• 제목/요약/키워드: Qualitative risk analysis

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해상분야 사이버보안 위험도 분석 (A Study on Cybersecurity Risk Assessment in Maritime Sector)

  • 유윤자;박한선;박혜리;박상원
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2019년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.134-136
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    • 2019
  • 국제해사기구(IMO)는 2017년 해상 사이버 위험관리 지침(Guidelines on maritime cyber risk management)을 발표했다. IMO의 해상 사이버 위험관리 지침에 따라 각 기국은 2021년 1월 1일 이후 도래하는 첫 번째 연차심사 전까지 안전관리규약(ISM, International Safety Management Code)의 선박안전관리시스템(SMS, Safety Management System)에서 사이버 리스크에 관한 사항을 통합·관리 하여야 한다. 본 논문에서는 해상분야의 사이버 보안 관리대상 및 위험요소를 식별하고 취약성 분석을 수행하기 위하여 IMO가 제시한 산업계 지침 및 국제표준을 근거로 해상분야의 사이버 보안 취약분야를 관리적·기술적·물리적 보안의 세 가지 영역으로 구분하였다. 또한, 리스크 매트릭스(Risk Matrix)를 사용하여 보안영역별 위험요소에 따른 정성적 리스크 평가(RA, Risk Assessment)를 수행하였다.

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화력발전설비 위험도 평가를 통한 기기별 정비주기 예측 (Prediction of Maintenance Period of Equipment Through Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plants)

  • 송기욱;김범신;최우성;박명수
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제37권10호
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    • pp.1291-1296
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    • 2013
  • 위험도 평가 기술은 주로 플랜트의 많은 운영설비 중 대형사고나 피해를 유발할 수 있는 위험설비를 선별하는 목적으로 개발되었다. 설비의 위험도를 평가하여 위험도의 크기에 따라 순위를 정하고 이 순위를 기준으로 정비자원을 투입하는 순서나 정비작업의 시급성을 판단한다. 위험도란 고장이 발생할 확률과 고장이 발생할 경우에 수반되는 파손피해의 곱으로 정의된다. 위험도 평가방법으로는 간단한 손상 및 고장 평가기법을 이용하여 기본적인 고장확률 데이터를 확보하고 정성적인 문진을 통해 이를 보완하는 준 정량적 방법이 많이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 준 정략적 평가를 이용하여 석탄화력발전소의 보일러설비에 대한 위험도 평가를 수행하고 이를 기반으로 설비 별차기 정비주기를 선정하였다.

근거에 기반한 의약품의 유익성-위해성 평가 (Evidence-Based Benefit-Risk Assessment of Medication)

  • 이의경
    • 보건의료기술평가
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.22-26
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Balancing benefits and risks through the drug life cycle has been discussed for many decades. The objective of this study was to review the processes and tools currently proposed for benefit-risk assessment of medicinal drugs. It aimed to establish scientific and efficient drug safety management system based on the synthetic analysis of benefit-risk evidence. Methods: We conducted a review of exiting literatures published by regulatory agencies or initiatives. Not only quantitative methodologies but also qualitative method were compared to understand their key characteristics for the benefit and risk assessment of drugs. Results: Recently, benefit-risk assessments have more structured approaches to decision making as part of regulatory science. Regulatory agencies such as European Medicines Agency, FDA have prepared plans to apply benefit-risk assessment to regulatory decision making. Also many initiatives such as IMI (Innovative Medicine Initiative) have conducted research and published reports about benefit-risk assessment. For benefit-risk assessment, four kinds of methods are necessary. Frameworks such as BRAT (Benefit Risk Action Team) framework, PrOACT-URL provide guidance for the whole process of decision-making. Metrics are measurements of risk benefit. The estimation techniques are methods to synthesis and combine evidences from various sources. The utility survey techniques are necessary to explicit preferences of various outcome from stakeholders. Conclusion: There is the lack of widely accepted, validated model for benefit-risk assessment. Nor there is an agreement among academia, industry, and government on methods for the quantitative valuation. It is also limited by available evidence and underlying assumptions. Nevertheless, benefit-risk assessment is fundamental to improve transparency, consistency and predictability for decision making through the structured systematic approaches.

A quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk based on the meta feature system of network security data

  • Lin, Weiwei;Yang, Chaofan;Zhang, Zeqing;Xue, Xingsi;Haga, Reiko
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권12호
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    • pp.4531-4544
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    • 2021
  • Because the traditional network information security vulnerability risk assessment method does not set the weight, it is easy for security personnel to fail to evaluate the value of information security vulnerability risk according to the calculation value of network centrality, resulting in poor evaluation effect. Therefore, based on the network security data element feature system, this study designed a quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk under single transmission state. In the case of single transmission state, the multi-dimensional analysis of network information security vulnerability is carried out by using the analysis model. On this basis, the weight is set, and the intrinsic attribute value of information security vulnerability is quantified by using the qualitative method. In order to comprehensively evaluate information security vulnerability, the efficacy coefficient method is used to transform information security vulnerability associated risk, and the information security vulnerability risk value is obtained, so as to realize the quantitative evaluation of network information security vulnerability detection under single transmission state. The calculated values of network centrality of the traditional method and the proposed method are tested respectively, and the evaluation of the two methods is evaluated according to the calculated results. The experimental results show that the proposed method can be used to calculate the network centrality value in the complex information security vulnerability space network, and the output evaluation result has a high signal-to-noise ratio, and the evaluation effect is obviously better than the traditional method.

