• Title/Summary/Keyword: Option price

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Calibrated Parameters with Consistency for Option Pricing in the Two-state Regime Switching Black-Scholes Model (국면전환 블랙-숄즈 모형에서 정합성을 가진 모수의 추정)

  • Han, Gyu-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2010
  • Among a variety of asset dynamics models in order to explain the common properties of financial underlying assets, parametric models are meaningful when their parameters are set reliably. There are two main methods from which we can obtain them. They are to use time-series data of an underlying price or the market option prices of the underlying at one time. Based on the Girsanov theorem, in the pure diffusion models, the parameters calibrated from the option prices should be partially equivalent to those from time-series underling prices. We call this phenomenon model consistency. In this paper, we verify that the two-state regime switching Black-Scholes model is superior in the sense of model consistency, comparing with two popular conventional models, the Black-Scholes model and Heston model.

THE DYNAMICS OF EUROPEAN-STYLE OPTION PRICING IN THE FINANCIAL MARKET UTILIZING THE BLACK-SCHOLES MODEL WITH TWO ASSETS, SUPPORTED BY VARIATIONAL ITERATION TECHNIQUE

  • FAROOQ AHMED SHAH;TAYYAB ZAMIR;EHSAN UL HAQ;IQRA ABID
    • Journal of Applied and Pure Mathematics
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    • v.6 no.3_4
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2024
  • This article offers a thorough exploration of a modified Black-Scholes model featuring two assets. The determination of option prices is accomplished through the Black-Scholes partial differential equation, leveraging the variational iteration method. This approach represents a semi-analytical technique that incorporates the use of Lagrange multipliers. The Lagrange multiplier emerges as a beacon of efficiency, adeptly streamlining the computational intricacies, and elevating the model's efficacy to unprecedented heights. For better understanding of the presented system, a graphical and tabular interpretation is presented with the help of Maple software.

Distributor's Lot-sizing and Pricing Policy with Ordering Cost inclusive of a Freight Cost under Trade Credit in a Two-stage Supply Chain

  • Shinn, Seong-Whan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.62-70
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    • 2020
  • As an effective means of price discrimination, some suppliers offer trade credit to the distributors in order to stimulate the demand for the product they produce. The availability of the delay in payments from the supplier enables discount of the distributor's selling price from a wider range of the price option in anticipation of increased customer's demand. Since the distributor's lot-size is affected by the demand for the customer, the distributor's lot-size and the selling price determination problem is interdependent and must be solved at the same time. Also, in many common business transactions, the distributor pays the shipping cost for the order and hence, the distributor's ordering cost consists of a fixed ordering cost and the shipping cost that depend on the order quantity. In this regard, we deal with the joint lot-size and price determination problem when the supplier allows delay in payments for an order of a product. The positive effects of credit transactions can be integrated into the EOQ (economic order quantity) model through the consideration of retailing situations, where the customer's demand is a function of the distributor's selling price. It is also assumed that the distributor's order cost consists of a fixed ordering cost and the variable shipping cost. We formulate the distributor's mathematical model from which the solution algorithm is derived based on properties of an optimal solution. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the algorithm developed.

A Production-Based Approach to Travel Choice Modeling (생산기반 가정아래서의 통행선택행위분석)

  • Mun, Dong-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.209-231
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    • 2007
  • This paper suggested an approach to characterize travel choice behaviors using the implicit price instead of the indirect utility. The choice criterion to compare the implicit prices of available trip options was developed from the utility maximization problem of a trip maker which is supposed to choose the best option from the available ones differentiated by only by the quantitative attributes such as travel cost and time but also by qualitative attributes such as comfort and safety. The utility maximization problem is constructed under household production theory, and is incorporated with a special kind of joint homogeneous production functions. The implicit price of a certain trip option is the sum of the monetary price and the multiple of travel time and the value-of-travel-time, and the value-of-travel-time refers to the portion of wage, which can be assignable to the trip-making activity. This choice criterion is statistically identifiable, and behaviorally plausible. Moreover, this criterion has the expression simpler than the indirect utility, and therefore could be an effective target of the statistical estimation for travel choice behaviors.

A design of automatic trading system by dynamic symbol using global variables (전역 변수를 이용한 유동 심볼 자동 주문 시스템의 설계)

  • Ko, Young Hoon;Kim, Yoon Sang
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.211-219
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    • 2010
  • This paper designs the dynamic symbol automatic trading system in Korean option market. This system is based on Multichart program which is convenient and efficient system trading tool. But the Multichart has an important restriction which has only one constant symbol per chart. This restriction causes very useful strategies impossible. The proposed design uses global variables, signal chart selection and position order exchange. So an automatic trading system with dynamic symbol works on Multichart program. To verify the proposed system, BS(Buythensell)-SB(Sellthenbuy) strategies are tested which uses the change of open-interest of stock index futures within a day. These strategies buy both call and put option in ATM at start candle and liquidate all at 12 o'clock and then sell both call and put option in ATM at 12 o'clock and also liquidate all at 14:40. From 23 March 2009 to 31 May 2010, 301-trading days, is adopted for experiment. As a result, the average daily profit rate of this simple strategies riches 1.09%. This profit rate is up to eight times of commision price which is 0.15 % per option trade. If the method which raises the profitable rate of wining trade or lower commission than 0.15% is found, these strategies make fascinated lossless trading system which is based on the proposed dynamic symbol automatic trading system.

