• 제목/요약/키워드: Multiple Model Probabilistic Design

검색결과 13건 처리시간 0.026초

연속반복학습제어의 복수모형 확률설계기법 (Multiple-Model Probabilistic Design of Repetitive Controllers)

  • 이수철
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문은 시스템 인자의 변위에 강인한 연속반복학습제어기(Repetitive Controller RC)를 설계하는 방법을 소개하고자 한다. 이 때 사용되는 불확실 인자들은 확률분포함수에 의해 무작위로 설정되게 된다. 분포함수를 직접 적용하는 대신 본 제어기는 설정된 확률함수로부터 생성된 모형을 기본으로 설계하였다. 이러한 복수모형 설계 기법으로 임의의 분포함수로 구성된 수많은 불확실 인자들을 다룰 수 있다. 그러므로, 제어기는 반복영역에서 수렴성을 보장하는 비용함수를 주파수영역에서 최소화함으로써 유도할 수 있다. 모의실험은 제안된 복수모형설계 기법으로 구한 RC가 단수모형 설계기법을 이용한 RC보다 강인한 것을 보여 주고 있다.

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다물체시스템의 중앙집중 연속학습제어 복수모형 확률설계기법 (Multiple-Model Probabilistic Design for Centralized Repetitive Controllers of Multiple Systems)

  • 이수철
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 다물체 복합시스템 인자의 변위에 강인한 중앙집중식 연속반복학습제어기(Repetitive Controller, RC)를 설계하는 방법을 소개하고자 한다. 이때 사용되는 불확실 인자들은 확률분포함수에 의해 무작위로 설정되게 된다. 분포함수를 직접 적용하는 대신, 본 제어기는 설정된 확률함수로부터 생성된 모형을 기본으로 설계하였다. 이러한 중앙집중식 복수모형 설계기법으로 엄의의 분포함수로 구성된 수많은 불확실 인자들을 다룰 수 있다. 그러므로, 제어기는 반복영역에서 수렴성을 보장하는 비용함수를 주파수영역에서 최소화함으로써 유도할 수 있다. 다물체 복합시스템에서 중앙집중식 복수모형설계 기법을 단수모형 설계기법과 함께 제안하였다.

Probabilistic study on buildings with MTMD system in different seismic performance levels

  • Etedali, Sadegh
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제81권4호
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    • pp.429-441
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    • 2022
  • A probabilistic assessment of the seismic-excited buildings with a multiple-tuned-mass-damper (MTMD) system is carried out in the presence of uncertainties of the structural model, MTMD system, and the stochastic model of the seismic excitations. A free search optimization procedure of the individual mass, stiffness and, damping parameters of the MTMD system based on the snap-drift cuckoo search (SDCS) optimization algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of the MTMD system. Considering a 10-story structure in three cases equipped with single tuned mass damper (STMS), 5-TMD and 10-TMD, sensitivity analyses are carried out using Sobol' indices based on the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. Considering different seismic performance levels, the reliability analyses are done using MCS and kriging-based MCS methods. The results show the maximum structural responses are more affected by changes in the PGA and the stiffness coefficients of the structural floors and TMDs. The results indicate the kriging-based MCS method can estimate the accurate amount of failure probability by spending less time than the MCS. The results also show the MTMD gives a significant reduction in the structural failure probability. The effect of the MTMD on the reduction of the failure probability is remarkable in the performance levels of life safety and collapse prevention. The maximum drift of floors may be reduced for the nominal structural system by increasing the TMDs, however, the complexity of the MTMD model and increasing its corresponding uncertainty sources can be caused a slight increase in the failure probability of the structure.

확률론적 해석에 기반한 다중 열저장공동의 적정 이격거리 분석 (Analysis of the Optimal Separation Distance between Multiple Thermal Energy Storage (TES) Caverns Based on Probabilistic Analysis)

  • 박도현;김현우;박정욱;박의섭;선우춘
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2014
  • 다중 열저장공동은 열에너지의 대규모 저장, 열적 성능 향상을 위한 높은 종횡비의 저장소 설계에 활용될 수 있다. 또한 긴 터널형의 단일공동이 열생산 및 주입을 위한 지상설비와의 연결에 적합하지 않은 경우, 길이를 줄인 다중 암반공동의 활용을 고려할 필요가 있다. 다중 열저장공동 활용시 공동간의 이격거리는 저장공간 설계시 고려해야 하는 주요 설계인자 중 하나이며, 정량적인 안정성 평가기준을 토대로 적정 이격거리가 산정되어야 한다. 본 논문에서는 대규모 열에너지 저장을 위한 다중 암반공동 계획시 공동간 이격거리를 결정하기 위한 수치 해석적 접근법에 대해 기술하였다. 다중 암반공동의 안정성 평가를 위해 기존의 결정론적 접근법과 달리 확률밀도에 의해 입력 매개변수의 불확실성을 정량적으로 고려할 수 있는 확률론적 해석기법을 이용하였으며, 집단열수 공급을 위한 다중 암반공동의 개념모델 설계에 적용하였다. 본 적용을 통해 확률론적 해석기법이 다중 암반공동의 이격거리 산정을 위한 의사결정 도구로서 유용하게 활용될 수 있음을 확인할 수 있었으며, 결정론적 해석결과와의 비교 분석으로부터 결정론적 접근법 적용시 안정성 평가기준을 신중히 설정할 필요가 있는 것으로 검토되었다.

