• 제목/요약/키워드: Rainfall range

검색결과 404건 처리시간 0.024초

토사재해 예경보를 위한 초단기 예측강우의 활용에 대한 연구 (A Study on Application of Very Short-range-forecast Rainfall for the Early Warning of Mud-debris Flows)

  • 전환돈;김수전
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.366-374
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구의 목적은 토사재해 예경보를 위하여 초단기 예측강우의 적용성을 검토하는 것이다. 초단기 예측자료를 활용하기 위한 방법으로 신경망 모형을 적용하였다. 여기에서 레이더와 AWS의 관계를 이용하여 신경망을 학습하고 레이더 강우를 초단기 예측강우(MAPLE)로 대체하여 대상지역에 대한 강우량을 예측하였다. 6hr, 12hr, 24hr의 누적강우에 대한 토사재해 예경보기준을 이용하여 MAPLE 예측강우의 적용성을 Test-bed 지점에 설치한 AWS 강우량과 비교 평가하였다. 평가결과 MAPLE 예측강우를 이용할 경우 AWS를 이용할 경우 보다 선행하여 토사재해 예경보를 발령할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

강우량 공간분포 분석기법의 적용조건에 관한 연구 (The Qualifications for the Application of the Rainfall Spatial Distribution Analysis Technique)

  • 황세운;박승우;조영경
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.943-947
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    • 2005
  • This study was intended to interpose an objection about the analysis of rainfall spatial distribution without a proper standard, and offer the improved approach using 1,he geostatistical analysis method to analyze it. For this, spatially distributed daily rainfall data sets were collected for 41 weather stations in study area, and variogram and correlation analysis were conducted. In the results of correlation analysis, it was found that the longer distance between the stations reduces the correlation of the rainfall data, and maltes the characteristics of the rainfall spatial distribution. The variogram analysis shows that correlation range was less than 50 km for the 17 daily rainfall data sets of total 91 sets. It says that it involves some rike, to determine the application method for rainfall spatial distribution without some qualifications, hence the Application standards of the Rainfall Spatial Distribution Analysis Technique, were essential and that was contingent on characteristics of rainfall and landscape.

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2009년 집중호우에 의한 인제군 상남리 토석류 현장 분석 (Analyses of Debris Flow by Heavy Rainfall of Sangnamri of Injegun in 2009)

  • 최준식;곽철수;유남재
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.883-890
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    • 2010
  • This study is a research results about flow characteristics of debris flow mobilized from landslides such as initiation, transportation and deposition. As results of slope stability analyses at sites studied, the safety factors in rainy period are decreased drastically in comparisons with those in dry period so that the effect of rainfall on initiation of debris flow is known to be significant. From results of analyzing rainfall data, debris flow occurred as previous rainfall accumulated during 2 weeks was more than 526mm, the maximum rainfall intensity being more than 34mm/hr and the day rainfall being more than 171mm/day. As results of analyzing topology of channel debris flow running, the angle of slope where debris flow initiated was in the range of $36{\sim}39^{\circ}$. For area of channel debris flow being transporting the angle of channel was in the range of $11{\sim}36^{\circ}$. The angle of channel where debris flow started to be deposited was found to be in the range of $5{\sim}10^{\circ}$.

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레이더 자료의 군집화를 통한 Mean Field Rainfall Bias의 보정 (Adjustment of the Mean Field Rainfall Bias by Clustering Technique)

  • 김영일;김태순;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권8호
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    • pp.659-671
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 레이더 강우량 자료의 편차보정에 사용되는 G/R비의 정확도를 향상시키기 위하여 fuzzy c-means 방법을 사용한 자료의 군집화를 적용하였다. 대상 레이더자료는 광덕산 레이더기지의 자료로서 유효범위 100km이내의 자료를 대상으로 지상관측망인 기상청의 AWS(Automatic Weather System) 지점에서 관측한 자료와의 비교를 통하여 G/R비를 구하였다. G/R비를 구하는데 있어서 전체 유효범위를 대상으로 동일한 방법을 사용한 경우와 레이더 자료의 군집화를 통해서 지형적인 효과를 고려한 경우를 비교하였으며, AWS 실측강우량과 G/R비를 통한 레이더 강우량 자료의 비교를 위하여 절대상대오차와 평균제곱근오차 등을 비교분석하였다. 그 결과 전체유효범위를 대상으로 동일하게 G/R비를 적용하여 구한 레이더 강우량에 비하여 군집분석을 이용하여 지형효과를 고려한 G/R비를 적용한 레이더 강우량의 오차가 더 적게 나타났다.

