• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability Bound

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Models maximizing covering reliability

  • Kim, Seong in;Park, Young-Sin
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1985
  • By introducing the concept of reliability of parallel systems the set covering. A branch-and-bound algorithm is developed and illustrated by a numerical example. The procedure has been coded and its computational efficiency is studied.

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Functional Reliability Estimation of Pin Pullers Based on a Probit Model (프로빗 모델 기반 핀풀러의 작동 신뢰도 추정)

  • Mun, Byeong Min;Lee, Chinuk;Kim, Nam-ho;Choi, Chang-Sun;Kim, Zaeill;Bae, Suk Joo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2017
  • To generate mechanical movements in one-shot devices such as missiles and space launch vehicles, pyrotechnic mechanical device(PMD) such as pin pullers using pyrotechnic charge has been widely used. Reliability prediction of pin pullers is crucial to successfully execute target missions for the one-shot devices. Because the pin pullers require destructive tests to evaluate their reliability, one would need about 3,000 samples of success to guarantee a reliability of 99.9 % with a confidence level of 95 %. This paper suggests the application of a probit model using the charge amount as a functional parameter for estimation of functional reliability of pin puller. To guarantee target reliability, we propose estimation methods of the lower bound of functional reliability by applying the probit model. Given lower bound of functional reliability, we quantitatively show that the optimum amount of charge increases as the number of samples decreases. Along with a variety of simulations the validity of our new model via real test results is confirmed.

Reliability approximation for a complex system under the stress-strength model

  • Nayak, Sadananda;Roy, Dilip
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces a new approach for evaluating reliability of a complex system in terms of distributional parameters where analytical determination of reliability is intractable. The concept of discrete approximation, reported in the literature so far, fails to meet the latter requirement in terms of distributional parameters. The current work aims at offering a bound based approach where reliability planners not only get a clear idea about the extent of error but also can manipulate in terms of distributional parameters. This reliability approximation has been under taken under the Weibull frame work which is the most widely used model for reliability analysis. Numerical study has been carried out to examine the strength of our proposed reliability approximation via closeness between the two reliability bounds. This approach will be very useful during the early stages of product design as the distributional parameters can be adjusted.

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Lifetime Estimation for Mixed Replacement Grouped Data in Competing Failures Model

  • Lee, Tai-Sup;Yun, Sang-Un
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2001
  • The estimation of mean lifetimes in presence of interval censoring with mixed replacement procedure is examined when the distributions of lifetimes are exponential. It is assumed that, due to physical restrictions and/or economic constraints, the number of failures is investigated only at several inspection times during the lifetime test; thus there is interval censoring. The maximum likelihood estimator is found in an implicit form. The Cramor-Rao lower bound, which is the asymptotic variance of the estimator, is derived. The estimation of mean lifetimes for competing failures model has been expanded.

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Bayesian Reliability Analysis Using Kriging Dimension Reduction Method (KDRM) (크리깅 기반 차원감소법을 이용한 베이지안 신뢰도 해석)

  • An, Da-Wn;Choi, Joo-Ho;Won, Jun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.602-607
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    • 2008
  • A technique for reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) is developed based on the Bayesian approach, which can deal with the epistemic uncertainty arising due to the limited number of data. Until recently, the conventional RBDO was implemented mostly by assuming the uncertainty as aleatory which means the statistical properties are completely known. In practice, however, this is not the case due to the insufficient data for estimating the statistical information, which makes the existing RBDO methods less useful. In this study, a Bayesian reliability is introduced to take account of the epistemic uncertainty, which is defined as the lower confidence bound of the probability distribution of the original reliability. In this case, the Bayesian reliability requires double loop of the conventional reliability analyses, which can be computationally expensive. Kriging based dimension reduction method(KDRM), which is a new efficient tool for the reliability analysis, is employed to this end. The proposed method is illustrated using a couple of numerical examples.

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Analysis on the Geo-reinforced Slope Using Upper Bound Theory (상계해석을 이용한 보강토 사면의 해석)

  • Choi Sang-Ho;Kim Jong-Min;Yu Nam-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2004
  • In this study, the upper bound theory is applied to a reinforced slope to develop an limit state analysis method. As processing of this upper bound theory in formulating finite element, the basic idea of numerical method can be obtained from a macroscopic point of view with an anisotropic homogeneous material. The reinforced soil strength reliability depends on properties of reinforcements which consist of the interaction of interfaces between back fill and reinforcements. Both soil's mechanical property and overall behaviour of reinforced soil can be controlled via arranging geometry and relative proportions of reinforced soil. Therefore, the upper bound theory can not only predict the particular limit state action of reinforced soil slope but also is efficiently able to estimate the local plastic failure.

