• 제목/요약/키워드: Predicted power

검색결과 1,314건 처리시간 0.028초

Control strategies of energy storage limiting intermittent output of solar power generation: Planning and evaluation for participation in electricity market

  • Sewan Heo;Jinsoo Han;Wan-Ki Park
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.636-649
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    • 2023
  • Renewable energy generation cannot be consistently predicted or controlled. Therefore, it is currently not widely used in the electricity market, which requires dependable production. In this study, reliability- and variance-based controls of energy storage strategies are proposed to utilize renewable energy as a steady contributor to the electricity market. For reliability-based control, photovoltaic (PV) generation is assumed to be registered in the power generation plan. PV generation yields a reliable output using energy storage units to compensate for PV prediction errors. We also propose a runtime state-ofcharge management method for sustainable operations. With variance-based controls, changes in rapid power generation are limited through ramp rate control. This study introduces new reliability and variance indices as indicators for evaluating these strategies. The reliability index quantifies the degree to which the actual generation realizes the plan, and the variance index quantifies the degree of power change. The two strategies are verified based on simulations and experiments. The reliability index improved by 3.1 times on average over 21 days at a real power plant.

한국 북부지방의 산간 계류에 서식하는 수서곤충의 몸길이-질량 관계 (Body Length-mass Relationships of Aquatic Insect of Mountain Streams in Central Korean Peninsula)

  • 정근
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.320-330
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    • 2008
  • 소하천에 서식하는 수서곤충 29 분류군에 대한 몸길이와 건조질량, 그리고 회분외질량에 관한 회귀식이 자연 log로 변환된 멱함수를 이용하여 구해졌다. 수서곤충은 강원도 북부지방의 산간계류에서 채집되었다. 각 분류군에서 주어진 몸길이에 대해 회귀식이 예측하는 건조질량은 기 보고된 다른 저자들의 예측값과 대체로 유사하였지만, 체벽이 연하고 이동할 때 몸을 수축-이완하는 분류군에서는 다른 저자들이 예측값에 비해 높았다. 수서곤충의 평균 회분율은 건조질량의 10%였으며, 섭식기능군간 차이는 인정되지 않았다.

다층신경망을 이용한 드론 방제의 살포 균일도 예측 (Predicting the spray uniformity of pest control drone using multi-layer perceptron)

  • 성백겸;강승우;조수현;한웅철;유승화;이춘구;강영호;이대현
    • 드라이브 ㆍ 컨트롤
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we conducted a research on optimizing the spraying performance of agricultural drones and predicted the spraying performance in various flight conditions using the multi-layer perceptron (MLP). Data was collected using a test device for pesticide spraying performance according to the water sensitive paper (WSP) evaluation. MLP training involved supervised learning to achieve a coefficient of variation (CV), which indicates the degree of uniform spraying. The performance evaluation was conducted using R-squared (R2), the test samples showed an R2 of 0.80. The results of this study showed that drone spraying performance can be predicted under various flight environments. In addition, the correlation analysis between flight conditions and predicted spraying performance will be useful for further research on optimizing the spraying performance of agricultural drones.

Research on prediction and analysis of supercritical water heat transfer coefficient based on support vector machine

  • Ma Dongliang;Li Yi;Zhou Tao;Huang Yanping
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권11호
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    • pp.4102-4111
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    • 2023
  • In order to better perform thermal hydraulic calculation and analysis of supercritical water reactor, based on the experimental data of supercritical water, the model training and predictive analysis of the heat transfer coefficient of supercritical water were carried out by using the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm. The changes in the prediction accuracy of the supercritical water heat transfer coefficient are analyzed by the changes of the regularization penalty parameter C, the slack variable epsilon and the Gaussian kernel function parameter gamma. The predicted value of the SVM model obtained after parameter optimization and the actual experimental test data are analyzed for data verification. The research results show that: the normalization of the data has a great influence on the prediction results. The slack variable has a relatively small influence on the accuracy change range of the predicted heat transfer coefficient. The change of gamma has the greatest impact on the accuracy of the heat transfer coefficient. Compared with the calculation results of traditional empirical formula methods, the trained algorithm model using SVM has smaller average error and standard deviations. Using the SVM trained algorithm model, the heat transfer coefficient of supercritical water can be effectively predicted and analyzed.

