• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantitative risk assessment and management

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A Study on Facility Criteria of Small Petrol Stations based on Quantitative Risk Assessment (정량적 위험성 평가에 기반한 간이 주유취급소 시설기준에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Wooin;Ku, Jae-Hyun;Song, Yong-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 2014
  • Small petrol stations have great potential for a wide distribution in metropolitan area in which the land value possesses primary installation cost of the facility. The objective of the present study is to propose appropriate facility regulations of small petrol stations in Korea that can be popularly installed in the future in terms of securing safety in addition to serviceability. The hazard analysis and damage prediction from the possible fire and explosion accidents were performed using a software, PHAST v.6.5. As essential components of the facility regulations proposed in this study, the regulations about the refueling lot, maximum capacity of underground tank, location of fixed refueling facilities, height of firewall for small petrol stations were subsequently compared with those for regular-sized petrol stations.

Scenario Analysis Technology for Flood Risk Management in the Taihu Basin

  • Changwei, Hu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.140-148
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    • 2010
  • The Taihu Basin is located in the east coast of China, where the threats of frequent floods have induced construction of massive, complex, hierarchical flood defense systems over the interconnected river networks. Digital modeling of flooding processes and quantitative damage assessment still remain challenging due to such complexity. The current research uses an integrated approach to meet this challenge by combining multiple types of models within a GIS platform. A new algorithm is introduced to simulate the impacts of the flood defense systems, especially the large number of polders, on floods distributions and damages.

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Case Study of Diagnosis on Muculoskeletal Disorders Risk Factors at a Semi-finished Medical Product Fabricating Company (의약품 중간원료 제조사업장의 근골격계 질환 유해요인 조사 사례 연구)

  • Kang, Young-Sig;Yang, Sung-Hwan;Cho, Mun-Son
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.13-27
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    • 2006
  • The goal of this study is to propose the effective way of finding injurious factors and making improved plan that prevents the workers against musculoskeletal disorders at a semi-finished medical product fabricating company A questionnaire and an ergonomic assessment method were adopted to analyze the symptoms of workers' musculoskeletal disorders, and an analysis of working postures and a quantitative assessment on various processes were performed to find out harmful factors of workplace. Based on the result of the evaluation, to enhance the working environment, improvement of worktable, working space, tools, and outfit was suggested, and induction of mechanical system was also suggested. It can be concluded that the method and process described in this paper could be helpful for diagnosing the musculoskeletal disorders and making improvement plans to the company with similar working conditions and process.

Risk-based Safety Impact Assessment for Construction Projects (위험도 접근방법에 의한 건설사업 안전영향평가방안에 관한 연구)

  • Choi Hyun-Ho;Jung Pyung-Ki;Seo Jong-Won;Choi Ook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.504-509
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    • 2004
  • Safety assessment of construction projects may be affected by various factors such as types and scale of projects, construction methods, procedure, climactic, and site conditions etc. Presently, in planning and design phases, designers are still often uncertain of their responsibilities, l3i]I information and training of safety. Therefore, designers are still failing to exploit the potential that have to eliminate and reduce risks on site. In this study, the concepts of safety impact assessment is introduced in order to derive the performing design for safety in design phase. For this purpose, a framework for safety impact assessment model using risk-based approach for construction projects is suggested. The suggested model includes of information survey and scenarios, classification of safety impact factors occurred by design and construction, and quantitative estimation of magnitude and frequency. Moreover, the checklist which is enable to identify relationship between safety impact factors and design factors is developed and the methodology of safety impact assessment model using risk-based approach is also proposed.

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An Introductory Research for Development of Soil Ecological Risk Assessment in Korea (토양생태 위해성평가 제도 국내 도입방안 연구)

  • An, Youn-Joo;Kim, Shin Woong;Moon, Jongmin;Jeong, Seung-Woo;Kim, Rog-Young;Yoon, Jeong-Ki;Kim, Tae-Seung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.348-355
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    • 2017
  • Human activities have resulted in soil pollution problems to us. Human and ecological risk assessment have been suggested as an efficient environmental management strategy for protecting human and ecosystems from soil pollution. However, Korean environmental policy is currently focused on human protection, and fundamental researches for ecology protection are required for institutional frameworks. In this study, we developed a schematic frame of Korean soil ecological risk assessment, and suggested the basic information for its application. This study suggested a soil ecological risk assessment scheme consisting of 4 steps for derivation of Predicted-No-Effect-Concentration (PNEC): 1) ecotoxicity data collection and reliability determination, 2) data standardization, 3) evaluation of data completeness for PNEC calculation, and 4) determination of ecological-risk. The reliability determination of ecotoxicity data was performed using Reliability Index (RI), and the classification of domestic species, acute/chronic, toxicity endpoint, and soil properties was used for data cataloging. The PNEC calculation methodology was determined as low-reliability, middle-reliability, and high-reliability according to their quantitative and qualitative levels of ecotoxicity data. This study would be the introductory plan research for establishment of Korean soil ecological risk assessment, and it can be a fundamental framework to further develop guidelines of Korean environmental regulation.

