• Title/Summary/Keyword: Out of distribution

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Estimating Cumulative Distribution Functions with Maximum Likelihood to Sample Data Sets of a Sea Floater Model (해상 부유체 모델의 표본 데이터에 대해서 최대우도를 갖는 누적분포함수 추정)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin;Yang, Won-Jae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.453-461
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    • 2013
  • This paper describes evaluation procedures and experimental results for the estimation of Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDF) giving best-fit to the sample data in the Probability based risk Evaluation Techniques (PET) which is to assess the risks of a small-sized sea floater. The CDF in the PET is to provide the reference values of risk acceptance criteria which are to evaluate the risk level of the floater and, it can be estimated from sample data sets of motion response functions such as Roll, Pitch and Heave in the floater model. Using Maximum Likelihood Estimates and with the eight kinds of regulated distribution functions, the evaluation tests for the CDF having maximum likelihood to the sample data are carried out in this work. Throughout goodness-of-fit tests to the distribution functions, it is shown that the Beta distribution is best-fit to the Roll and Pitch sample data with smallest averaged probability errors $\bar{\delta}(0{\leq}\bar{\delta}{\leq}1.0)$ of 0.024 and 0.022, respectively and, Gamma distribution is best-fit to the Heave sample data with smallest $\bar{\delta}$ of 0.027. The proposed method in this paper can be expected to adopt in various application areas estimating best-fit distributions to the sample data.

A Study on the Industrial Distributional Characteristics of Creative Industry in Chungnam Province (충남지역 창조산업의 산업분포 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Jung;Kim, Tae-Yeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.319-334
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    • 2015
  • This study aims at identifying the industrial distributional characteristics of creative industry in Chungnam Province. It finds that there are 11 sectors of creative industrial in Chungnam region. In order to find out the specific characteristics of creative industry in Chungnam, it firstly carried out LQ analysis on the 11 sectors by the 16 counties of the region. It turns out that the distributional characteristics differs between county by county in terms of RCC, BQ and IG effect. These results may imply the needs of regional specific industrial development strategy by the 16 counties in Chungnam Province.

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A Study on Structural Safety Assessment for Docking Condition (선박의 docking 시 반력 계산 및 구조 안전성 평가법에 관한 연구)

  • Suh, Young-Suk;Hur, Ki-Sun;Chung, Sung-Wook;Park, Seung-Mun;Cho, Hyun-Kyoo;Chun, Min-Sung
    • Special Issue of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • 2006.09a
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this paper is to find out a reasonable method for docking analysis of ships. The characteristics of reaction force distribution under docking condition are investigated by carrying out parametric study. To assess the allowable reaction force on keel block from structural strength point of view, two kinds of structural assessment methods are proposed in accordance with expected collapse pattern. In order to verify the proposed method, linear buckling and elasto-plastic large deflection analyses of typical double bottom structure are carried out and the results are compared.

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A Study on the Buckling Strength of the Skirt Structure in the Spherical LNG Carriers (구형 LNG운반선의 탱크지지 구조인 스커트의 좌굴강도에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Ul-Nyeon
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.393-405
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    • 2017
  • This paper deals with the buckling strength of the skirt structure in the spherical LNG carriers. The spherical cargo tank systems consist of spherical tank, skirt, tank cover, pump tower, etc. The skirt supports the spherical cargo tank and is connected with ship hull structure. It is designed to act as a thermal brake between the tank and the hull structure by reducing the thermal conduction from the tank to the supporting structure. It is built up of three parts, upper aluminum part, middle stainless steel part and lower carbon steel part. The 150K spherical LNG carrier was designed and carried out the strength verification under Classification Societies Rule. The design loads due to acceleration, thermal distribution, self-weight and cargo weight were estimated considering requirements of the Class Rule and numerical simulation analyses. Based on the obtained design loads and experienced project data, the initial structure scantling was carried out. To verify the structural integrity, theoretical and numerical analyses were carried out and strength was evaluated aspect of buckling capacity. The results by LR and DNV design code are shown and discussed.

The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Based on Exponential and Inverse Exponential Distribution (지수 및 역지수 분포를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 무한고장 신뢰도 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2016
  • Software reliability in the software development process is an important issue. Software process improvement helps in finishing with reliable software product. Infinite failure NHPP software reliability models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, we were proposed the reliability model with the exponential and inverse exponential distribution, which made out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination($R^2$), for the sake of efficient model, were employed. Analysis of failure, using real data set for the sake of proposing the exponential and inverse exponential distribution, was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the exponential and inverse exponential distribution property. In order to insurance for the reliability of data, Laplace trend test was employed. In this study, the inverse exponential distribution model is also efficient in terms of reliability because it (the coefficient of determination is 80% or more) in the field of the conventional model can be used as an alternative could be confirmed. From this paper, the software developers have to consider life distribution by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can be able to help.

