• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real Estate Prices

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The Conversion Trend of Jeonsei to Monthly Rent Contracts and Its Major Characteristics: The Case of Three Gangnam Districts' APT Rental Market in Seoul (임대차 시장의 월세화와 주요 특성에 관한 연구: 서울시 강남 3구의 아파트 시장 사례)

  • Kim, Sang Jin;Jeong, Jun Ho;Seo, Kwang Chae
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.348-365
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    • 2015
  • This study empirically analyzes the recent conversion trend of Jeonsei to monthly rental contracts in the APT rental market and its major characteristics for three Gangnam districts using the real transaction Jeonsei and monthly rent prices data over the period of 2010.12 to 2015.4. The results show that in terms of deposits and substitutability the conventional apartment is more efficient than those of the reconstruction apartment. Moreover, monthly rental contracts are closely related with the movement of short-term interest rates. Given the same type of apartment, the result drawn from the substitutability between Jeonsei and monthly rental contracts reveals that the monthly leasing contract with the lower rate of deposit tends to have the higher conversion rate of Jeonsei to monthly rent. Thus, an urgent measure should be taken that the burdens of tenants with monthly rent contracts could be alleviated according to the rate of deposits.

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Modeling Spatial Patterns of an Overheated Speculation Area (투기과열지역의 공간패턴 모형화)

  • Sohn, Hak-Gi
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.104-116
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    • 2008
  • Overheated speculation areas which have high potential of becoming speculative are the target of many real estate policies. This paper proposes a model for spatial patterns of house price volatility and suggests a spatial pattern of overheated speculation areas. House prices are determined by economic behaviors of sellers and buyers who have rational or adaptive expectations. Spatial patterns of house price volatility are formed by tendencies of their economic behavior. If there is a majority of adaptive sellers and buyers in an area, it may appear as a "hotspot" by showing high volatility of house prices and simultaneous price increases. Overheated speculation areas are formed by adaptive sellers and buyers who want to realize maximum expectation profit, therefore these areas patterns are defined as hotspot patterns of price volatility.

Stress Dynamics in Seoul's Public Housing based on Housing Prices - Analyzing Discrimination and the Mitigating Role of Social Capital -

  • Jea-Heun KIM;Ja-Hoon KOO
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study explores the impact of discrimination experience on stress levels among Seoul's public housing complex residents, emphasizing the moderating role of social capital. Research design, data and methodology: Utilizing the 2019 Seoul public housing (PH) panel data and an ordered logit model, the research categorizes residents based on personal and environmental factors, contrasting them across different local housing price levels. Results: We find that public housing residents' experience of discrimination has a significant impact on stress, and local housing prices are positively related to stress. Interestingly, stress due to discrimination is more pronounced in high-priced neighborhoods, which are associated with real estate inequality. Conversely, this impact is less pronounced in lower-priced neighborhoods. Importantly, social capital not only has a significant moderating effect on stress for all residents, but in high-priced neighborhoods, it also moderates the stress caused by experiences of discrimination for social housing residents. Conclusions: These findings highlight the need for policy interventions to strengthen social capital and address socioeconomic disparities in public housing, and are significant for analyzing the nuanced relationship between neighborhood, housing affordability, discrimination, and stress in urban communities for public housing residents, which is a socially problematic issue.

A Study on Prices of Owner Occupied and 'Chonsei' Housings by Type and Size (주택의 자본수익율의 변화와 결정요인)

  • 서승환
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.53-70
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    • 1994
  • The relationships between the Capital gains of housings by tenure, type and size have been analyzed. Major findings are (i) capital gain rate of 'chonsei' housing is larger than that of the owner occupied housing (ii) the small 'chosei' apartment has the highest capital gain rate and the lowest instability index (iii) the smaller the size of housings, the higher the capital gain rate and the smaller the instability index. Even though there is the 'structural change' in the capital gain rates of owner occupied and 'chonsei' housings, they are cointegrated. The capital gain of owner occupied housing is mainly affected by the real estate policies. But, The capital gain of 'chonsei' housing is mainly affected by the business cycle and the aggregate demand management policies.

