• 제목/요약/키워드: Multiple scenarios

검색결과 394건 처리시간 0.04초

다중 지진 시나리오를 고려한 원전 격납구조물의 조건부 평균 스펙트럼 기반 지진취약도 평가 (Seismic Fragility Assessment of NPP Containment Structure based on Conditional Mean Spectra for Multiple Earthquake Scenarios)

  • 박원호;박지훈
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2019
  • A methodology to assess seismic fragility of a nuclear power plant (NPP) using a conditional mean spectrum is proposed as an alternative to using a uniform hazard response spectrum. Rather than the single-scenario conditional mean spectrum, which is the conventional conditional mean spectrum based on a single scenario, a multi-scenario conditional mean spectrum is proposed for the case in which no single scenario is dominant. The multi-scenario conditional mean spectrum is defined as the weighted average of different conditional mean spectra, each one of which corresponds to an individual scenario. The weighting factors for scenarios are obtained from a deaggregation of seismic hazards. As a validation example, a seismic fragility assessment of an NPP containment structure is performed using a uniform hazard response spectrum and different single-scenario conditional mean spectra and multi-scenario conditional mean spectra. In the example, the number of scenarios primarily influences the median capacity of the evaluated structure. Meanwhile, the control frequency, a key parameter of a conditional mean spectrum, plays an important role in reducing logarithmic standard deviation of the corresponding fragility curves and corresponding high confidence of low probability of failure (HCLPF) capacity.

DEVELOPING U-CITY MARKET SCENARIOS THROUGH A SCENARIO PLANNING APPROACH

  • Yong-Ho Kwon;Jae-Jun Kim;Suk-Hee Han;Jin-Sik Kim;Yoon-Sun Lee
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 2th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2007
  • The u-City construction project has become a hot topic in the construction market because it seems economic value-added field for construction firms. However, construction firms don't willingly participate in the u-City construction market because environments of the future business for the u-City are very uncertain. Scenario planning is a very powerful method in managing this uncertain planning situation and is based on scenarios that help each enterprise appropriately adapt itself to its own business environments. Therefore it is based on the main principles of systems thinking and multiple futures. For the purpose of dealing with such uncertainties, this paper attempts to develop the possible market scenarios of the u-City construction market in S.Korea through a scenario planning approach. From this perspective, we considered various aspects of the u-City construction such as market demands, technology development, policy level and management environment. After considering the relevant issues, we identified the main trends and key uncertainties. Finally, we developed three coherent u-City construction market scenarios. Construction firms can use these scenarios as a basic reference for market analysis and business strategy. Therefore, this paper is able to enhance the participation of construction firms in the u-City construction market.

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Alternating-Projection-Based Channel Estimation for Multicell Massive MIMO Systems

  • Chen, Yi Liang;Ran, Rong;Oh, Hayoung
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2018
  • In massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems, linear channel estimation algorithms are widely applied owing to their simple structures. However, they may cause pilot contamination, which affects the subsequent data detection performance. Therefore, herein, for an uplink multicell massive multiuser MIMO system, we consider using an alternating projection (AP) for channel estimation to eliminate the effect of pilot contamination and improve the performance of data detection in terms of the bit error rates as well. Even though the AP is nonlinear, it iteratively searches the best solution in only one dimension, and the computational complexity is thus modest. We have analyzed the mean square error with respect to the signal-to-interference ratios for both the cooperative and non-cooperative multicell scenarios. From the simulation results, we observed that the channel estimation results via the AP benefit the following signal detection more than that via the least squares for both the cooperative and non-cooperative multicell scenarios.

다수 로봇 협업을 이용한 진화 로봇 시뮬레이터의 개발 (Development of a Simulator for Evolutionary Robots using Multi-robot Cooperation)

  • 손윤식;박지우;정진우;오세만
    • 대한임베디드공학회논문지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.90-96
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    • 2009
  • In the original model-based paradigm in the field of motion planning of robots, robots had to play the focal role of considering all situations under which they made decisions and operate. Such paradigm makes it difficult to respond efficiently to the dynamically shifting environment such as disaster area. In order to handle such a situation that may be changed dynamically, a technology that allows a dynamic execution of data transmission and physical/network connection between multiple robots based on scenarios is required. In this paper, we deal with evolutionary robots that adapt to any given environment and execute scenarios, specially focused on the development of a simulator to test the evolutionary process of cooperated multiple robots.