다공판을 이용한 고압 가스 배관 내 밸브 유동 소음 저감에 대한 수치적 고찰 (Numerical investigation on reduction of valve flow noise in high pressure gas pipe using perforated plates)

  • 김규남;구가람;정철웅;강웅;김극수
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문에서는 고압가스 배관의 밸브 유동소음을 평가할 수 있는 수치적 방법론을 제시하고 밸브 유동소음 저감을 위한 다공판의 영향을 정량적으로 분석하였다.먼저, 고정확도의 비정상 압축성 대와류모사 기법을 이용하여 고압가스 배관의 밸브 유동과 이로 인한 유동소음을 예측하였다. 예측한 벽면 압력 스펙트럼을 측정값과의 비교를 통하여 수치해석결과의 유효성을 검증하였다. 다음으로 배관내에서 평균 유동장과 중첩되어 전파해가는 음향장의 음향파워를 평가할 수 있는 지표를 기반으로 배관내 밸브 유동에 의하여 하류방향으로 전파하는 음향파워를 분석하였다. 분석결과를 바탕으로 밸브 유동 소음 저감을 위해, 다공평판을 설계하여 밸브 후류에 설치하고 동일한 수치해석 방법을 통해 배관 하류방향으로 전파하는 음향파워를 예측하였다. 예측 결과를 기존 배관 결과와 비교하여 음향파워가 9.5 dB 감소함을 확인하였다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 본 연구에서 제시한 수치방법론은 고압가스 배관의 설계단계에서 뿐만 아니라 기존 시스템에서 발생하는 밸브 유동 소음을 효율적으로 저감할 수 있는 방법 개발에도 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

Utilization of EPRI ChemWorks tools for PWR shutdown chemistry evolution modeling

  • Jinsoo Choi;Cho-Rong Kim;Yong-Sang Cho;Hyuk-chul Kwon;Kyu-Min Song
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권10호
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    • pp.3543-3548
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    • 2023
  • Shutdown chemistry evolution is performed in nuclear power plants at each refueling outage (RFO) to establish safe conditions to open system and minimize inventory of corrosion products in the reactor coolant system (RCS). After hydrogen peroxide is added to RCS during shutdown chemistry evolution, corrosion products are released and are removed by filters and ion exchange resins in the chemical volume control system (CVCS). Shutdown chemistry evolution including RCS clean-up time to remove released corrosion products impacts the critical path schedule during RFOs. The estimation of clean-up time prior to RFO can provide more reliable actions for RCS clean-up operations and transients to operators during shutdown chemistry. Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) shutdown calculator (SDC) enables to provide clean-up time by Co-58 peak activity through operational data from nuclear power plants (NPPs). In this study, we have investigated the results of EPRI SDC by shutdown chemistry data of Co-58 activity using NPP data from previous cycles and modeled the estimated clean-up time by EPRI SDC using average Co-58 activity of the NPP. We selected two RFO data from the NPP to evaluate EPRI SDC results using the purification time to reach to 1.3 mCi/cc of Co-58 after hydrogen peroxide addition. Comparing two RFO data, the similar purification time between actual and computed data by EPRI SDC, 0.92 and 1.74 h respectively, was observed with the deviation of 3.7-7.2%. As the modeling the estimated clean-up time, we calculated average Co-58 peak concentration for normal cycles after cycle 10 and applied two-sigma (2σ, 95.4%) for predicted Co-58 peak concentration as upper and lower values compared to the average data. For the verification of modeling, shutdown chemistry data for RFO 17 was used. Predicted RCS clean-up time with lower and upper values was between 21.05 and 27.58 h, and clean-up time for RFO 17 was 24.75 h, within the predicted time band. Therefore, our calculated modeling band was validated. This approach can be identified that the advantage of the modeling for clean-up time with SDC is that the primary prediction of shutdown chemistry plans can be performed more reliably during shutdown chemistry. This research can contribute to improving the efficiency and safety of shutdown chemistry evolution in nuclear power plants.

