• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive Power

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Novel Predictive Maximum Power Point Tracking Techniques for Photovoltaic Applications

  • Abdel-Rahim, Omar;Funato, Hirohito;Haruna, Junnosuke
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 2016
  • This paper offers two Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) systems for Photovoltaic (PV) applications. The first MPPT method is based on a fixed frequency Model Predictive Control (MPC). The second MPPT technique is based on the Predictive Hysteresis Control (PHC). An experimental demonstration shows that the proposed techniques are fast, accurate and robust in tracking the maximum power under different environmental conditions. A DC/DC converter with a high voltage gain is obligatory to track PV applications at the maximum power and to boost a low voltage to a higher voltage level. For this purpose, a high gain Switched Inductor Quadratic Boost Converter (SIQBC) for PV applications is presented in this paper. The proposed converter has a higher gain than the other transformerless topologies in the literature. It is shown that at a high gain the proposed SIQBC has moderate efficiency.

Performance Improvement of Model Predictive Control Using Control Error Compensation for Power Electronic Converters Based on the Lyapunov Function

  • Du, Guiping;Liu, Zhifei;Du, Fada;Li, Jiajian
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.983-990
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a model predictive control based on the discrete Lyapunov function to improve the performance of power electronic converters. The proposed control technique, based on the finite control set model predictive control (FCS-MPC), defines a cost function for the control law which is determined under the Lyapunov stability theorem with a control error compensation. The steady state and dynamic performance of the proposed control strategy has been tested under a single phase AC/DC voltage source rectifier (S-VSR). Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed control strategy not only offers global stability and good robustness but also leads to a high quality sinusoidal current with a reasonably low total harmonic distortion (THD) and a fast dynamic response under linear loads.

Predictive Maintenance Plan based on Vibration Monitoring of Nuclear Power Plants using Industry 4.0 (4차 산업기술을 활용한 원전설비 진동감시기반 예측정비 방안)

  • Do-young Ko
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.6-10
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    • 2023
  • Only about 10% of selected equipment in nuclear power plants are monitored by wiring to address failures or problems caused by vibration. The purpose is primarily for preventive maintenance, not for predictive maintenance. This paper shows that vibration monitoring and diagnosis using Industrial 4.0 enables the complete predictive maintenance for all vibrating equipments in nuclear power plants with the convergence of internet of things; wireless technology, big data through periodic collection and artificial intelligence. Predictive maintenance using wireless technology is possible in all areas of nuclear power plants and in all systems, but it should satisfy regulatory guides on electromagnetic interference and cyber security.

Controls Methods Review of Single-Phase Boost PFC Converter : Average Current Mode Control, Predictive Current Mode Control, and Model Based Predictive Current Control

  • Hyeon-Joon Ko;Yeong-Jun Choi
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 2023
  • For boost PFC (Power Factor Correction) converters, various control methods are being studied to achieve unity power factor and low THD (Total Harmonic Distortion) of AC input current. Among them, average current mode control, which controls the average value of the inductor current to follow the current reference, is the most widely used. However, nowadays, as advanced digital control becomes possible with the development of digital processors, predictive control of boost PFC converters is receiving attention. Predictive control is classified into predictive current mode control, which generates duty in advance using a predictive algorithm, and model predictive current control, which performs switching operations by selecting a cost function based on a model. Therefore, this paper simply explains the average current mode control, predictive current mode control, and model predictive current control of the boost PFC converter. In addition, current control under entire load and disturbance conditions is compared and analyzed through simulation.

A Novel Predictive Digital Controlled Sensorless PFC Converter under the Boundary Conduction Mode

  • Wang, Jizhe;Maruta, Hidenori;Matsunaga, Motoshi;Kurokawa, Fujio
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents a novel predictive digital control method for boundary conduction mode PFC converters without the need for detecting the inductor current. In the proposed method, the inductor current is predicted by analytical equations instead of being detected by a sensing-resistor. The predicted zero-crossing point of the inductor current is determined by the values of the input voltage, output voltage and predicted inductor current. Importantly, the prediction of zero-crossing point is achieved in just a single switching cycle. Therefore, the errors in predictive calculation caused by parameter variations can be compensated. The prediction of the zero-crossing point with the proposed method has been shown to have good accuracy. The proposed method also shows high stability towards variations in both the inductance and output power. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed predictive digital control method for PFC converters.

