• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantitative-Risk-Analysis

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A Study on the Evaluation of the Appropriateness of the Control of Departure of Tugs Based on the Analysis of Ship Dynamic Motion (선체운동 해석 기반의 예인선 출항통제 적정성 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Tae-Hoon Kim;Yong-Ung Yu;Yun-sok Lee;Young-Joong Ahn
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.307-315
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    • 2023
  • Korea controls the departure of vessels based on the Maritime Safety Act such that only ships with seaworthiness can navigate in bad weather, but scientific evaluation results and quantitative basis for the designation of ships subject to control are insufficient. Opinions for improvement are being raised for a reasonable departure control operation. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the adequacy of the current departure control standards through actual measurement of tugboats, which are the type of vessels subject to control when a wind and wave advisory is effective, and to present quantitative grounds for improvement of controls. A sensor was installed on the tugboat to measure the ship's three-axis motion and hull acceleration, and the hull motion performance was measured by operating in the sea area with a significant wave height of 3 m. The measured values were compared and analyzed based on seaworthiness evaluation factors and limit value standards. The actual ship was excluded from the current control standard according to tonnage, but as a result of the analysis, the pitch value exceeded the operation standard, and a risk to navigation safety existed. The results of this study suggest the need for additional actual measurement studies that can represent various ship types and specifications and review ship departure control targets.

Analysis of Flooded Areas for Cadastral Information-Based Rainfall Frequencies (지적정보 기반의 강우빈도별 침수지역 분석)

  • Min, Kwan-Sik;Lee, Hyung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2010
  • The increased occurrence of flooding due to typhoons and local rainfall has necessitated damage prevention through the systematic construction of damage history and quantitative analysis of flood prediction data. In this study, we constructed a disaster information map for practical use by combining digital images and continuous cadastral maps of damaged areas using a geographic information system to provide basic data and attribute information. In addition, we predicted the areas at risk of flash floods by calculating the flood capacity of the study area for different rainfall frequencies through flood inundation simulation, which was used to obtain comprehensive disaster information. Further, we calculated the extent of the flooded area and the damage rate for different rainfall frequencies using cadastral information. Flood inundation simulation in the case of heavy rainfall was found to help improve the ability to react to a flood and enhance the efficiency of rescue work by supporting decision-making for disaster management.

A Study on application of F-N curve to OCA (장외영향평가 F-N curve 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong Hyeok;Yoo, Byung Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2018
  • The distrust about chemical plant safety have been increased by occurring the major industrial accidents. Chemical plants have become more and more enlarged and sophisticated to increase production amount and decrease cost. So hazard of industrial accidents also have been increased. In this situation, quantitative risk assessment is activated by introducing OCA(Off-site Consequence Analysis). So it is possible to analyze the objective hazard of chemical plant. Currently OCA focus on the end point of hazardous area by fire/explosion/dispersion. But in this case, it is possible to analyze the industrial accident effect to near the chemical plant but hard to consider the actual hazard by frequency and population density. This study analyzes the validity about application of F-N curve to OCA by compare end point with F-N curve about accident.

Analysis of Research Papers Published in the Journal of the Korean Academy of Nursing-Focused on Research Trends, Intervention Studies, and Level of Evidence in the Research (최근 2년간 Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing 게재논문 분석-연구 동향, 실험중재, 연구의 근거등급을 중심으로)

  • Shin, Hyun-Sook;Hyun, Myung-Sun;Ku, Mi-Ok;Cho, Myung-Ok;Kim, Sook-Young;Jeong, Jea-Sim;Jeong, Geum-Hee;SeoMoon, Gyeong-Ae;Son, Youn-Jung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.139-149
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    • 2010
  • This study aimed was done to analyze recent trends in nursing research published in the Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing by focusing on the content of nursing interventions and their level of evidence. Methods: A total of 209 studies published between 2007 and 2008 were reviewed using analysis criteria developed by the researchers. Results: The number of quantitative studies was greater than that of qualitative studies. There was a slight increase in the number of qualitative studies and studies including elderly populations, which reflects the recent population trend in Korea. More randomized controlled trials with a low risk of bias were needed to support more evidence-based nursing practice. Concerning the low rate of ethical consideration, stricter application of research ethics needs to be encouraged. Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest the recent trends in nursing research and the direction of nursing research and review in the Journal.

