• 제목/요약/키워드: Population Structure Changes

검색결과 285건 처리시간 0.034초

인구밀도경사함수를 이용한 우리나라 도시공간구조의 지역별.규모별 변화특성 분석 (Analysis of Changes in the Characteristics of Urban Spatial Structure in Korea through the Population Gradient Curve)

  • 윤갑식;이갑정
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.445-457
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문의 목적은 우리나라 도시공간구조 변화를 시계열적으로 분석하고, 지역별 규모별 그 특성을 도출하는 것이다. 본 논문에서 도시공간구조는 인구밀도경사함수(population gradient curve)를 통해 분석하였고, 분석의 시간적 범위는 자료구축의 가능성을 고려하여 2000년부터 2010년까지로 설정하였으며, 공간적 범위는 광역시를 제외한 70개 도시이다. 본 논문의 분석결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 우리나라 도시들은 평균적으로 도심 인구밀도는 감소하고, 인구밀도 경사도는 완만해져 도심 집중현상보다 외곽지역으로의 확산이 활발하게 진행되는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 비수도권 지역은 전국 평균과 동일한 형태의 공간구조 변화를 경험하였지만, 수도권 지역은 외곽지역뿐만 아니라 도심까지 인구밀도가 함께 높아지는 현상이 나타났다. 셋째, 인구 20만 이상의 중도시와 대도시에서는 도심 집중현상보다는 도시 외곽지역으로의 확산이 우세하게 나타난 반면, 인구 20만 미만의 소도시에서는 도심 인구밀도가 높아지면서 인구밀도 경사도의 절댓값이 커지는 도심 집중현상, 즉 압축도시의 특성이 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다.

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GIS를 활용한 부산시공간구조변천에 관한 연구 - 인구, 고용, 지가분포를 중심으로 - (Changes of Spatial Structure in Busan Metropolitan using GIS - with Special Reference to Population, Employment and Land Prices -)

  • 김흥관
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.204-214
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    • 2006
  • 부산대도시의 공간구조와 그 문제들에 관심을 가진 많은 도시 학자들과 연구자들이 부산대도시 공간구조에 대한 관리의 필요성을 오랫동안 제기하였다. 그래서 본 연구의 목적은 1993년, 2001년의 기간 동안의 인구밀도, 고용밀도, 지가로 부산대도시의 공간구조의 동적인 변화를 알아보는 것이다. 본 연구의 중요한 결과들은 다음과 같다. 도심의 인구유출을 경험하는 동안, 주변부는 지속적으로 성장하였다. 중앙동은 인구 잠재성의 높은 접근성을 가졌다. 그러나 그 접근성은 1993년 이후 줄어들고 있다. 부전동은 2000년까지 인구가 증가하는 경향을 보이나 그 이후 년부터는 인구가 감소하였다. 그사이에 주변부는 높은 접근성으로 인구가 증가하였다. 그래서 부산의 공간구조가 다핵도시로 바뀌었다. 이 현상은 기존의 도심에서부터 자발적인 인구분산을 일으키게 되었다. 지가 변화에서는 부산 도시화의 분포패턴을 보여준다. 부산의 가장 높은 지가는 CBD에서 나타나며, 부산의 발전은 남북 띠를 따라 나아가면서, 서부산 지역에 영향을 주었다.

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농촌지역 인구구조 변화의 방향과 성격 -농촌지역 인구구조 및 외국인 인구 변화추이 전망- (A Review of the Changes on the Population Structure in Rural Area)

  • 김배성;최세현
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.291-307
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this article is to examine the structure of the composition of the population in rural area for the last 45 years, and to forecast mid and long term structure of the population in the near future. Moreover, forecast has been done whether the rapid increase by the inflow of foreigners has any offset on the structural change in rural population. According to the research result, the rural area is experiencing a rapid decrease in population, a rapid increase in the percentage of the aged, and foreigners. To resolve the problematic situation mentioned above, some effective counterplan has to be considered by all agencies concerned.

