• 제목/요약/키워드: Price Risk

검색결과 541건 처리시간 0.03초

국내 가계대출의 특징과 결정요인 분석: COVID-19를 중심으로 (Analysis of Characteristics and Determinants of Household Loans in Korea: Focusing on COVID-19)

  • 장진희;홍재범;최승두
    • 아태비즈니스연구
    • /
    • 제14권2호
    • /
    • pp.51-61
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose - Since COVID-19, the government's expansion of liquidity to stimulate the economy has resulted in an increase in private debt and an increase in asset prices of such as real estate and stocks. The recent sharp rise of the US Federal fund rate and tapering by the Fed have led to a fast rise in domestic interest rates, putting a heavy burden on the Korean economy, where the level of household debt is very high. Excessive household debt might have negative effects on the economy, such as shrinking consumption, economic recession, and deepening economic inequality. Therefore, now more than ever, it is necessary to identify the causes of the increase in household debt. Design/methodology/approach - Main methodology is regression analysis. Dependent variable is household loans from depository institutions. Independent variables are consumer price index, unemployment rate, household loan interest rate, housing sales price index, and composite stock price index. The sample periods are from 2017 to May 2022, comprising 72 months of data. The comparative analysis period before and after COVID-19 is from January 2017 to December 2019 for the pre-COVID-19 period, and from Jan 2020 to December 2022 for the post-COVID-19 period. Findings - Looking at the results of the regression analysis for the entire period, it was found that increases in the consumer price index, unemployment rate, and household loan interest rates decrease household loans, while increases in the housing sales price index increase household loans. Research implications or Originality - Household loans of depository institutions are mainly made up of high-credit and high-income borrowers with good repayment ability, so the risk of the financial system is low. As household loans are closely linked to the real estate market, the risk of household loan defaults may increase if real estate prices fall sharply.

해외 인터넷 쇼핑몰에서 패션상품을 직접 구매하는 소비자의 쇼핑 가치에 따른 위험 지각과 만족도 (Fashion shoppers' perceived risk and satisfaction at overseas online malls based on their internet shopping values)

  • 김용숙
    • 복식문화연구
    • /
    • 제24권1호
    • /
    • pp.41-53
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purposes of this study was to identify fashion shoppers' perceived risk and satisfaction while shopping at overseas online shopping malls based on their internet shopping values. A self-administered questionnaire was used for data collection and an internet survey was conducted from April 12~15, 2015. Most consumers purchased one or two fashion items at overseas online malls directly, motivated by low prices, and spent 200,000~400,000 won during the last one year. The factors of consumers' internet shopping values were information, hedonics, and practicality. Factors of perceived risk were delivery and refund, price and approval, and product and shopping mall. Consumers were divided into three categories: heavy pursuit shoppers, intermediate shoppers, and uninformed shoppers based on their internet shopping values. Heavy pursuit shoppers were primarily female; they spent more, felt a deeper patronage with overseas online shopping malls and their perceived risk regarding delivery and refund was higher than the other shoppers. The group of uninformed shoppers were primarily male. They spent less, had low patronage with overseas online shopping malls, and their perceived risk regarding delivery and refund was lower than other shoppers. Overall satisfaction was positively affected by information provided while shoppers were surfing the overseas online shopping malls and practicality. Satisfaction was negatively affected by perceived risk regarding price and approval and difficulty in finding specific products while shopping at overseas online shopping malls.

국제물품매매계약에서 위험과 위험이전에 관한 연구 - Incoterms 2010과 CISG를 중심으로 - (The Study on the Risk and Risk Transfer of the Incoterms in a Contracts for the International Sale of Goods - Based on the Revised Incoterms 2010 & CISG -)

  • 김동호
    • 무역상무연구
    • /
    • 제60권
    • /
    • pp.27-46
    • /
    • 2013
  • The Incoterms and United Nations Convention on Contract for the international Sales of Goods(CISG) allocate a risk in their articles. These rules make a decision that the parties who make a transaction are bound to bear the risk or damages of goods. Though a goods have a damages or loss during a transportation, buyer is liable for the payment of purchase price. In this case, this paper defines the meaning whether who can bear the risk under Incoterms and CISG. In the majority cases which deal between parties, after shipment or at the end of carriage, the loss or damages are found in buyer's hand. If a damages or loss is made during transit, customarily these risk are covered by insurance. Otherwise, these rules provide a tools for solving this problems. Then, between parties should be accomplished their target equitably.

