• Knowledge Management Research
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.49-63
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• 2007

This paper presents a new methodology that allows the influence of technological obsolescence and technology composite competitiveness to estimate technology economic life. In this paper the patent citation life analysis is used to estimate technology representative life, and technology residual life analysis is employed to estimate residual life using the linear and inverse functions. The technology economic life will be determined by combining the estimation results of patent citation life analysis and technology residual life analysis. This paper includes an example of applying it to the US patent data for 5 communications areas. Therefore, this logical concept can be applied usefully to determine the technology economic life and be expected to contribute to obtain credibility of technology valuation.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.1-11
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• 2006

A citation-based method of estimating the life span of a patented technology is proposed In this study. The suggested framework Includes : (1) estimation of citation frequency of an individual patent within a technology group. (2) calculation of a mutual citation frequency between citing patent and cited patents, (3) calculation of the period for cited patents from the year of registration to the year of being cited most recently and (4) description for technology group using descriptive statistics such as mean, median, mode, etc. The framework suggested in this study was applied to the US patent data between 1976 and 2004 for 5 communications areas.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.12 no.11
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• pp.5227-5237
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• 2011

Technology roadmap is a powerful tool that considers relationships of technology, product and market and referred as a supporting technology strategy and planning. There are numerous studies that have attempted to develop technology roadmap and case studies on specific technology areas. However, a number of studies have been dependant on brainstorming and discussion of expert group, delphi technique as qualitative analysis rather than systemic and quantitative analysis. To overcome the limitation, patent analysis considered as quite quantitative analysis is employed in this paper. Therefore, this paper proposes new technology roadmapping based on patent citation network considering technology life cycle and suggests planning for undeveloped technology but considered as promising. At first, patent data and citation information are collected and patent citation network is developed on the basis of collected patent information. Secondly, we investigate a stage of technology in the life cycle by considering patent application year and the technology life cycle, and duration of technology development is estimated. In addition, subsequent technologies are grouped as nodes of a super-level technology to show the evolution of the technology for the period. Finally, a technology roadmap is drawn by linking these technology nodes in a technology layer and estimating the duration of development time. Based on technology roadmap, technology planning is conducted to identify undeveloped technology through text mining and this paper suggests characteristics of technology that needs to be developed in the future. In order to illustrate the process of the proposed approach, technology for hydrogen storage is selected in this paper.

• Journal of Information Management
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.93-112
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• 2004

This study is intend to analyze the cited patent life time of US patent data via more objective way. It is based on exploratory approach which is one of various methods for technology forecasting. The life spans of cited patents of specific technological field are deduced from using informetric analysis of USPA database of KISTI, which is composed of US patent data covered from 1972 to present. The statistics of the results may help to estimate the economic life span of the specific technological area for technology valuation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.46 no.4
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• pp.39-52
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• 2023

In this study, project information of government-funded research institute in the food field was collected and analyzed to systematically identify the factors affecting the process of transferring technological achievements of public research institute to the private sector. This study hypothesized that human resources, financial resources, and technological characteristics as input factors of R&D projects affect output factors, such as research papers or patents produced by R&D projects. Moreover, these outputs would serve as drivers of the technology transfer as one of the R&D outcomes. Linear Regression Analysis and Poisson Regression Analysis were conducted to empirically and sequentially investigate the relationship between input factors and output and outcome of R&D projects and the results are as follows: First, the principle investigator's career and participating researcher's size as human resource factors have an influence on both the number of SCI (science citation index) papers and patent registration. Second, the research duration and research expenses for the current year have an influence on the number of SCI papers and patent registrations, which are the main outputs of R&D projects. Third, the technology life cycle affects the number of SCI papers and patent registrations. Lastly, the higher the number of SCI papers and patent registrations, the more it affected the number of technology transfers and the amount of technology transfer contract.

• Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.294-299
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• 2009

The studies were conducted constantly to detect emerging technology, in order to make sustainable growth of business and to make development of future nations. But there were many controversies because definition of emerging technology might be dependent of the subject's viewpoint and because it might be different to a point of time that emerging technology is applied to the present or the future. This paper sets times of emerging technology to the present and defines emerging technology as patents significantly used in developing current technology. US Patents and patent citation data were gathered from 1976 to 2007. We constructed hot patents pools that were utilized actively in developing new technologies regardless of times. We built a mapping table from IPC classification code to WIPO 32 technology category and analysed a half-life cycle according to specific technology groups.

• Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1186-1190
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• 2009

Activities to search for the new business items of the future in the public and private sectors, has been actively progressed. These generally come from the situation that current technology can not guarantee the future as the technologies and products are going to reach a certain limit. However, prior to these activities, it is necessary that watching for existing technology they're now actively using. It can provides keys to how to find new business items for the future based on the current situation of the technology and products lies. This study collects citation information from U.S. patents from 1976 to 2007 and analyses quantitatively top 1% of cited patents during the last five years of from 2003 to 2007 in the metal sector. It is shown that traditional patents have very long life cycle in the metal sector.