Determination of flood-inducing rainfall and runoff for highly urbanized area based on high-resolution radar-gauge composite rainfall data and flooded area GIS Data

  • Anh, Dao Duc;Kim, Dongkyun;Kim, Soohyun;Park, Jeongha
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.157-157
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    • 2019
  • This study derived the Flood-Inducing-Rainfall (FIR) and the Flood-Inducing-Runoff (FIRO) from the radar-gage composite data to be used as the basis of the flood warning initiation for the urban area of Seoul. For this, we derived the rainfall depth-duration relationship for the 261 flood events at 239 watersheds during the years 2010 and 2011 based on the 10-minute 1km-1km radar-gauge composite rainfall field. The relationship was further refined by the discrete ranges of the proportion of the flooded area in the watershed (FP) and the coefficient variation of the rainfall time series (CV). Then, the slope of the straight line that contains all data points in the depth-duration relationship plot was determined as the FIR for the specified range of the FP and the CV. Similar methodology was applied to derive the FIRO, which used the runoff depths that were estimated using the NRCS Curve Number method. We found that FIR and FIRO vary at the range of 37mm/hr-63mm/hr and the range of 10mm/hr-42mm/hr, respectively. The large variability was well explained by the FP and the CV: As the FP increases, FIR and FIRO increased too, suggesting that the greater rainfall causes larger flooded area; as the rainfall CV increases, FIR and FIRO decreased, which suggests that the temporally concentrated rainfall requires less total of rainfall to cause the flood in the area. We verified our result against the 21 flood events that occurred for the period of 2012 through 2015 for the same study area. When the 5 percent of the flooded area was tolerated, the ratio of hit-and-miss of the warning system based on the rainfall was 44.2 percent and 9.5 percent, respectively. The ratio of hit-and-miss of the warning system based on the runoff was 67 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively. Lastly, we showed the importance of considering the radar-gauge composite rainfall data as well as rainfall and runoff temporal variability in flood warning system by comparing our results to the ones based on the gauge-only or radar-only rainfall data and to the one that does not account for the temporal variability.

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지상우량계와 기상레이더 강우강도의 비교연구 (A Comparative Study of the Rainfall Intensity Between Ground Rain Gauge and Weather Radar)

  • 류찬수;강인숙;임재환
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.229-237
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    • 2011
  • Today they use a weather radar with spatially high resolution in predicting rainfall intensity and utilizing the information for super short-range forecast in order to make predictions of such severe meteorological phenomena as heavy rainfall and snow. For a weather radar, they use the Z-R relation between the reflectivity factor(Z) and rainfall intensity(R) by rainfall particles in the atmosphere in order to estimate intensity. Most used among the various Z-R relation is $Z=200R^{1.6}$ applied to stratiform rain. It's also used to estimate basic rainfall intensity of a weather radar run by the weather center. This study set out to compare rainfall intensity between the reflectivity of a weather radar and the ground rainfall of ASOS(Automatic Surface Observation System) by analyzing many different cases of heavy rain, analyze the errors of different weather radars and identify their problems, and investigate their applicability to nowcasting in case of severe weather.

기후변화를 고려하기 위한 오염총량관리제 토지계 오염부하량 산정 방식 개선 (Enhancement of Land Load Estimation Method in TMDLs for Considering of Climate Change Scenarios)

  • 류지철;박윤식;한미덕;안기홍;금동혁;임경재;박배경
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.212-219
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    • 2014
  • In this study, a land pollutant load calculation method in TMDLs was improved to consider climate change scenarios. In order to evaluate the new method, future change in rainfall patterns was predicted by using SRES A1B climate change scenarios and then post-processing methods such as change factor (CF) and quantile mapping (QM) were applied to correct the bias between the predicted and the observed rainfall patterns. Also, future land pollutant loads were estimated by using both the bias corrected rainfall patterns and the enhanced method. For the results of bias correction, both methods (CF and QM) predicted the temporal trend of the past rainfall patterns and QM method showed future daily average precipitation in the range of 1.1~7.5 mm and CF showed it in the range of 1.3~6.8 mm from 2014 to 2100. Also, in the result of the estimation of future land pollutant loads using the enhanced method (2020, 2040, 2100), TN loads were in the range of 4316.6~6138.6 kg/day and TP loads were in the range of 457.0~716.5 kg/day. However, each result of TN and TP loads in 2020, 2040, 2100 was the same with the original method. The enhanced method in this study will be useful to predict land pollutant loads under the influence of climate change because it can reflect future change in rainfall patterns. Also, it is expected that the results of this study are used as a base data of TMDLs in case of applying for climate change scenarios.

