• Title/Summary/Keyword: Priors

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Developing Noninformative Priors for Parallel-Line Bioassay

  • Kim, YeongHwa;Heo, JungEun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.401-410
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    • 2002
  • This paper revisits parallel-line bioassay problem, from a Bayesian point of view using noninformative priors such as Jeffreys' prior, reference priors, and probability matching priors. After finding the orthogonal transformation, the class of first order and second order probability matching priors are derived. Jeffreys' prior and reference priors are derived also. Numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness of noninformative priors.

NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS FOR LINEAR COMBINATION OF THE INDEPENDENT NORMAL MEANS

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.203-218
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we develop the matching priors and the reference priors for linear combination of the means under the normal populations with equal variances. We prove that the matching priors are actually the second order matching priors and reveal that the second order matching priors match alternative coverage probabilities up to the second order (Mukerjee and Reid, 1999) and also, are HPD matching priors. It turns out that among all of the reference priors, one-at-a-time reference prior satisfies a second order matching criterion. Our simulation study indicates that one-at-a-time reference prior performs better than the other reference priors in terms of matching the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense. We compute Bayesian credible intervals for linear combination of the means based on the reference priors.

Noninformative Priors for the Power Law Process

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers noninformative priors for the power law process under failure truncation. Jeffreys'priors as well as reference priors are found when one or both parameters are of interest. These priors are compared in the light of how accurately the coverage probabilities of Bayesian credible intervals match the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It is found that the reference priors have a definite edge over Jeffreys'prior in this respect.

Bayesian Estimation for the Reliability of a Multicomponent Stress-Strength System Using Noninformative Priors (비정보 사전분포를 이용한 다중 부품 부하-강도체계의 신뢰도에 대한 베이지안 추정)

  • 김병휘;장인홍
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.411-411
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    • 2000
  • Consider the problem of estimating the reliability of a multicomponent stress-strength system which functions if at least r of the k identical components simultaneously function. All stresses and strengths are assumed to be independent random variables with two parameter Weibull distributions. First, we derive reference priors and probability matching priors which are noninformative priors. We next investigate sufficient conditions for propriety of posteriors under reference priors and probability matching priors. Finally, we provide, using these priors, some numerical results for Bayes estimates of the reliability by applying Gibbs sampling technique.

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DEVELOPING NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS FOR THE FAMILIAL DATA

  • Heo, Jung-Eun;Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2007
  • This paper considers development of noninformative priors for the familial data when the families have equal number of offspring. Several noninformative priors including the widely used Jeffreys' prior as well as the different reference priors are derived. Also, a simultaneously-marginally-probability-matching prior is considered and probability matching priors are derived when the parameter of interest is inter- or intra-class correlation coefficient. The simulation study implemented by Gibbs sampler shows that two-group reference prior is slightly edge over the others in terms of coverage probability.

Reference priors for nonregular Pareto distribution

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.819-826
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the reference priors for the scale and shape parameters in the nonregular Pareto distribution. We derive the reference priors as noninformative priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general priors including reference priors in the order of inferential importance. Through the simulation study, we compare the reference priors with respect to coverage probabilities of parameter of interest in a frequentist sense.

A Bayesian Test for Simple Tree Ordered Alternative using Intrinsic Priors

  • Kim, Seong W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.73-92
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    • 1999
  • In Bayesian model selection or testing problems, one cannot utilize standard or default noninformative priors, since these priors are typically improper and are defined only up to arbitrary constants. The resulting Bayes factors are not well defined. A recently proposed model selection criterion, the intrinsic Bayes factor overcomes such problems by using a part of the sample as a training sample to get a proper posterior and then use the posterior as the prior for the remaining observations to compute the Bayes factor. Surprisingly, such Bayes factor can also be computed directly from the full sample by some proper priors, namely intrinsic priors. The present paper explains how to derive intrinsic priors for simple tree ordered exponential means. Some numerical results are also provided to support theoretical results and compare with classical methods.

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Noninformative Priors for the Intraclass Coefficient of a Symmetric Normal Distribution

  • Chang, In-Hong;Kim, Byung-Hwee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.15-19
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we develop the Jeffreys' prior, reference priors and the probability matching priors for the intraclass correlation coefficient of a symmetric normal distribution. We next verify propriety of posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. We examine whether reference priors satisfy the probability matching criterion.

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Noninformative priors for linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution

  • Lee, Woo Dong;Kim, Dal Ho;Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1091-1100
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    • 2016
  • This paper considers the noninformative priors for the linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution. The lognormal distribution is applied in the various areas, such as occupational health research, environmental science, monetary units, etc. The linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution includes the expectation, median and mode of the lognormal distribution. Thus we derive the probability matching priors and the reference priors for the linear function of parameters. Then we reveal that the derived reference priors do not satisfy a first order matching criterion. Under the general priors including the derived noninformative priors, we check the proper condition of the posterior distribution. Some numerical study under the developed priors is performed and real examples are illustrated.

Development of Matching Priors for P(X < Y) in Exprnential dlstributions

  • Lee, Gunhee
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.421-433
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, matching priors for P(X < Y) are investigated when both distributions are exponential distributions. Two recent approaches for finding noninformative priors are introduced. The first one is the verger and Bernardo's forward and backward reference priors that maximizes the expected Kullback-Liebler Divergence between posterior and prior density. The second one is the matching prior identified by matching the one sided posterior credible interval with the frequentist's desired confidence level. The general forms of the second- order matching prior are presented so that the one sided posterior credible intervals agree with the frequentist's desired confidence levels up to O(n$^{-1}$ ). The frequentist coverage probabilities of confidence sets based on several noninformative priors are compared for small sample sizes via the Monte-Carlo simulation.

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