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The Externality of an Unwelcomed Facility on the Nearby Multi-family Houses: A Case Study of Dangin-Ri Power Plant (기피시설이 인근 공동주택(연립, 다세대)에 미치는 외부효과 - 당인리 화력발전소를 사례로 -)

  • Kim, Chul-Joong;Song, Myung-Gyu
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.729-745
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate the external diseconomies of an unwelcomed facility on the nearby houses. The facility and the area studied are Dangin-Ri power plant in Mapo-Gu, Seoul and the residential district surrounding it respectively. The nearby housing prices have been changed according to the time and circumstances of the public announcements about the reconstruction or removal plans of the plant. These price changes are regarded as the capitalized values of the external diseconomies due to the plant. This study is based on the hedonic price theory in order to estimate the diseconomies in monetary value. The tools for the estimation are four models of multiple regression with the transaction price as the dependant variable and various housing characteristics including the external effects of the plant as the independent variables. The sample analyzed is 833 house transactions for the past 5 years in the research area. The facts found are as follows; First, the most suitable functional form for the estimation is confirmed to be the linear model. Second, there are significant differences in influence on the housing values among the independent variables, that is, locational characteristics, physical features, and environmental changes with time. Third, the external diseconomy is estimated as \80,137,807 in case that the plant would be reconstructed in the underground of the present site, whereon a substitutional public park would be constructed and as \59,142,248 in case that the plant would move away.

Effects on the Apartment Price of the Score Difference of National Unit Academic Evaluation - Focused on the Case of Ulsan - (전국단위 학력평가 성적 차이가 아파트 가격에 미치는 영향 - 울산광역시 사례 -)

  • Ahn, Mun Young;Chu, Joon Suk
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of the results of a nationwide academic evaluation of middle schools and high schools on apartment prices in Ulsan City by using a hedonic pricing model. The results of the middle school and high school achievement test, the College Scholastic Ability Test (CSAT) score for high school, the national united evaluation score, and the number of successful applicants to prestigious universities have a significant effect on the apartment price formation with a positive relationship. In addition, different kinds of academic evaluation score have asymmetric effects on apartment price determination. The results of the high school achievement evaluation are more important than the results of the middle school achievement evaluation in the apartment price determination. Among the achievement evaluation results, the ratio of the students with the higher education level is more important than the ratio of the students with the lower basic education level. Furthermore, the CSAT score for Natural Sciences is more important than the CSAT score for the Humanities course.

The Effect of Eco-friendly Characteristics on the Price of Office Buildings (친환경 특성이 오피스 빌딩 가격에 미치는 영향)

  • So, Soung Kue;Cho, Joo Hyun
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.49-64
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of eco-friendly building certification grade on the price and cost of office in Seoul office building. For this purpose, multiple regression analysis is used to examine the prices of buildings. In order to identify the effect of environmental cost reduction of buildings with high eco-friendly certification, we also performed LCC (Life Cycle Cost) + LCA (Life Cycle Assessment) analysis. Results of our analysis show that office buildings with a higher level of eco-friendly certification are priced significantly higher. Through LCC analysis, it was also found that buildings with high levels of eco-friendly certification cost less than those with lower-level certification. Furthermore, it was confirmed that office buildings with higher-level environmental certification have total lower environmental load costs (TCA = LCC+LCA) than buildings without certification. According to the TCA analysis, buildings with a high level eco-certification generated lower social costs than buildings with lower-level or no certification.

Application of Volatility Models in Region-specific House Price Forecasting (예측력 비교를 통한 지역별 최적 변동성 모형 연구)

  • Jang, Yong Jin;Hong, Min Goo
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2017
  • Previous studies, especially that by Lee (2014), showed how time series volatility models can be applied to the house price series. As the regional housing market trends, however, have shown significant differences of late, analysis with national data may have limited practical implications. This study applied volatility models in analyzing and forecasting regional house prices. The estimation of the AR(1)-ARCH(1), AR(1)-GARCH(1,1), and AR(1)-EGARCH(1,1,1) models confirmed the ARCH and/or GARCH effects in the regional house price series. The RMSEs of out-of-sample forecasts were then compared to identify the best-fitting model for each region. The monthly rates of house price changes in the second half of 2017 were then presented as an example of how the results of this study can be applied in practice.