Empirical Analysis of 3 Statistical Models of Hospital Bankruptcy in Korea (병원도산 예측모형의 실증적 비교연구)

  • 이무식;서영준;양동현
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to investigate the predictors of hospital bankruptcy in Korea and to examine the predictive power for 3 types of statistical models of hospital bankruptcy. Data on 17 financial and 4 non-financial indicators of 30 bankrupt and 30 profitable hospitals in 1. 2, and 3 years before bankruptcy were obtained from the hospital performance databank of Korea Institute of Health Services Management. Significant variables were identified through mean comparison of each indicator between bankrupt and profitable hospitals, and the predictive power of statistical models of hospital bankruptcy were compared. The major findings are as follows. 1. Nine out of 21 indicators - fixed ratio, quick ratio, operating profit to total assets, operating profit to gross revenue, normal profit to total assets,normal profit to gross revenue, net profit to gross revenue, inventories turnrounds, and added value per adjusted patient - were found to be significantly predictitive variables in Logit and Probit models. 2. The predicdtive power of discriminant model of hospital bankruptcy in 1. 2, and 3 years before bankruptcy were 85.4, 79.0, and 83.8% respectively. With regard to the predictive power of the Logit model of hospital bankruptcy, they were 82.3, 75.8, and 80.6% respectively, and of the Probit model. 87.1. 80.6, and 88.7% respectively. 3. The predictive power of the Probit model of hospital bankruptcy is better than the other two predictive models.

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A Kalman Filter based Predictive Direct Power Control Scheme to Mitigate Source Voltage Distortions in PWM Rectifiers

  • Moon, Un-chul;Kim, Soo-eon;Chan, Roh;Kwak, Sangshin
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.190-199
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, a predictive direct power control (DPC) method based on a Kalman filter is presented for three-phase pulse-width modulation (PWM) rectifiers to improve the performance of rectifiers with source voltages that are distorted with harmonic components. This method can eliminate the most significant harmonic components of the source voltage using a Kalman filter algorithm. In the process of predicting the future real and reactive power to select an optimal voltage vector in the predictive DPC, the proposed method utilizes source voltages filtered by a Kalman filter, which can mitigate the adverse effects of distorted source voltages on control performance. As a result, the quality of the source currents synthesized using the PWM rectifier is improved, and the total harmonic distortion (THD) values are reduced, even under distorted source voltages.

A Comparison of Predictive Power among SSP Scenarios of Oyster Aquaculture Production (SSP 시나리오별 굴 양식 생산량 예측력 비교)

  • Min-Gyeong Jeong;Jong-Oh Nam
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2023
  • Climate change is a major global problem. Oysters, one of the most representative farmed fish in Korea, are attracting attention as candidates for blue carbon, an alternative to carbon neutrality. This study is analyzed by the SSP scenarios to determine the impact of oyster aquaculture production according to climate change. Based on the analysis, future productions of oysters are predicted by the SSP scenario. Significant differences by the SSP scenario are confirmed through predictive power tests among scenarios. Regression analysis was conducted from January 2001 to December 2014. As a result of the analysis, water temperature, water temperature quadratic term, salinity, salinity quadratic term, and month × water temperature cross term were estimated as significant variables. Oyster production which is predicted by the SSP scenario based on the significant variables from 2015 to 2022 was compared with actual production. The model with the highest predictive power was selected by RMSE and MAPE criteria. The predictive power was compared with the MDM test to determine which model was superior. As a result, based on RMSE and MAPE, the SSP1-2.6 scenario was selected as the best model and the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP3-7.0 scenarios all showed the same predictive power based on the MDM test. In conculusion, this study predicted oyster aquaculture production by 2030, not the distant future, due to the short duration of the analytical model. This study was found that oyster aquaculture production increased in all scenarios and there was no significant difference in predictive power by the SSP scenario.

Competition between Online Stock Message Boards in Predictive Power: Focused on Multiple Online Stock Message Boards

  • Kim, Hyun Mo;Park, Jae Hong
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.526-541
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    • 2016
  • This research aims to examine the predictive power of multiple online stock message boards, namely, NAVER Finance and PAXNET, which are the most popular stock message boards in South Korea, in stock market activities. If predictive power exists, we then compare the predictive power of multiple online stock message boards. To accomplish the research purpose, we constructed a panel data set with close price, volatility, Spell out acronyms at first mention.PER, and number of posts in 40 companies in three months, and conducted a panel vector auto-regression analysis. The analysis results showed that the number of posts could predict stock market activities. In NAVER Finance, previous number of posts positively influenced volatility on the day. In PAXNET, previous number of posts positively influenced close price, volatility, and PER on the day. Second, we confirmed a difference in the prediction power for stock market activities between multiple online stock message boards. This research is limited by the fact that it only considered 40 companies and three stock market activities. Nevertheless, we found correlation between online stock message board and stock market activities and provided practical implications. We suggest that investors need to focus on specific online message boards to find interesting stock market activities.

Design of Model Predictive Controller for Water Level control in the Steam Generator of a nuclear Power Plants (증기 발생기 수위제어를 위한 모델예측제어기 설계)

  • 손덕현;이창구
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.376-383
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    • 2001
  • Factors leading to poor control of the steam generator in a nuclear power plant are nonminimum phase characteristics, unreliable of flow measurements and nonlinear characteristics, which increase more at low power(below 20%) operation. And the study of problems for water level control in the steam generator is that design water level controller only power renge, not entire. This paper introduces a model predictive control(MPC) algorithm for solving poor control factors and quadratic programming(QP) for solving input constraints. Also presents the design method of stable model predictive controller in the entire power range. The simulation results show the efficiency of proposed MPC controller by comparing with PI controller, and effect of the design parameters.

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