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Weighted IMM 기법을 사용한 각도 추정 오차 감소 기법 (Angle Estimation Error Reduction Method Using Weighted IMM)

  • 최성희;송택렬
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a new approach to reduce the target estimation error of the measurement angle, especially applied to the medium and long range surveillance radar. If the target has no maneuver and no change in heading direction for a certain time interval, the predicted angle of interacting multiple model(IMM) from the previous track information can be used to reduce the angle estimation error. The proposed method is simulated in 2 scenarios, a scenario with a non-maneuvering target and a scenario with a maneuvering target. The result shows that the new fusion solution(weighted IMM) with the predicted azimuth and the measured azimuth is worked properly in the two scenarios.

다중 기기 환경에서 기기 특성과 기기 사용 특성을 활용한 검색 기법 (Retrieval Method using Device Characteristics and Device Usage Characteristics in Multi-Device Environment)

  • 권준희
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2021
  • Internet of Things is an infrastructure of the interconnected devices. In Internet of Things environment, many smart devices are used in daily life. It requires a new retrieval method using multiple devices. We propose an information retrieval method using both device characteristics and device usage characteristics in multi-device environments. Firstly, information retrieval is performed using a general purpose device. And then, it is performed using dedicated devices. Our method uses both characteristics of the devices and usage characteristics of them. Moreover, it considers queries on the general purpose device. This paper proposes a new retrieval method and describes algorithms. Then, it presents smart home scenarios. Performance evaluation is performed using the scenarios. The evaluation results show higher precision and efficiency than previous researches. The proposed method gets information more accurately and quickly in IOT multiple device environments.

다중 표적에 대한 적외선 레티클 탐색기의 오차 신호 분석 (Analysis of the error signals for infrared reticle seekers in multiple targets)

  • 한성현;홍현기;최종수
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.1438-1446
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    • 1996
  • Infrared seekers using reticles with a single detector have been widely used due to small size and low cost. However, the analysis of the error signals and the performance in multiple targets are performed either simplistically or not at all. In this paper, we present detector signals and processing results using image and signal processing techniques, especially performance analysis in multiple targets. The simulation results are essential to make the advanced signal processing part of retical seekers which can deal with various engagement scenarios.

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Seismic response of operational tunnels to earthquakes with foreshocks or aftershocks

  • Junyoung Lee;Jae-Kwang Ahn;Byungmin Kim
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.621-631
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    • 2024
  • In designing earthquake-resistant structures, we traditionally select dynamic loads based on the recurrence period of earthquakes, using individual seismic records or aligning them with the design spectrum. However, these records often represent isolated waveforms lacking continuity, underscoring the need for a deeper understanding of natural seismic phenomena. The Earth's crustal movement, both before and after a significant earthquake, can trigger a series of both minor and major seismic events. These minor earthquakes, which often occur in short time before or after the major seismic events, prompt a critical reassessment of their potential impact on structural design. In this study, we conducted a detailed tunnel response analysis to assess the impact of both single mainshock and multiple earthquake scenarios (including foreshock-mainshock and mainshock-aftershock sequences). Utilizing numerical analysis, we explored how multiple earthquakes affect tunnel deformation. Our findings reveal that sequential seismic events, even those of moderate magnitude, can exert considerable stress on tunnel lining, resulting in heightened bending stress and permanent displacement. This research highlights a significant insight: current seismic design methodologies, which predominantly focus on the largest seismic intensity, may fail to account for the cumulative impact of smaller, yet frequent, seismic events like foreshocks and aftershocks. Our results demonstrate that dynamic analyses considering only a single mainshock are likely to underestimate the potential damage (i.e., ovaling deformation, failure lining, permanent displacement etc.) when compared to analyses that incorporate multiple earthquake scenarios.

System dynamic modeling and scenario simulation on Beijing industrial carbon emissions

  • Wen, Lei;Bai, Lu;Zhang, Ernv
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.355-364
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    • 2016
  • Beijing, as a cradle of modern industry and the third largest metropolitan area in China, faces more responsibilities to adjust industrial structure and mitigate carbon emissions. The purpose of this study is aimed at predicting and comparing industrial carbon emissions of Beijing in ten scenarios under different policy focus, and then providing emission-cutting recommendations. In views of various scenarios issues, system dynamics has been applied to predict and simulate. To begin with, the model has been established following the step of causal loop diagram and stock flow diagram. This paper decomposes scenarios factors into energy structure, high energy consumption enterprises and growth rate of industrial output. The prediction and scenario simulation results shows that energy structure, carbon intensity and heavy energy consumption enterprises are key factors, and multiple factors has more significant impact on industrial carbon emissions. Hence, some recommendations about low-carbon mode of Beijing industrial carbon emission have been proposed according to simulation results.