Activation Plan of the Post-Construction Sales through a Perception Survey of Seoul Citizens and Experts

  • YoonHye JUNG;JungSeok OH;SunJu KIM
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to suggest the activation plan of the post-construction sales through the results of a survey on the perception of Seoul citizens and experts. Research design, data and methodology: The purpose of this study is to suggest the activation plan of the post-construction sales through the results of a survey on the perception of Seoul citizens and experts. Results: According to a survey of Seoul citizens' perceptions, 76.7% of Seoul citizens were well aware of post-construction sales and recognized that post-construction sales would reduce pre-sale speculation and confusion in the real estate market. Second, 73.6% of Seoul citizens were willing to buy houses through post-construction sales, and third, 79.6% of Seoul citizens recognized that a post-sale system was necessary. Experts' opinions generally responded to the expansion of the introduction of post-construction sales, saying, 'It is necessary for both the public and the private sectors'. Second, while experts say that there are also positive effects, negative effects such as polarization centered on large corporations, an increase in sales prices, and a decrease in housing supply are also concerned. Third, experts responded that 'diversification of financing methods' is the most important task in revitalizing the post-sale system. Conclusions: The policy implications are that it is necessary to mandate the post-construction sales in the long term, and that the quality assurance system needs to be supplemented even if the sale is promoted post-construction sales. In addition, private participation is essential to revitalize the post-construction sales, and government support such as initial financing, low-interest rates, and various financing measures should be sought to expand private participation.

A Study on the Clustering Method of Row and Multiplex Housing in Seoul Using K-Means Clustering Algorithm and Hedonic Model (K-Means Clustering 알고리즘과 헤도닉 모형을 활용한 서울시 연립·다세대 군집분류 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Soonjae;Kim, Seonghyeon;Tak, Onsik;Jeong, Hyeonhee
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.95-118
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    • 2017
  • Recent centrally the downtown area, the transaction between the row housing and multiplex housing is activated and platform services such as Zigbang and Dabang are growing. The row housing and multiplex housing is a blind spot for real estate information. Because there is a social problem, due to the change in market size and information asymmetry due to changes in demand. Also, the 5 or 25 districts used by the Seoul Metropolitan Government or the Korean Appraisal Board(hereafter, KAB) were established within the administrative boundaries and used in existing real estate studies. This is not a district classification for real estate researches because it is zoned urban planning. Based on the existing study, this study found that the city needs to reset the Seoul Metropolitan Government's spatial structure in estimating future housing prices. So, This study attempted to classify the area without spatial heterogeneity by the reflected the property price characteristics of row housing and Multiplex housing. In other words, There has been a problem that an inefficient side has arisen due to the simple division by the existing administrative district. Therefore, this study aims to cluster Seoul as a new area for more efficient real estate analysis. This study was applied to the hedonic model based on the real transactions price data of row housing and multiplex housing. And the K-Means Clustering algorithm was used to cluster the spatial structure of Seoul. In this study, data onto real transactions price of the Seoul Row housing and Multiplex Housing from January 2014 to December 2016, and the official land value of 2016 was used and it provided by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport(hereafter, MOLIT). Data preprocessing was followed by the following processing procedures: Removal of underground transaction, Price standardization per area, Removal of Real transaction case(above 5 and below -5). In this study, we analyzed data from 132,707 cases to 126,759 data through data preprocessing. The data analysis tool used the R program. After data preprocessing, data model was constructed. Priority, the K-means Clustering was performed. In addition, a regression analysis was conducted using Hedonic model and it was conducted a cosine similarity analysis. Based on the constructed data model, we clustered on the basis of the longitude and latitude of Seoul and conducted comparative analysis of existing area. The results of this study indicated that the goodness of fit of the model was above 75 % and the variables used for the Hedonic model were significant. In other words, 5 or 25 districts that is the area of the existing administrative area are divided into 16 districts. So, this study derived a clustering method of row housing and multiplex housing in Seoul using K-Means Clustering algorithm and hedonic model by the reflected the property price characteristics. Moreover, they presented academic and practical implications and presented the limitations of this study and the direction of future research. Academic implication has clustered by reflecting the property price characteristics in order to improve the problems of the areas used in the Seoul Metropolitan Government, KAB, and Existing Real Estate Research. Another academic implications are that apartments were the main study of existing real estate research, and has proposed a method of classifying area in Seoul using public information(i.e., real-data of MOLIT) of government 3.0. Practical implication is that it can be used as a basic data for real estate related research on row housing and multiplex housing. Another practical implications are that is expected the activation of row housing and multiplex housing research and, that is expected to increase the accuracy of the model of the actual transaction. The future research direction of this study involves conducting various analyses to overcome the limitations of the threshold and indicates the need for deeper research.