• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
• /
• v.43 no.4
• /
• pp.97-105
• /
• 2001

The ultrasonic pulse velocity test has a strong potential to be developed into a very useful and relatively inexpensive in-place test for assuring the quality of concrete placed in structure. The main problem in realizing this potential is that the relationship between compressive strength ad ultrasonic pulse velocity is uncertain and concrete is an inherently variable material. The objective of this study is to improve the reliability of in-place concrete strength predictions by ultrasonic pulse velocity method. Experimental cement content, s/a rate, and curing condition of concrete. Accuracy of the prediction expressed in empirical formula are examined by multiple regression analysis and linear regression analysis and practical equation for estimation the concrete strength are proposed. Multiple regression model uses water-cement ratio cement content s/a rate, and pulse velocity as dependent variables and the compressive strength as an independent variable. Also linear regression model is used to only pulse velocity as dependent variables. Comparing the results of the analysis the proposed equation expressed highest reliability than other previous proposed equations.

• Water Engineering Research
• /
• v.4 no.2
• /
• pp.59-68
• /
• 2003

The applicabilities and validities of two methodologies fur the prediction of THM (trihalomethane) formation in a water pipeline system were proposed and discussed. One is the multiple regression technique and the other is an artificial neural network technique. There are many factors which influence water quality, especially THMs formations in water pipeline systems. In this study, the prediction models of THM formation in water pipeline systems are developed based on the independent variables proposed by American Water Works Association(AWWA). Multiple linear/nonlinear regression models are estimated and three layer feed-forward artificial neural networks have been used to predict the THM formation in a water pipeline system. Input parameters of the models consist of organic compounds measured in water pipeline systems such as TOC, DOC and UV254. Also, the reaction time to each measuring site along pipeline is used as input parameter calculated by a hydraulic analysis. Using these variables as model parameters, four models are developed. And the predicted results from the four developed models are compared statistically to the measured THMs data set. It is shown that the artificial neural network approaches are much superior to the conventional regression approaches and that the developed models by neural network can be used more efficiently and reproduce more accurately the THMs formation in water pipeline systems, than the conventional regression methods proposed by AWWA.

• IE interfaces
• /
• v.23 no.3
• /
• pp.229-238
• /
• 2010

Virtual metrology (VM), a critical component of semiconductor manufacturing, is an efficient way of assessing the quality of wafers not actually measured. This is done based on a model between equipment sensor data (obtained for all wafers) and the quality characteristics of wafers actually measured. This paper considers principal component regression (PCR), partial least squares regression (PLSR), kernel PCR (KPCR), and kernel PLSR (KPLSR) as VM models. For each regression model, two cases are considered. One utilizes all explanatory variables in developing a model, and the other selects significant variables using the genetic algorithm (GA). The prediction performances of 8 regression models are compared for the short- and long-term etch process data. It is found among others that the GA-KPLSR model performs best for both types of data. Especially, its prediction ability is within the requirement for the short-term data implying that it can be used to implement VM for real etch processes.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
• /
• v.7 no.2
• /
• pp.21-30
• /
• 2011

The contractor management for the effective defense project is essential factor in the modern defense acquisition project. The occurrence of Improper Businessman causes the reason in which defense acquisition project is unable to be reasonably fulfilled and setback to the deployment of defense weapon system. In this paper, we develop a prediction model for the effective defense project by using the Discriminant Analysis, the Logistic Regression & Artificial Neural Network and analyse the core variables that determine the Improper Businessman in many variables. It is expected that our model can be used to improve the project management capability of defense acquisition and contribute to the establishment of efficient procurement procedure through entry of the reliable domestic manufacturer.

