• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression Analysis Method

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Derivation of Sediment Concentration for the Computation of Total Sediment Discharge (總流砂量의 算定을 위한 流砂濃度式의 導出)

  • Lee, Jong-Seok;Kim, Jin-Gyu;Cha, Yeong-Gi
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 1996
  • Quantitative computation of sediment discharge in alluvial channels is conducted by the determined method based on the incipient motion or the sediment transport concept. The derived formulation of sediment concentration in this study was developed in order to compute the total sediment discharge by a regression analysis method, one of the determined methods by the sediment transport concept. The used data set in derived formulation consists of the total 360 data including 135 and 225 measured data in natural channels and experimental channels, respectively. Also, the formulation by the multiple regression analysis was composed of independent bariables of flow depth, mean velocity, channel slope, Froude number and median diameter in bed materials.

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A Study on Regularization Methods to Evaluate the Sediment Trapping Efficiency of Vegetative Filter Strips (식생여과대 유사 저감 효율 산정을 위한 정규화 방안)

  • Bae, JooHyun;Han, Jeongho;Yang, Jae E;Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Jang, Won Seok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.6
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2019
  • Vegetative Filter Strip (VFS) is the best management practice which has been widely used to mitigate water pollutants from agricultural fields by alleviating runoff and sediment. This study was conducted to improve an equation for estimating sediment trapping efficiency of VFS using several different regularization methods (i.e., ordinary least squares analysis, LASSO, ridge regression analysis and elastic net). The four different regularization methods were employed to develop the sediment trapping efficiency equation of VFS. Each regularization method indicated high accuracy in estimating the sediment trapping efficiency of VFS. Among the four regularization methods, the ridge method showed the most accurate results according to $R^2$, RMSE and MAPE which were 0.94, 7.31% and 14.63%, respectively. The equation developed in this study can be applied in watershed-scale hydrological models in order to estimate the sediment trapping efficiency of VFS in agricultural fields for an effective watershed management in Korea.

Evaluating the Willingness to Pay of Public ESS Facilities: Focusing on the Environmental Benefits (환경적 이점을 중심으로 한 공공 에너지저장시스템의 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Yoo, Joon Woo;Park, Junsung;Park, HeeJun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.161-170
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the economic value of installing public Energy storage system (ESS) facilities using a logit regression analysis and Contingent Valuation Method (CVM). We focused mainly on the environmental benefits of ESS and analyzed how the users' attitude toward environmental protection and knowledge of renewable energy affect their Willingness to pay (WTP) Methods: A single-bounded dichotomous choice (SBDC) survey was used to collect the data. We asked participants whether they are willing to pay a randomly presented cost (KRW 100, 500, 1000, 1500, 2000, 2500, 5000, 10000) along with their attitude to toward environmental protection, knowledge of renewable energy, and perceived cost of electric bill. 417 valid samples were collected and used for the analysis. Results: The results of the logit regression show that the initial bid, attitude toward environmental protection, knowledge of renewable energy, and perceived cost of electric bill significantly affect the user's WTP of public ESS facilities. The CVM results show that users are willing to pay KRW 5,049.1/month to install ESS facilities. Conclusion: : According to results, we conclude that the users agree with the need to install ESSs and that environmental benefits of ESSs are important factors for ESS adoption. Therefore, policy makers need to emphasize environmental aspects to install the ESS facilities.

A Study on the Estimation Method of EHP of Fishing Boats Use Statistical Regression Analysis (통계적 회귀계수를 이용한 어선의 유효 마력 추정법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Guen-Moo;Park, Jai-Woung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.199-209
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    • 1995
  • From the results of model tests, statistical regression analysis of EHP estimation based on hull form parameters is adopted in this study. From this result, the method for estimation of EHP at the initial design stage of fishing boats is developed. This method is applied to four standard fishing boats with chine lines and two standard fishing boats with round bottom. The EHP's are estimated and compared to experimental results. In the case of six fishing boats, the estimated EHP corresponds well and approximates well with experimental results through out all the range tested. From these results it can be concluded that this numerical method is very efficient in estimating EHP of fishing boats having chine line and round bottom. Therefore, by applying the proposed method to design of fishing boats, we can improve the resistance characteristics. Further, this method can contribute to reduction of design time and thus down the total expenses.

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A Forecast Method of Marine Traffic Volume through Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 통한 해상교통량 예측 방안)

  • Yoo, Sang-Rok;Park, Young-Soo;Jeong, Jung-Sik;Kim, Chul-Seong;Jeong, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.612-620
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    • 2013
  • In this study, time series analysis was tried, which is widely applied to demand forecast of diverse fields such as finance, economy, trade, and so on, different from previous regression analysis. Future marine traffic volume was forecasted on the basis of data of the number of ships entering Incheon port from January 1996 to June 2013, through courses of stationarity verification, model identification, coefficient estimation, and diagnostic checking. As a result of prediction January 2014 to December 2015, February has less traffic volume than other months, but January has more traffic volume than other months. Also, it was found out that Incheon port was more proper to ARIMA model than exponential smoothing method and there was a difference of monthly traffic volume according to seasons. The study has a meaning in that future traffic volume was forecasted per month with time series model. Also, it is judged that forecast of future marine traffic volume through time series model will be the more suitable model than prediction of marine traffic volume with previous regression analysis.

