• Title/Summary/Keyword: Profit Determination Model

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A Study on AI-Based Real Estate Rate of Return Decision Models of 5 Sectors for 5 Global Cities: Seoul, New York, London, Paris and Tokyo (인공지능 (AI) 기반 섹터별 부동산 수익률 결정 모델 연구- 글로벌 5개 도시를 중심으로 (서울, 뉴욕, 런던, 파리, 도쿄) -)

  • Wonboo Lee;Jisoo Lee;Minsang Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.429-457
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aims to provide useful information to real estate investors by developing a profit determination model using artificial intelligence. The model analyzes the real estate markets of six selected cities from multiple perspectives, incorporating characteristics of the real estate market, economic indicators, and policies to determine potential profits. Methods: Data on real estate markets, economic indicators, and policies for five cities were collected and cleaned. The data was then normalized and split into training and testing sets. An AI model was developed using machine learning algorithms and trained with this data. The model was applied to the six cities, and its accuracy was evaluated using metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and R-squared by comparing predicted profits to actual outcomes. Results: The profit determination model was successfully applied to the real estate markets of six cities, showing high accuracy and predictability in profit forecasts. The study provided valuable insights for real estate investors, demonstrating the model's utility for informed investment decisions. Conclusion: The study identified areas for future improvement, suggesting the integration of diverse data sources and advanced machine learning techniques to enhance predictive capabilities.

A Strategy Bayesian Model to Predict Profit of Construction Projects

  • Park, Sung-Hyuk;Kim, Sang-Yong
    • Architectural research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2011
  • Competitive bidding in construction is concerned with contractors making strategic decisions in respect of determination of bid price if contractors opt to bid. This study presents a strategy model for deciding optimum tender price with reflecting appropriate profit in competitive bidding using Bayesian regression analysis (BRA). The purpose of the developed model is to help contractors to secure suitable profitability by predicting the actual profit based on key variables. They may affect construction cost at bidding phase, ultimately which help contractors to secure high quality output. The model was tested empirically by application to a bidding dataset collected from a large South Korea contractor. BRA allows contractors to estimate more accurate actual profit by reflecting not only objective information but also subjective experiences and judgments. Consequently, the model can contribute to improvement of decision-making process for setting an optimum tender price.

Revisiting the Effect of Financial Elements on Stock Performance Using Corporate Social Responsibility Cost Growth

  • JOUHA, Faraj;ALBAKAY, Khalleefah;GHOZALI, Imam;HARTO, Puji
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.767-780
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this research is to analyze the effect of financial elements (asset growth, liability growth, equity growth, revenue growth, and profit growth) on stock price performance and to analyze the growth of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) costs as a moderating effect. The technique analysis used is regression analysis. Samples in this analysis are manufacturing firms listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2014-2018. The use of regression models for hypothesis testing must fulfill several applicable assumptions such as Normality Test, Heteroscedasticity Test, Multicollinearity Test, Autocorrelation Test, Model Fit Test, Determination Coefficient Test, and Hypothesis Test. Data analysis used two research models, namely model 1 and model 2. Model 1 is without the moderating variable, and model 2 is with the moderating variable, that is, CSR cost growth. Based on the result of the regression analysis, it can be inferred that the asset, revenue, and profit growth have a positive impact on stock price results. Liabilities and equity growth do not affect stock price performance. Operating expense growth has a significant effect on price performance. CSR cost growth can moderate the effect of growth in financial statement elements on stock price performance but is not significant.

Effect of Measurement Error on the Determination of the Optimal Process Mean for a Canning Process (캔 공정의 최적공정평균을 결정하는데 있어서 측정오차의 영향)

  • Hong, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Min-Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 1994
  • Consider a canning process where cans are filled with an expensive ingredient. Cans weighting above the specified limit are sold in a regular market for a fixed price, and underfilled cans are emptied and refilled at the expense of a reprocessing cost. In this paper, the effect of measurement error on the determination of the optimal process mean for a canning process is examined. It is assumed that the quantity X of ingredient in a can is normally distributed with unknown mean and known variance, and the observed value Y of X is also normally distributed with known mean and variance. A profit model is constructed which involves selling price. cost of ingredients, reprocessing cost. and cost from an accepted nonconforming can, and methods of finding the optimal process mean and the cutoff value on Y are presented. It is shown that the optimal process mean increases. and the expected profit decreases when the measurement error is relatively large in comparison to the process variance.

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Determination of the Economical Target Value Through Sampling Inspectioni (샘플링 검사를 통한 경제적 공정 목표 값 결정에 관한 연구)

  • 이동철;윤덕균
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 2000
  • We consider the determinant of the most economical target value through the sampling inspection by two consecutive machines. The machine sequence is fixed as products have to be processed by machine 1 first and then by machine 2 next, In this paper we assume that if quality of a unit is lower than inspection lower specification limited then the goods is not accepted, otherwise it is accepted. And we assume that the quality characteristics is larger-the-better characteristics and its distribution is the normal distribution whose standard deviation is known. This paper ends up with an numerical example by using the total expected profit function model that consider the scales profits inspection costs and material costs. And we analyze the variation of the total expected profit by changing coefficients of the functions.

