• Title/Summary/Keyword: P&A 모형

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Comparison of estimation methods for expectile regression (평률 회귀분석을 위한 추정 방법의 비교)

  • Kim, Jong Min;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.343-352
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    • 2018
  • We can use quantile regression and expectile regression analysis to estimate trends in extreme regions as well as the average trends of response variables in given explanatory variables. In this paper, we compare the performance between the parametric and nonparametric methods for expectile regression. We introduce each estimation method and analyze through various simulations and the application to real data. The nonparametric model showed better results if the model is complex and difficult to deduce the relationship between variables. The use of nonparametric methods can be recommended in terms of the difficulty of assuming a parametric model in expectile regression.

Efficient Bayesian Inference on Asymmetric Jump-Diffusion Models (비대칭적 점프확산 모형의 효율적인 베이지안 추론)

  • Park, Taeyoung;Lee, Youngeun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.959-973
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    • 2014
  • Asset pricing models that account for asymmetric volatility in asset prices have been recently proposed. This article presents an efficient Bayesian method to analyze asset-pricing models. The method is developed by devising a partially collapsed Gibbs sampler that capitalizes on the functional incompatibility of conditional distributions without complicating the updates of model components. The proposed method is illustrated using simulated data and applied to daily S&P 500 data observed from September 1980 to August 2014.

Predictive Factors on Breast Self-Examination Intention and Behavior in Middle Aged Women: Based on the Theory of Planned Behavior (계획된 행위이론에 근거한 중년기 여성의 유방자가검진 의도 및 행위 예측요인)

  • Bae, Phil Won;Suh, Soon Rim
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.2349-2359
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to predict the factors which are related to the intention and behaviour for breast self-examination (BSE) of middle aged women using the theory of planned behavior (TPB). A survey using a structured questionnaire was conducted wih 217 middle aged women. BSE behaviour was assessed at 1-month follow-up. The overall fit of the structural model to the date was acceptable(${\chi}^2$=1246.6(p<.001), ${\chi}^2$/df=2.72, CFI=.831, TLI=.817, RMSEA=.089). The BSE behavior rate within one month was 56.2%. The TPB explained 43.9% of the variance in BSE intentions and 10.9% of the variance in BSE behavior. The subjective norm(${\beta}$=.364, p<.001) and the perceived behavioral control(${\beta}$=.553, p<.001) both positively influenced the behavioral intention, and the behavioral intention(${\beta}$=.768, p<.01) positively influenced the behavior. This study shows the model's applicability in explaining BSE behavior of middle aged women, and suggests that health intervention programs should focus on strengthening the intention for the promotion of BSE behavior.

Search for an Optimal-Path Considering Various Attributes (다양한 경로속성을 고려한 최적경로 탐색)

  • Hahn, Jin-Seok;Chon, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2008
  • Existing shortest-path algorithms mainly consider a single attribute. But traveler actually chooses a route considering not single attribute but various attributes which are synthesized travel time, route length, personal preference, etc. Therefore, to search the optimal path, these attributes are considered synthetically. In this study route searching algorithm which selects the maximum utility route using discrete choice model has developed in order to consider various attributes. Six elements which affect route choice are chosen for the route choice model and parameters of the models are estimated using survey data. A multinomial logit models are developed to design the function of route choice model. As a result, the model which has route length, delay time, the number of turning as parameter is selected based on the significance test. We use existing shortest path algorithm, which can reflect urban transportation network such as u-turn or p-turn, and apply it to the real network.

Development of Instructional Model for School Mathematics Based on the Democratic Learning Community to Enhance the Character Education (민주적 학습공동체를 기반으로 수학교과 인성함양을 위한 수업모형 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun Joo;Koh, Sang Sook
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.377-400
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    • 2018
  • With the rapid industrialization and the advent of the era of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, the importance of character education is on the rise. The purpose of this study is to develop the Instructional model that can make the school classroom as a democratic learning community based on general classes and naturally realize the character education in addition to the other subject-matter education. A draft of the instructional model was implemented to confirm that the factors of the character education in mathematics could be improved. The toughness index was measured by using the Character Scale for School Mathematics(CSSM) before and after implementation. Based on the results of the measurement, we completed a P (personal) instruction model and a S (social) instruction model that can enhance the factors of the character education in mathematics based on the democratic learning community through the advisory committee.

Design and Assessment of an Ozone Potential Forecasting Model using Multi-regression Equations in Ulsan Metropolitan Area (중회귀 모형을 이용한 울산지역 오존 포텐셜 모형의 설계 및 평가)

