• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction of Failure time

검색결과 306건 처리시간 0.039초

디지털 보호계전기의 신뢰도 분석 (Reliability Prediction of Digital Protection Relay)

  • 송인준;안용호;양귀장;전광식
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.377-378
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    • 2008
  • 한전에서는 계통보호 설비의 신뢰도 확보를 위해 디지털 보호설비 사용을 확대하고 있으며, 이에 따른 합리적인 보호설비 교체기준을 설정하려고 한다. 본 논문에서는 디지털 보호계전기의 교체기준 설정을 위해 디지털 보호 계전기(Digital Distance Relay)와 구성모듈에 대한 고장률(Failure rate)과 평균수명(Mean Time between Failures, MTBF), 그리고 시간에 따른 신뢰도를 분석하였다. 수명예측방법은 MIL-HDBK-217F, Notice 2의 부품스트레스분석방법(Part Stress Analysis Method) 사용하였다.

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공작기계 핵심부품의 신뢰성 평가 ${\cdot}$ 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study of Reliability Evaluation and Analysis for Core Units of Machine Tools)

  • 이승우;송준엽;이화기
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.41-58
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    • 2003
  • Recently, the reliability evaluation and analysis are applied for many industrial products, and many products are required to guarantee in quality and in efficiency. The purpose of this paper is to present some of reliability prediction methodologies that are applicable to machine tools. Especially ATC (Automatic Tool Changer) and Interface Card of PC-NC, which are core components of the machine tools, were chosen as the target of the reliability evaluation and analysis. The results of this research has shown the failure rate, MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure), and reliability for those components. It is expected that proposed methodologies will be applicable to evaluation of reliability for other industrial products.

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Reliability analysis of repairable k-out-n system from time response under several times stochastic shocks

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Tao, Wenliang;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.559-567
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    • 2014
  • The model of unit dynamic reliability of repairable k/n (G) system with unit strength degradation under repeated random shocks has been developed according to the stress-strength interference theory. The unit failure number is obtained based on the unit failure probability which can be computed from the unit dynamic reliability. Then, the transfer probability function of the repairable k/n (G) system is given by its Markov property. Once the transfer probability function has been obtained, the probability density matrix and the steady-state probabilities of the system can be retrieved. Finally, the dynamic reliability of the repairable k/n (G) system is obtained by solving the differential equations. It is illustrated that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonable prediction which conforms to the engineering practice.

전자부품 고무소재 신뢰성 설계기술 (Reliability Design Technology of Rubber Materials for Electronic Components)

  • 우창수;박현성;최성신
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회A
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    • pp.1734-1739
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    • 2007
  • The materials characteristics and lifetime evaluation are very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability of rubber components. This paper discusses the failure mechanism and material test were carried out to predict the useful life of NBR and EPDM rubber mount for compression motor which is used in refrigerator. In order to investigate the heat-aging effects on the materials properties, stress-strain curve were obtained from the results of material tests. Compression set results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of useful life and the time were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot.

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Virtual Qualification을 통한 자동차용 전장부품의 수명 평가 (Life Assessment of Automotive Electronic Part using Virtual Qualification)

  • 이해진;이정윤;오재응
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2005년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.143-146
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    • 2005
  • In modern automotive control modules, mechanical failures of surface mounted electronic components such as microprocessors, crystals, capacitors, transformers, inductors, and ball grid array packages, etc., are mai or roadblocks to design cycle time and product reliability. This paper presents a general methodology of failure analysis and fatigue prediction of these electronic components under automotive vibration environments. Mechanical performance of these packages is studied through finite element modeling approach fur given vibration environments in automotive application. Using the results of vibration simulation, fatigue lift is predicted based on cumulative damage analysis and material durability information. Detailed model of solder/lead joints is built to correlate the system level model and obtain solder strains/stresses. The primary focus in this paper is on surface-mount interconnect fatigue failures and the critical component selected for this analysis is 80 pin plastic leaded microprocessor.

