• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall Structure

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Study on Slope Prevention Effect of Eco-environmental Riprap Structure (친환경 호안구조물의 사면보호 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Khi-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 2009
  • The slope failure in the country is caused by mainly rainfall and its type is reported shallow slope failures in general. To investigate the cause of slope failure, the unsaturated soil slope behavior in accordance with rainfall amount studies actively, but there are little studies related the slope erosion and scour by rainfall. The slope erosion and scour by rainfall cause environmental pollution and slope instability, however there are few methods to effectively control them. This research analyzed experimentally how infinite gradients are infiltrated according to the changes of amount of rainfall and the slope of gradients by manufacturing the model of gradient in order to investigate how rainfall infiltrates regarding homogeneous gradients and slope protection method. For this, this experiment measured and analyzed discharge, storage rate occurring in gradients by going on changing amount of rainfall, slope of gradients.

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FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING USING ReMOTELY SENSED INFORMATION AND NEURAL NETWORKS PART I : MODEL DEVELOPMENT

  • Kim, Gwang-seob;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2002
  • Accurate quantitative forecasting of rainfall for basins with a short response time is essential to predict flash floods. In this study, a Quantitative Flood Forecasting (QFF) model was developed by incorporating the evolving structure and frequency of intense weather systems and by using neural network approach. Besides using radiosonde and rainfall data, the model also used the satellite-derived characteristics of storm systems such as tropical cyclones, mesoscale convective complex systems and convective cloud clusters as input. The convective classification and tracking system (CCATS) was used to identify and quantify storm properties such as lifetime, area, eccentricity, and track. As in standard expert prediction systems, the fundamental structure of the neural network model was learned from the hydroclimatology of the relationships between weather system, rainfall production and streamflow response in the study area. All these processes stretched leadtime up to 18 hours. The QFF model will be applied to the mid-Atlantic region of United States in a forthcoming paper.

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An Analysis on Hydrologic Characteristics of Design Rainfall for the Design of Hydraulic Structure (수공구조물 설계를 위한 설계강우의 수문학적 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Jeong-Sik;Lee, Jae-Jun;Park, Jong-Yeong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2001
  • This study is to propose temporal pattern of design rainfall which causes maximum peak discharge and to analyze the variation in peak discharge according to design rainfall durations. In this study, the Mononobe, the Yen and Chow triangular, the Huff's 4th quartiles and the Keifer and Chu methods are applied to estimate the proper temporal pattern of design rainfall and three rainfall-runoff models such as SCS, Nakayasu, and Clark methods are used to estimate the runoff hydrograph. And to examine the variability of peak discharge, the hydrologic characteristics from the rainfall-runoff models to which uniform rainfall intensity is applied are used as the standard values. The type of temporal pattern of design rainfall which causes maximum peak discharge in both of the watersheds and the rainfall-runoff models has resulted in Yen and Chow distribution method with the dimensionless vague of 0.75. On the basis of determined temporal pattern, the examination of the variability of peak discharge according to design rainfall durations shows that design rainfall duration varies greatly with the types of probable intensity formula, and the variation of peak discharge is more affected by the types of probable intensity formula and I-D-F currie than rainfall-runoff models.

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Quality Control Algorithm of Rainfall Radar Image for Uncertainty of Rainfall (강우의 불확실성에 관한 강우레이더 영상 품질관리 알고리즘)

  • Choi, Jeongho;Yoo, Chulsang;Lim, Sanghun;Han, Myoungsun;Lee, Baekyu
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.1874-1889
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    • 2017
  • The paper aims to analyze structure of I/Q data observed from radar and reliably estimate rainfall through quality control of I/Q data that can quantify uncertainty of I/Q data occurring due to resultant errors. Radar rainfall data have strong uncertainty due to various factors influencing quality. In order to reduce this uncertainty, previously enumerated errors in quality need to be eliminated. However, errors cannot be completely eliminated in some cases as seen in random errors, so uncertainty is necessarily involved in radar rainfall data. Multi-Lag Method, one of I/Q data quality control methods, was applied to estimate precipitation with regard to I/Q data of rainfall radar in Mt. Sobaek.

Effect of Zero Measurements on the Spatial Correlation Structure of Rainfall (강우의 공간상관구조에 대한 무강우자료의 영향)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Ha, Eun-Ho;Kim, Kyoung-Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.2 s.163
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    • pp.127-138
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    • 2006
  • This study evaluated the effect of zero measurements of rainfall on the spatial correlation structure using the mixed distribution function. Three cases of data structures were considered at two gauge stations: only the positive measurements at both stations, the positive measurements at either one or both stations, and all the measurements including zero measurement at both stations. Also the rainfall data were categorized into the frontal, typhoon, and convective for their comparison. Hourly rainfall data from 12 rain gauge stations within the Geum river basin were analyzed to find that the rain gauge density of WMO to be good for the frontal and typhoon, but not enough for the convective storms.