  • PDF

명품브랜드의 가격인상시 구매의도에 관한 연구: 소비가치, 사전지식, 지각된 위험의 소비자특성별 차이를 중심으로 (The Study on Purchase Intention of Luxury Brand about Price Raising: Focus on Difference according to Consumer Characteristics of Consumption Value, Prior Knowledge, and Perceived Risk)

  • 김화동
    • 디지털융복합연구
    • /
    • 제10권11호
    • /
    • pp.295-306
    • /
    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 명품 브랜드관련 국내기업들의 차별적인 마케팅 활동방안 및 전략을 제시하는데 목적을 두고, 명품의 소비가치와 사전지식 및 지각된 위험 정도를 소비자의 특성변인으로 도입하여, 명품 브랜드가 가격을 인상할 때 소비자 특성별로 구매의도에 차이가 있는지를 규명하였다. 첫째, 소비가치에 따른 구매의도는 독특성 및 과시적 가치 추구집단과 품질 및 쾌락적 가치 추구집단에서는 긍정적 구매의도를 보이고 있는 반면에 사회적 가치 추구집단은 부정적 구매의도를 보이며 서로 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째. 지각된 위험에 따른 구매의도의 차이는 없는 상황에서 사전지식에 따른 구매의도는 사전지식이 높은 집단은 긍정적 구매의도를 보이고 있고 사전지식이 낮은 집단은 부정적 구매의도를 보이며 서로 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 소비자특성 변인들의 상호작용효과에 따른 분석결과, 독특성 및 과시적 가치를 추구하면서 사전지식이 높은 집단과 품질 및 쾌락적 가치를 추구하면서 지각된 위험이 높은 집단에서만 긍정적 구매의도를 보이고 있다. 이러한 결과는 명품브랜드의 소비가 과거와 달리 일반 소비자들로 확대되고 있는 시장상황에서 명품브랜드를 지향하는 국내기업들에게 제품 및 가격 전략을 타겟 특성에 따라 다르게 접근하는 것이 기존 명품브랜드들과의 차별화 및 시장확대를 위한 효과적인 방안이라는 사실을 시사하고 있다.

담배 가격인상이 흡연률과 흡연귀속사망에 미칠 영향에 대한 연구 -대도시 일부 사무직 근로자를 대상으로- (A Study on The Effect of The Tobacco Price Raise on The Smoking Rate and Smoking Attributable Death)

