• 제목/요약/키워드: Posterior Probability

검색결과 224건 처리시간 0.02초

A Bayesian Meta Analysis for Assessing Bioequivalence among Two Generic Copies of the Same Brand-Name Drug

  • Oh, Hyun-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2006
  • As more generic drugs become available, the quality, safety, and efficacy of generic drugs have become a public concern. Specifically, drug interchangeability among generic copies of the same brand-name drug is a safety concern. This research proposes a Bayesian method for assessing bioequivalence between two generic copies of the same brand-name drug from two independent $2{\times}2$ crossover design experiments. Uninformative priors are considered for general use and the posterior distribution of the difference of two generic drug effects is derived from which the highest probability density interval can be evaluated. Examples are presented for illustration.

이미지 블롭 할당을 이용한 축구 선수 추적 (Soccer Player Tracking Using Blob Assignation)

  • Park, Kyuhyoung;Changsoo Je;Yongdeuk Seo
    • 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보과학회 2003년도 가을 학술발표논문집 Vol.30 No.2 (2)
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    • pp.616-618
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    • 2003
  • In this paper particle filter is used as an underlying algorithm to track multiple objects, which are soccer players. Multi-object tracking becomes difficult when two or more players get close to and overlap each other because particles of the filters tend to move to a region of higher posterior probability. To resolve this problem, a blob assignation algorithm which identifies the separated image blobs after occlusion, based on the predicted states according to the dynamic model is suggested. This method performed well on the sequences under general camera work.

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A NOTE ON PROTECTION OF PRIVACY IN RANDOMIZED RESPONSE DEVICES

  • SAHA AMITAVA
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.297-309
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    • 2005
  • We consider 'efficiency versus privacy-protection' problem concerned with several well-known randomized response (RR) devices to estimate pro­portion of people bearing a stigmatizing characteristic in a community. The literature of RR on respondent's privacy protection discusses only about response specific jeopardy measures. We propose a measure of jeopardy that is independent of the RR offered by the interviewee and recommend it for using as a technical characteristic of the RR device. For ensuring better cooperation from the interviewees this new measure that depends only on the design parameters of the RR devices may be disclosed to the respondents before producing the RR by implementing the randomization device.

Distributed Fusion Estimation for Sensor Network

  • Song, Il Young;Song, Jin Mo;Jeong, Woong Ji;Gong, Myoung Sool
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.277-283
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a distributed fusion estimation for sensor networks using a receding horizon strategy. Communication channels were modelled as Markov jump systems, and a posterior probability distribution for communication channel characteristics was calculated and incorporated into the filter to allow distributed fusion estimation to handle path loss observation situations automatically. To implement distributed fusion estimation, a Kalman-Consensus filter was then used to obtain the average consensus, based on the estimates of sensors randomly distributed across sensor networks. The advantages of the proposed algorithms were then verified using a large-scale sensor network example.

베이지안 기반의 근전도 발화 측정을 이용한 낙상의 예측 (Bayesian Onset Measure of sEMG for Fall Prediction)

  • 박성식;김기훈
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.213-220
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    • 2024
  • Fall detection and prevention technologies play a pivotal role in ensuring the well-being of individuals, particularly those living independently, where falls can result in severe consequences. This paper addresses the challenge of accurate and quick fall detection by proposing a Bayesian probability-based measure applied to surface electromyography (sEMG) signals. The proposed algorithm based on a Bayesian filter that divides the sEMG signal into transient and steady states. The ratio of posterior probabilities, considering the inclusion or exclusion of the transient state, serves as a scale to gauge the dominance of the transient state in the current signal. Experimental results demonstrate that this approach enhances the accuracy and expedites the detection time compared to existing methods. The study suggests broader applications beyond fall detection, anticipating future research in diverse human-robot interface benefiting from the proposed methodology.

강우자료의 불확실성을 고려한 강우 유출 모형의 적용 (Application of Rainfall Runoff Model with Rainfall Uncertainty)