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Analysis of Radio Spectrum Charges based on Economic Value (주파수의 경제적 가치를 고려한 할당대가 산정기준 분석)

  • Jang, Hee-Seon;Yeo, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Kwang-Hee;Choi, Ki-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2008
  • The determination of spectrum charges for the operators is a main issue to efficiently manage the limited radio spectrum resources. In this paper, we propose a model to compute the optimal charges for radio spectrum usage. The objective is to determine that will maximize the spectrum charges, and decision variables of ratios for actual or estimated revenues are considered. The spectrum charges are maximized under satisfying the least profit for operators based on Log-Linear demand function. The parameters of actual sales and minimum profit of operators are analyzed to make an efficient management for radio spectrum. The results show that the spectrum charges increase as the actual sales increase, but it decrease as the required minimum profit of operator increases. It is also observed that the government should increase the ratio for estimated sales if anticipating the poor market in the future, otherwise they should increase the ratio for actual sales to maximize the spectrum charges.

Development of Construction Cost Model through the Analysis of Critical Work Items (코스트 중요항목 분석을 통한 공사비 예측모델 연구)

  • Lee Yoo-Seob
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.212-219
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    • 2003
  • In construction project planning and control, a cost model performs a critical role such as cost determination on a contract stage and cost tracing. The model can maximize owner's profit and value within the project budget and optimize cost management works on overall construction implementation stages. A BoQ(Bill of Quantities) generally adopted in a unit price contract has been applied as an important tool for cost control and forecast. However a previous cost model based on the BoQ has shown limitations in that it requires too detailed information and heavy manpower on cost management and difficulty in keeping relationship with construction planning, scheduling and progress management. The each cost items and unit prices which constitute of construction works are individually very important management factors but the relative weight for each items and prices have a difference on the contents and conditions of each conditions of each construction works. In consideration of this structural mechanism of cost determination, this research is aimed at examining the critical factors affecting the construction cost determination and propose and verify a new cost forecasting model which is more simple and efficient and also keeps the accuracy of cost management.

The Study on Relation and Structure of Social Network Service User's Motivation (소셜 네트워크 서비스 이용 동기의 다차원적 구조 및 영향관계)

  • Ock, Jung-Won
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.517-538
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to explore key factors that influence the intention of continuous use of social network service users in the online environment. Since the intention of continuous use is one of the most critical factors in the profit model of social network service, the findings of this study should be useful to the SNS firms. This study use the personal and network aspects as major behavior intention of that influence user's attachment to a social network service. The results are summarized as follows. First, use motivation in self-determination have effects on emotional attachment, information sharing intention, loyalty. The world's most leading social network services now, the social network service has developed very fast as a kind of new online service. During the past few years, the number of Twitter's registered users around the world has already exceeded 170 million. Not only have the United Sates, many countries around the world have also been hit by the wave of SNS, including those in Korea. Since the intention of continuous use is one of the most critical factors in the profit model of social network service, the findings of this study should be useful to the SNS firms. We need to continue the study of social network.

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Repeated Overlapping Coalition Game Model for Mobile Crowd Sensing Mechanism

  • Kim, Sungwook
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.3413-3430
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    • 2017
  • With the fast increasing popularity of mobile services, ubiquitous mobile devices with enhanced sensing capabilities collect and share local information towards a common goal. The recent Mobile Crowd Sensing (MCS) paradigm enables a broad range of mobile applications and undoubtedly revolutionizes many sectors of our life. A critical challenge for the MCS paradigm is to induce mobile devices to be workers providing sensing services. In this study, we examine the problem of sensing task assignment to maximize the overall performance in MCS system while ensuring reciprocal advantages among mobile devices. Based on the overlapping coalition game model, we propose a novel workload determination scheme for each individual device. The proposed scheme can effectively decompose the complex optimization problem and obtains an effective solution using the interactive learning process. Finally, we have conducted extensive simulations, and the results demonstrate that the proposed scheme achieves a fair tradeoff solution between the MCS performance and the profit of individual devices.

A Recursive Optimization/Simulation Procedure for Express Courier Service Network Design : Determination of Terminal Capacity and Cut-off Time (택배 네트워크 설계를 위한 최적화/시뮬레이션 반복기법 : 화물터미널 용량과 수주마감시간 결정)

  • Ko, Chang Seong;Lee, Hee Jeon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.282-289
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    • 2007
  • While demands for express couriers service are rapidly increasing due to recent progress of electronic commerce, express courier service companies are struggling to take a larger market share through ongoing improvement in their service processes. Cut-off time is the time limit that all orders delivered before the limit are guaranteed for the delivery within the very next day. Extending cut-off time for express service centers can provide the express company with increase of total sales, but it may also cause increasing the possibility not to satisfy customer needs due to work delay in the consolidation terminal. We develop a design model for express courier service network based on a recursive optimization/simulation procedure. With the optimization model, we seek key design parameters such as the cut-off time for express service centers and the capacity of the consolidation terminal maximizing total sales profit while satisfying the desired level of performances. With the simulation model, we consider the dynamic nature of the network and obtain relationships between the design parameters and the performance measures with the multiple linear regression. The validity of the model is examined with an example.