• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression Analysis Method

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Bagged Auto-Associative Kernel Regression-Based Fault Detection and Identification Approach for Steam Boilers in Thermal Power Plants

  • Yu, Jungwon;Jang, Jaeyel;Yoo, Jaeyeong;Park, June Ho;Kim, Sungshin
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1406-1416
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    • 2017
  • In complex and large-scale industries, properly designed fault detection and identification (FDI) systems considerably improve safety, reliability and availability of target processes. In thermal power plants (TPPs), generating units operate under very dangerous conditions; system failures can cause severe loss of life and property. In this paper, we propose a bagged auto-associative kernel regression (AAKR)-based FDI approach for steam boilers in TPPs. AAKR estimates new query vectors by online local modeling, and is suitable for TPPs operating under various load levels. By combining the bagging method, more stable and reliable estimations can be achieved, since the effects of random fluctuations decrease because of ensemble averaging. To validate performance, the proposed method and comparison methods (i.e., a clustering-based method and principal component analysis) are applied to failure data due to water wall tube leakage gathered from a 250 MW coal-fired TPP. Experimental results show that the proposed method fulfills reasonable false alarm rates and, at the same time, achieves better fault detection performance than the comparison methods. After performing fault detection, contribution analysis is carried out to identify fault variables; this helps operators to confirm the types of faults and efficiently take preventive actions.

Quantitative Methodology for Analyzing Propriety of Complement and Salary on Military Organization - Concentrating on Army Doctrine Research Institution - (군(軍) 내 민간인력 적정 규모 및 임금 분석을 위한 정량적 방법론 - 육군 교리업무조직을 중심으로 -)

  • Beak, Byungho;Kim, Yeekhyun;Lee, Yong-Bok;Min, Seunghee;Jee, Yonghoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.34-41
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    • 2020
  • There has not been any scientific analysis on appropriate size of workforce and salary for civilian workers in military so far. Thus, this paper conducted analysis on propriety in employment size of military doctrine researchers using system dynamic methodology based on annual military doctrine workload. Vensim software was mainly used to measure complement of the research group based on data from job analysis. Secondly, a multiple regression analysis was performed to study an appropriate wage for researchers based on their expertise and working condition. The data from twenty public research institutions and twenty eight job positions that are performing similar duty with military doctrine researchers was obtained and utilized to create a salary-estimation regression equation in the analysis. Finally, with cost-benefit analysis method this paper studied financial effectiveness of hiring military doctrine researchers. Contingent valuation method, which has been recognized as one of the most effective methodologies in cost-benefit analysis on intangible value, was utilized to measure benefit of hiring the researchers. The methodology presented in this paper can be applied to measure and improve the efficiency of military organization not only in military doctrine research area but also in several military functional area (military training, logistics, administration, combat development, and combat support).

Regression discontinuity for survival data

  • Youngjoo Cho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.155-178
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    • 2024
  • Regression discontinuity (RD) design is one of the most widely used methods in causal inference for estimation of treatment effect when the treatment is created by a cutpoint from the covariate of interest. There has been little attention to RD design, although it provides a very useful tool for analysis of treatment effect for censored data. In this paper, we define the causal effect for survival function in RD design when the treatment is assigned deterministically by the covariate of interest. We propose estimators of this causal effect for survival data by using transformation, which leads unbiased estimator of the survival function with local linear regression. Simulation studies show the validity of our approach. We also illustrate our proposed method using the prostate, lung, colorectal and ovarian (PLCO) dataset.

The development of statistical methods for retrieving MODIS missing data: Mean bias, regressions analysis and local variation method (MODIS 손실 자료 복원을 위한 통계적 방법 개발: 평균 편차 방법, 회귀 분석 방법과 지역 변동 방법)

  • Kim, Min Wook;Yi, Jonghyuk;Park, Yeon Gu;Song, Junghyun
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.94-101
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    • 2016
  • Satellite data for remote sensing technology has limitations, especially with visible range sensor, cloud and/or other environmental factors cause missing data. In this study, using land surface temperature data from the MODerate resolution Imaging Spectro-radiometer(MODIS), we developed retrieving methods for satellite missing data and developed three methods; mean bias, regression analysis and local variation method. These methods used the previous day data as reference data. In order to validate these methods, we selected a specific measurement ratio using artificial missing data from 2014 to 2015. The local variation method showed low accuracy with root mean square error(RMSE) more than 2 K in some cases, and the regression analysis method showed reliable results in most cases with small RMSE values, 1.13 K, approximately. RMSE with the mean bias method was similar to RMSE with the regression analysis method, 1.32 K, approximately.

