• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parameter study

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Identification of Uncertainty in Fitting Rating Curve with Bayesian Regression (베이지안 회귀분석을 이용한 수위-유량 관계곡선의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Ug;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.943-958
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    • 2008
  • This study employs Bayesian regression analysis for fitting discharge rating curves. The parameter estimates using the Bayesian regression analysis were compared to ordinary least square method using the t-distribution. In these comparisons, the mean values from the t-distribution and the Bayesian regression are not significantly different. However, the difference between upper and lower limits are remarkably reduced with the Bayesian regression. Therefore, from the point of view of uncertainty analysis, the Bayesian regression is more attractive than the conventional method based on a t-distribution because the data size at the site of interest is typically insufficient to estimate the parameters in rating curve. The merits and demerits of the two types of estimation methods are analyzed through the statistical simulation considering heteroscedasticity. The validation of the Bayesian regression is also performed using real stage-discharge data which were observed at 5 gauges on the Anyangcheon basin. Because the true parameters at 5 gauges are unknown, the quantitative accuracy of the Bayesian regression can not be assessed. However, it can be suggested that the uncertainty in rating curves at 5 gauges be reduced by Bayesian regression.

Sensitivity Analysis and Parameter Evaluation of a Distributed Model for Rainfall-Runoff-Soil Erosion-Sediment Transport Modeling in the Naesung Stream Watershed (내성천 유역의 강우-유출-토양침식-유사이송 모의를 위한 분포형 모형의 민감도 분석 및 매개변수 평가)

  • Jeong, Won Jun;Ji, Un
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.12
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    • pp.1121-1134
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    • 2014
  • The distributed watershed model of rainfall-runoff-soil erosion-sedimen transport was constructed for the Naesung Stream Watershed with high potentiality and risk of sediments produced by soil erosion. The sensitivity analyses of roughness coefficient and hydraulic conductivity which affected the modeling results of runoff and sediment concentration were performed in this study. As a result, the change of the roughness coefficient for the forest area from 0.4 to 0.45 did not affect the change in runoff and stream discharge and the average value and range of sediment concentration were also insignificantly increased with few difference. As a result of the sensitivity analysis of the hydraulic conductivity, the total amount of runoff and maximum runoff were gradually increased as the hydraulic conductivity was reduced. In the case of sediment concentration modeling, the average and the range of sediment concentration for all stations were increased as the hydraulic conductivity was decreased. For the Hyangseok Station, in case of the hydraulic conductivity reduced by 50%, the simulation result of sediment concentration was most similar to the estimated value by the sediment rating curve.

Identification of Uncertainty on the Reduction of Dead Storage in Soyang Dam Using Bayesian Stochastic Reliability Analysis (Bayesian 추계학적 신뢰도 기법을 이용한 소양강댐 퇴사용량 감소의 불확실성 분석)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung;Kim, Sang Ug
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.315-326
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    • 2013
  • Despite of the importance on the maintenance of a reservoir storage, relatively few studies have addressed the stochastic reliability analysis including uncertainty on the decrease of the reservoir storage by the sedimentation. Therefore, the stochastic gamma process under the reliability framework is developed and applied to estimate the reduction of the Soyang Dam reservoir storage in this paper. Especially, in the estimation of parameters of the stochastic gamma process, the Bayesian MCMC scheme using informative prior distribution is used to incorporate a wide variety of information related with the sedimentation. The results show that the selected informative prior distribution is reasonable because the uncertainty of the posterior distribution is reduced considerably compared to that of the prior distribution. Also, the range of the expected life time of the dead storage in Soyang Dam reservoir including uncertainty is estimated from 119.3 years to 183.5 years at 5% significance level. Finally, it is suggested that the improvement of the assessment strategy in this study can provide the valuable information to the decision makers who are in charge of the maintenance of a reservoir.