Relation of Freshwater Discharge and Salinity Distribution on Tidal Variation around the Yeomha Channel, Han River Estuary (한강하구 염하수로 주변의 조석변화에 따른 염분분포와 담수와의 상관관계)

  • Yoon, Byung-Il;Woo, Seung-Buhm
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.269-276
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    • 2012
  • Salinity distribution in estuary and tidal river is presented by many parameters including tidal forcing, river discharge and geographical effect. Understanding the characteristics of salinity structure is very important in the aspect of water-quality, ecological, and engineering viewpoint. Field measurement was carried out to study the distribution of salinity structure at 2 surface stations at Yeomha channel in the Han River estuary. The results of short- and long-term salinity change according to short and long tidal variability is investigated. For analyzing the axial salinity distribution at Yeomha channel, the salinity data from NFRDI is used in this study. The relationship between freshwater discharge and salinity distribution is represented through the nonlinear regression equation. The empirical equation for salt intrusion length scale, including tide, river discharge, and topographical effect is presented. As the comparison of empirical equation and existing data collected in study area, the characteristic of salt intrusion length and salinity distribution is changed by tide, fresh water, and geographical effect.

Efficient Vocabulary Optimization Management using VCOR (VCOR를 이용한 효율적인 어휘 최적화 관리)

  • Oh, Sang-Yeob
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.1436-1443
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    • 2010
  • In vocabulary recognition system has it's bad points of processing vocabulary unseen triphone and then no got distribution of confidence measure by cannot normalization. According to this problem to improve suggested VCOR(Version Control for Out-of Rejection) system by out-of vocabulary rejection algorithm use vocabulary management optimization and then phone data search support. In VCOR system to provide vocabulary information efficiently offering for user's vocabulary information using extend facet classification that improved for vocabulary measure management function offering accuracy of recognition for vocabulary. In this paper proposed system performance as a result of represent vocabulary dependence recognition rate of 97.56%, vocabulary independence recognition rate of 96.23%.

A study on the Steel Plate Girder Railway bridge in the applying External Post-tensioning Method (강철도교에 대한 외부 후긴장 보강공법의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Choi Jung-Youl;Park Yong-Gul;Byun Jong Gul
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.1034-1039
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    • 2004
  • The major objective of this study is to investigate the effects and application of reinforcement for steel plate girder railway bridge by the external prestressing method. It analyzed the mechanical behaviors of non-ballasted railway bridge with ballast reinforced and external post-tensioning reinforced on the finite clement analysis for the static and dynamic behavior. As a result, the reinforcement of ballasted railway bridge the external prestressing method are obviously effective for the additional dead force which is ballast. The analytical study are carried out to investigate the post-tension force decrease bending behavior and deflection in composite bridge for serviceability. To develop two type FEM model which reflect well the post-tension force transverse distribution behavior of servicing bridge. With the comparing the results of railway bridge with ballast which carried out before the post-tensioning with the results of railway bridge with ballast which carried out after post-tensioning, It is investigated that the additional dead load decrease effect and bending behavior of servicing bridge is effect by the post-tensioning. The reinforcement by using the external tendon can be reducing that structure of a degradation phenomenon by unusual stresses due to additional dead load and other problems.

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Development of a Probabilistic Model for the Estimation of Yearly Workable Wave Condition Period for Offshore Operations - Centering on the Sea off the Ulsan Harbor (해상작업 가능기간 산정을 위한 확률모형 개발 - 울산항 전면 해역을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Se Ho;Cho, Yong Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2019
  • In this study, a probabilistic model for the estimation of yearly workable wave condition period for offshore operations is developed. In doing so, we first hindcast the significant wave heights and peak periods off the Ulsan every hour from 2003.1.1 to 2017.12.31 based on the meteorological data by JMA (Japan Meterological Agency) and NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration), and SWAN. Then, we proceed to derive the long term significant wave height distribution from the simulated time series using a least square method. It was shown that the agreements are more remarkable in the distribution in line with the Modified Glukhovskiy Distribution than in the three parameters Weibull distribution which has been preferred in the literature. In an effort to develop a more comprehensive probabilistic model for the estimation of yearly workable wave condition period for offshore operations, wave height distribution over the 15 years with individual waves occurring within the unit simulation period (1 hour) being fully taken into account is also derived based on the Borgman Convolution Integral. It is shown that the coefficients of the Modified Glukhovskiy distribution are $A_p=15.92$, $H_p=4.374m$, ${\kappa}_p=1.824$, and the yearly workable wave condition period for offshore work is estimated to be 319 days when a threshold wave height for offshore work is $H_S=1.5m$. In search of a way to validate the probabilistic model derived in this study, we also carry out the wave by wave analysis of the entire time series of numerically simulated significant wave heights over the 15 years to collect every duration periods of waves the height of which are surpassing the threshold height which has been reported to be $H_S=1.5m$ in the field practice in South Korea. It turns out that the average duration period is 45.5 days from 2003 to 2017, which is very close to 46 days from the probabilistic model derived in this study.

The Influence of vibration during distribution of loose-formed eggs (Bombyx mori) to farmers (산란잠종배부시의 동요로 인한 영향)

  • 김원경
    • Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
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    • v.5
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 1965
  • The newly hatched silkworm can not come out with the head ahead, but on the contray, it comes out with the tail ahead when it comes out of the chorion, in case the loose-formed eggs are vibrated artificially, at the end of the incubation. So the newly hatched silkworm can not throw off the chorion alone which covers his head. This kind of eggs occurs about 30% when they are vibrated. In case they were raised, they could not grow well and some of them died. The result was quite bad. In conclusion, it would be better to distribute earlier the loose-formed eggs farmers and the loose-formed eggs must not be vibrated at the end of the incubation.

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