• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic environment

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Establishment of Service Life of Educational Facilities - Focused on the rooftop waterproofing and floor finishing -

  • Lee, KangHee;Chae, ChangU
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2014
  • Building has been deteriorated gradually owing to geographic, physical complex and other factors. School living condition has a key role to improve the learning ability, life attitude and qualifications to adopt to social life. Therefore, it is important for school environment to keep the living condition. Repair time and scope of school facilities are required to maintain the function and performance to plan the long term repair. But there are little information about the school maintenance such as repair time and function. In this paper, it aimed at providing the service life to suggest the repair time and scope in the roof-proofing and floor finishing which used the three estimation method in probabilistic approach. The service life has a key role to decide the repair time and to make the plan for the repair maintenance. Results of this study are as follows ; First, the 1st repair time were taken through three methods in probabilistic and deterministic functions to eliminate the estimation bias. Second, the service life is suggested 36 years of an elementary school, 34 years of a middle school and 41 years of a high school. Third, the service life of a floor finishing is 43 years of an elementary, 39 years of a middle school and 41 years of a high school. The above study could not include the detailed information about the materials and repair works. Therefore it needs a further study to reflect the detailed information and to make a repair strategy.

Layered Object Detection using Adaptive Gaussian Mixture Model in the Complex and Dynamic Environment (혼잡한 환경에서 적응적 가우시안 혼합 모델을 이용한 계층적 객체 검출)

  • Lee, Jin-Hyung;Cho, Seong-Won;Kim, Jae-Min;Chung, Sun-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.387-391
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    • 2008
  • For the detection of moving objects, background subtraction methods are widely used. In case the background has variation, we need to update the background in real-time for the reliable detection of foreground objects. Gaussian mixture model (GMM) combined with probabilistic learning is one of the most popular methods for the real-time update of the background. However, it does not work well in the complex and dynamic backgrounds with high traffic regions. In this paper, we propose a new method for modelling and updating more reliably the complex and dynamic backgrounds based on the probabilistic learning and the layered processing.

Preliminary Post-closure Safety Assessment of Disposal System for Disused Sealed Radioactive Source (폐밀봉선원 처분시스템 예비 폐쇄후 안전성평가)

  • Lee, Seunghee;Kim, Juyoul
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.33-48
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    • 2017
  • An optimum disposal plan of disused sealed radioactive sources (DSRSs) should be established to ensure long-term disposal safety at the low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste (LILW) disposal facility in Gyeongju. In this study, an optimum disposal system was suggested and preliminary post-closure safety assessment was performed. The DSRSs disposal system was composed of a rock cavern and near surface disposal facilities at the Gyeongju LILW disposal facility. The assessment was conducted using GoldSim program, and probabilistic assessment and sensitivity analysis were implemented to evaluate the uncertainties in the input parameters of natural barriers. Deterministic and probabilistic calculations indicated that the maximum dose was below the regulatory limits ($0.1mSvyr^{-1}$ for the normal scenario, $1mSvyr^{-1}$ for the well scenario). It was concluded that the DSRSs disposal system would maintain environmental safety over a long-time. Moreover, the partition coefficient of Np in host rock, Darcy velocity in host rock, and density of the host rock were the most sensitive parameters in predicting exposure dose in the safety assessment.

Micromechanical investigation for the probabilistic behavior of unsaturated concrete

  • Chen, Qing;Zhu, Zhiyuan;Liu, Fang;Li, Haoxin;Jiang, Zhengwu
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2020
  • There is an inherent randomness for concrete microstructure even with the same manufacturing process. Meanwhile, the concrete material under the aqueous environment is usually not fully saturated by water. This study aimed to develop a stochastic micromechanical framework to investigate the probabilistic behavior of the unsaturated concrete from microscale level. The material is represented as a multiphase composite composed of the water, the pores and the intrinsic concrete (made up by the mortar, the coarse aggregates and their interfaces). The differential scheme based two-level micromechanical homogenization scheme is presented to quantitatively predict the concrete's effective properties. By modeling the volume fractions and properties of the constituents as stochastic, we extend the deterministic framework to stochastic to incorporate the material's inherent randomness. Monte Carlo simulations are adopted to reach the different order moments of the effective properties. A distribution-free method is employed to get the unbiased probability density function based on the maximum entropy principle. Numerical examples including limited experimental validations, comparisons with existing micromechanical models, commonly used probability density functions and the direct Monte Carlo simulations indicate that the proposed models provide an accurate and computationally efficient framework in characterizing the material's effective properties. Finally, the effects of the saturation degrees and the pore shapes on the concrete macroscopic probabilistic behaviors are investigated based on our proposed stochastic micromechanical framework.