  • 강종원;김정순
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • 제30권4호
    • /
    • pp.697-707
    • /
    • 1997
  • 본 연구에서는 대도시 일부 사무직 근로자를 대상으로 흡연에 관한 설문조사를 통해 흡연률, 과거흡연률, 가격변동시 예상흡연률과 그에 따른 흡연의 귀속 사망수 감소 기대수를 조사, 분석하였다. 그 결과는 다음과 같았다. 1. 대도시 지역 남성 사무직 근로자의 흡연률은 59.5%였고 과거흡연률은 28.8%였으며, 과거흡연자를 제외하고 흡연률을 산출할 경우 흡연률은 67.4%였다. 2. 남성흡연자중 담배의 가격과 무관하게 금연할 의사가 있다고 응답한 사람의 분율은 55.3%였고, 담배의 가격이 4배 이상 인상될 경우 금연하겠다고 응답한 사람의 분율은 61.5%로서 반수 이상의 흡연자가 금연하겠다는 의사를 가지고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 3. 남성 흡연자의 흡연시작연령은 반수 이상(62.3%) 만 20세 미만으로, 미성년자 시기에 흡연을 시작하는 경우가 많았다. 4. 담배의 가격인상폭을 크게 할수록 금연 의사가 있는 사람의 비율이 늘어서, 4배이상 가격을 인상할 경우 예상 흡연률이 26.7%였다. 매년 20%씩 담배의 가격이 오를 경우 예상 흡연률은 46.2%였다. 5. 남성을 대상으로 흡연과 관련이 깊은 주요 8개 질환군(폐암, 위암, 췌장암, 후두암, 식도암, 뇌혈관질환, 허헐성심질환, 만성폐쇄성폐질환)의 귀속위험을 추산한 결과 매년 25,863명이 흡연에 기인해서 사망하는 것으로 추산되었다. 이는 20세 이상 총 남성 사인 분류가능 사망수 128,875명의 20.1%이다. 6. 담배의 가격인상시 기대되는 흡연률을 적용하여 계산한 결과 담뱃값을 4배 이상 올렸을 때 금연 실천률을 100%로 가정했을 때 귀속위험은 13,527명으로서 매년 홉연으로 인한 사망의 47.7%인 12,336명의 사망을 줄일 수 있는 것으로 추산되었다. 7. 담배의 가격인상시 금연하도록 동기부여가 되는 사람중에서 실제로 금연하는 사람의 비율을 10%, 25%, 50%로 가정했을 때, 기대 사망수 감소는 가격을 4배 이상 인상했을 때 각각 1,112명, 3,483명, 5,796명 이었다.

  • PDF

인터넷쇼핑 및 TV홈쇼핑 위험지각에 따른 의복쇼핑성향, 구매의도, 구매행동 (The internet and TV home-shopping perceived risk segments: Shopping orientations, purchase intention, and purchase behavior)

  • 황진숙;정정현
    • 한국의류학회지
    • /
    • 제29권5호
    • /
    • pp.637-648
    • /
    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the differences among internet and TV home-shopping perceived risk segments in regard to clothing shopping orientations and purchase intention. The subjects used for the study were 290 female consumers aged from 20 to 40 living in Seoul. The study used factor analysis, cluster analysis, ANOVA, Duncan test, and $\chi^2-test$. The results showed that the Internet and TV home-shopping perceived risks consisted of 9 factors: Products uncertainty risk, Internet shopping mall trust risk, account-related risk, delivery risk, social risk, size risk, exchange/return risk, TV watching-related risk, and price risk. The cluster analysis showed that there were five groups segmented: Size risk/TV watching risk group, Social risk/Internet trust risk group, Return risk/TV watching low-risk group, Delivery risk/product trust group, and Product risk group. The clothing shopping orientations were classified by 5 factors: Planned shopping, pleasure shopping, sales/fashion oriented shopping, time saving shopping, and credit card preference/in-store oriented shopping. The results showed that the five segmented perceived risk groups differed in regard to clothing shopping orientations, purchase intention, and demographics. Further group differences and implications of the results were discussed.

서울지역 패밀리레스토랑의 서비스마케팅믹스(7Ps)성과가 고객의 구매위험인지에 미치는 영향 (Influence of Service Marketing-Mix(7Ps) on Consumers' Risk Perception of Eating at Family Restaurants in Seoul)

  • 윤태환
    • 한국식품조리과학회지
    • /
    • 제26권5호
    • /
    • pp.511-520
    • /
    • 2010
  • The purpose of this article was to study how the 7Ps influence consumers' risk perception of eating at family restaurants in Seoul. In this study, frequency analysis, reliability analysis, factor analysis and path analysis (SEM) of the data were performed. First, reliability analysis confirmed that the 7Ps performance and risk data could be used in this investigation. Path analysis showed that the 7Ps significantly influenced customers' risk perception of eating at restaurants in Seoul. According to the results, product negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.05) and financial risk (p<0.001); price negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.001), financial risk (p<0.001), and time risk (p<0.01); place negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.01) and time risk (p<0.001); promotion negatively influenced financial risk (p<0.05) and time risk (p<0.001); process negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.001) and time risk (p<0.001); physical evidence negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.05) and financial risk (p<0.001); and people negatively influenced performance risk (p<0.05), financial risk (p<0.001), and time risk (p<0.001). As a result, we confirmed that 7Ps were an effective marketing tactic for reducing consumers' risk perception of eating at restaurants. Therefore, family restaurant companies are recommended to administer the 7Ps without additional cost.

