• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Service

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Machine Learning Methods for Trust-based Selection of Web Services

  • Hasnain, Muhammad;Ghani, Imran;Pasha, Muhammad F.;Jeong, Seung R.
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.38-59
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    • 2022
  • Web services instances can be classified into two categories, namely trusted and untrusted from users. A web service with high throughput (TP) and low response time (RT) instance values is a trusted web service. Web services are not trustworthy due to the mismatch in the guaranteed instance values and the actual values achieved by users. To perform web services selection from users' attained TP and RT values, we need to verify the correct prediction of trusted and untrusted instances from invoked web services. This accurate prediction of web services instances is used to perform the selection of web services. We propose to construct fuzzy rules to label web services instances correctly. This paper presents web services selection using a well-known machine learning algorithm, namely REPTree, for the correct prediction of trusted and untrusted instances. Performance comparison of REPTree with five machine learning models is conducted on web services datasets. We have performed experiments on web services datasets using a ten k-fold cross-validation method. To evaluate the performance of the REPTree classifier, we used accuracy metrics (Sensitivity and Specificity). Experimental results showed that web service (WS1) gained top selection score with the (47.0588%) trusted instances, and web service (WS2) was selected the least with (25.00%) trusted instances. Evaluation results of the proposed web services selection approach were found as (asymptotic sig. = 0.019), demonstrating the relationship between final selection and recommended trust score of web services.

Analysis of abnormal traffic controller based on prediction to improve network service survivability (네트워크 서비스의 생존성을 높이기 위한 예측기반 이상 트래픽 제어 방식 분석)

  • Kim Kwang sik
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.30 no.4C
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    • pp.296-304
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    • 2005
  • ATCoP(Abnormal traffic controller based on prediction) is presented to securely support reliable Internet service and to guarantee network survivability, which is deployed in Internet access point. ATCoP is a method to control abnormal traffic that is entering into the network When unknown attack generates excessive traffic, service survivability is guaranteed by giving the priority to normal traffic than abnormal traffic, that is reserving some channels for normal traffic. If the reserved channel number increases, abnormal traffic has lower quality service by ATCoP system and then its service survivability becomes worse. As an analytic result, the proposed scheme maintains the blocking probability of normal traffic on the predefined level in the specific interval of input traffic.

Prediction of RC structure service life from field long term chloride diffusion

  • Safehian, Majid;Ramezanianpour, Ali Akbar
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.589-606
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    • 2015
  • It is well-documented that the major deterioration of coastal RC structures is chloride-induced corrosion. Therefore, regional investigations are necessary for durability based design and evaluation of the proposed service life prdiction models. In this paper, four reinforced concrete jetties exposed to severe marine environment were monitored to assess the long term chloride penetration at 6 months to 96 months. Also, some accelerated durability tests were performed on standard samples in laboratory. As a result, two time-dependent equations are proposed for basic parameters of chloride diffusion into concrete and then the corrosion initiation time is estimated by a developed probabilistic service life model Also, two famous service life prediction models are compared using chloride profiles obtained from structures after about 40 years in the tidal exposure conditions. The results confirm that the influence of concrete quality on diffusion coefficients is related to the concrete pore structure and the time dependence is due to chemical reactions of sea water ions with hydration products which lead a reduction in pore structure. Also, proper attention to the durability properties of concrete may extend the service life of marine structures greater than fifty years, even in harsh environments.

A Short-Term Prediction Method of the IGS RTS Clock Correction by using LSTM Network

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.209-214
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    • 2019
  • Precise point positioning (PPP) requires precise orbit and clock products. International GNSS service (IGS) real-time service (RTS) data can be used in real-time for PPP, but it may not be possible to receive these corrections for a short time due to internet or hardware failure. In addition, the time required for IGS to combine RTS data from each analysis center results in a delay of about 30 seconds for the RTS data. Short-term orbit prediction can be possible because it includes the rate of correction, but the clock correction only provides bias. Thus, a short-term prediction model is needed to preidict RTS clock corrections. In this paper, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to predict RTS clock correction for three minutes. The prediction accuracy of the LSTM was compared with that of the polynomial model. After applying the predicted clock corrections to the broadcast ephemeris, we performed PPP and analyzed the positioning accuracy. The LSTM network predicted the clock correction within 2 cm error, and the PPP accuracy is almost the same as received RTS data.

Trustworthy Service Selection using QoS Prediction in SOA-based IoT Environments (SOA기반 IoT환경에서 QoS 예측을 통한 신뢰할 수 있는 서비스 선택)

  • Kim, Yukyong
    • Journal of Software Assessment and Valuation
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2019
  • The Internet of Things (IoT) environment must be able to meet the needs of users by providing access to various services that can be used to develop diverse user applications. However, QoS issues arise due to the characteristics of the IoT environment, such as numerous heterogeneous devices and potential resource constraints. In this paper, we propose a QoS prediction method that reflects trust between users in SOA based IoT. In order to increase the accuracy of QoS prediction, we analyze the trust and distrust relations between users and identify similarities among users and predict QoS based on them. The centrality is calculated to enhance trust relationships. Experimental results show that QoS prediction can be improved.

