• Title/Summary/Keyword: Precipitation information

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Data Assimilation of Radar Non-precipitation Information for Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (정량적 강수 예측을 위한 레이더 비강수 정보의 자료동화)

  • Yu-Shin Kim;Ki-Hong Min
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.557-577
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    • 2023
  • This study defines non-precipitation information as areas with weak precipitation or cloud particles that radar cannot detect due to weak returned signals, and suggests methods for its utilization in data assimilation. Previous studies have demonstrated that assimilating radar data from precipitation echoes can produce precipitation in model analysis and improve subsequent precipitation forecast. However, this study also recognizes the non-precipitation information as valuable observation and seeks to assimilate it to suppress spurious precipitation in the model analysis and forecast. To incorporate non-precipitation information into data assimilation, we propose observation operators that convert radar non-precipitation information into hydrometeor mixing ratios and relative humidity for the Weather Research and Forecasting Data Assimilation system (WRFDA). We also suggest a preprocessing method for radar non-precipitation information. A single-observation experiment indicates that assimilating non-precipitation information fosters an environment conducive to inhibiting convection by lowering temperature and humidity. Subsequently, we investigate the impact of assimilating non-precipitation information to a real case on July 23, 2013, by performing a subsequent 9-hour forecast. The experiment that assimilates radar non-precipitation information improves the model's precipitation forecasts by showing an increase in the Fractional Skill Score (FSS) and a decrease in the False Alarm Ratio (FAR) compared to experiments in which do not assimilate non-precipitation information.

An Integrated Artificial Neural Network-based Precipitation Revision Model

  • Li, Tao;Xu, Wenduo;Wang, Li Na;Li, Ningpeng;Ren, Yongjun;Xia, Jinyue
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.1690-1707
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    • 2021
  • Precipitation prediction during flood season has been a key task of climate prediction for a long time. This type of prediction is linked with the national economy and people's livelihood, and is also one of the difficult problems in climatology. At present, there are some precipitation forecast models for the flood season, but there are also some deviations from these models, which makes it difficult to forecast accurately. In this paper, based on the measured precipitation data from the flood season from 1993 to 2019 and the precipitation return data of CWRF, ANN cycle modeling and a weighted integration method is used to correct the CWRF used in today's operational systems. The MAE and TCC of the precipitation forecast in the flood season are used to check the prediction performance of the proposed algorithm model. The results demonstrate a good correction effect for the proposed algorithm. In particular, the MAE error of the new algorithm is reduced by about 50%, while the time correlation TCC is improved by about 40%. Therefore, both the generalization of the correction results and the prediction performance are improved.

Design of Precipitation/non-precipitation Pattern Classification System based on Neuro-fuzzy Algorithm using Meteorological Radar Data : Instance Classifier and Echo Classifier (기상레이더를 이용한 뉴로-퍼지 알고리즘 기반 강수/비강수 패턴분류 시스템 설계 : 사례 분류기 및 에코 분류기)

  • Ko, Jun-Hyun;Kim, Hyun-Ki;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.7
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    • pp.1114-1124
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, precipitation / non-precipitation pattern classification of meteorological radar data is conducted by using neuro-fuzzy algorithm. Structure expression of meteorological radar data information is analyzed in order to effectively classify precipitation and non-precipitation. Also diverse input variables for designing pattern classifier could be considered by exploiting the quantitative as well as qualitative characteristic of meteorological radar data information and then each characteristic of input variables is analyzed. Preferred pattern classifier can be designed by essential input variables that give a decisive effect on output performance as well as model architecture. As the proposed model architecture, neuro-fuzzy algorithm is designed by using FCM-based radial basis function neural network(RBFNN). Two parts of classifiers such as instance classifier part and echo classifier part are designed and carried out serially in the entire system architecture. In the instance classifier part, the pattern classifier identifies between precipitation and non-precipitation data. In the echo classifier part, because precipitation data information identified by the instance classifier could partially involve non-precipitation data information, echo classifier is considered to classify between them. The performance of the proposed classifier is evaluated and analyzed when compared with existing QC method.

