• Title/Summary/Keyword: Portfolio Risk

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A Study on Oil Price Risk Affecting the Korean Stock Market (한국주식시장에 파급되는 국제유가의 위험에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Ji-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.75-106
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    • 2007
  • In this study, it is analyzed whether oil price plays a major role in the pricing return on Koran stock market and examined why the covariance risk between oil and return on stock is different in each industry. Firstly, this study explores whether the expected rate of return on stock is pricing due to global oil price factors as a function of risk premium by using a two-factor APT. Also, it is examined whether spill-over effects of oil price volatility affect the beta risk to oil price. Considering the asymmetry of oil price volatility, we use the GJR model. As a result, it shows that oil price is an independent pricing factor and oil price volatility transmits to stock return in only electricity and electrical equipment. Secondly, the two step-analyzing process is introduced to find why the covariance between oil price factor and stock return is different in each industry. The first step is to study whether beta risk exists in each industry by using two proxy variables like size and liquidity as control variables. The second step is to grasp the systematic relationship between the difference of liquidity and size and beta to oil price factor by using the panel-data model which can be analyzed efficiently using the cross-sectional data formed with time series. Through the analysis, we can argue that oil price factor is an independent pricing factor in only electricity and electrical equipment having the greatest market capitalization, and know that beta risk to oil price factor is a proxy of size in the other industries. According to the result of panel-data model, it is argued that the beta to oil price factor augments when market capitalization increases and this fact supports the first assertion. In conclusion, the expected rate of return of electricity and electrical equipment works as a function of risk premium to market portfolio and oil price, and the reason to make beta risk power differentiated in each industry attributes to the size.

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Evaluation of Introducing Feasibility of Blockchain Technology to Food Safety Management Network (식품안전관리망 강화를 위한 블록체인 기술 도입의 적절성 평가)

  • Kwon, So-Young;Min, Kyong-Se;Cho, Seung Yong
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.489-494
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    • 2019
  • The appropriateness of introducing blockchain technology into food safety management systems was evaluated by conducting a survey of experts on the effectiveness and constraint evaluation indicators, and a portfolio analysis was conducted to set the priorities of blockchain application. The food safety management activities considered in this study were issuing documents on food import/export, food hygiene rating scheme, civil complaint management in the food sector, food- related certification, risk information management, and food traceability systems. The sectors that can be expected to be effective in the introduction of blockchain technology were food- related certification, food hygiene rating scheme, risk information management, and issuing documents on food import/export. In the case of food traceability systems and civil complaint management, the introduction of blockchain technology was not recommended due to ineffectiveness. From the evaluation of the constraints (e.g., technical limits, cost, legal amendment, personal information disclosure, timeliness, and ease of connection) to be overcome when introducing blockchain into food safety management, it was found that there are more than average constraints in all six areas. In particular, the food traceability system was evaluated to have the most constraints. Issuing documents on food import/export is very effective with the introduction of blockchain technology, but due to high cost and legal restrictions, it is necessary to improve the institutional system in order to introduce blockchain. Among the evaluation sectors, food- related certification, food hygiene rating scheme, and risk information management on foods were suitable for preferentially adopting blockchain technology since these areas might experience greatly improved reliability and transparency through the introduction of blockchain, with relatively low constraints.

The Study on the Impact of China Banks' Securities Asset Management on Financial performance (중국 상업은행의 유가증권투자가 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Bae, Soo Hyun
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2023
  • Recently, credit risk in the Chinese corporate bond market has increased significantly, and there is a possibility that banks that have invested in corporate bonds may become insolvent. The purpose of this study is to empirically analyze the effect of Chinese commercial banks' investment in securities on financial performance. The analysis results are as follows. First, it is estimated that as the share of securities investment by Chinese commercial banks increases, the bank's profitability decreases. It was found that investment in securities did not have a positive impact on profitability due to the increase in credit risk in the corporate bond market and the increase in marginal companies. Second, it is estimated that as the proportion of securities investment by Chinese commercial banks increases, the bank's soundness deteriorates. As credit risk in China's capital market is increasing, continuous management of non-performing assets is required. Chinese commercial banks need portfolio management through securities investment in addition to loan assets to improve profitability. However, volatility should be managed by adjusting the scale of securities management to an appropriate level.