유동해석을 통한 수직축 풍력발전 터빈의 성능 예측 (Performance Prediction of Wind Power Turbine by CFD Analysis)

  • 김종호;김종봉;오영록
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2013
  • 수직축 풍력발전기의 발전 전력을 유동해석을 이용하여 예측하였다. 해석은 블레이드 회전 속도를 고정하고 그 회전 속도에서 토크를 반력으로 추출하였다. 여러 경우의 블레이드의 회전 속도에 대해 토크를 구하고 발전 용량을 계산하였다. 회전 속도에 따른 발전 토크와 발전 용량을 계산함으로써 최적의 발전기와 그 때의 회전 속도를 선정할 수 있었다. 또한, 블레이드의 개수와 블레이드의 형상에 대해 해석을 수행하여 그 영향을 분석하였다. 마지막으로 실험을 수행하여 그 결과를 비교하였다.

도서지역의 신재생에너지복합발전 전력계통 운영방안에 관한 정책연구 (The policy study on the power grid operation strategy of new and renewable energy combined generation system)

  • 김의환
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.109.1-109.1
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    • 2011
  • KEPCO was operating power plants with diesel generators in 49 islands including Baekryeong-Do, and the generation capacity was about 66 MW in 2008. The cost of fuel is increasing by the international oil price inflation and continuous rise of oil price is predicted. For the stabilizing of electric power supply to the separate islands, renewable energy and fuel cell systems were considered. Hydrogen is made using renewable energy such as wind power and solar energy, and then a fuel cell system generates electricity with the stored hydrogen. Though the system efficiency is low, it is treated as the only way to secure the stable electric supply using renewable energy at this present. The analytic hierarchy process was used to select suitable candidate island for the system installation and 5 islands including Ulleung-Do were selected. Economic evaluation for the system composed of a kerosene generator, a wind power, an electrolysis, and a fuel cell system was conducted with levelized generation cost based on present value methode. As the result, the necessity of renewable energy combined generation system and micro grid composition in the candidated islands was confirmed. Henceforth, the development of an integration technology which connects micro grid to the total power grid will be needed.

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냉각공기 예냉각을 통한 가스터빈 설계변수 변화에 의한 복합발전시스템 성능향상 분석 (Analysis of Performance Enhancement of a Combined Cycle Power Plant by the Change of Design Parameters of Gas Turbine Using Coolant Pre-cooling)

  • 권현민;김동섭;강도원;손정락
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.61-67
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    • 2016
  • Turbine blade cooling is one of the major technologies to enhance the performance of gas turbine and combined cycle power plants. In this study, two cases of coolant pre-cooling schemes were applied in combined cycle power plant: decrease of coolant mass flow needed to cool turbine blade and increase of turbine inlet temperature (TIT). Both schemes are benefited by the decrease of coolant temperature through coolant pre-cooling. Under the same degree of pre-cooling, increasing TIT exhibits larger plant power boost and higher plant efficiency than reducing coolant flow. As a result, the former produces the same gas turbine power with a much smaller degree of pre-cooling than the latter. Another advantage of increasing TIT is a higher plant efficiency. Even with an assumption of partial achievement of the theoretically predicted TIT, the method of increasing TIT can provide considerably larger power output.

에너지저장시스템에서 발전량 예측을 통한 능동적 배터리 충전 관리 방안 (An Active Battery Charge Management Scheme with Predicting Power Generation in ESS)

  • 김정준;채범석;이영관;조기환
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.84-91
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    • 2020
  • 신재생 에너지를 활용이 높아지면서 에너지저장시스템의 활용과 효율성에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 특히 태양광 에너지저장시스템을 구성하는 서브시스템에서 이상 징후 발생에 능동적으로 대처할 수 있는 운영이 요구된다. 본 논문은 태양광 발전량 데이터를 표본으로 하여 예측 발전량을 추정하여 에너지 관리하는 방안을 제안한다. 실시간으로 예측된 배터리 충전 전력과 배터리 랙 총 충전 전력을 비교하여 충전 전력을 조절하는 모형을 적용한다. 그 결과로 배터리의 발열 억제 및 충방전율을 유지시켜 에너지저장시스템의 에너지 저장을 안정적으로 높일 수 있다.