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지능형 디지탈 보호계전 알고리즘 연구 (Study of an algorithm for intelligent digital protective relaying)

  • 신현익;이성환;강신준;김정한;김상철
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1996년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); 포항공과대학교, 포항; 24-26 Oct. 1996
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    • pp.343-346
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    • 1996
  • A new method for on-line induction motor fault detection is presented in this paper. This system utilizes unsupervised-learning clustering algorithm, the Dignet, proposed by Thomopoulos etc., to learn the spectral characteristics of a good motor operating on-line. After a sufficient training period, the Dignet signals one-phase ground fault, or a potential failure condition when a new cluster is formed and persists for some time. Since a fault condition is found by comparison to a prior condition of the machine, on-line failure prediction is possible with this system without requiring information on the motor of load characteristics.

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베이지안 추정법에 의한 소자의 수명 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Lifetime Prediction of Device by the Method of Bayesian Estimate)

  • 오종환;오영환
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제19권8호
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    • pp.1446-1452
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    • 1994
  • 본 논문은 일반적으로 채택하고 있는 소자(device)의 수명분포인 와이블(Weibull) 분포를 적용하여 소자의 가속(accelerated) 수명 테스트에서 얻은 데이터, 즉 소자의 고정 시간을 이용하여 소자의 수명을 예측(prediction)하는데 필요한 보수(parameter)들을 추정 하는데 베이지안(Bayesian) 추정법을 이용하였다. 베이지안 추정법에서 모수를 추정하기 위해서는 사전정보가 있어야 하는데 본 논문에서는 사전정보 없이 현재의 정보만을 이용하여 모수를 추정하는 방법을 제안하였다. 스트레스가 온도인 경우, Arrhenius 모델을 적용하여 소자의 정상동작 상태에서의 수명을 예측 하는데 선형 추정을 하였다.

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알루미늄 5083의 피로균열 진전에 따른 수명예측 및 비파괴평가 (Life Prediction of Fatigue Crack Propagation and Nondestructive Evaluation in 5083 Aluminum Alloy)

  • 남기우
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.94-98
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    • 2001
  • fatigue life and nondestructive evaluation were examined experimentally using surface crack specimen and compact tension specimen of 5083 aluminium alloy. Acoustic emission signals emanated during failure of aluminum alloys has been the subject of numerous investigations. Possible sources of AE during deformation have been suggested as the dislocations, fracture of brittle particles and debonding of these particles from the alloy matrix. Fatigue life and penetration behavior of long surface crack can be evaluated quantitatively using K values proposed by authors. The influence of stress ratio on the frequency characteristics of AE signals were investigated.

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Prediction of earthquake-induced crest settlement of embankment dams using gene expression programming

  • Evren, Seyrek;Sadettin, Topcu
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.637-651
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    • 2022
  • The seismic design of embankment dams requires more comprehensive studies to understand the behaviour of dams. Deformations primarily control this behaviour occur during or after earthquake loading. Dam failures and incidents show that the impacts of deformations should be reviewed for existing and new embankment dams. Overtopping erosion failure can occur if crest deformations exceed the freeboard at the time of the deformations. Therefore, crest settlement is one of the most critical deformations. This study developed empirical formulas using Gene Expression Programming (GEP) based on 88 cases. In the analyses, dam height (Hd), alluvium thickness (Ha), the magnitude-acceleration-factor (MAF) values developed based on earthquake magnitude (Mw) and peak ground acceleration (PGA) within this study have been chosen as variables. Results show that GEP models developed in the paper are remarkably robust and accessible tools to predict earthquake-induced crest settlement of embankment dams and perform superior to the existing formulation. Also, dam engineering professionals can use them practically because the variables of prediction equations are easily accessible after the earthquake.

Development of analysis program for direct containment heating

  • Jiang, Herui;Shen, Geyu;Meng, Zhaoming;Li, Wenzhe;Yan, Ruihao
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권8호
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    • pp.3130-3139
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    • 2022
  • Direct containment heating (DCH) is one of the potential factors leading to early containment failure. DCH is closely related to safety analysis and containment performance evaluation of nuclear power plants. In this study, a DCH prediction program was developed to analyze the DCH loads of containment vessel. The phenomenological model of debris dispersal, metal oxidation reaction, debris-atmospheric heat transfer and hydrogen jet burn was established. Code assessment was performed by comparing with several separate effect tests and integral effect tests. The comparison between the predicted results and experimental data shows that the program can predict the key parameters such as peak pressure, temperature, and hydrogen production in containment well, and for most comparisons the relative errors can be maintained within 20%. Among them, the prediction uncertainty of hydrogen production is slightly larger. The analysis shows that the main sources of the error are the difference of time scale and the oxidation of cavity debris.