Probabilistic Production Cost Credit Evaluation of Wind Turbine Generators (풍력발전기의 확률론적 발전비용 절감기여도 평가)

  • Park, Jeong-Je;Wu, Liang;Choi, Jae-Seok;Cha, Jun-Min
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.312-314
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    • 2008
  • This paper develops an algorithm for probabilistic production cost credit evaluation of wind turbine generators (WTG) with multi-state. Renewable energy resources such as wind, wave, solar, micro hydro, tidal and biomass etc. are becoming importance stage by stage because of considering effect of the environment. Wind energy is one of the most successful sources of renewable energy for the production of electrical energy. Case study demonstrates that the wind speed credit in view point of economics can be assessed by using the proposed methodology.

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Top-down Behavior Planning for Real-life Simulation

  • Wei, Song;Cho, Kyung-Eun;Um, Ky-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.1714-1725
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    • 2007
  • This paper describes a top-down behavior planning framework in a simulation game from personality to real life action selection. The combined behavior creating system is formed by five levels of specification, which are personality definition, motivation extraction, emotion generation, decision making and action execution. Along with the data flowing process in our designed framework, NPC selects actions autonomously to adapt to the dynamic environment information resulting from active agents and human players. Furthermore, we illuminate applying Gaussian probabilistic distribution to realize character's behavior changeability like human performance. To elucidate the mechanism of the framework, we situated it in a restaurant simulation game.

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Underwater Acoustic Source Localization based on the Probabilistic Estimation of Direction Angle (확률적 방향각 추정에 기반한 수중 음원의 위치 인식 기법)

  • Choi, Jinwoo;Choi, Hyun-Taek
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.206-215
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    • 2014
  • Acoustic signal is crucial for the autonomous navigation of underwater vehicles. For this purpose, this paper presents a method of acoustic source localization. The proposed method is based on the probabilistic estimation of time delay of acoustic signals received by two hydrophones. Using Bayesian update process, the proposed method can provide reliable estimation of direction angle of the acoustic source. The acquired direction information is used to estimate the location of the acoustic source. By accumulating direction information from various vehicle locations, the acoustic source localization is achieved using extended Kalman filter. The proposed method can provide a reliable estimation of the direction and location of the acoustic source, even under for a noisy acoustic signal. Experimental results demonstrate the performance of the proposed acoustic source localization method in a real sea environment.

DETECTING LANDSLIDE LOCATION USING KOMSAT 1AND IT'S USING LANDSLIDE-SUSCEPTIBILITY MAPPING

  • Lee, Sa-Ro;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.840-843
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    • 2006
  • The aim of this study was to detect landslide using satellite image and apply the landslide to probabilistic landslide-susceptibility mapping at Gangneung area, Korea using a Geographic Information System (GIS). Landslide locations were identified by change detection technique of KOMSAT-1 (Korea Multipurpose Satellite) EOC (Electro Optical Camera) images and checked in field. For landslide-susceptibility mapping, maps of the topography, geology, soil, forest, lineaments, and land cover were constructed from the spatial data sets. Then, the sixteen factors that influence landslide occurrence were extracted from the database. Using the factors and detected landslide, the relationships were calculated using frequency ratio, one of the probabilistic model. Then, landslide-susceptibility map was drawn using the frequency ration and finally, the map was verified by comparing with existing landslide locations. As the verification result, the prediction accuracy showed 86.76%. The landslide-susceptibility map can be used to reduce hazards associated with landslides and to land cover planning.

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Probabilistic Risk Assessment System Model and Methods for Construction Projects (건설공사의 확률적 위험도분석 시스템 모형 및 해석방법)

  • 조효남;최현호;김윤배
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents probabilistic risk assessment system model and methods for general construction projects and demonstrates the applicability of the approach to a specific subway construction project. The proposed system model entitled Integrated Risk Assessment System(IRAS) for construction projects is composed of four steps, which is newly reorganized and improved in order to be easily adjusted for a systematic PRA of construction projects. Based on the proposed model, and integrated prototype software is then developing for computer-aided PRA of construction projects under the environment of the graphic-user interface, which will be successfully applied to construction projects.

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Estimation of Probability Distribution of Fatigue Lives in Crank Throw Forged Steel (크랭크스로 단조강의 피로수명의 확률분포 추정)

  • Kim, Seon-Jin;Ahn, Seok-Hwan
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2016
  • Because of the severe service environment of the large marine vessel, the fatigue strength and its evaluation play an important role in design and maintenance of marine crankshaft. The aim of this work is to investigate the probability distribution of fatigue lives in crank throw forged steel and to develop the methodology for estimation of the probabilistic design fatigue strength. Detailed studies were performed on the constant amplitude axial loading fatigue test. The experiments were controlled by stress ratio of -1 and 15Hz frequency for each stress level. The considerable variability of fatigue life was observed in each stress level under rigidly controlled constant fatigue testing conditions. The fatigue life of crank throw forged steel was well followed the log-normal and Weibull distribution. In addition, it can be used for the estimation of probabilistic design fatigue strength by using the proposed methodology.