• 제목/요약/키워드: Noninformative priors

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A Bayesian Test for Simple Tree Ordered Alternative using Intrinsic Priors

  • Kim, Seong W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.73-92
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    • 1999
  • In Bayesian model selection or testing problems, one cannot utilize standard or default noninformative priors, since these priors are typically improper and are defined only up to arbitrary constants. The resulting Bayes factors are not well defined. A recently proposed model selection criterion, the intrinsic Bayes factor overcomes such problems by using a part of the sample as a training sample to get a proper posterior and then use the posterior as the prior for the remaining observations to compute the Bayes factor. Surprisingly, such Bayes factor can also be computed directly from the full sample by some proper priors, namely intrinsic priors. The present paper explains how to derive intrinsic priors for simple tree ordered exponential means. Some numerical results are also provided to support theoretical results and compare with classical methods.

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Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of the Failure Rates in Exponential Model

  • 조장식;백승욱
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we derive noninformative priors for the ratio of failure rates in exponential model. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Baysian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. And we prove that the noninformative prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities and is a HPD matching prior up to the second order. Finally, we provide simulated freqentist coverage probabilities under the derived noninformative prior for small samples.

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Noninformative Priors in Freund's Bivariate Exponential Distribution : Symmetry Case

  • 조장식;백승욱;김희재
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the ratio of failure rates under Freund's bivariate exponential distribution. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Baysian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. Also the propriety of posterior under the noninformative priors is proved and the frequentist coverage probabilities are investigated for small samples via simulation study.

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무정보 사전분포를 이용한 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 오차분산에 대한 베이지안 분석 (Bayesian Analysis for the Error Variance in a Two-Way Mixed-Effects ANOVA Model Using Noninformative Priors)

  • 장인홍;김병휘
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2002
  • 반복이 같은 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 무정보 사전분포를 이용하여 오차분산을 추정하는 문제를 생각하고자 한다. 먼저 무정보 사전분포로 제프리스사전분포, 준거 사전분포 그리고 확률일치 사전분포를 유도하고 이들 각각의 사전분포들에 대하여 주변사후분포를 제시하였다. 끝으로 실제 자료를 근거로 오차분산의 주변사후밀도함수에 대한 그래프와 오차분산에 대한 신용구간들을 구하고 이 구간들을 비교한다.

Development of Matching Priors for P(X < Y) in Exprnential dlstributions

  • Lee, Gunhee
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.421-433
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, matching priors for P(X < Y) are investigated when both distributions are exponential distributions. Two recent approaches for finding noninformative priors are introduced. The first one is the verger and Bernardo's forward and backward reference priors that maximizes the expected Kullback-Liebler Divergence between posterior and prior density. The second one is the matching prior identified by matching the one sided posterior credible interval with the frequentist's desired confidence level. The general forms of the second- order matching prior are presented so that the one sided posterior credible intervals agree with the frequentist's desired confidence levels up to O(n$^{-1}$ ). The frequentist coverage probabilities of confidence sets based on several noninformative priors are compared for small sample sizes via the Monte-Carlo simulation.

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Noninformative Priors for the Common Intraclass Correlation Coefficient

  • Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the common intraclass correlation coefficient when independent samples drawn from multivariate normal populations. We derive the first and second order matching priors. We reveal that the second order matching prior dose not match alternative coverage probabilities up to the second order and is not a HPD matching prior. It turns out that among all of the reference priors, one-at-a-time reference prior satisfies a second order matching criterion. Our simulation study indicates that one-at-a-time reference prior performs better than the other reference priors in terms of matching the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of the Lognormal Means with Equal Variances

  • Lee, Seung-A;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.633-640
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    • 2007
  • We develop noninformative priors for the ratio of the lognormal means in equal variances case. The Jeffreys' prior and reference priors are derived. We find a first order matching prior and a second order matching prior. It turns out that Jeffreys' prior and all of the reference priors are first order matching priors and in particular, one-at-a-time reference prior is a second order matching prior. One-at-a-time reference prior meets very well the target coverage probabilities. We consider the bioequivalence problem. We calculate the posterior probabilities of the hypotheses and Bayes factors under Jeffreys' prior, reference prior and matching prior using a real-life example.

Default Bayes Factors for Testing the Equality of Poisson Population Means

  • Son, Young Sook;Kim, Seong W.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.549-562
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    • 2000
  • Default Bayes factors are computed to test the equality of one Poisson population mean and the equality of two independent Possion population means. As default priors are assumed Jeffreys priors, noninformative improper priors, and default Bayes factors such as three intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi(1996, 1998), the arithmetic, the median, and the geometric intrinsic Bayes factor, and the factional Bayes factor of O'Hagan(1995) are computed. The testing results by each default Bayes factor are compared with those by the classical method in the simulation study.

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Noninformative Priors for the Common Shape Parameter in the Gamma Distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.247-257
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the common shape parameter in the gamma distributions. We develop the matching priors and reveal that the second order matching prior does not exist. It turns out that the one-at-a-time reference prior and the two group reference prior satisfy a first order probability matching criterion. Some simulation study is peformed.

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Bayesian reliability estimation in a stress-strength system

  • Chang, In-Hong;Oh, Soo-Jin
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 2011
  • We consider the problem of estimating the system reliability using noninformative priors when both stress and strength follow generalized gamma distributions with index, scale, and shape parameters. We first derive group-ordering reference priors using the reparametrization. We next provide the sufficient condition for propriety of posterior distributions and provide marginal posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. Finally, we provide and compare estimated values of the system reliability based on the simulated values of parameter of interest in some special cases.