  • 이효상;전민우;발린 다니엘라;로드 미하엘
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권10호
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    • pp.773-783
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    • 2009
  • 강우유출모형의 입력 자료로 사용되는 강우 관측 자료의 불확실성이 유량예측에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 모형변수 검정의 불확실성 연구에서 사용하는 GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation)방법을 입력 자료 부분으로 확장하여 적용 하였다. 독일의 Weida 유역의 강우 관측 자료를 바탕으로 구조적 및 비구조적인 불확실성 부분을 각각 구조적인 오차 수정 과정과 DUE (Data Uncertainty Engine)을 통하여 강우자료를 구성하였다. 이를 유역의 수문학적 작용을 고려하기 위해 선정한 집중형 강우유출모형, PDM (Probability Distribution Model)에 MC (Monte Carlo)와 GLUE 방법을 활용하여 적용하였다. MC검정변수들의 검정 후 반응 표면(Posterior response surface)을 검토하고 GLUE 의 반응검정 모형변수(Behavioural model parameter set)를 선택, 간략한 GLUE 유량곡선들을 계산하였다. 계산된 GLUE 유량곡선들을 모두 합하여 앙상블 유량을 산정하고, 이 유량의 90 분위를 강우량자료 및 모형변수 검정의 불확실성을 고려한 신뢰구간으로 제시하였다. PDM 모형의 결과는 유량곡선의 전구간에서 안정적인 모의 능력을 보여주고 있으나, 첨두유량 부분이 적게 산정되는 문제점을 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서 상대적으로 적은 수의 강우 시나리오 및 반응검정 모형변수의 적용이라는 한계에도 불구하고, GLUE 방법을 강우관측자료의 불확실성 부분으로 확장하여 강우자료 및 변수 검정의 불확실성을 고려한 모의된 유량예측의 신뢰구간의 적용가능성을 보여주고 있다.

강우자료의 비동질성 규명을 위한 변동점 분석기법의 상호비교 및 적용 (Intercomparison of Change Point Analysis Methods for Identification of Inhomogeneity in Rainfall Series and Applications)

  • 이상호;김상욱;이영섭;성장현
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권8호
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    • pp.671-684
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    • 2014
  • 변동점 분석은 강우, 유량, 온도 등의 수문기상자료의 기초적인 정보를 이해함에 있어 유용한 수단으로 활용될 수 있다. 특히 합리적인 방법으로 분석된 미래 강우량에 대한 변동점 분석 결과는 최근 기후변화로 인해 발생되는 홍수나 가뭄과 같은 수문현상을 예측하는 데 있어 문제가 되는 비동질성 또는 비정상성 요인을 해결하는 데 있어 중요하게 활용될 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 변동성 분석을 위해 이용되는 3가지의 이론(CUSUM, BCP, DP)을 소개함과 함께 3가지 기법들의 특성을 알아보기 위한 상호비교 연구를 수행하였다. 3가지 종류의 합성 모의 강우자료의 생성을 통해 3가지 기법들을 수행한 뒤 그 결과를 특정 성능평가 절차를 거쳐 평가하였으며, 그 중 2가지 기법을 국내 관측 강우자료 및 미래 강우자료의 변동점 분석에 적용하고 그 결과를 제시하였다. 기법 간 비교를 통해 BCP 0.9가 가장 우수한 탐색능력이 있는 것으로 분석되었으며, DP 또한 합리적으로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단되었다. 향후 이와 같은 강우자료에 대한 변동점 분석에 관한 연구는 비동질성이나 비정상성을 고려하여 수문모형을 구축하는 연구 등에 있어 효율적으로 사용될 수 있다.

3차원입체조형방사선치료 계획 시 간종괴의 위치에 따른 최적 조사 방향의 결정 (Optimal Radiation Port Arrangements for Hepatic Tumor using 3-dimensional Conformal Radiotherapy Planning)

  • 이익재;성진실;심수정;정경근;조광환
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 간암 환자의 방사선치료 시에 정상 조직과 간암의 위치에 따른 적절한 조사방향을 찾고자 하였다. 간암의 위치는 Couinaud에 의한 분류법을 이용하여 4군으로 나누었고, 각 군의 용적을 가상의 표적 용적으로 정해서 여러 개의 방사선 치료계획을 세워 정상조직합병증발생률(normal tissue complication probability, NTCP)을 비교하였다. 그룹 I에서는 조사 수를 늘릴수록 정상간의 NTCP가 감소되었으나 6개 이상부터는 일정하였다. 그룹 II에서는 PA(posterior to anterior) 조사가 추가 되었을 때 정상간의 NTCP가 증가하였다. 그룹 III는 표적용적 주변에 정상조직이 많아 조사 방향의 설정에 어려움이 있었고 여러 방향에서의 조사 보다는 RAO(right anterior oblique)와 PA를 이용한 2개의 조사만이 시행되었을 때 정상 간의 NTCP가 가장 낮았다. 그룹 IV에서도 RAO와 PA의 2개 조사로 이루어진 치료계획에서 정상 간의 NTCP 가 가장 낮았다. 본 연구를 통해 간암의 방사선 치료계획 시 간암의 위치와 정상조직의 위치에 따라 NTCP 가 다양하게 나타남을 알 수 있었고, 간암의 방사선치료 계획 시 최적 조사 방향의 설정을 통해 임상적으로 방사선치료를 적용하는 데 유용한 지침이 될 수 있을 것으로 생각된다.