Evaluation of various nutrients removal models by using the data collected from stormwater wetlands and considerations for improving the nitrogen removal (인공습지에서 영양소 제거 설계모델 검토 및 질소제거 개선방안에 대한 고찰)

  • Park, Kisoo;Kim, Youngchul
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.90-102
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    • 2017
  • In this study, various types of nutrient models were tested by using two tears's water quality data collected from the stormwater wetland in Korea. Based on results, most important factor influencing nitrogen removal was hydraulic loading rate, which indicates that surface area of wetland is more important than its volumetric capacity, and model proposed by WEF was found to give a least error between measured and calculated values. For the phosphorus, in case assuming a power relationship between rate constant and temperature, the best prediction result were obtained, but temperature was most sensitive parameter affecting phosphorus removal. In addition, denitrification was always a limiting step for the nitrogen removal in this particular wetland mostly due to the lack of carbon source and high dissolved oxygen concentration. In this paper, several alternatives to improve nitrogen removal, including proper arrangement and designation of wetland elements and use of floating plants or synthetic fiber mat to control oxygen level and to capture the algal particles were proposed and discussed.

Comparison of the fit of the coping pattern constructed by manual and CAD/CAM, depending on the margin of the abutment tooth (지대치 변연 형태에 따른 수작업과 CAD/CAM으로 제작한 coping 패턴의 적합도 비교)

  • Han, Min-soo;Kwon, Eun-Ja;Chio, Esther;Kim, Si-chul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.10
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    • pp.6611-6617
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the marginal and internal fit of metal and zirconia coping which is fabricated by manual and CAD/CAM(Computer Aided Design/Computer Aided Manufacturing). The model is prepared with Urethane material and two abutment teeth are fabricated with a knife and chamfer margin. Silicon replica technique is used to measure the marginal fit of manually fabricated and the CAD/CAM coping. Internal fitting level is measured with a microscope and the image is captured with a CCD camera. The distance between abutment teeth and coping is measured with a callibrated image analyzer software; marginal opening (MO), marginal gap (MG), internal gap (IG) at maximum curvature area, axial gap (AG), and occlusal gap (OG). Two-way ANOVA test is applied to compare fabrication technique and to analysis of abutment pattern. In addition, one-way ANOVA and Scheffe's test is used to analyze each parameter of the test. The result shows that the fit is < $120{\mu}m$ except OG of CAD/CAM and MO of knife margin. The CAD/CAM fabricated coping showed higher fit level at chamfer margin. However, knife margin showed better fitness compared to chamfer margin at MG. AG showed the minimum dimension with a constant result (< $38{\mu}m$).