Characteristics of Healthcare REITs' Performance and Operation, and their Use for Activating the Silver Industries in Korea (헬스케어 REITs의 성과 및 운영 특성과 국내 실버산업에의 활용 방안)

  • Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.157-175
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    • 2011
  • This paper aims to analyze the characteristics of healthcare REITs' performance and operation, and to examine their use for activating the silver industries in Korea. The results of this study are as follows. First, according to the results of analyzing healthcare REITs' performance, healthcare REITs outperformed average REITs and extended investment proportion compared to total REITs after 2007. This outperforming came from not only rapid growth of silver industries, but also REITs strategy using the structure of sale-and-leaseback and triple-net lease. Second, healthcare REITs use selection and concentration strategy in terms of asset sector, but use portfolio diversification strategy in terms of investment region. Third, according to the analysis results, healthcare REITs are to be useful for activating the silver industries in Korea. In this context, major implications are presented to use healthcare REITs effectively.

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Hedging Performance Using KODEX200 ETF (KODEX200 ETF를 이용한 헤지성과)

  • Byun, Youngtae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.905-914
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we examine hedging effectiveness of KODEX200 ETF and KOSPI200 futures with respect to KOSPI200 spot or KODEX200 ETF using naive, the risk-minimization models and the VECM. The sample period covers from January 5. 2010 to October 31. 2013. Daily prices of the KOSPI200 spot, KOSPI200 futures and KODEX200 were used in this study. The results are summarized ans follows. First, this study show that there is cointegration relationship among KOSPI200 spot, futures and KODEX200 ETF market. Second, there is no significant difference in hedging performance among the models. Finally, hedged position of KOSPI200 cash(unhedged position)-KODEX200 ETF(hedge vehicle) or KODEX200 ETF-KOSPI200 futures seems to improve hedging performance compared to KOSPI200 cash-KOSPI200 futures. This implies that the portfolio managers may be encouraged to use the former than the latter.

A Study on Improvement of a company's R&D Strategy (기업의 기술개발(R&D)중시 전략에 관한 연구)

  • 구현서
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 1999
  • Research and Development (R&D) departments concentrate their efforts on one of two key types of research: fundamental research to discover new technology, and product development research to determine ways to use new technology or to improve upon already existing technology. Of these two types of research, the first, fundamental research, does not guarantee that successful products will develop. This type of research generally requires the investment of large sums of money without the surety of financial gain. It can, however, greatly enhance a company's image and profit potential if it can then develop a successful product from the fundamental research their scientists and engineers have done. Also, through this type of research, companies can register patents which can result in income from the sale or license of the patented technology or process to other companies. Companies place themselves at financial risk when they delve into fundamental research. For that reason, most companies concentrate their research funds and efforts on the second type of research, product development. For a product to be considered successful the company must realize some sort of benefit such as profit, increased marketshare, market recognition, or any other company-defined benefits. Both types of research require a company's consistent financial investment and planning. As the world market becomes more competitive, only those companies that can produce a product with good quality, competitive pricing, and in a timely manner will thrive. This thesis focuses on issues for developing a successful product through examining a product life cycle, a product portfolio matrix, and reactive and proactive marketing strategies.

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Contingency and Management Reserves Estimation Method for Project Budget (프로젝트 예비비 편성 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyukchun;Kang, Changwook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2016
  • Many organizations have transformed their business in order to survive and compete in the future. They generate projects by creating a vision, using strategies and objectives with funds aligning strategies and make efforts to complete them successfully because project success leads to business success. All projects have triple constraints such as scope, time, and cost to be completed. Project cost performance is a key factor to achieve project goals and which is mostly related with risks among various cost drivers. Projects require a cost estimation method to complete them within their budget and on time. An accurate budget cannot be estimated due to the uncertainties and risks. Thus some additional money should be funded in addition to the base budget as a contingency reserve for identified risks and a management reserve for unidentified risks. While research on contingency reserve for identified risks included in project budget baseline have been presented, research on management reserve for unidentified risks included in total project budget is still scarce. The lack of research on estimation method and role of the management reserve have made project managers little confidence to estimate project budget accurately with reasonable basis. This study proposes a practical model to estimate budgets including contingency and management reserves for not only project cost management but also to keep the balance of organization's total funds to maximize return on investments for project portfolio management. The advantages of the proposed model are demonstrated by its application to construction projects in Korea and the processes to apply this model for verification are also provided.