Effects of Lower-Bound Resistances on Resistance Factors Calibration for Drilled Shafts (하한지지력이 현장타설말뚝의 저항계수에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Seok-Jung;Park, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Myoung-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.30 no.11
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2014
  • Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) is one of the limit state design methods, and has been used worldwide, especially in North America. Also, the study for LRFD has been actively conducted in Korea. However, the data for LRFD in Korea were not sufficient, so resistance factors suggested by AASTTO have been used for the design in Korea. But the resistance factors suggested by AASHTO represent the characteristics of bedrocks defined in the US, therefore, it is necessary to determine the resistance factors for designs in Korea, which can reflect the characteristics of bedrocks in Korea. Also, the calculated probabilities of failure from conventional reliability analyses which commonly use log-normal distribution are not realistic because of the lower tail that can be extended to zero. Therefore, it is necessary to calibrate the resistance factors considering the lower-bound resistance. Thus, this study calculates the resistance factors using thirteen sets of drilled shaft load test results, and then calibrates the resistance factors considering the lower-bound resistance corresponding to a target reliability index of 3.0. As a result, resistance factors from conventional reliability analyses were determined in the range of 0.13-0.32 for the shaft resistance, and 0.19-0.29 for the base resistance, respectively. Also, the lower bounds of resistance were determined based on the Hoek-Brown failure criteria (2002) and GSI downgrading. Considering the lower-bound resistances, resistance factors increased by 0~8% for the shaft, and 0~13% for the base, respectively.

Fatigue Reliability and Remaining Fatigue Life of Existing Steel Rail-Road Bridges (강철도교의 피로신뢰성과 잔존피로수명)

  • 조효남;신재철;허상구
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1989.04a
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 1989
  • This paper presents a fatigue reliability model for the reliability-based evaluation of remaining fatigue life of existing rail-road bridges. It is demonstrated that the simple fatigue reliability model based on the Weibull distribution of fatigue life can be extended by incorporating various effects due to the rate of the train-traffic increase and in-service Inspections. The paper also suggests the system fatigue reliability analysis using an approximate formulation and 2nd-order bound solutions. The application of the proposed model to existing rail-road brdiges based on field load tests shows that it may be practically used for the assessment of fatigue reliability, remaining life, and in-service inspection scheduling of existing rail-road bridges.

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A Study on Material Characterization of Semi-Solid Materials (I) -Proposal of New Velocity Field for Upper Bound Analysis of Backward Extrusion- (반용융 재료의 물성치 평가에 관한 연구(I) -후방압출의 상계해석을 위한 동적 가용 속도장의 제안-)

  • 이주영;김낙수
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.364-373
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    • 1999
  • For material characterization of semi-solid materials, backward extrusion process, which has been used in forming of hollow-sectioned products, was analyzed by the upper bound analysis in the current study. The existing kinematically admissible velocity field was applied to steady state at which there was no change in the assumed regions of velocity field. For unsteady state, new velocity field, as a function of dead zone angle, was proposed. Through the whole analysis, fiction between die and workpiece was also considered. It has been studied how the process variables, such as friction factor and punch velocity, and material parameters, such as strength coefficient, strain rate sensitivity could affect on analysis results. Finally, by the comparison with the finite element analysis, the reliability and efficiency of the proposed velocity field were discussed.

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Robust and Reliable $H_\infty$ Control for Linear Systems with Parameter Uncertainty (파라메타 불확실성을 갖는 선형시스템에 대한 강한 신뢰 $H_\infty$제어)

  • 서창준;김병국
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.498-503
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    • 1993
  • In this paper, a robust and reliable H$_{\infty}$ control problem is considered for linear uncertain systems with time-varying norm-bounded uncertainty in the state matrix, which performs well despite of actuator outages. Using linear static state feedback and the quadratic stabilization with H$_{\infty}$-norm bound, a robust and reliable H$_{\infty}$ controller is obtained that stabilizes the plant and guarantees an H$_{\infty}$-norm bound constraint on disturbance attenuation for all admissible uncertainties and normal state as well as faulty state of actuators. It provides a sufficient condition for robust and reliable stabilization with H$_{\infty}$-norm bound. Reliability is guaranteed provided actuator outages only occur within a prespecified subset of actuators.tors.

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