The Study of QoS Parameter Metrics For Efficient End-to-End QoS Management (효율적인 End-to-End QoS 관리를 위한 QoS 인자 Metrics 에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Young;Sohn, Jin-Ho;Ahn, Gae-Soon;Hwang, Sun-Ha;Chun, Tai-Myoung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2003.11b
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    • pp.907-910
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    • 2003
  • 이동통신 기술이 발전함에 따라 이동통신 네트워크를 통한 서비스들이 다양해지고, 사용자들의 수는 점점 늘어가고 있다. 또한 사용자들은 일반적으로 이동통신 서비스에 대해 유선 망과 동등한 수준의 품질을 기대한다. 그러나, 이동통신망은 유무선 통합망으로 구성되어 있으며, 이들 복잡한 구성을 갖는 네트워크에 대한 서비스 품질 보장은 유선망에 비해 훨씬 어렵다. 이의 결과로, 이동통신 서비스 네트워크의 트래픽은 과거에 비해 폭발적으로 증가하였다. 따라서, 네트워크 사업자와 서비스 제공자들은 서비스의 성능 문제에 직면하고 있으며, 네트워크 사업자나 서비스 제공자들은 효과적인 서비스 품질관리 기술을 강력하게 요구하고 있다. QoS 감시는 QoS 제공과 보장을 위한 기본적인 기술로서, 실제 네트워크에서 QoS 감시를 위해서는 네트워크 및 서비스 성능 인자들과 QoS 인자들의 관계를 식별해야 한다. 본 논문에서는 서비스와 네트워크 성능인자 그리고, QoS 인자들간의 관계를 QoS metrics로 정의하며, 각 인자들의 관계는 계층적인 그래프로 나타낸다. QoS metrics의 정의와 이에 따른 계층적 그래프의 구성을 통해 세 가지 이점을 기대 할 수 있다. 첫째, 네트워크 사업자들은 QoS 저하의 주요 원인을 신속하게 식별 할 수 있다. 둘째, 네트워크 사업자들과 서비스 제공자들은 주관적인 QoS 를 수치 적인 성능 지표를 통해 측정이 가능하다. 마지막으로, QoS metrics 는 네트워크 사업자들과 서비스 제공자들이 QoS 감시 활동의 결과에 따라 그들의 네트워크를 재구성하는 데 도움을 주며 E2E QoS 제공에 효율성을 가져다 준다.현을 정형화하기 위해 Oolong 코드의 명령어들을 문법으로 작성하였으며, PGS를 통해 생성된 어휘 정보를 가지고 스캐너를 구성하였으며, 파싱테이블을 가지고 파서를 설계하였다. 파서의 출력으로 AST가 생성되면 번역기는 AST를 탐색하면서 의미적으로 동등한 MSIL 코드를 생성하도록 시스템을 컴파일러 기법을 이용하여 모듈별로 구성하였다.적용하였다.n rate compared with conventional face recognition algorithms. 아니라 실내에서도 발생하고 있었다. 정량한 8개 화합물 각각과 총 휘발성 유기화합물의 스피어만 상관계수는 벤젠을 제외하고는 모두 유의하였다. 이중 톨루엔과 크실렌은 총 휘발성 유기화합물과 좋은 상관성 (톨루엔 0.76, 크실렌, 0.87)을 나타내었다. 이 연구는 톨루엔과 크실렌이 총 휘발성 유기화합물의 좋은 지표를 사용될 있고, 톨루엔, 에틸벤젠, 크실렌 등 많은 휘발성 유기화합물의 발생원은 실외뿐 아니라 실내에도 있음을 나타내고 있다.>10)의 $[^{18}F]F_2$를 얻었다. 결론: $^{18}O(p,n)^{18}F$ 핵반응을 이용하여 친전자성 방사성동위원소 $[^{18}F]F_2$를 생산하였다. 표적 챔버는 알루미늄으로 제작하였으며 본 연구에서 연구된 $[^{18}F]F_2$가스는 친핵성 치환반응으로 방사성동위원소를 도입하기 어려운 다양한 방사성의 약품개발에 유용하게 이용될 수 있을 것이다.었으나 움직임 보정 후 영상을 이용하여 비교한 경우, 결합능 변화가 선조체 영역에서 국한되어 나타나며 그 유

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A Study on the adaptive Connection Admission Control Method in ATM Networks (ATM망에서 적응적 연결수락제어 방법에 관한 연구)

  • 한운영;차균현
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.1719-1729
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, an adaptive CAC(Connection Admission Control) method is proposed. The adaptive CAC uses traffic estimates derived from both traffic parameter specified by user and cell flow measurements. Traffic estimation using user-specified parameters is performed at every moment of connection request or connection release by recursive formula which makes real-time calculation possible. Traffic estimation using cell flow measurement is carried out when the number of connected calls does not change during a measurement reflection period-renewal period. The most import ant thing for the traffic estimation using cell flow measurement is the determination of the length of a renewal period to trace a real traffic flow with an allowable time lag and the measurement reflection ratio(MRR) both to reduce the portion of overestimation and to avoid underestimation of real traffic flow. To solve these problems, the adaptive CAC updates renewal period and MRR adaptively according to the number of connections and the elapsed time after last connection or release respectively. Performance analysis for the proposed method is evaluated in several aspects for the cases of both homogeneous and heterogeneous bursty traffic. Numerical examples show the adaptive CAC method has the better performance compared with conventional CAC method based on burst model from the both utilization and QOS point of view.