Volatility & Correlation Analysis of the East Asian Stock Market - Focusing on Korea·Japan·China·Hong Kong·Taiwan (동아시아 주식시장의 상관관계와 변동성 분석 - 한국·일본·중국·홍콩·대만을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.165-173
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the correlation and volatility of Korea and neighboring East Asia stock markets. East Asian stock markets were selected for Japan, China, Hong Kong and Taiwan by economically and geographically close with Korea. If you understand the volatility and the correlation between Korea and the East Asian stock market, it may be helpful in predicting investment. And It may reduce the risk of investing of asset allocation in global portfolio level. For this using the national monthly return data for the last 163 months, I was calculating and comparison the rate and correlation, and regression analysis. Result of the correlation analysis, Korea have shown a low correlation with China. while showing a high correlation with Taiwan and Hong Kong. China has been forming its own market in East Asia and showing a low correlation with other countries exception Hong Kong. Hong Kong has been determined as the highest harmonization within the East Stock Market.

A Study on USA, Japan and India Stock Market Integration - Focused on Transmission Mechanism - (미국, 일본, 인도 증권시장 통합에 관한 연구 - 정보전달 메카니즘을 중심으로 -)

  • Yi, Dong-Wook
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.255-276
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    • 2009
  • This article has examined the international transmission of returns among S&P500, Nikkei225 and SENSEX stock index cash markets using the daily closing prices covered from January 4, 2002 to February 6, 2009. For this purpose we employed dynamic time series models such as the Granger causality analysis and variance decomposition analysis based on VAR model. The main empirical results are as follows; First, according to Granger causality tests we find that S&P500 stock index has a significant prediction power on the changes of SENSEX and Nikkei225 stock index market and vice versa. However, US stock market's influence is dominant to the other stock markets at a significant level statistically. Second, according to variance decomposition, SENSEX stock index is more sensitive to the movement of S&P500 than that of Nikkei225 stock index. These kinds of empirical results shows that the three stock markets are integrated over times and these results will be informative for the international investors to build the world-wide investment portfolio and risk management strategies, etc.

The Impact of Crude Oil Prices on Macroeconomic Factors in Korea

  • Yoon, Il-Hyun
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine how Korea's macroeconomic factors, such as GDP, CPI, Export, Import, Unemployment rate and USD/KRW exchange rate, are affected by the oil price shocks. Design/methodology/approach - This study used monthly and quarterly time-series data of each variable for the period 1983 to 2022, consisting of two sub-periods, to employ Granger causality test and GARCH method in order to identify the role of the oil price movement in macroeconomic factors in Korea. Findings - Korea's currency rate to the US dollar is negatively correlated with the price change of crude oil while the GDP change is positively correlated with the price change of crude oil with strong relationship between Export and Import in particular. The exchange rate and GDP growth are believed to be not correlated with the oil price change for the pre-GFC period. According to the Granger causality test, the price change in crude oil has a causal impact on CPI, Export and Import while other factors are relatively slightly affected. Transmission effect from the oil price to Export is found and there also exists volatility spillover from oil price to economic variables under examination. Comparing two sub-periods, CPI and Export volatility responds negatively to shocks in the oil price for the pre-GFC period while volatility of CPI and Unemployment reacts positively to the oil price shocks for the post-GFC period. Research implications or Originality - The findings of this study could be helpful for both domestic and international investors to build their portfolio for the risk management since rising WTI price can be interpreted as a result of global economic growth and ensuing increase in the worldwide demand of the crude oil. Consequently, the national output is expected to increase and the currency is also expected to be strong in the long run.