Effect of Precipitation on Sea Surface Wind Scatterometry

  • Yang, Jilong;Zhang, Xuehu;Chen, Xiuwan;Esteban, Daniel;McLaughlin, David;Carswell, Jim;Chang, Paul;Black, Peter;Ke, Yinghai
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.1359-1361
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    • 2003
  • A set of microwave remote sensing data collected with the newly developed UMass Imaging Wind and Rain Airborne Profiler (IWRAP) during the 2002 Atlantic Hurricane Season was analyzed to further our understanding of the effect of precipitation on scatterometer wind vector retrieval. Coincident surface wind speed and precipitation measurements were provided by the UMass Simultaneous Frequency Microwave Radiometer (SFMR). The differences between the wind estimations from IWRAP and SFMR under precipitation conditions of 0-100mm/hr and wind speed of 0-60m/s was calculated, from which the effect of precipitation on the wind vector retrieval using scatterometry is analyzed qualitatively.

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Synoptic Meteorological Classification and Analysis of Precipitation Characteristics in Gimhae Region Using 2DVD and Parsivel (2DVD와 Parsivel 이용한 김해지역 강수사례일의 종관기상학적 분류 및 강수 특성 분석)

  • Cheon, Eun-Ji;Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.289-302
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    • 2017
  • During the research period, error analysis of the amount of daily precipitation was performed with data obtained from 2DVD, Parsivel, and AWS, and from the results, 79 days were selected as research days. According to the results of a synoptic meteorological analysis, these days were classified into 'LP type, CF type, HE type, and TY type'. The dates showing the maximum daily precipitation amount and precipitation intensity were 'HE type and CF type', which were found to be attributed to atmospheric instability causing strong ascending flow, and leading to strong precipitation events. Of the 79 days, most days were found to be of the LP type. On July 27, 2011 the daily precipitation amount in the Korean Peninsula reached over 80 mm (HE type). The leading edge of the Northern Pacific high pressure was located over the Korean Peninsula with unstable atmospheric conditions and inflow of air with high temperature and high humidity caused ascending flow, 120 mm/h with an average precipitation intensity of over 9.57 mm/h. Considering these characteristics, precipitation in these sample dates could be classified into the convective rain type. The results of a precipitation scale distribution analysis showed that most precipitation were between 0.4-5.0 mm, and 'Rain' size precipitation was observed in most areas. On July 9, 2011, the daily precipitation amount was recorded to be over 80 mm (CF type) at the rainy season front (Jangma front) spreading across the middle Korean Peninsular. Inflow of air with high temperature and high humidity created unstable atmospheric conditions under which strong ascending air currents formed and led to convective rain type precipitation.

On the Characteristics of the Precipitation Patterns in Korea Due to Climate Change

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Seong, Ihn-Cheol;Kim, Baek-Jo;Jung, Woo-Sik;Lu, Riyu
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2014
  • In the present study, we analyzed precipitation patterns and diurnal variation trends of hourly precipitation intensity due to climate change. To that end, we used the hourly precipitation data obtained from 26 weather stations around South Korea, especially Busan, from 1970 to 2009. The results showed that the hourly precipitation was concentrated on a specific time of day. In particular, the results showed the so-called "morning shift" phenomenon, which is an increase in the frequency and intensity of hourly precipitation during the morning. The morning shift phenomenon was even more pronounced when a higher level of hourly precipitation intensity occurred throughout the day. Furthermore, in many regions of Korea, including Busan, this morning shift phenomenon became more prevalent as climate change progressed.