독성물질 사용.저장시설에 대한 개인적 위험성 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Individual and Societal Risk Estimation for the Use and Storage Facility with Toxic Materials)

  • 김성빈;김윤화;이철;엄성인;고재욱;백종배
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 1997
  • These days leakage incidents of toxic materials cause serious effects on the nearby residents as well as the workers around the accidents accompanying massive material losses and human damages through widening influential areas. The risk measure through adequate quantitative analysis as well as the qualitative analysis of the leakage incidents of toxic materials becomes an urgent issue. The damage of the leakage incident on the surrounding area of the dangerous toxic material facilities was calculated quantitatively by adopting several models in this research. First, the calculations of the leakage velocity from the factories were performed by using source model for the assessment of the influential area, and the damages on the nearly residents were calculated by using the dispersion model and the effort model. The probability of the Incidents was computed based on "The manual for classification and priorization of major incidents" published by IAEA( International Atomic Energy Agency ). Above calculated damage area and incident probability were further adopted in this study to induce the individual and societal risk, quantitatively. The calculated data of the real Incident of the toxic material leakage showed reasonable agreements to the actual damage of the incidents, which showed a validity of this study. The result of this study might be a helpful measure for predicting damages and preparing safety systems for similar kinds of incidents.incidents.

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노인의 존엄성에 대한 노인요양시설 간호사의 인식과 경험 (The Nurses' Perceptions and Experiences on the Older Adult's Dignity in Nursing Homes)

  • 김기경
    • 간호행정학회지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify nurses' perceptions on the older adult's dignity, and identify the risk factors that threaten older adult dignity and nurses' experiences of ethically difficult care in nursing homes. Method: Qualitative content analysis was done using an analysis scheme developed by the investigators. The data were collected from 51 nurses in 10 different nursing homes, who have agreed this study. Using a self-completion questionnaire was developed by the authors. The questionnaire which consisted of 3 items about dignity definitions, risk factors, and experiences on ethical dilemma. Results: The scheme consisted of 14 categories and 33 subcategories of the 261 significant statements. The categories of the dignity perception analyzed were respect, social right and equality. The categories of risk factors analyzed were loss of control, abuse, physical restraint, invasion of privacy, decision limitation and staff qualification. The categories of dignity experiences were abuse, physical restraint, invasion of privacy, staff qualification and decision limitation. Conclusions: This study may suggests interpretation for compromised older adult's dignity and provides data to use in the development of the useful guidelines and educational programs for the nurses in nursing homes.

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기후변화 대응시대의 도시개발방향과 시사점 (The Direction and Implication of Urban Development in the Age of Response Climate Change)

  • 오은열
    • 산업융합연구
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 대응하는 도시개발의 실천적 실행을 위해서 기후위험요인 측면과 환경적인 측면으로 대별하여 도시개발 방향과 시사점을 제시하는데 목적을 두었다. 연구방법으로는 정성적인 자료조사와 분석을 통해 이루어졌다. 연구결과, 기후위험요인에 따른 도시개발방향은 도시계획수립시 기후변화 영향을 통합적으로 고려할 수 있는 지역별 부문별 영향 및 취약성 분석을 실시함으로써 자연재난에 대한 피해예방 시스템 구축과 자연재해 위험도 분석을 실시해 도시개발을 할 수 있는 여건 마련의 중요성을 강조하였다. 환경적측면의 도시개발방향은 친환경적인 도시개발을 위해서는 도시계획수립시 대중교통지향적인 도시개발(TOD, Transit­oriented Development)의 추진이 지속가능하고 실행적인 도시개발을 실현하는데 그 필요성을 제시하였다. 향후 연구방향은 보다 더 정량적이고 실증적인 규명을 위한 연구가 보완되어야 할 것이다.