  • Kim, Yoo-Keun;Lee, So-Young;Lim, Yun-Kyu;Song, Sang-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.14-28
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    • 2007
  • This study presented the selection of ozone ($O_3$) potential factors and designed and assessed its potential prediction model using multiple-linear regression equations in Ulsan area during the springtime from April to June, $2000{\sim}2004$. $O_3$ potential factors were selected by analyzing the relationship between meterological parameters and surface $O_3$ concentrations. In addition, cluster analysis (e.g., average linkage and K-means clustering techniques) was performed to identify three major synoptic patterns (e.g., $P1{\sim}P3$) for an $O_3$ potential prediction model. P1 is characterized by a presence of a low-pressure system over northeastern Korea, the Ulsan was influenced by the northwesterly synoptic flow leading to a retarded sea breeze development. P2 is characterized by a weakening high-pressure system over Korea, and P3 is clearly associated with a migratory anticyclone. The stepwise linear regression was performed to develop models for prediction of the highest 1-h $O_3$ occurring in the Ulsan. The results of the models were rather satisfactory, and the high $O_3$ simulation accuracy for $P1{\sim}P3$ synoptic patterns was found to be 79, 85, and 95%, respectively ($2000{\sim}2004$). The $O_3$ potential prediction model for $P1{\sim}P3$ using the predicted meteorological data in 2005 showed good high $O_3$ prediction performance with 78, 75, and 70%, respectively. Therefore the regression models can be a useful tool for forecasting of local $O_3$ concentration.

A Modified grid-based KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model (ModKIMSTORM) (I) - Theory and Model - (격자기반 운동파 강우유출모형 KIMSTORM의 개선(I) - 이론 및 모형 -)

  • Jung, In Kyun;Lee, Mi Seon;Park, Jong Yoon;Kim, Seong Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6B
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    • pp.697-707
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    • 2008
  • The grid-based KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model (KIMSTORM) by Kim (1998) predicts the temporal variation and spatial distribution of overland flow, subsurface flow and stream flow in a watershed. The model programmed with C++ language on Unix operating system adopts single flowpath algorithm for water balance simulation of flow at each grid element. In this study, we attempted to improve the model by converting the code into FORTRAN 90 on MS Windows operating system and named as ModKIMSTORM. The improved functions are the addition of GAML (Green-Ampt & Mein-Larson) infiltration model, control of paddy runoff rate by flow depth and Manning's roughness coefficient, addition of baseflow layer, treatment of both spatial and point rainfall data, development of the pre- and post-processor, and development of automatic model evaluation function using five evaluation criteria (Pearson's coefficient of determination, Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiency, the deviation of runoff volume, relative error of the peak runoff rate, and absolute error of the time to peak runoff). The modified model adopts Shell Sort algorithm to enhance the computational performance. Input data formats are accepted as raster and MS Excel, and model outputs viz. soil moisture, discharge, flow depth and velocity are generated as BSQ, ASCII grid, binary grid and raster formats.

A study on the anterior tooth size discrepancies among orthodontic patients with varying malocclusions (부정교합자의 전치부 치아크기 부조화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyeok-Soo;Shim, Hae-Young;Nahm, Dong-Seok
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.35 no.6 s.113
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    • pp.420-432
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    • 2005
  • Bolton analysis is widely used to predict tooth size discrepancy. but its accuracy has been challenged. The purpose of this study was to describe true anterior tooth size discrepancies among orthodontic patients and to evaluate the factors that affect true anterior tooth size discrepancies. The subjects consisted of 80 patients with varying malocclusions (Class I. Class II. Class III. and Class III surgery) who were treated orthodontically. Pre-treatment models. set-up models from post-treatment models. and lateral cephalometric radiographs were analyzed The results were as follows. The means. the standard deviations. and ranges of anterior Bolton ratio in the present study were somewhat higher than those of Bolton's samples and Korean normal samples. The number of patients showing maxillary deficiency was larger than that of patients showing maxillary excess in view of true anterior discrepancies. There was a significant difference between anterior Bolton discrepancy from pre-treatment models and true anterior discrepancy from set-up models (p < 0.05) There was no significant difference in true anterior discrepancies among malocclusion groups (p > 0.05). And there was also no significant difference between the male and female groups (p> 0.05). Overbite and the incisal edge thickness of maxillary anterior teeth have little relationship with true anterior discrepancies. Multiple regression analysis showed that true anterior discrepancy was mainly determined by anterior Bolton ratio, upper incisor to occlusal plane angle after treatment. interincisal angle after treatment. and upper right lateral incisor width.

Non-gray Radiation with Turbulent Convection in the Entrance Region of a Smooth Tube (매끈한 튜브의 입구 영역에서 난류유동에 의한 대류와 비회복사)

  • Seo, T.B.
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.667-680
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    • 1995
  • 튜브 내의 입구영역에서 난류 유동에 의한 대류와 비회복사(non-gray radiation)가 동시에 일어날 때의 열전달특성을 수치해석적으로 연구하였다. 작동유체는 이산화탄소, 수증기, 질소의 혼합가스라고 가정하였다. 지배방정식을 계산하기 위해 유한차분법이 이용되었고, 복사전달방정식을 이차편미분방정식으로 바꾸기 위해 P-1 근사법이 사용되었다. 그리고 혼합가스의 비회흡수계수(non-gray absorption coefficient)는 지수광폭밴드모형(exponential wide band model)을 이용해서 구하였다. 열전달특성에 대한 온도조건의 영향을 조사하기 위해 튜브의 축방향에 대한 평균 온도와 뉴셀트수(Nusselt number)의 변화를 몇 가지 다른 온도조건에 대해 나타내었다. 또한, 가스의 성분조성에 대한 영향을 조사하였으며, 이러한 결과에 기초해서 튜브 내에서 난류유동에 의한 대류와 비화복사가 동시에 일어날 때의 복사 뉴셀트수를 쉽게 예측할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다.

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