• Title/Summary/Keyword: Nash's model

Search Result 140, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Assessment of Uncertainty for Applying Nash's Model Using the Hydrologic Similarity of Basins (유역의 수문학적 상사성을 이용한 Nash 모형의 불확실성 평가)

  • Seong, Kee-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.36 no.3 s.134
    • /
    • pp.399-411
    • /
    • 2003
  • An approach determining a confidence interval of Nash's observed mean instantaneous unit hydrograph is developed. In the approach, both two parameters are treated as correlated gaussian random variables based on the theory of Box-Cox transformation and the regional similarity relation, so that linear statistical parameter estimation is possible. A parametric bootstrap method is adopted to give the confidence interval of the mean observed hydrograph. The proposed methodology is also applicable to estimate the parameters of Nash's model for un-gauged basins. An application to a watershed has shown that the proposed approach is adequate to assess the uncertainty of the Nash's hydrograph and to evaluate parameters for un-gauged basins.

The Impact of Characteristic Velocities Considering Geomorphological Dispersion on Shape of Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (지형학적 분산을 고려한 특성유속이 순간단위도 형상에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Yong-Joon;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Hwang, Man-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.43 no.4
    • /
    • pp.399-408
    • /
    • 2010
  • The sensitivity of Nash model parameters is analyzed about characteristic velocities considering geomorphological dispersion in the present study. And changing shape of IUH compared and analyzed as variation of characteristic velocities through numerical experiment. Application watersheds are selected 4 subwatersheds which are located at main stream of Bocheong basin. The mean and variance of hillslope and stream path length are estimated in each watershed with GIS. And Nash model parameters are estimated with moments of path lengths and characteristic velocities. The changing trend about IUH which is derived Nash model parameters are compared as variation of characteristic velocities. The Major results of this study are summarized as follows. The Nash model parameters sensitively present changes about hillslope characteristic velocity. And the effect of the peak discharge and shape of recession in IUH dominate with hillslope's characteristic velocity, the effect of the peak time and shape of ascension in IUH dominate with channel's characteristic velocity.

An Indirect Approach Determining Parameters of Clark's Model Based on Model Fitting to the Gamma Distribution function (Gamma분포형 함수 적합을 이용한 Clark 모형의 매개변수 간접추정)

  • Seong, Kee-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.223-235
    • /
    • 2003
  • An indirect or supplementary approach is proposed for determining the parameters of the Clark's model in order to improve existing defect in estimating the parameters. The gamma-distribution type function is employed to represent the Clark's model, which takes the same form as the Nash's model, so that parameter estimation is not difficult since it can be performed with a simple optimization process. Analytic forms of Clark's models parameters are introduced using parameters of the proposed methodology to give traditional form of Clark's. An application to a watershed has shown that the proposed approach can preserve the properties of observed data. Based the application, the new approach is recommended as an alternative to the existing parameter estimating methodology.

Rainfall-Runoff Model for River Runoff Prediction (하천유출예측을 위한 강우-유출 모델)

  • Ji, Hong-Gi;Nam, Seon-U;Lee, Sun-Taek
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.347-354
    • /
    • 1986
  • To predict flood runoff from rainfall and watershed Characteristics, Nash's parameters of N, K are needed to be determined. Also parameters of IUH N and K are derived by the moment method. Nash's model whose parameters are derived from rainfall characteristics is applied to the Wi-stream basin, which is a tributary located in the Nakdong river. For the derivation of IUH by applying linear conceptual model, the storage constant, K, with the rainfall characteristics was adopted as K=1.327 $$.$$$.$$$.$$$.$$$.$$ having a highly significant correlation coefficient, 0.970. Gamma function argumetn, N, derived with such rainfall characteristics was found to be N=0.032$$.$$$.$$$.$$$.$$$.$$ having a highly significant correlation coefficient, 0.970. From the tested results it is proved that Nash's IUH and consequently flood runoff can be predicted from rainfall characteristics.

  • PDF

Decision of Storage Coefficient and Concentration Time of Observed Basin Using Nash Model's Structure (Nash 모형의 구조를 이용한 관측유역의 저류상수 및 집중시간 결정)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Shin, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.43 no.6
    • /
    • pp.559-569
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study proposes an empirical method for estimating the concentration time and storage coefficient of a basin using the Nash unit hydrograph. This method is based on the analytically derived concentration time and storage coefficient of the Nash model. More fundamentally, this method recursively searches convergent number of linear reservoirs and storage coefficient of linear reservoir representing the basin given. This method is to overcome the problem of HEC-HMS to use an optimization technique to estimate the basin concentration time and storage coefficient. The proposed method was applied to the Bangrim station of the Pyungchang river basin, also found to estimate physically reasonable values.

A Pragmatic Method on Multi-Weapon Lanchester's Law (다중 란체스터 모형에 대한 실용적 해법)

  • Baik, Seung-Won;Hong, Sung-Pil
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
    • /
    • v.38 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2013
  • We propose a heuristic algorithm for war-game model that is appropriate for warfare in which the maneuver of the attacker is relatively certain. Our model is based on a multi-weapon extention of the Lanchester's square law. However, instead of dealing with the differential equations, we use a multi-period linear approximation which not only facilitates a solution method but also reflects discrete natures of warfare. Then our game model turns out to be a continuous game known to have an ${\varepsilon}$-Nash equilibrium for all ${\varepsilon}{\geq}0$. Therefore, our model approximates an optimal warfare strategies for both players as well as an efficient reinforcement of area defense system that guarantees a peaceful equilibrium. Finally, we report the performance of a practical best-response type heuristic for finding an ${\varepsilon}$-Nash equilibrium for a real-scale problem.