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인구구조 변동 추세를 반영한 미세먼지 노출에 의한 조기 사망자 추정 (Estimation of Premature Deaths due to Exposure to Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Reflecting Population Structure Change in South Korea)

  • 박정현;장용철;이종현
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제49권6호
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    • pp.362-371
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    • 2023
  • Background: PM2.5 pollution has been a persistent problem in South Korea, with concentrations consistently exceeding World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. The aging of the population in the country further exacerbates the health impacts of PM2.5 since older adults are more susceptible to the adverse effects of air pollution. Objectives: This study aims to evaluate how the health impact (premature death) due to long-term exposure to PM2.5 in South Korea could change in the future according to the trend of change in the country's population structure. Methods: The study employs a relative risk function, which accounts for age-specific relative risks, to assess the changes in premature deaths by age and region at the average annual PM2.5 concentration for 2022 and at PM2.5 concentration improvement levels. Premature deaths were estimated using the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM). Results: The findings indicate that the increase in premature deaths resulting from the projected population structure changes up to 2050 would significantly outweigh the health benefits (reduction in premature deaths) compared to 2012. This is primarily attributed to the rising number of premature deaths among the elderly due to population aging. Furthermore, the study suggests that the effectiveness of the current domestic PM2.5 standard would be halved by 2050 due to the increasing impact of population aging on PM2.5-related mortality. Conclusions: The study highlights the importance of considering trends in population structure when evaluating the health benefits of air pollution reduction measures. By comparing and evaluating the health benefits in reflection of changes in population structure to the predicted PM2.5 concentration improvements at the provincial level, a more comprehensive assessment of regional air quality management strategies can be achieved.

한국 인구구조의 변화에 관한 분석 - 1955년~2020년 - (A Study of the Changes in Korean Population structure - 1955~2020 -)

  • 이운영;김초강
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.58-65
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    • 1989
  • This study analyzes the structural characteristics of rapid changes in Korean population, using the data of a census and other data on the changes in the population. Major findings are : 1. During 1950~1955, annual increase rate of population was about 1.02%, about 2.88% during 1955~1960, and 1.36% during 1980~1985. It is expected to decrease to 0.07% during 2015~2020. 2. Major Age Composition 0~14 is expected to reduce to 16.5% in 2020 from 41.2% in 1955, while the ratio of population aged 15~64 is expected to increase to 72.1% from 55.5%. Furthermore, for the population group of age 65 and over is expected to increase from a mere 3.3% to 11.4%. 3. The aging index of population is expected to increase to 69.5 in 2020 from 8.0 in 1955 and so the old dependency ratio is expected to 15.9 from 6.0 4. The median age is expected to 40.2 in 2020 from 19.0 in 1955. 5. In 2020 the child-woman ratio is expected to reduce to 22.3 from 64.7 in 1955. 6. In 2020 the age index of 0~4 is expected to 57.4 from 169.4 in 1955, and the age index of 65~69 to 261.7 from 95.6 on the contrary.

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연변 조선족사회의 최근 변화: 사회인구학적 접근 (Recent Changes of the Ethnic Korean Population in Yanbian Autonomous Prefecture: A Socio-demographic Approach)

  • 김두섭
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.111-145
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    • 2003
  • 이 연구는 개혁개방정책 이후 중국 내 조선족이 보인 사회인구학적 행태의 변화를 설명하기 위한 것이다. 시장경제체제의 도입과 한중 국교수립 이후 조선족사회는 출산력수준의 급격한 저하와 인구구조의 고령화로 매우 급격한 변화를 겪고 있다. 조선족의 인구행태와 인구구조의 이러한 변화는 한족에 비해 두드러지게 나타난다. 중국 내 조선족인구가 가장 밀집되어 거주하고 있는 연변지역의 조선족사회는 최근 절대인구규모의 감소추세를 보이고 있다. 아울러 시장경제의 도입 이후 이동성향이 높아지고 통혼권과 거주지역이 확산되며. 조선족학교를 통한 민족교육이 급격히 위축되는 추세를 보인다. 그리고 이에 따라 조선족사회의 사회적 통합과 문화정체성이 약화되고 중국 내 소수민족사회로서의 위상도 점차 약화되는 과정에 있다. 연변 조선족사회의 사회인구학적 변화와 위기상황에 대한 설명을 위해 이 연구는 연변조선족자치주의 1990년과 2000년 인구센서스 자료와 각종 통계자료를 활용하였다. 또한, 이 연구에서는 인구센서스를 통하여 드러난 조선족인구의 연령구조가 매우 불규칙적이라는 점을 감안하여 1990년과 2000년 인구센서스 자료의 신뢰성과 정확도를 재검토하는 작업도 이루어졌다.