A Study on the Demand Prediction Model for Repair Parts of Automotive After-sales Service Center Using LSTM Artificial Neural Network (LSTM 인공신경망을 이용한 자동차 A/S센터 수리 부품 수요 예측 모델 연구)

  • Jung, Dong Kun;Park, Young Sik
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.197-220
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    • 2022
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to identifies the demand pattern categorization of repair parts of Automotive After-sales Service(A/S) and proposes a demand prediction model for Auto repair parts using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) of artificial neural networks (ANN). The optimal parts inventory quantity prediction model is implemented by applying daily, weekly, and monthly the parts demand data to the LSTM model for the Lumpy demand which is irregularly in a specific period among repair parts of the Automotive A/S service. Design/methodology/approach This study classified the four demand pattern categorization with 2 years demand time-series data of repair parts according to the Average demand interval(ADI) and coefficient of variation (CV2) of demand size. Of the 16,295 parts in the A/S service shop studied, 96.5% had a Lumpy demand pattern that large quantities occurred at a specific period. lumpy demand pattern's repair parts in the last three years is predicted by applying them to the LSTM for daily, weekly, and monthly time-series data. as the model prediction performance evaluation index, MAPE, RMSE, and RMSLE that can measure the error between the predicted value and the actual value were used. Findings As a result of this study, Daily time-series data were excellently predicted as indicators with the lowest MAPE, RMSE, and RMSLE values, followed by Weekly and Monthly time-series data. This is due to the decrease in training data for Weekly and Monthly. even if the demand period is extended to get the training data, the prediction performance is still low due to the discontinuation of current vehicle models and the use of alternative parts that they are contributed to no more demand. Therefore, sufficient training data is important, but the selection of the prediction demand period is also a critical factor.

A Study on the Development of Corrosion Prediction System of Reinforcing Bars in Sea-shore Structure (해양 구조물의 철근부식 예측기법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 박승범;김도겸
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 1999
  • Service life of concrete structures that are exposed to the environmental attack is largely influenced by the corrosion of reinforcing bare due to the chloride contamination. Chloride ions penetrate continuously into concrete from the environment, and chloride diffusion velocity is governed by a mechanical steady stage. In this study, a method is developed to predict corrosion initiation of reinforcing bars in the sea-shore structures, based on governing equations that take into account the diffusing of chloride ions and a mechanical steady state. As a result of this study, Corrosion Prediction System (CPS) is developed, and it can be used to determine an optimal time for repair and rehabilitation actions need to be taken. Futhermore, CPS assists the concrete mixing structures by predicting of chloride concentrations in concrete mixture, exposed to salt concentrations and service environment.

Service Life Prediction for Steel Bridge Coatings with Type of Coating Systems (도장계 종류에 따른 강교 도장의 공용수명 예측)

  • Lee, Chan Young;Chang, Taesun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.325-335
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    • 2016
  • To predict service life of coating systems registered in Korean specifications for steel bridge coatings, field deterioration evaluation and accelerated weatherproof test were carried out, and deterioration models were drawn through regression analysis for evaluation results. For the coating systems that have not been used in field, regression analyses were carried out for the virtual evaluation results drawn by applying coordination factor to the field evaluation results for chlorinated rubber and urethane topcoat system. Service life prediction results showed that application of thermal sprayed coating (TSC) could extend service life of coatings to more than twice of general coatings.

Software Replacement Time Prediction Technique Using the Service Level Measurement and Replacement Point Assessment (서비스 수준 측정 및 교체점 평가에 의한 소프트웨어 교체시기 예측 기법)

  • Moon, Young-Joon;Rhew, Sung-Yul
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.2 no.8
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2013
  • The software is changed according to the changing businesses and the user requirement, it involves increasing complexity and cost. Considering the repetitive changes required for the software, replacement is more efficient than maintenance at some point. In this study, the replacement time was predicted using the service dissatisfaction index and replacement point assessment index by the software group for each task. First, fuzzy inference was used to develop the method and indicator for the user's service level dissatisfaction. Second, the replacement point assessment method was established considering the quality, costs, and new technology of the software. Third, a replacement time prediction technique that used the gap between the user service measurement and replacement point assessment values was proposed. The results of the case study with the business solutions of three organizations, which was conducted to verify the validity of the proposed prediction technique in this study, showed that the service dissatisfaction index decreased by approximately 16% and the replacement point assessment index increased by approximately 9%.

Mobility Prediction Algorithms Using User Traces in Wireless Networks

  • Luong, Chuyen;Do, Son;Park, Hyukro;Choi, Deokjai
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.17 no.8
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    • pp.946-952
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    • 2014
  • Mobility prediction is one of hot topics using location history information. It is useful for not only user-level applications such as people finder and recommendation sharing service but also for system-level applications such as hand-off management, resource allocation, and quality of service of wireless services. Most of current prediction techniques often use a set of significant locations without taking into account possible location information changes for prediction. Markov-based, LZ-based and Prediction by Pattern Matching techniques consider interesting locations to enhance the prediction accuracy, but they do not consider interesting location changes. In our paper, we propose an algorithm which integrates the changing or emerging new location information. This approach is based on Active LeZi algorithm, but both of new location and all possible location contexts will be updated in the tree with the fixed depth. Furthermore, the tree will also be updated even when there is no new location detected but the expected route is changed. We find that our algorithm is adaptive to predict next location. We evaluate our proposed system on a part of Dartmouth dataset consisting of 1026 users. An accuracy rate of more than 84% is achieved.