Separation of Baseflow using Antecedent Recession Requirement and Estimation of Representative Unit Hydrograph by the Nash model (경사급변점을 이용한 기저유출분리와 Nash 모형에 의한 대표단위도 추정)

  • Jung, Jin-Young;Kang, Boo-Sik;Cha, Young-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2007.05a
    • /
    • pp.1762-1767
    • /
    • 2007
  • 일반적으로 유역의 대표단위도 산정에는 적용의 간편성을 이유로 수평직선분리법을 주로 사용하여 왔으며 이를 단기호우사상에 대한 모의에 적용해 왔다. 그러나 수평직선분리법에 의한 기저유량의 산출은 연구자의 주관성이 반영될 수 있는 가능성이 다분하며 총유출에 대한 기저유출의 기여가 상대적으로 크게 되는 장기유출모의에 대해서는 그 신뢰도가 떨어진다고 할 수 있다. 따라서 장기유출모의에서는 신뢰성있는 기저유출분리를 통한 합리적인 대표단위도를 유도하는 것이 필요하다. 또한 이 같은 문제점을 개선하기 위해 본 연구에서는 USGS(U.S GEOLOGICAL SURVEY)에서 개발한 기저유출분리 프로그램인 PART(stream flow Partitioning)를 이용하여 기저유출을 분리하고 Nash 모형을 이용하여 유역의 대표단위도를 유도했으며 검증을 위해 강우-유출 모형인 HEC-HMS에 유도된 대표단위도와 합성단위도를 적용하여 실제유출량에 대한 통계분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 Nash모형의 매개변수를 n은 6.4, K는 0.33으로 산정할 수 있었고, PART에 의해 기저유출을 분리하여 유도된 단위도가 수평직선분리법에 의해 유도된 대표단위도 보다 장기유출모의에서 더 우수한 결과를 보였다. 또한 실측유출량과 모의유출량의 첨두값에 대한 오차도 PART에 의한 방법이 더 작음을 알 수 있었다.

  • PDF

Leader-Follower Model Analysis on Mixed Strategy Nash Equilibrium of Electricity Market with Transmission Congestion (송전선 혼잡시의 복합전략 내쉬균형에 대한 선도-추종자 모형 해석)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.61 no.2
    • /
    • pp.187-193
    • /
    • 2012
  • Nash Equilibrium (NE) is as useful tool for investigating a participant's strategic generation quantity in a competitive electricity market. Cournot model may give a mixed strategy NE instead of a pure strategy when transmission constraints are considered. A mixed strategy is difficult to compute, complicated to understand conceptually, and hard to implement in an electricity market practically. This paper presents that a mixed strategy does not appear in Stackelberg leader-follower model even under a transmission congestion. A solution method is proposed for the leader-follower model under a nondifferentiable space of a strategy variable. Based on the pure strategy NE with a transmission line congested, the merit of leader-follower model is shown from a social welfare point of view.

Development of a GIUH Model Based on River Fractal Characteristics (하천의 프랙탈 특성을 고려한 지형학적 순간단위도 개발(I))

  • Hong, Il-Pyo;Go, Jae-Ung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.32 no.5
    • /
    • pp.565-577
    • /
    • 1999
  • The geometric patterns of a stream network in a drainage basin can be viewed as a "fractal" with fractal dimensions. Fractals provide a mathematical framework for treatment of irregular, ostensively complex shapes that show similar patterns or geometric characteristics over a range of scale. GIUH (Geomorphological Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph) is based on the hydrologic response of surface runoff in a catchment basin. This model incorporates geomorphologic parameters of a basin using Horton's order ratios. For an ordered drainage system, the fractal dimensions can be derived from Horton's laws of stream numbers, stream lengths and stream areas. In this paper, a fractal approach, which is leading to representation of a 2-parameter Gamma distribution type GIUH, has been carried out to incorporate the self similarity of the channel networks based on the high correlations between the Horton's order ratios. The shape and scale parameter of the GIUH-Nash model of IUH in terms of Horton's order ratios of a catchment proposed by Rosso(l984J are simplified by applying the fractal dimension of main stream length and channel network of a river basin. basin.

  • PDF

The Correlation Analysis Between New Catchment Shape Descriptor and The Lag Time of Nash Model (신집수형상디스크립터와 Nash 모형의 지체시간 사이의 상관성 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Kim, Jae-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.37 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1065-1074
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study aims at the introduction of new catchment shape descriptor, developed by Moussa(2003), based on equivalent ellipse and the assessment of its hydrologic applicability. Two descriptors a+b and a+b+${\varepsilon}OM$were correlated to the lag time and those were applied to the estimation of representative values of Nash model parameters. They are applied in order to examine the practicality to 3 catchments in Korea, catchments in Korea, respectively, i.e. Pyeongchanggang catchment in Han river, Bocheongcheon catchment in Geum river and Wicheon catchment in Nakdong river. As a result both of two descriptors show higher correlations to the lag lime than classical geomorphologic factors and hereby Moussa's suggestion(2003) is confirmed. For the sake of simplicity the former is recommended. Also representative IUHs derived from this study show consistent basin response characteristics. It is desirable to conduct further more case studies on many other basins.