VALUATION OF A MULTI-STAGE RAINWATER HARVESTING TANK CONSTRUCTION USING A REAL OPTION APPROACH

  • Byungil Kim;Hyoungkwan Kim;SangHyun Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.386-389
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    • 2013
  • Under climate change and urbanization, rainwater harvesting (RWH) systems are emerging as an alternative source of water supply because of growing concern about water sustainability. RWH systems can satisfy the various watering needs and provide the environmental benefits of lessening the damages from flood, drought, and runoff. The economic success of a RWH system is vitally concerned with the determination of the design capacity of storage tank to be built in the system. The design capacity is determined by the factors of average annual rainfall, period of water scarcity, and water price during the whole life-cycles. Despite the high uncertainties inherent in these factors, the current engineering design of RWH system construction often assumes that storage tanks should be built all at once. This assumption implicitly ignores the managerial flexibility in responds to the future as new information comes out-the right to build storage tanks stage by stage depending on the evolution of demand. This study evaluates the value of a multistage storage tank construction using a real option approach. A case study involving a typical RWH system construction in Jeonju, the Republic of Korea is conducted. The managerial flexibility obtained from the real option perspective allows engineers to develop investment strategies to better cope with the issue of water sustainability.

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Market Risk Premium in Korea: Analysis and Policy Implications (한국의 시장위험 프리미엄: 분석과 시사점)

  • Se-hoon Kwon;Sang-Buhm Hahn
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.71-88
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study provides an overview of existing research and practices related to market risk premiums(MRP), and empirically estimates the MRP in Korea, particularly using the related option prices. We also seek to improve the current MRP practices and explore alternative solutions. Design/methodology/approach - We present the option price-based MRP estimation method, as proposed by Martin (2017), and implement it within the context of the Korean stock market. We then juxtapose these results with those derived from other methods, and compare the characteristics with those of the United States. Findings - We found that the lower limit of the MRP in the Korean stock market shows a much lower value compared to the US. There seems to be the possibility of a market crash, exchange rate volatility, or a lack of option trading data. We investigated the predictive power of the estimated values and discovered that the weighted average of the results of various methodologies using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is superior to the individual method's results. Research implications or Originality - It is required to explore various methods of estimating MRP that are suitable for the Korean stock market. In order to improve the estimation methodology based on option prices, it is necessary to develop the methods using the higher-order(third order or above) moments, or consider additional risk factors such as the possibility of a crash.

Option Pricing Models with Drift and Jumps under L$\acute{e}$vy processes : Beyond the Gerber-Shiu Model (L$\acute{e}$vy과정 하에서 추세와 도약이 있는 경우 옵션가격결정모형 : Gerber-Shiu 모형을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Seung-Mo;Lee, Phil-Sang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.1-43
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    • 2007
  • The traditional Black-Scholes model for option pricing is based on the assumption that the log-return of the underlying asset follows a Brownian motion. But this assumption has been criticized for being unrealistic. Thus, for the last 20 years, many attempts have been made to adopt different stochastic processes to derive new option pricing models. The option pricing models based on L$\acute{e}$vy processes are being actively studied originating from the Gerber-Shiu model driven by H. U. Gerber and E. S. W. Shiu in 1994. In 2004, G. H. L. Cheang derived an option pricing model under multiple L$\acute{e}$vy processes, enabling us to adopt drift and jumps to the Gerber-Shiu model, while Gerber and Shiu derived their model under one L$\acute{e}$vy process. We derive the Gerber-Shiu model which includes drift and jumps under L$\acute{e}$vy processes. By adopting a Gamma distribution, we expand the Heston model which was driven in 1993 to include jumps. Then, using KOSPI200 index option data, we analyze the price-fitting performance of our model compared to that of the Black-Scholes model. It shows that our model shows a better price-fitting performance.

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실물옵션 모형을 이용한 RPS와 배출권거래제 연계의 신재생에너지 투자효과

  • Park, Ho-Jeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.301-319
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    • 2012
  • The primary purpose of Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) is to facilitate investment in renewable energy technology. Since emission trading program has similar purpose, it is conceivable to attempt to link RPS and emission trading program through interlinked markets. RPS in Korea with single REC and emission allowance markets has particular advantages for constructing linkages between two markets. This paper provides a real option model to examine investment effects of linkage of RPS to the trading program. Emission permit price and REC price are assumed to follow stochastic processes and renewable investment is irreversible. The result shows that linked market provides further incentive for renewable investment by raising managerial flexibility for power companies.

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Real Option Study on Cookstove Offset Project under Emission Allowance Price Uncertainty (배출권 가격 불확실성을 고려한 고효율 쿡스토브 보급사업 실물옵션 연구)

  • Lee, Jaehyung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.219-246
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    • 2020
  • From the Phase II (2018~2020) of K-ETS, the offset credit from 'CDM projects that domestic companies and others have carried out in foreign countries' can be used in the K-ETS. As a result, stakeholders in the K-ETS market are actively developing overseas CDM projects, such as the 'high-efficiency cook stove project'. which can secure a large amount of credits while marginal cost is relatively low. This paper develops the investment decision-making model of offset project for the 'high-efficiency cook stove project' using the real option approach. Under the uncertainty of the emission allowance price, the optimal investment threshold (p) is derived and sensitivity analysis is conducted. As a result, in the standard scenario (PoA-S), the optimal investment threshold is 29,054won/ton, which is lower than the stock price (pspot). However, allocation entities are not only economics in the CDM project, but also CDM risk factors such as non-renewable biomass ratio, cook stove replacement ratio, equity ratio with host country, investment period and submission limitation of emission allowance. In addition, offset project developers will be able to derive the optimal investment threshold for each business stage and use it for economic feasibility checks.