Towards high-accuracy data modelling, uncertainty quantification and correlation analysis for SHM measurements during typhoon events using an improved most likely heteroscedastic Gaussian process

  • Qi-Ang Wang;Hao-Bo Wang;Zhan-Guo Ma;Yi-Qing Ni;Zhi-Jun Liu;Jian Jiang;Rui Sun;Hao-Wei Zhu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.267-279
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    • 2023
  • Data modelling and interpretation for structural health monitoring (SHM) field data are critical for evaluating structural performance and quantifying the vulnerability of infrastructure systems. In order to improve the data modelling accuracy, and extend the application range from data regression analysis to out-of-sample forecasting analysis, an improved most likely heteroscedastic Gaussian process (iMLHGP) methodology is proposed in this study by the incorporation of the outof-sample forecasting algorithm. The proposed iMLHGP method overcomes this limitation of constant variance of Gaussian process (GP), and can be used for estimating non-stationary typhoon-induced response statistics with high volatility. The first attempt at performing data regression and forecasting analysis on structural responses using the proposed iMLHGP method has been presented by applying it to real-world filed SHM data from an instrumented cable-stay bridge during typhoon events. Uncertainty quantification and correlation analysis were also carried out to investigate the influence of typhoons on bridge strain data. Results show that the iMLHGP method has high accuracy in both regression and out-of-sample forecasting. The iMLHGP framework takes both data heteroscedasticity and accurate analytical processing of noise variance (replace with a point estimation on the most likely value) into account to avoid the intensive computational effort. According to uncertainty quantification and correlation analysis results, the uncertainties of strain measurements are affected by both traffic and wind speed. The overall change of bridge strain is affected by temperature, and the local fluctuation is greatly affected by wind speed in typhoon conditions.

Nondestructive Determination of Humic Acids in Soils by Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy

  • Seo, Sang-Hyun;Park, Woo-Churl;Cho, Rae-Kwang;Xiaori Han
    • Near Infrared Analysis
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.31-35
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    • 2000
  • Near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy(NIRS) was used to determine the humic acids in soil samples from the fields of different crops and land-use over Youngnam and Honam regions in Korea. An InfraAlyzer 500 scanning spectrophotometer was obtained near infrared relectance spectra of soil at 2-nm intervals from 1100 to 2500nm. Multiple linear regression(MLR) or partial least square regression (PLSR) was used to evaluate a NIRS method for the rapid and nondestructive determination of humic acid, fulvic acid and its total contents in soils. The raw spectral data(log 1/R) can be used for estimating humic acid, fulvic acid and its total contents in soil by MLR procedure between the content of a given constituent and the spectral response of several bands. In which the predicted results for fulvic acid is the best in the constituents. The new spectral data are converted from the raw spectra by PLSR method such as the first derivative of each spectrum can also be used to predict humic acid and fulvic acid of the soil samples. A low SEC, SEP and a high coefficient of correlation in the calibration and validation stages enable selection of the best manipulation. But a simple calibration and prediction method for determining humic acid and fulvic acid should be selected under similar accuracy and precision of prediction. NIRS technique may be an effective method for rapid and nondestructive determination for humic acid, fulvic acid and its total contents in soils.

A study on motion errors due to acceleration and deceleration types of servo motors (서보모터의 가감속형태에 따른 운도오차에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Soo;Chung, Sung-Chong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.1718-1729
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    • 1997
  • This paper describes motion errors due to acceleration and deceleration types of servo motors in NC machine tools. Motion errors are composed of two components : one is due to transient response of a servomechanism and the other comes from gain mismatching of positioning servo motors. It deals with circular interpolation to identify motion errors by using Interface card. Also in order to minimize motion errors, this study presents an effective method to optimize parameters which are connected with motion errors. The proposed method is based upon a second order polynomial regression model and it includes an orthogonal array method to make the effective results of experiments. The validity and reliability of the study were verified on a vertical machining center equipped with FANUC 0MC through a series of experiments and analysis.

The Development of the Calibration Method of Building Energy Consumption by HDDm and CDDm (냉·난방도일에 따른 건물에너지 사용량 보정기법 개발)

  • Kim, Dongi;Lee, Byeongho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2018
  • It is difficult to check the exact building energy consumption reduction such as when green remodeling of buildings, because it is due to outdoor air temperature over the years. And in Korea although Big Data of building energy consumption is collected and managed through "The Information System of the Building Energy and Greenhouse Gases" it is underutilized because of non calibration of outdoor air temperature change. Therefore, this study aims to develope calibration method of building energy consumption by outdoor air temperature according to micro climates, and building use types. As a result of analysis, Regression equations of Building energy consumption and $HDD_m/CDD_m$ are derived and calibration method is developed by Regression coefficient.

Development of Integrated HVAC Noise Analysis Program for Ships (선박용 통합 HVAC 소음해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Han, Ju-Bum;Hong, Suk-Yoon;Song, Jee-Hun;Kim, Nho-Seong;Chun, Seung-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.588-593
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    • 2011
  • The Main design parameters of ship HVAC systems are pressure drop and noise analysis of ducts. The Noise prediction for HVAC(Heating, Ventilating and Air Conditioning) systems are normally performed by empirical method suggested by NEBB(National Environmental Balancing Bureau, 1994), but NEBB's method is not suitable for the ship HVAC systems. In this paper, numerical analysis methods are used to develop a noise prediction method for the ship HVAC systems, especially for large ducts. To develop regression formula of attenuation of sound pressure level in large duct, Boundary Element Method(BEM) is used. Using dynamic loss coefficient which is suggested by ASHRAE fitting data base and numerical methods of HVAC noise analysis, integrated HVAC noise analysis of Program is developed. The developed program can present pressure drop and noise analysis of the ship HVAC systems. To verify the accuracy and convenience of the developed program, prediction of HVAC system for Semi-Submersible Drilling RIG is carried out and the results are compared with measurement of noise level during sea trial.

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