Optimal Design of Ferromagnetic Pole Pieces for Transmission Torque Ripple Reduction in a Magnetic-Geared Machine

  • Kim, Sung-Jin;Park, Eui-Jong;Kim, Yong-Jae
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.1628-1633
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    • 2016
  • This paper derives an effective shape of the ferromagnetic pole pieces (low-speed rotor) for the reduction of transmission torque ripple in a magnetic-geared machine based on a Box-Behnken design (BBD). In particular, using a non-linear finite element method (FEM) based on 2-D numerical analysis, we conduct a numerical investigation and analysis between independent variables (selected by the BBD) and reaction variables. In addition, we derive a regression equation for reaction variables according to the independent variables by using multiple regression analysis and analysis of variance (ANOVA). We assess the validity of the optimized design by comparing characteristics of the optimized model derived from a response surface analysis and an initial model.

Wireless Sensor Node Location Management By Regression Analysis of RSSI (RSSI 측정값의 회귀분석을 이용한 무선센서노드의 위치관리)

  • Choi, Jun-Young;Kim, Hyun-Joong;Yang, Hyun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.308-311
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    • 2008
  • One of the key technical elements of wireless sensor network (WSN) is location management of sensor nodes. Typical node location management methods use GPS, ultrasonic sensors or RSSI. In this paper we propose a new location management method which adopts regression analysis of RSSI measurement to improve the accuracy of sensor node position estimation. We also evaluated the performance of proposed method by comparing the experimental results with existing scheme. According to the results, our proposed method showed better accuracy than existing location management scheme using RSSI and Firis' equation.

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A study on the prediction method of the real fault distance using probability to the relay data of transmission line fault location (송전선로 거리표정치에 대한 실 고장거리의 확률적 예측방안)

  • Lee, Y.H.;Back, D.H.;Jang, S.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.07a
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    • pp.10-11
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    • 2006
  • The fault location is obtained from the distance relay that detects the fault of the transmission line. In this time, transmission line crews track down the fault location and the reasons. However, because of having error at the fault location of the distance relay, there is a discordance between real and obtained fault location. As this reason, the inspection time for finding fault location can be longer. In this paper, we proposed the statistical (regression) analysis method based on each type of relay's the historical fault location data and the real fault distance data to improve the problems. With finding the regression equation based on the regression analysis, and putting the relay fault location into that equation, the real fault distance is calculated. As a result of the Prediction fault location, the inspection time of transmission line can be reduced.

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Model-based inverse regression for mixture data

  • Choi, Changhwan;Park, Chongsun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.97-113
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a method for sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) of mixture data. We consider mixture data containing more than one component that have distinct central subspaces. We adopt an approach of a model-based sliced inverse regression (MSIR) to the mixture data in a simple and intuitive manner. We employed mixture probabilistic principal component analysis (MPPCA) to estimate each central subspaces and cluster the data points. The results from simulation studies and a real data set show that our method is satisfactory to catch appropriate central spaces and is also robust regardless of the number of slices chosen. Discussions about root selection, estimation accuracy, and classification with initial value issues of MPPCA and its related simulation results are also provided.

Comparison of MLR and SVR Based Linear and Nonlinear Regressions - Compensation for Wind Speed Prediction (MLR 및 SVR 기반 선형과 비선형회귀분석의 비교 - 풍속 예측 보정)

  • Kim, Junbong;Oh, Seungchul;Seo, Kisung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.5
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    • pp.851-856
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    • 2016
  • Wind speed is heavily fluctuated and quite local than other weather elements. It is difficult to improve the accuracy of prediction only in a numerical prediction model. An MOS (Model Output Statistics) technique is used to correct the systematic errors of the model using a statistical data analysis. The Most of previous MOS has used a linear regression model for weather prediction, but it is hard to manage an irregular nature of prediction of wind speed. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear regression method using SVR (Support Vector Regression) is introduced for a development of MOS for wind speed prediction. Experiments are performed for KLAPS (Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) re-analysis data from 2007 to 2013 year for Jeju Island and Busan area in South Korea. The MLR and SVR based linear and nonlinear methods are compared to each other for prediction accuracy of wind speed. Also, the comparison experiments are executed for the variation in the number of UM elements.

A study on applying multivariate statistical method for making casual structure in management information (경영정보의 인과구조 구축을 위한 다변량통계기법 적용에 관한 연구)

  • 조성훈;김태성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.117-120
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    • 1996
  • The objective of this study is to suggest modified Covariance Structure Analysis that combine with existing Multivariate Statistical Method which is used Casual Analysis Method in Management Information. For this purpose, we'll consider special feature and limitation about Correlation Analysis, Regression Analysis, Path Analysis and connect Covariance Structure Analysis with Statistical Factor Analysis so that theoretical casual model compare with variables structure in collecting data. A example is also presented to show the practical applicability of this approach.

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