용되었고 이로 인하여 정확한 상수관망의 신뢰도 산정이 어려웠다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 PDA모형의 가지는 단점을 보완한 HSPDA 모형과 Available Demand Fraction (ADF) 지수를 이용하여 상수관망의 신뢰도 산정이 가능한 모형을 제안하였다. HSPDA를 활용하여 상수관망의 비정상운영상태를 모의하고, 이를 이용하여 절점별 ADF 지수를 산정, 상수관망의 신뢰도를 산정하였다. 제안된 신뢰도분석기법을 대상관망에 적용하여 기존의 연구결과와 비교하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 수립 가능한 신뢰도 확보방안을 제시하였다.

Reliability analysis of the nonlinear behaviour of stainless steel cover-plate joints

  • Averseng, Julien;Bouchair, Abdelhamid;Chateauneuf, Alaa
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2017
  • Stainless steel exhibits high ductility and strain hardening capacity in comparison with carbon steel widely used in constructions. To analyze the particular behaviour of stainless steel cover-plate joints, an experimental study was conducted. It showed large ductility and complex failure modes of the joints. A non-linear finite element model was developed to predict the main parameters influencing the behaviour of these joints. The results of this deterministic model allow us to built a meta-model by using the quadratic response surface method, in order to allow for efficient reliability analysis. This analysis is then applied to the assessment of design formulae in the currently used codes of practice. The reliability analysis has shown that the stainless steel joint design according to Eurocodes leads to much lower failure probabilities than the Eurocodes target reliability for carbon steel, which incites revising the resisting model evaluation and consequently reducing stainless steel joint costs. This approach can be used as a basis to evaluate a wide range of steel joints involving complex failure modes, particularly bearing failure.

신뢰성 해석을 이용한 심해용 내압용기의 최적화 (Optimization of the Deep-sea Pressure Vessel by Reliability analysis)

  • 정태환;노인식;이재환;한승호
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양공학회 2004년도 학술대회지
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    • pp.190-197
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    • 2004
  • In order to consider statistical properties of probability variables used in the structural analysis, the conventional approach using the safety factor based on past experience usually estimated the safety of a structure. Also, the real structures could only be analyzed with the error in estimation of loads, material characters and the dimensions of the members. But the errors should be considered systematically in the structural analysis. In this paper, we estimated the probability of failure of the pressure vessel. And also, this paper presents sensitivity values of the random variable. Finally, we show that reliability index and probability of failure can present the tolerance limit of dimension of randam variables.

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신뢰성 해석을 이용한 심해용 내압용기의 설계 최적화 (Design Optimization of a Deep-sea Pressure Vessel by Reliability Analysis)

  • 정태환;노인식;이재환;한승호
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.40-46
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    • 2005
  • In order to consider the statistical properties of probability variables which are used in structural analysis, the conventional approach of using safety factors based on past experience, are usually used to estimate the safety of a structure. The real structures could only be analyzed with the error in estimation of loads, materials and dimensional characteristics. Errors should be considered systematically in the structural analysis. In this paper, we estimated the probability of failure of two pressure vessels, simultaneously, using computational analysis. One pressure vessel, theoretically, had no stiffener whereas the other had. This paper also discusses sensitivity values of random variables in the rounded parts of the pressure vessel which had ring-style stiffener in the center of the external area which had ring-style stiffener. Finally, we show that the reliability index, and the probability of failure, can be calculated to particular tolerance limits.

철도차량 구조물의 확률론적 피로수명 평가 (Probabilistic Fatigue Life Evaluation of Rolling Stock Structures)

  • 구병춘;서정원
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2003
  • Rolling stock structures such as bogie frame and car body play an important role for the support of vehicle leading. In general, more than 25 years' durability is needed for them. A lot of study has been carried out for the prediction of the fatigue life of the bogie frame and car body in experimental and theoretical domains. One of the new methods is a probabilistic fatigue lift evaluation. The objective of this paper is to estimate the fatigue lift of the bogie frame of an electric car, which was developed by the Korea Railroad Research Institute (KRRI). We used two approaches. In the first approach probabilistic distribution of S-N curve and limit state function of the equivalent stress of the measured stress spectra are used. In the second approach, limit state function is also used. And load spectra measured by strain gauges are approximated by the two-parameter Weibull distribution. Other probabilistic variables are represented by log-normal and normal distributions. Finally, reliability index and structural integrity of the bogie frame are estimated.

상용프로그램을 이용한 강판의 비선형 거동에 대한 신뢰성해석 (Reliability Analysis for Nonlinear Behavior of Steel Plate using Commercial Structural Software)

  • 박석재;김요숙;신영수
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2001년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.425-431
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    • 2001
  • In order to take account of the statistical properties of probability variables used in the structural analysis, the conventional approach using the safety factor based on past experience usually estimated the safety of a structure. The real structures could only be analyzed with the error in estimation of loads, material characters and the dimensions of the members. But the errors should be considered systematically in the structural analysis. Structural safety could not precisely be appraised by the traditional structural design concept. Recently, new approach based on the probability concept has been applied to the assessment of structural safety using the reliability concept. In this study, safety of structures will estimated by the reliability analysis with commercial structural software that has the tools of nonlinear elastic-plastic 3-D analysis. Experimental test result is compared to results from this research and Coan/sup 1)/ In this paper, AFOSM(Advanced First-Order Second Moment method) is applied with von Mises, Tresca and Mohr-Coulomb failure criterions. The reliability index β and probability of failure P/sub f/ can be obtained by following this practical procedure as judgement a safety of structures and necessity of reinforcing.

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Developing an Optimization Module for Water, Energy, and Food Nexus Simulation

  • Wicaksono, Albert;Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.184-184
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    • 2017
  • A nation-wide water-energy-food (WEF) nexus simulation model has been developed by the authors and successfully applied to South Korea to predict the sustainability of those three resources in the next 30 years. The model was also capable of simulating future scenarios of resources allocation based on priority rules aiming to maximize resources sustainability. However, the process was still relying on several assumptions and trial-and-error approach, which sometimes resulted in non-optimal solutions of resources allocation. In this study, an optimization module was introduced to enhance the model in generating optimal resources management rules. The objective of the optimization was to maximize the reliability index of resources by determining the resources' allocation and/or priority rules for each demand type that accordingly reflect the resources management policies. Implementation of the optimization module would result in balanced allocation and management of limited resources and assist the stakeholders in deciding resources' management plans, either by fulfilling the domestic production or by global trading.

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거시적인 접근방법을 통한 공급지장비 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Outage Cost Assessment by using Macro Approach)

  • 박영신;전동훈;박정제;오태곤;조경희;최재석
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제59권10호
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    • pp.1703-1711
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    • 2010
  • Electric power utilities are facing increasing uncertainties regarding the economic, political, societal, environmental constraints under they operate and plan their future systems. The utilities have to integrate consumers' interruption cost representing reliability worth of electricity into the process of determining the optimum investment level. In order to do so, the estimated outage cost must be included into quantitative index corresponding to system capital and operation investment cost to establish an optimal expansion plan. This paper is a study on the outage cost assessment by using macro approach for calculating IEAR(Interrupted Energy Assessment Rates) and the TRELSS(Transmission Reliability Evaluation for Large-Scale Systems) program was used to calculate EENS(Expected Energy Not Served).