IMPLEMENTATION OF TRL TOOLS TO KOREAN NATIONAL CONSTRUCTION AND TRANSPORTATION R&D PROJECTS FOR IMPROVING PRACTICAL USE

  • Namgyun Kim;Byungho An;Jaehong Choi;Hyunseok Lee;Sanghyuk Park;Yeasang Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.608-615
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    • 2013
  • The major countries including Korea extend the national investment on R&D and implement the business performance diffusion policy as the knowledge based competition age arrives recently. The necessity for risk management and systematic management system for R&D achievement have been appeared to prevent the failure as the R&D scale becomes larger as it was said. For this matter, the organization such as NASA and DoD in USA defines the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) as a quantitative accomplishment management index and utilize the Technology Readiness Assessment (TRA) system as a criterion. Such tool is evaluated as very effective in the R&D project purposed the practicalization. It is expected that the disadvantage of evaluation system which is oriented to the academic accomplishment in its contents of current research and to contribute greatly to the practicalization of outcomes when such technology readiness level concept is applied to Korean national construction and transportation R&D project. Accordingly, this study analyzed the concept of TRL·TRA, the characteristics and current evaluation management system of Korean national construction and transportation R&D project and suggested the construction and transportation R&D project TRL·TRA performance model to accomplish the practicalization purpose.

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Estimation of Leak Frequency Function by Application of Non-linear Regression Analysis to Generic Data (비선형 회귀분석을 이용한 Generic 데이터 기반의 누출빈도함수 추정)

  • Yoon, Ik Keun;Dan, Seung Kyu;Jung, Ho Jin;Hong, Seong Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2020
  • Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is used as a legal or voluntary safety management tool for the hazardous material industry and the utilization of the method is gradually increasing. Therefore, a leak frequency analysis based on reliable generic data is a critical element in the evolution of QRA and safety technologies. The aim of this paper is to derive the leak frequency function that can be applied more flexibly in QRA based on OGP report with high reliability and global utilization. For the purpose, we first reviewed the data on the 16 equipments included in the OGP report and selected the predictors. And then we found good equations to fit the OGP data using non-linear regression analysis. The various expectation functions were applied to search for suitable parameter to serve as a meaningful reference in the future. The results of this analysis show that the best fitting parameter is found in the form of DNV function and connection function in natural logarithm. In conclusion, the average percentage error between the fitted and the original value is very small as 3 %, so the derived prediction function can be applicable in the quantitative frequency analysis. This study is to contribute to expand the applicability of QRA and advance safety engineering as providing the generic equations for practical leak frequency analysis.

Development of a Predictive Model and Risk Assessment for the Growth of Staphylococcus aureus in Ham Rice Balls Mixed with Different Sauces (소스 종류를 달리한 햄 주먹밥에서의 Staphylococcus aureus 성장예측모델 개발 및 위해평가)

  • Oh, Sujin;Yeo, Seoungsoon;Kim, Misook
    • Journal of the Korean Dietetic Association
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.30-43
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    • 2019
  • This study compared the predictive models for the growth kinetics of Staphylococcus aureus in ham rice balls. In addition, a semi-quantitative risk assessment of S. aureus on ham rice balls was conducted using FDA-iRISK 4.0. The rice was rounded with chopped ham, which was mixed with mayonnaise (SHM), soy sauce (SHS), or gochujang (SHG), and was contaminated artificially with approximately $2.5{\log}\;CFU{\cdot}g^{-1}$ of S. aureus. The inoculated rice balls were then stored at $7^{\circ}C$, $15^{\circ}C$, and $25^{\circ}C$, and the number of viable S. aureus was counted. The lag phases duration (LPD) and maximum specific growth rate (SGR) were calculated using a Baranyi model as a primary model. The growth parameters were analyzed using the polynomial equation as a function of temperature. The LPD values of S. aureus decreased with increasing temperature in SHS and SHG. On the other hand, those in SHM did not show any trend with increasing temperature. The SGR positively correlated with temperature. Equations for LPD and SGR were developed and validated using $R^2$ values, which ranged from 0.9929 to 0.9999. In addition, the total DALYs (disability adjusted life years) per year in the ham rice balls with soy sauce and gochujang was greater than mayonnaise. These results could be used to calculate the expected number of illnesses, and set the hazard management method taking the DALY value for public health into account.

A Study on Establishing Target Reliability Levels for Flammable Gas Transmission Pipelines (가연성가스 수송배관에 대한 목표 신뢰도 수준 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Han;Jo, Young-Do;Moon, Jong-Sam
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2018
  • In reliability based design and assessment (RBDA) methodology, reliability targets are used to ensure that safety levels are met relevant limit states in the stage of design and maintenance. The target reliability for flammable gas pipelines have not been developed yet in Korea. Instead of the reliability targets, the tolerable criteria for risk measures such as societal and individual risk have been applied in pipeline risk management. This paper introduces the procedures to develop the target reliability using tolerable risk criteria for societal and individual risk which can be enforced for high pressure natural gas pipelines in quantitative risk assessment. In addition, we propose the target reliability for natural gas and hydrogen gas transmission pipelines by the procedures.

A Study on the Efficacy and Equivalence of D-antigen Quantitative Analysis through QbD6sigma Process (QbD6시그마 프로세스를 통한 D-항원 정량 시험법의 유효성과 동등성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kang Hee;Hyun-jung, Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.831-842
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study carried out the Quality by Design (QbD)6σ process to verify the effectiveness and equivalence of the finished D-antigen quantitative test method, and compared the OFAT-based method validation and test result acceptance criteria with the Analytical Quality by Design (AQbD)-based method validation and test method. This is a study on how to reduce the risk of delay in permit change by increasing the reliability of permit data in the existing method by statistically analyzing the results. Methods: With the QbD6σ process, the effectiveness and equivalence of the D-antigen quantitative test method were verified with the data of the existing test method and the new test method. Results: Method validation tests are performed based on AQbD. Critical Method Parameters are identified through risk assessment, and single/combined actions are verified by designing and performing tests for Critical Method Parameters (analysis of variance, full factorial design method). Method validation can be effectively accomplished with the QbD6σ process. Conclusion: The use of QbD6σ can be used to achieve satisfactory results for both pharmaceutical companies and regulators by using appropriate statistical analytical methods for method validation as required by regulatory agencies.