A New Measure of Asset Pricing: Friction-Adjusted Three-Factor Model

  • NURHAYATI, Immas;ENDRI, Endri
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권12호
    • /
    • pp.605-613
    • /
    • 2020
  • In unfrictionless markets, one measure of asset pricing is its height of friction. This study develops a three-factor model by loosening the assumptions about stocks without friction, without risk, and perfectly liquid. Friction is used as an indicator of transaction costs to be included in the model as a variable that will reduce individual profits. This approach is used to estimate return, beta and other variable for firms listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX). To test the efficacy of friction-adjusted three-factor model, we use intraday data from July 2016 to October 2018. The sample includes all listed firms; intraday data chosen purposively from regular market are sorted by capitalization, which represents each tick size from the biggest to smallest. We run 3,065,835 intraday data of asking price, bid price, and trading price to get proportional quoted half-spread and proportional effective half-spread. We find evidence of adjusted friction on the three-factor model. High/low trading friction will cause a significant/insignificant return difference before and after adjustment. The difference in average beta that reflects market risk is able to explain the existence of trading friction, while the difference between SMB and HML in all observation periods cannot explain returns and the existence of trading friction.

동적 계획법을 이용한 LNG 현물시장에서의 포트폴리오 구성방법 (Optimal LNG Procurement Policy in a Spot Market Using Dynamic Programming)

  • 류종현
    • 대한산업공학회지
    • /
    • 제41권3호
    • /
    • pp.259-266
    • /
    • 2015
  • Among many energy resources, natural gas has recently received a remarkable amount of attention, particularly from the electrical generation industry. This is in part due to increasing shale gas production, providing an environment-friendly fossil fuel, and high risk of nuclear power. Because South Korea, the world's second largest LNG importing nation after Japan, has no international natural gas pipelines and relies on imports in the form of LNG, the natural gas has been traditionally procured by long term LNG contracts at relatively high price. Thus, there is a need of developing an Asian LNG trading hub, where LNG can be traded at more competitive spot prices. In a natural gas spot market, the amount of natural gas to be bought should be carefully determined considering a limited storage capacity and future pricing dynamics. In this work, the problem to find the optimal amount of natural gas in a spot market is formulated as a Markov decision process (MDP) in risk neutral environment and the optimal base stock policy which depends on a stage and price is established. Taking into account price and demand uncertainties, the basestock target levels are simply approximated from dynamic programming. The simulation results show that the basestock policy can be one of effective ways for procurement of LNG in a spot market.

A Framework for Guaranteed Maximum Price and Contingency Development for Integrated Delivery of Transportation Projects

  • Gransberg, Douglas D.;Shane, Jennifer S.;Ahn, Jun-Yong
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
    • /
    • 제1권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper discusses the components of a guaranteed maximum price (GMP) and proposes a framework for the development of GMPs as contract payment provisions for construction manager-at-risk (CMR) and design-build (DB) contracts for transportation projects. The framework is the synthesis of a comprehensive literature review, a content analysis of CMR and DB solicitation documents and contracts, and case study project output from twelve projects in nine states worth $3.1 billion. The research also discusses the development of three common types of contingencies that are often utilized in projects with GMPs. The study concludes that owners should specify the structure of the GMP and its components to enhance clarity and understanding of the GMP's composition. It recommends that this structure be included in the CMR and DB solicitation documents so that pricing proposals can be formulated in a manner that is consistent with the contract payment provisions that will be useful to practitioners that need to implement GMP-based contracts.