개방경제하에서 농업 ${\cdot}$ 농촌정책의 새로운 방향;농업보전정책의 필요성을 중심으로 (The New Direction of Rural and Agricultural Policy under the Economic Opening System)

  • 최식인;고순철
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2005
  • This study investigated structural changes of the Korea's agriculture and proposed the new direction of rural and agricultural policy in Korea after economic opening. The major results may be summarized as follows: Firstly, the study identified structural changes of the country's peasantry under the economic opening system. Korean agriculture has been deteriorated in population structure, arable land size, and income composition. Secondly, according to above analysis on these changes it suggested that the traditional rural communities were exposed to collapse and this unwanted disaster could result in serious adversities to the national economy. Thirdly, this study proposed preservation policies for small scale farming households and also administrative preparations of multi-dimensional approaches leading to successful rural and agricultural planning.

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물 공급을 위한 에너지 사용 요인분해 분석: Water-Energy Nexus 관점에서 (Decomposition Analysis of Energy Use for Water Supply: From the Water-Energy Nexus Perspective)

  • 유재호;조연희;김하나;전의찬
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제38권5호
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    • pp.240-246
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    • 2022
  • Water and energy are inextricably linked and referred to as 'Water-Energy Nexus'. Recently, this topic has been drawing a lot of attention from various studies due to the exacerbated water availability. Korea's water and energy consumption has been increasing consistently, which calls for better management. This paper aims to identify changes in electricity consumption in relation to water intake and purification processes. Using Log Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) Decomposition Analysis method, this study attributes the changes to major factors such as; Total population (population effect), household/population (structure effect), GDP/household (economic effect), and water-related energy use/GDP (unit effect). The population effect, structure effect, and economic effect contributed to an increase in water-related electricity consumption, while the unit effect contributed to a decrease. As of 2019, the economic effect increased the water supply sector's electricity consumption by 534 GWh, the population effect increased by 73 GWh, and the structure effect increased by 243 GWh. In contrast, the unit effect decreased the electricity consumption by -461 GWh. We would like to make the following suggestions based on the findings of this study; first, the unit effect must be improved by increasing the energy efficiency of water intake and purification plants and installing renewable energy power generation facilities. Second, the structure effect is expected to increase over time, and to mitigate it, water consumption must be reduced through water conservation policies and the improvement of water facilities. Finally, the findings of this study are expected to be used as foundational data for integrated water and energy management.

A Model to Estimate Population by Sex, Age and District Based on Fuzzy Theory

  • Pak. Pyong-Sik;Kim, Gwan
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2002년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.42.1-42
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    • 2002
  • A model to predict population by sex, age and district over a long-range period is proposed based on fuzzy theories. First, a fuzzy model is described. Second, a method to estimate the social increase by sex and age in each district is proposed based on a fuzzy clustering method for dealing with long-range socioeconomic changes in population migration. By the proposed methods, it became possible to predict the population by sex, age and district over a long-range period. Third, the structure and characteristics of the three models of employment model, time distance model, and land use model constructed to predict various socioeconomic indicators, which are require...

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사회경제, 인구학적 요인과 이혼율과의 관계 (The Relationship between Divorce Rates and Socioeconomic and Demographical Factors)

  • 정현숙
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.51-67
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    • 2008
  • The study analyzes divorce rates in Korea and makes suggestions for the future research of divorce rates. Based on the data from Korea Statistical Information System (KOSIS) of the National Statistics Organization, trends for divorce rates change and the relations between divorce rates and macro environmental factors are analyzed. Macro environmental factors include socioeconomic factors such as, Korean War, Vietnam War, oil shock, IMP economic crisis and gross national income (GNI), whereas demographical factors include population structure, rates of female labor participation, and geographical location. The principle characteristics of divorce rates are as follows: 1) the Crude divorce rates (CDR) and the number of divorced had been increased from 1970 to 2004, then the trend changed to a decrease; 2) the slope of the change were the highest during 1998 to 2004 after the IMP economic crisis. The relations between socioeconomic factors are as follows: 1) during the war there was a small increase of CDR for a short period of time; 2) the economic crisis of the nation tend to increase the CDR, while the IMP economic crisis had a strong impact on an increase of CDR because of the interaction effect among the population structure, women's sex role changes as well as the level of standard of living. The increase in CDR from 1990 to 2000 can be explained partly by the population of baby Boomers passing through their marriage and divorce process. The number of population residing in the rural area and the middle class households, and the mobility of population also had an impact on the divorce rates changes. The recommendations for the future research were as follows: 1) the need to develop new divorce statistics that are based on a marriage cohort or a birth cohort because family behavior is a mixture of personal, social and political responses, and because CDR is not an accurate measure of divorce rate since it was influenced by population structure; 2) the need to include micro personal factors as well as macro social factors in a model to find an interaction effect between those variables.