강우강도에 따른 산사태 확산범위 예측을 위한 모형실험 (Model Test to Predict the Runout Distance of Landslide according to Hourly Rainfall)

  • 송영석;채병곤;김원영;서용석
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2006년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2006
  • Landslide model experiments considering hourly rainfall were performed to investigate and predict the run out distance induced by landslides. The model flume and the rainfall simulator were designed and produced. The model flume was designed in consideration of the landslide characteristics of Korea. The landslides in Korea were mainly occurred in the interface between soil layer and rock layer. The rainfall simulator was produced for controlling hourly rainfall ranged from 100mm/hr to 1,000mm/hr. Jumnunjin standard sand as slope soils was placed on the model flume. The model experiments were performed with changing the hourly rainfall ranged from 150mm/hr to 250mm/hr. In this experiments, the inclination of slope was 25o and the relative density of slope soils was 35%. As a result of experiments, the pore water pressure is rapidly increased at landslide occurring time, and the scale of landslide is increased with increasing in hourly rainfall. The spreading range of run out distance is occurred with pan type, and the spreading width and length are rapidly increased in its early stage and slowly increased after early stage. Also, The increasing velocity of run out distance of debris is influenced by hourly rainfall.

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The Measurement of Physical Properties of Outdoor Exposed Members

  • Kim, Gwang-Chul;Kim, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.311-323
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    • 2019
  • The number of newly constructed traditional Korean houses, i.e., Hanoks, and light-frame buildings is increasing. However, related research is limited owing to the lack of awareness regarding safety evaluations. Therefore, this study conducted an outdoor exposure test to accurately evaluate wooden constructions. Spruce, pine, and fir (SPF) material was monitored for a year, wherein the SPF material was artificially dried under 18% moisture content, and its physical properties and color differences were measured once a month. Large differences were observed in the material's weight and moisture content, which are indexes sensitive to daily range and rainfall; however, no significant difference was found for other basic properties in the pre and post test results. Herein, $L^*$, $a^*$, and $b^*$ values represent color differences; these values exhibited a general decrease after the test. Such differences were attributed to the loss of lignin in the wood. The color difference value was high between the months of May and July, when the daily range and rainfall significantly fluctuated. Multiple regression analysis was performed on the $a^*$ value (redness indicator), daily range, rainfall, and ultraviolet index. The results indicated that the daily range influenced redness the most. According to the estimated regression equation, the daily range and redness are positively correlated. Based on the results, the types and influence of independent variables on color difference are expected to change as the wood's duration of outdoor exposure and the amount of data obtained both increase.

벼의 재흡습이 도정미의 품질에 미치는 영향 (Effects of the rainfall-rewetted paddy on the quality of the milledrice)

  • 정창주;김용운;강화석
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 1979
  • This study was conducted to find out the effects of rainfall occurring during the paddy sun-during process of traditional paddy harvesting operations on the quality of milld rice. Rice varieties used for the experiment were MINEHIJARI variety a japonica and SUWEON 264 vareity , a sister-line of TONG-IL . Sun-drying days after the paddy cutting, times of storm occurrance during sun-drying period, and storm duration were treated as variables. The results is summarised as follows : 1. Brown rice recovery exposed to rainfall during the sun-druing period were ranged 81.6-82.1% and 79.4-80.2% for MINEHIKARI and SUWEON 264 varieties, respectively. which showed negligible effect by rainfall. 2. Milling recovery of MINEHIKARI variety was not affected by storm duration but by the by the sun-drying days after cutting as the sun-drying days increased to eight and four days when the variety met the rainfall one and two times, respectively. The range of milling recoveries of MINEHIKARI variety were 75.18-74.07% and 75.24-73.46% as the variety met the rainfall one and two times, respectively, and it were estimated that up to 0.9% and 1.5% of milling recovery would be reduced by one and two times of rainfall during sun-drying period. 3. The milling recovery of SUWEON 264 variety was affected only by the increase of drying days after cutting when it met one time of rainfall during the sun-drying period, while it was begun to reduce by the storm duration more than 11hours as the drying paddy met two times of rainfall. The milling reveries of the paddy met one and two times of rainfall were ranged 74.24-73.21% and 74.02-72.36% which were estimated to be reduced up to 0.9 % and 1.8% by the increase of the drying days after cutting and storm duration , respectively. 4. The head rice recovery of MINEHIKARI rice variety showed notable decrease as the drying days after cutting increased, and also it was greatly reduced even by the five hours of storm duration when one time of rainfall occurred but it was not affected by storm duration when the rainfall occurred two times. Head rice recoveries of MINEHIKARI met one and two times of rainfall during the sun-drying period were 65. 15 -40.85% and 61.86 - 30.03 %, which showed terrible reduction as much as up to 25% and 35% compared to that which did not met rainfall during the sun-drying process. 5. Head rice recovery or SUWEON 264 variety was very much reduced as the sum-drying days after cutting increased. Storm duration less than five hours during the sun-drying process did not affect on the decrease of head rice recovery when the variety was exposed to one time of rainfall, while storm duration affected considerably on the reduction of head rice recovery of SUWEON 264 variety exposed to two times of rainfall. The range of head rice recovery, 56.43 - 33.94% and 51.28 - 21.03% , for the paddy exposed to rainfall one and two times were evaluated that up to 24% and 37% of reduction in head rice recovery would be brought about compared to the head rice recovery of the sundriedpaddy that did not met the rainfall.

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