월경 전후기 증상 정도 및 월경고통 유형 판별요인 (A Study on the Differentiation of Women with Perimenstrual Symptom Severity and Perimenstrual Distress Patterns)

  • 박영주;유호신
    • 여성건강간호학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.123-138
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to describe perimenstrual symptom severity levels and perimenstrual distress patterns of women. The study performed the discriminant analysis in which included seven factors : age, pariety, social support, menstrual socialization(mother's symptom, sister's symptom, and menstrual effect), attitude of sex role and depression. The subjects were 283 women that they were not pregnant or lactating, had at least one period in past three months, would understand the purpose of study and willingly accepted the participation. The data analysis was done by pc-SAS program after data collection from Nov. 20, 1997 to Dec. 18, 1997. The descriptive analysis was done to explore general characteristics of the subjects and the stepwise discriminant analysis was done to verify factors in relation to perimenstrual symptom severity levels(severe vs mild menstrual symptom group) and perimenstrual distress patterns(spasmodic vs congestive menstrual symptom group). The instruments were selected for this study from Interpersonal Support Evaluation List(ISEL) by Cohen and Hoberman(1983), Center for Epidemic Studies Depression(CES-D) by Radloff(1977), and Sex Role Attitude Scale by Yunok Suh(1995), Mother's symptom and sister's symptom measurements by Woods, Mitchell & Lentz(1995), and menstrual effect by Brooks-Gun & Ruble(1980). The major findings of this study are as follows : 1. Of the 283 women, 93 women(32.9%) were assessed to severe perimenstrual symptom group and 190 women(67.1%) were assessed to mild perimenstrual symptom group. Results from the stepwise discriminant analysis showed three factors, such as depression, menstrual effect, and age, significantly related to perimenstrual symptom severity and they explained 20% of the total variance. The linear discriminant equation included three factors related to perimenstrual symptom groups was showed(Z=1.445 depression+0.174 menstrual effect-0.054 age). The cutting score(Z) was 2.809. We classified the severe perimenstrual symptom group by more than the cutting score 2.809 and the mild perimenstrual symptom by less or equal than the cutting score 2.809. The correctedness of posterior probability from discriminant equation was 72% as two perimenstrual symptom group classifications. 2. Of the 264 women, 139 women(52.7%) were assessed to spasmodic perimenstrual distress group and women(47.3%) were assessed to congestive perimenstrual distress group. Results from the stepwise discriminant analysis showed two factors, such as depression, age, significantly related to perimenstrual distress groups and they explained 8% of the total variance. The linear discriminant equation included two factors related to perimenstrual distress group was showed(Z=-0.084 age-0.776 depression). The cutting score(Z) was -3.759. We classified the spasmodic perimenstrual distress group by more than cutting score -3.759 and the congestive perimenstrual distress group by less or equal than cutting score -3.759. The correctedness of posterior probability from discriminant equation was 65% as two perimenstrual distress group classifications.

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Application of peak based-Bayesian statistical method for isotope identification and categorization of depleted, natural and low enriched uranium measured by LaBr3:Ce scintillation detector

  • Haluk Yucel;Selin Saatci Tuzuner;Charles Massey
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권10호
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    • pp.3913-3923
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    • 2023
  • Todays, medium energy resolution detectors are preferably used in radioisotope identification devices(RID) in nuclear and radioactive material categorization. However, there is still a need to develop or enhance « automated identifiers » for the useful RID algorithms. To decide whether any material is SNM or NORM, a key parameter is the better energy resolution of the detector. Although masking, shielding and gain shift/stabilization and other affecting parameters on site are also important for successful operations, the suitability of the RID algorithm is also a critical point to enhance the identification reliability while extracting the features from the spectral analysis. In this study, a RID algorithm based on Bayesian statistical method has been modified for medium energy resolution detectors and applied to the uranium gamma-ray spectra taken by a LaBr3:Ce detector. The present Bayesian RID algorithm covers up to 2000 keV energy range. It uses the peak centroids, the peak areas from the measured gamma-ray spectra. The extraction features are derived from the peak-based Bayesian classifiers to estimate a posterior probability for each isotope in the ANSI library. The program operations were tested under a MATLAB platform. The present peak based Bayesian RID algorithm was validated by using single isotopes(241Am, 57Co, 137Cs, 54Mn, 60Co), and then applied to five standard nuclear materials(0.32-4.51% at.235U), as well as natural U- and Th-ores. The ID performance of the RID algorithm was quantified in terms of F-score for each isotope. The posterior probability is calculated to be 54.5-74.4% for 238U and 4.7-10.5% for 235U in EC-NRM171 uranium materials. For the case of the more complex gamma-ray spectra from CRMs, the total scoring (ST) method was preferred for its ID performance evaluation. It was shown that the present peak based Bayesian RID algorithm can be applied to identify 235U and 238U isotopes in LEU or natural U-Th samples if a medium energy resolution detector is was in the measurements.