A Study on Estimation of Technology Life Span Using Analysis of Patent Citation

특허인용분석을 통한 기술분야의 수명예측에 관한 연구

  • 유선희 (한국과학기술정보연구원 혁신인프라전략팀) ;
  • 이용호 (한국과학기술정보연구원 혁신인프라전략팀) ;
  • 원동규 (한국과학기술정보연구원 혁신인프라전략팀)
  • Published : 2006.12.31

Abstract

A citation-based method of estimating the life span of a patented technology is proposed In this study. The suggested framework Includes : (1) estimation of citation frequency of an individual patent within a technology group. (2) calculation of a mutual citation frequency between citing patent and cited patents, (3) calculation of the period for cited patents from the year of registration to the year of being cited most recently and (4) description for technology group using descriptive statistics such as mean, median, mode, etc. The framework suggested in this study was applied to the US patent data between 1976 and 2004 for 5 communications areas.

Keywords

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