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Effect of Deposition Parameter and Mixing Process of Raw Materials on the Phase and Structure of Ytterbium Silicate Environmental Barrier Coatings by Suspension Plasma Spray Method (서스펜션 플라즈마 스프레이 코팅법으로 제조된 Ytterbium Silicate 환경차폐코팅의 상형성 및 구조에 미치는 증착인자 및 원료혼합 공정의 영향)

  • Ryu, Ho-lim;Choi, Seon-A;Lee, Sung-Min;Han, Yoon-Soo;Choi, Kyun;Nahm, Sahn;Oh, Yoon-Suk
    • Journal of Powder Materials
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.437-443
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    • 2017
  • SiC-based composite materials with light weight, high durability, and high-temperature stability have been actively studied for use in aerospace and defense applications. Moreover, environmental barrier coating (EBC) technologies using oxide-based ceramic materials have been studied to prevent chemical deterioration at a high temperature of $1300^{\circ}C$ or higher. In this study, an ytterbium silicate material, which has recently been actively studied as an environmental barrier coating because of its high-temperature chemical stability, is fabricated on a sintered SiC substrate. $Yb_2O_3$ and $SiO_2$ are used as the raw starting materials to form ytterbium disilicate ($Yb_2Si_2O_7$). Suspension plasma spraying is applied as the coating method. The effect of the mixing method on the particle size and distribution, which affect the coating formation behavior, is investigated using a scanning electron microscope (SEM), an energy dispersive spectrometer (EDS), and X-ray diffraction (XRD) analysis. It is found that the originally designed compounds are not effectively formed because of the refinement and vaporization of the raw material particles, i.e., $SiO_2$, and the formation of a porous coating structure. By changing the coating parameters such as the deposition distance, it is found that a denser coating structure can be formed at a closer deposition distance.

Assessment of the Damage in High Performance Fiber-Reinforced Cement Composite under Compressive Loading Using Acoustic Emission (AE기법에 의한 압축력을 받는 고인성 섬유보강 시멘트 복합체의 손상 평가)

  • Kim, Sun-Woo;Yun, Hyun-Do
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.589-597
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    • 2009
  • High Performance Fiber-reinforced Cement Composite (HPFRCC) shows the multiple crack and damage tolerance capacity due to the interfacial bonding of the fibers to the cement matrix. For practical application, it is needed to investigate the fractural behavior of HPFRCC and understand the micro-mechanism of cement matrix with reinforcing fiber. This study is devoted to the investigation of the AE signals in HPFRCC under monotonic and cyclic uniaxial compressive loading, and total four series were tested. The major experimental parameters include the type and volume fraction of fiber (PE, PVA, SC), the hybrid type and loading pattern. The test results showed that the damage progress by compressive behavior of the HPFRCC is a characteristic for the hybrid fiber type and volume fraction. It is found from acoustic emission (AE) parameter value, that the second and third compressive load cycles resulted in successive decrease of the amplitude as compared with the first compressive load cycle. Also, the AE Kaiser effect existed in HPFRCC specimens up to 80% of its ultimate strength. These observations suggested that the AE Kaiser effect has good potential to be used as a new tool to monitor the loading history of HPFRCC.

A Mechanical Properties According to the Compaction Degree on Weathered Granite Soil Using Lightweight Dynamic Cone Penetrometer (경량 동적콘관입시험기를 이용한 화강풍화토의 다짐도에 따른 역학특성)

  • Kim, Yeon-Il;Kim, Jin-Young;Shim, Jae-Rok;Choi, Jin;Kang, Kwon-Soo;Baek, Won-Jin;Lee, Kang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the applicability of the lightweight dynamic cone penetrometer in the domestic slope site was investigated using the weathered granite soil sampled form the Namwon slope site. And then, the lightweight dynamic cone penetration tests according to the change in the degree of compaction and water content were performed and it was analyzed with the correlations between the degree of compaction, the void ratio, the degree of saturation and the value of cone resistance. From the laboratory test results, the cone penetration resistance was rapidly increased in the dry side of the optimum moisture content, and it was largely decreased in the wet side of the optimum moisture content. Moreover, when the degree of compaction and the degree of saturation are large, the cone resistance is increased linearly. And a high correlativity was shown between water content, void ratio, the degree of saturation and the cone resistance. From these results, it is judged that the lightweight dynamic cone penetrometer can be applied to the investigation on the site slope.