Analysis of Volatile Organic Compounds Emitted from Electronic Parts in PC/Monitor Set (PC/Monitor 구성 전자부품에서 방출되는 휘발성 유기화합물의 분석)

  • Ri, Chang Seop;Choe, Jong Woo;Baek, Kyu Won
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.343-349
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    • 2000
  • Volatile Organic Compounds(VOCs) emitted form electronicSince toluene, xylene, cyclohexanone, and benzofuran will bring on the deleterious smell and the health risk, eventhough very small amount of these areexposed to human body, quantitative analysis was achieved by GC-MS system. As a result of these analyses, except PCB(CEM-1) of which is one of the electronic parts, the left of electronic parts represented, imme-diately form 30 minutes to 1 hour after heating, the trends that toluene, xylene, cyclohexanone and phenol were consecuticely emitted very high. and toluene, xylene, phenol, cyclohexanone, and benzofuran from most of the electronic parts were emitted very frequently within the measuring period. Finally, Trans of electronic parts showed the highest concentration of emission, and xylene(550~2482 ${\mu}g/m^2$) was the most noticeably emitting compound of VOCs.

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Analysis of Ventricular Electromechanical Characteristics by Lesions in Sudden Myocardial Infraction: Computer Simulation Study (급성 심근경색 병변에 따른 심실의 전기 역학적 특성 분석: 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Baek, Dong Geun;Jeong, Da Un;Lim, Ki Moo
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.313-320
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    • 2017
  • Myocardial infarction is a disease caused by stenosis of the coronary arteries. The high risk of sudden cardiac death due to myocardial infarction has triggered related researches that have been actively studied so far. However, these studies focused on the clinical results, which are mainly based on observations of symptoms due to infarction through electrocardiograms. Therefore, in this study, we tried to analyze the behavior of heart according to the position and volume of infarction lesion through the computer simulation study using three dimensional ventricular models. In order to implement infarction, commercial software was used to simulate cell necrosis due to blockage of a specific coronary. In addition, the conduction block due to infarction was mimicked by reducing the electrical conduction in the infarcted area, which was 100 times less than the electrical conduction of the whole ventricular lattice implemented by the finite element analysis method. Thus, this study classified the infarcted cases into the upper, middle, lower, and apex according to lattice data of eight different infraction areas. In other words, we assumed that myocardial infarction would have inherent electro-dynamic characteristics depending on the location and extent, and analyzed the ventricular electromechanical responses for infarction lesions using a three dimensional cardiac physiome model. The results showed that the volume of infarction did not directly affect the cardiac responses, but the location of the infarction lesions could influence the ventricular pumping efficiency. These suggest that the occlusion of specific coronary arteries may have a fatal effect on the decline in ventricular performance. In conclusion, although location of myocardial infarction lesions is considered to be an important variable to be considered clinically rather than lesion size, quantitative predictions should be made more in the future considering physiological factors such as lesion location and direction of myocardial fiber at that location.

Forecasting Bunker Price Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 활용한 선박 연료유 가격 예측)

  • Choi, Jung-Suk
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to utilize the system dynamics to carry out a medium and long-term forecasting analysis of the bunker price. In order to secure accurate bunker price forecast, a quantitative analysis was established based on the casual loop diagram between various variables that affects bunker price. Based on various configuration variables such as crude oil price which affects crude oil consumption & production, GDP and exchange rate which influences economic changes and freight rate which is decided by supply and demand in shipping and logistic market were used in accordance with System Dynamics to forecast bunker price and then objectivity was verified through MAPEs. Based on the result of this study, bunker price is expected to rise until 2029 compared to 2016 but it will not be near the surge sighted in 2012. This study holds value in two ways. First, it supports shipping companies to efficiently manage its fleet, offering comprehensive bunker price risk management by presenting structural relationship between various variables affecting bunker price. Second, rational result derived from bunker price forecast by utilizing dynamic casual loop between various variables.