Qualitative and quantitative evaluation of root injury risk potentially burdening insertion of miniscrew implants

  • Antoszewska, Joanna;Trzesniewska, Paulina;Kawala, Beata;Ludwig, Bjorn;Park, Hyo-Sang
    • 대한치과교정학회지
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.112-120
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    • 2011
  • Objective: Microscrew implants (MSls) offer many advantages, but some complications are known to occur during their insertion. One of the most commonly reported complications is root injury. Our aim was to identify factors associated with root injury and to evaluate their qualitative and quantitative values. Methods: Thirty-five orthodontists placed MSls (AbsoAnchor$AbsoAnchor^{(R)}$, Dentos Co. Ltd, Daegu, Korea) in the upper jaw of typodonts, labially between the second premolar and the first molar, in low and high vertical positions. Root contacts were counted, and distances between MSI apices and roots were measured. Fear level of the orthodontists was surveyed before and after the experiment. Wilcoxon's test, chi-square test, and Mann-Whitney test were used for statistical analysis. Results: Overall root contact rate of MSI insertion was 23.57%. The root contact rate was significantly higher in MSls inserted at $90^{\circ}$ (45.71%) than at $30^{\circ}$ (1.43%). The distance between the dental root and MSI also increased significantly in MSls inserted at $30^{\circ}$. Mean fear level before MSI insertion (4.6) significantly decreased after insertion (3.2); the causative factors were risk of injury to dental root and maxillary sinus or mandibular canal. Conclusions: Root injury is relatively rare, and oblique angulation reduces the risk of root and MSI contact.

소화기계 암환자의 국내 간호연구 분석 (Analysis of Cancer Nursing Research in Digestive System in Korea)

  • 손수경;한영인;김경희;윤수정
    • 종양간호연구
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.52-62
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: This study was to analyze the research trend centering on the theses to cancer nursing research in digestive system released in Korea. Method: The researcher collected the academic degrees and theses published on the book of the academic soceity from January 1993 to August, 2004, and examined 38 domestic papers of cancer nursing research in digestive system. Results: 1) As for the subject, the results were : patients with stomach cancer 25(66%), colon cancer 4(11%), rectal cancer 3(8%), and others(taxi drivers 2, family of cancer patents. 2) As for the research designs the result were : quantitative studies were 33(87%), and qualitative studies were 9(23%). 3) As for key concepts of survey, the results were : life patterns of patients with rectal cancer, oral intake of stomach cancer patients, fatigue of stomach cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy, nursing needs when discharging from hospital after operation with gastrectomy, and so on. 4) As for the comparative studies, the results were : risk factors between colorectal patients and general population, early symptom and risk factors between stomach cancer patients and general population, and risk factors between stomach cancer and patients with gastritis. 5) As for main concepts of correlational studies, the results were : quality of life, health belief, fatigue, health promotion behavior, social support, straitanxiety. 6) The treatment of experimental research, the results were : information services, arc reflex massage, acupressure, educational program for discharge, 7)As for the qualitative studies, in terms of subjects, stomach cancer patients were 2, spouse of patients with stomach cancer was 1, rectal cancer patients were 2. In the theme of the qualitative studies, the results were: experience of family of patients with stomach cancer, experience of long term survival of patients with rectal cancer, experience of disease process of rectal cancer patiens. 8) As for the used instrument in studies, the results were : Strait-anxiety Scale by Spielberger, Nausea and Vomiting Scale by Rhodes, Social support by Tae and Lee, Health belief by Champion, Becker, and Moon. QOL by NCCN, Roh, Pdilla, Kwon, Revised Fatigue Scale by Piper, Health Locus of Control by Wallston and Wallston, Uncertainty Scale by Mishel. Conclusions: More research needs to be encouraged in various subject of cancer patients in digestive system. More nonexperimental and experimental researches should be conducted for the establishment of the basis of practical and theoretical framework and the providing good quality of care for cancer patients.

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복합화력발전소 내 수소연료 저장설비의 안전관리 체계 구축을 위한 Bow-tie 기법을 활용한 반정량적 위험성 평가 (Semi-quantitative Risk Assessment using Bow-tie Method for the Establishment of Safety Management System of Hydrogen Fuel Storage Facility in a Combined Cycle Power Plant)

  • 박희경;정시우;최유정;이민철
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2024
  • Hydrogen has been selected as one of the key technologies for reducing CO2 emissions to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. However, hydrogen safety issues should be fully guaranteed before the commercial and widespread utilization of hydrogen. Here, a bow-tie risk assessment is conducted for the hydrogen fuel supply system in a gas turbine power plant, which can be a mass consumption application of hydrogen. The bow-tie program is utilized for a qualitative risk assessment, allowing the analysis of the causes and consequences according to the stages of accidents. This study proposed an advanced bow-tie method, which includes the barrier criticality matrix and visualized maps of quantitative risk reduction. It is based on evaluating the importance of numerous barriers for the extent of their impact. In addition, it emphasizes the prioritization and concentrated management of high-importance barriers. The radar chart of a bow tie allows the visual comparison of risk levels before/after the application of barriers (safety measures). The risk reduction methods are semi-quantitatively analyzed utilizing the criticality matrix and radar chart, and risk factors from multiple aspects are derived. For establishing a secure hydrogen fuel storage system, the improvements suggested by the bow-tie risk assessment results, such as 'Ergonomic equipment design to prevent human error' and 'Emergency shutdown system,' will enhance the safety level. It attempts to contribute to the development and enhancement of an efficient safety management system by suggesting a method of calculating the importance of barriers based on the bow-tie risk assessment.