Radar rainfall prediction based on deep learning considering temporal consistency (시간 연속성을 고려한 딥러닝 기반 레이더 강우예측)

  • Shin, Hongjoon;Yoon, Seongsim;Choi, Jaemin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we tried to improve the performance of the existing U-net-based deep learning rainfall prediction model, which can weaken the meaning of time series order. For this, ConvLSTM2D U-Net structure model considering temporal consistency of data was applied, and we evaluated accuracy of the ConvLSTM2D U-Net model using a RainNet model and an extrapolation-based advection model. In addition, we tried to improve the uncertainty in the model training process by performing learning not only with a single model but also with 10 ensemble models. The trained neural network rainfall prediction model was optimized to generate 10-minute advance prediction data using four consecutive data of the past 30 minutes from the present. The results of deep learning rainfall prediction models are difficult to identify schematically distinct differences, but with ConvLSTM2D U-Net, the magnitude of the prediction error is the smallest and the location of rainfall is relatively accurate. In particular, the ensemble ConvLSTM2D U-Net showed high CSI, low MAE, and a narrow error range, and predicted rainfall more accurately and stable prediction performance than other models. However, the prediction performance for a specific point was very low compared to the prediction performance for the entire area, and the deep learning rainfall prediction model also had limitations. Through this study, it was confirmed that the ConvLSTM2D U-Net neural network structure to account for the change of time could increase the prediction accuracy, but there is still a limitation of the convolution deep neural network model due to spatial smoothing in the strong rainfall region or detailed rainfall prediction.

On the Variations of Spatial Correlation Structure of Rainfall (강우공간상관구조의 변동 특성)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Jun;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.12
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    • pp.943-956
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    • 2007
  • Among various statistics, the spatial correlation function, that is "correlogram", is frequently used to evaluate or design the rain gauge network and to model the rainfall field. The spatial correlation structure of rainfall has the significant variation due to many factors. Thus, the variation of spatial correlation structure of rainfall causes serious problems when deciding the spatial correlation function of rainfall within the basin. In this study, the spatial rainfall structure was modeled using bivariate mixed distributions to derive monthly spatial correlograms, based on Gaussian and lognormal distributions. This study derived the correlograms using hourly data of 28 rain gauge stations in the Keum river basin. From the results, we concluded as following; (1) Among three cases (Case A, Case B, Case C) considered, the Case A(+,+) seems to be the most relevant as it is not distorted much by zero measurements. (2) The spatial correlograms based on the lognormal distribution, which is theoretically as well as practically adequate, is better than that based on the Gaussian distribution. (3) The spatial correlation in July exponentially decrease more obviously than those in other months. (4) The spatial correlograms should be derived considering the temporal resolution(hourly, daily, etc) of interest.

Rainfall Prediction of Seoul Area by the State-Vector Model (상태벡터 모형에 의한 서울지역의 강우예측)

  • Chu, Chul
    • Water for future
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.219-233
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    • 1995
  • A non-stationary multivariate model is selected in which the mean and variance of rainfall are not temporally or spatially constant. And the rainfall prediction system is constructed which uses the recursive estimation algorithm, Kalman filter, to estimate system states and parameters of rainfall model simulataneously. The on-line, real-time, multivariate short-term, rainfall prediction for multi-stations and lead-times is carried out through the estimation of non-stationary mean and variance by the storm counter method, the normalized residual covariance and rainfall speed. The results of rainfall prediction system model agree with those generated by non-stationary multivariate model. The longer the lead time is, the larger the root mean square error becomes and the further the model efficiency decreases form 1. Thus, the accuracy of the rainfall prediction decreases as the lead time gets longer. Also it shows that the mean obtained by storm counter method constitutes the most significant part of the rainfall structure.

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A Study on Estimation of Rainfall Erosivity Using Frequency Analysis for Hapcheon Gauging Station (빈도해석에 의한 합천관측소의 강우침식인자 산정 연구)

  • Ahn, Jung Min;Lee, Geun Suk;Lyu, Si Wan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2012
  • RUSLE(Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation) has been widely used to estimate the soil loss amount of watersheds from rainfall erosivity, soil erodibility, topographic features and cropping management condition. Rainfall erosivity is the most dominant and sensitive factor among these so that the determination of reliable rainfall erosivity is essential to estimate the soil loss of watershed. Since there has been no criterion to determine the rainfall erosivity in Korea, the empirical values, determined from the relation between the annual average rainfall and erosivity or suggested by TBR(Transport Research Board), have been used for designing the erosion control structure and controlling the soil erosion for watersheds. In this study, the procedure for estimating the rainfall erosivity using frequency analysis is proposed. The most fitted distribution function, with calculated rainfall erosivities with various frequencies and durations, has been also selected. The suggested procedure can be used to estimate the optimal value of rainfall erosivity for RUSLE in order to design soil erosion structures and control the soil erosion in watersheds effectively.

An Analysis of the Characteristics in Design Rainfall According to the Data Periods (자료기간에 따른 확률 강우량 변화 특성 분석)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Kim, Min-Seok;Moon, Young-Il;Ahn, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.115-127
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    • 2009
  • Recently, Natural disasters are increasing the damage according to the influence of the abnormal climate and climate change. This study analyzed change characteristic of Design Rainfall according to the different data periods. First, 14 observatories were selected at Meteorological Administration. Second, frequency analysis carried out 5 cases by different data periods. At the results of the frequency analysis, the design rainfall could confirm the increase in most areas of Korea. Also, the change and trend analysis carried out for characteristic analysis by design rainfall and observed rainfall. The change and trend analysis of observed annual maximum rainfall did not appeared, but the change and trend analysis of design rainfall significantly appeared using statistic methods. The result of the change and trend analysis, design rainfall increased in most areas of Korea. Although, it could be the necessity for reestimating defense ability of flood, existing river systems, and new establishment of structure about the change characteristic.