An Ecological Analysis of Iron Status of Middle School Students in Seoul (중학생의 철분 영양 상태에 영향을 미치는 생태학적 변인 분석)

  • 최주현
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.30 no.8
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    • pp.960-975
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    • 1997
  • This study was carried out to evaluate the iron nutrition status of 212 middle school students(106 males and 106 females) residing in Seoul(13-14 years old ) using eating patterns and a measurement of anthropometrical determination and hematological indices. Fasting blood samples were taken from all subjects, serum iron (SI) and total iron binding capacity(TIBC) concentrations were measured, and transferrin saturation(TS) levels were calculated. Iron and other nutrient intakes were estimated by a semi-quantitative frequency questionnaire. The level of TS(%) which was calculated with TIBC and SI in females(20.4$\mu\textrm{g}$/dl) was significantly lower(p<0.050 than that of males (27.4$\mu\textrm{g}$/㎗). The prevalence of iron deficiency was found to be 36.7% when defined by TS(%) (<05%). Mean daily intake of total iron in the study subjects was 14mg and heme iron intake was 5.4mg(38.1%) . There was a significant negative correlation between the level of SI and the income level and a positive correlation with the level of TIBC and the income level. TIBC had a positive correlation with the anthropometric variables(Ht, Wt, BMI, RI and PIBW). SI and TS had a negative correlation with body fat percentage. There was a positive correlation between energy intake and TIBC only among females. The logistic regression analysis revealed that income level, body fat percentage , weight and energy intake were major determinants of low SI levels. Among the determinants of abnormal TIBC levels were weight , height, income level and energy intake. Finally , among those of low TS% were iron and energy intake and income level. These observations suggest that physical status, body fat percentage energy and iron intakes and income level are risk factors for iron-deficiency anemia among the middle school students in Seoul.

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The Case Analysis through Fire Simulation FDS and Evacuation Simulation Pathfinder (화재 시뮬레이션 FDS와 피난시뮬레이션 Pathfinder 사례분석)

  • Kim, Jong Yoon;Jeon, Yong Han
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.253-260
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    • 2015
  • In this study, using the FDS as the fire simulation and evacuation simulations of the Pathfinder, set the main control room of the building to the fire point fire safety assessment studies were carried out. At first the quantitative result such as distribution of visibility as time passing, distribution of temperature, distribution of CO density produced results using fire-simulation and evacuation-simulation was carried out based on the result that produced the final safety evaluation result as being calculated of evacuation time. As the risk increased with the distribution of visibility at the result of fire-simulation, evacuation-simulation was carried out using the result. Finally the result was made 127.9 sec that everyone could evacuate. The numerical results are analyzed in case of the places in the building required safe egress time for safety a as the analysis to be no more than available safe egress time was analyzed to be secured. The results of this safety evaluation represent that more smooth evacuation safety performance can be secured by linking the event of fire firefighting equipment as a result of simulating the worst conditions.

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Study of the Characteristics of Smoke Spread by an Installing Smoke Barrier in Medium Length Road Tunnel (중규모 도로터널의 제연경계벽 설치에 따른 연기확산특성)

  • Baek, Doo-San;Lee, Seung-Chul
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2016
  • In the case of a medium length road tunnel, the installation of a smoke control facility is not mandatory so users can suffer considerable injuries if a fire breaks out. Therefore, this study analyzed the high-temperature air and toxic gas generated by fire proliferating with time when a smoke barrier is not installed and when the installation interval is 100, 150, 200, and 250 m through 3-dimensional numerical analysis, evacuation simulation, and Quantitative Risk Assessment Methodology targeting the medium length road tunnel. As a result, the diffusion of the high-temperature air and toxic gas occurring from the a fire was delayed when the smoke barrier was installed in a medium length road tunnel compared to that when it was not installed. In addition, when the installation interval of a smoke barrier was 100m and the numerical analysis target was 100m, the diffusion of high-temperature air and toxic gas generated by the fire was delayed more than in the other cases, which was most suitable for tunnel users to evacuate.