• Fire Science and Engineering
• /
• v.3 no.2
• /
• pp.11-19
• /
• 1989

In this study, the independent variables are the floor plan configulation. The dependent variables are the occupant's egress behavior, especially spatial movement pattern, and life - safety performance of building. Fire events were simulated on single story of office building. Simulation run for allowable secaping thime(180 seconds) arbitrarily selected, and involved 48 occupants. The major findings Pre as follows. 1) Computer simulation model suggested in this study can be used as the Preoccupancy evaluation method of the life-safety performance for architectural design based on prediction of occupants' egress behavior in the levels of validity and sensitivity, 2) Sucess or failure in occupants' escape is determined by decreasing walking speed caused by jamming at exits or over crowded corridor, and increasing route length caused by running about in confusion at each subdivision and corridor. 3) In floor plan configuration which safe areas located at the extreme ends of the corridor, cellular floor planning have to be avoided preventing jamming and running about in confusion at overcrowded corridor.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
• /
• v.14 no.3
• /
• pp.467-473
• /
• 2011

The contractor management for the effective defense project is essential factor in the modern defense acquisition task. The occurrence of unlawful company causes hastiness for project manager and setback to the deployment of defense weapon system. In this paper, we develop a prediction model for the effective defense project by using the discriminant analysis and analyse the variables that discriminate the unlawful company in many variables. It is expected that our model can be used to improve the project management capability of defense acquisition and contribute to the establishment of efficient procurement procedure through entry of the reliable defense manufacturer.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
• /
• v.14 no.6
• /
• pp.1235-1240
• /
• 2019

It is well known that the ground water level changes rapidly before and after the earthquake, and the variation of ground water level prediction is used to predict the earthquake. In this paper, we predict the ground water level in Miryang City using ANFIS algorithm for earthquake prediction. For this purpose, this paper used precipitation and temperature acquired from National Weather Service and data of underground water level from Rural Groundwater Observation Network of Korea Rural Community Corporation which is installed in Miryang city, Gyeongsangnam-do. We measure the prediction accuracy using RMSE and MAPE calculation methods. As a result of the prediction, the periodic pattern was predicted by natural factors, but the change value of ground water level was changed by other variables such as artificial factors that was not detected. To solve this problem, it is necessary to digitize the ground water level by numerically quantifying artificial variables, and to measure the precipitation and pressure according to the exact location of the observation ball measuring the ground water level.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.21 no.6
• /
• pp.1137-1146
• /
• 2010

There are a lot of methods to predict the result of a game and many forecasting researches have been studied. Among many methods, if a statistical model including some realistic random variables is used to forecast, more accurate prediction could be expected than any others. In this work, Bradley-Terry model is considered to predict results of 2010 South Africa World Cup games via paired comparison method. This prediction model includes some random variables which affect the results of games. The worth parameters for each country in this model are convergence values obtained by using Newton-Raphson algorithm. With this model, we can forecast top 16 among 32 countries and up to who will win the victory. Final results of 2010 South Africa World Cup games are compared with this prediction and discuss further works.

• Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
• /
• v.10 no.2
• /
• pp.142-148
• /
• 2005

This paper proposes a cell age model for Penicillium chrysogenum fed-batch cultivation to supply a qualitative insight into morphology-associated dynamics. The average ages of the segregated cell populations, such as growing cells, non-growing cells and intact productive cells, were estimated by this model. A combined model was obtained by incorporating the aver-age ages of the cell sub-populations into a known but modified segregated kinetic model from literature. For simulations, no additional effort was needed for parameter identification since the cell age model has no internal parameters. Validation of the combined model was per-formed by 20 charges of industrial-scale penicillin cultivation. Meanwhile, only two charge-dependent parameters were required in the combined model among approximately 20 parameters in total. The model is thus easily transformed into an adaptive model for a further application in on-line state variables prediction and optimal scheduling.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.19 no.2
• /
• pp.609-620
• /
• 2008

There may be several parallel equipments having the same function in a multi-stage manufacturing process, which affect the product quality differently and have significant differences in defect rate. The product quality may depend on what equipments it has been processed as well as what process variable values it has. Applying one model ignoring the presence of different equipments may distort the prediction of defect rate and the identification of important quality variables affecting the defect rate. We propose a procedure for data segmentation when constructing models for predicting the defect rate or for identifying major process variables influencing product quality. The proposed procedure is based on the principal component analysis and the analysis of variance, which demonstrates a better performance in predicting defect rate through a case study with a PDP manufacturing process.