Precipitation Information Retrieval Method Using Automotive Radar Data (차량레이더 자료 기반 강수정보 추정 기법)

  • Jang, Bong-Joo;Lim, Sanghun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.265-271
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    • 2020
  • Automotive radar that is one of the most important equipment in high-tech vehicles, is commonly used to detect the speed and range of objects such as cars. In this paper, in addition to objects detection, a method of retrieving precipitation information using the automotive radar data is proposed. The proposed method is based on the fact that the degree of attenuation of the returned radar signal differs depending on the precipitation intensity and the assumption that the distribution of precipitation is constant in short spatial and temporal observation. The purpose of this paper is to assesses the possibility of retrieving precipitation information using a vehicle radar. To verify the feasibility of the proposed method during actual driving, a method of estimating precipitation information for each time segment of various precipitation events was applied. From the results of driving field experiments, it was found that the proposed method is suitable for estimating precipitation information in various rainfall types.

Estimation of spatial distribution of precipitation by using of dual polarization weather radar data

  • Oliaye, Alireza;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.132-132
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    • 2021
  • Access to accurate spatial precipitation in many hydrological studies is necessary. Existence of many mountains with diverse topography in South Korea causes different spatial distribution of precipitation. Rain gauge stations show accurate precipitation information in points, but due to the limited use of rain gauge stations and the difficulty of accessing them, there is not enough accurate information in the whole area. Weather radars can provide an integrated precipitation information spatially. Despite this, weather radar data have some errors that can not provide accurate data, especially in heavy rainfall. In this study, some location-based variable like aspect, elevation, plan curvature, profile curvature, slope and distance from the sea which has most effect on rainfall was considered. Then Automatic Weather Station data was used for spatial training of variables in each event. According to this, K-fold cross-validation method was combined with Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System. Based on this, 80% of Automatic Weather Station data was used for training and validation of model and 20% was used for testing and evaluation of model. Finally, spatial distribution of precipitation for 1×1 km resolution in Gwangdeoksan radar station was estimates. The results showed a significant decrease in RMSE and an increase in correlation with the observed amount of precipitation.

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Comparison of Precipitation Distributions in Precipitation Data Sets Representing 1km Spatial Resolution over South Korea Produced by PRISM, IDW, and Cokriging (PRISM, 역거리가중법, 공동크리깅으로 작성한 1km 공간해상도의 남한 강수 자료에서 강수 분포의 비교)

  • Park, Jong-Chul;Kim, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.147-163
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to compare precipitation distributions in precipitation data sets over South Korea produced by three interpolation methods. The differences of precipitation caused by interpolation methods is an important information when the interpolated precipitation data sets were used in researches such as ecological and hydrological modeling as well as regional climate impact studies. In this study, the precipitation data sets were produced by IDW(Inverse Distance Weighting) and Cokriging in this study and the PRISM(Precipitation-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) data set obtained from Climate Change Information Center of Korea. The spatial resolution of the precipitation data is 1km. As a result, there was a great precipitation difference caused by interpolation methods in data of mountainous watersheds in general. Especially the difference of monthly precipitation was 10~20% or more in the mountainous watersheds near the Military Demarcation Line dividing North and South Korea, Mt. Sobaik, Mt. Worak, Mt. Deogyu, Mt. Jiri and Taeback Mountain Range. It means that a final result of a research can be affected by adopted interpolation method when an interpolated precipitation data set is used in the research for the these study sites.

Quantitative Estimation of the Precipitation utilizing the Image Signal of Weather Radar

  • Choi, Jeongho;Lim, Sanghun;Han, Myoungsun;Kim, Hyunjung;Lee, Baekyu
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2018
  • This study estimated rainfall information more effectively by image signals through the information system of weather radar. Based on this, we suggest the way to estimate quantitative precipitation utilizing overlapped observation area of radars. We used the overlapped observation range of ground hyetometer observation network and radar observation network which are dense in our country. We chose the southern coast where precipitation entered from seaside is quite frequent and used Sungsan radar installed in Jeju island and Gudoksan radar installed in the southern coast area. We used the rainy season data generated in 2010 as the precipitation data. As a result, we found a reflectivity bias between two radar located in different area and developed the new quantitative precipitation estimation method using the bias. Estimated radar rainfall from this method showed the apt radar rainfall estimate than the other results from conventional method at overall rainfall field.