Reliability analysis of nuclear safety-class DCS based on T-S fuzzy fault tree and Bayesian network

  • Xu Zhang;Zhiguang Deng;Yifan Jian;Qichang Huang;Hao Peng;Quan Ma
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권5호
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    • pp.1901-1910
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    • 2023
  • The safety-class (1E) digital control system (DCS) of nuclear power plant characterized structural multiple redundancies, therefore, it is important to quantitatively evaluate the reliability of DCS in different degree of backup loss. In this paper, a reliability evaluation model based on T-S fuzzy fault tree (FT) is proposed for 1E DCS of nuclear power plant, in which the connection relationship between components is described by T-S fuzzy gates. Specifically, an output rejection control system is chosen as an example, based on the T-S fuzzy FT model, the key indicators such as probabilistic importance are calculated, and for a further discussion, the T-S fuzzy FT model is transformed into Bayesian Network(BN) equivalently, and the fault diagnosis based on probabilistic analysis is accomplished. Combined with the analysis of actual objects, the effectiveness of proposed method is proved.

Posterior density estimation for structural parameters using improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis algorithm

  • Zhou, Jin;Mita, Akira;Mei, Liu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.735-749
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    • 2015
  • The major difficulty of using Bayesian probabilistic inference for system identification is to obtain the posterior probability density of parameters conditioned by the measured response. The posterior density of structural parameters indicates how plausible each model is when considering the uncertainty of prediction errors. The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is a widespread medium for posterior inference but its convergence is often slow. The differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting (DREAM) algorithm boasts a population-based mechanism, which nms multiple different Markov chains simultaneously, and a global optimum exploration ability. This paper proposes an improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting algorithm (IDREAM) strategy to estimate the posterior density of structural parameters. The main benefit of IDREAM is its efficient MCMC simulation through its use of the adaptive Metropolis (AM) method with a mutation strategy for ensuring quick convergence and robust solutions. Its effectiveness was demonstrated in simulations on identifying the structural parameters with limited output data and noise polluted measurements.

Probabilistic fatigue assessment of rib-to-deck joints using thickened edge U-ribs

  • Heng, Junlin;Zheng, Kaifeng;Kaewunruen, Sakdirat;Zhu, Jin;Baniotopoulos, Charalampos
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.799-813
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    • 2020
  • Fatigue cracks of rib-to-deck (RD) joints have been frequently observed in the orthotropic steel decks (OSD) using conventional U-ribs (CU). Thickened edge U-rib (TEU) is proposed to enhance the fatigue strength of RD joints, and its effectiveness has been proved through fatigue tests. In-depth full-scale tests are further carried out to investigate both the fatigue strength and fractography of RD joints. Based on the test result, the mean fatigue strength of TEU specimens is 21% and 17% higher than that of CU specimens in terms of nominal and hot spot stress, respectively. Meanwhile, the development of fatigue cracks has been measured using the strain gauges installed along the welded joint. It is found that such the crack remains almost in semi-elliptical shape during the initiation and propagation. For the further application of TEUs, the design curve under the specific survival rate is required for the RD joints using TEUs. Since the fatigue strength of welded joints is highly scattered, the design curves derived by using the limited test data only are not reliable enough to be used as the reference. On this ground, an experiment-numerical hybrid approach is employed. Basing on the fatigue test, a probabilistic assessment model has been established to predict the fatigue strength of RD joints. In the model, the randomness in material properties, initial flaws and local geometries has been taken into consideration. The multiple-site initiation and coalescence of fatigue cracks are also considered to improve the accuracy. Validation of the model has been rigorously conducted using the test data. By extending the validated model, large-scale databases of fatigue life could be generated in a short period. Through the regression analysis on the generated database, design curves of the RD joint have been derived under the 95% survival rate. As the result, FAT 85 and FAT 110 curves with the power index m of 2.89 are recommended in the fatigue evaluation on the RD joint using TEUs in terms of nominal stress and hot spot stress respectively. Meanwhile, FAT 70 and FAT 90 curves with m of 2.92 are suggested in the evaluation on the RD joint using CUs in terms of nominal stress and hot spot stress, respectively.

Naval ship's susceptibility assessment by the probabilistic density function

  • Kim, Kwang Sik;Hwang, Se Yun;Lee, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • 제1권4호
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    • pp.266-271
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    • 2014
  • The survivability of the naval ship is the capability of a warship to avoid or withstand a hostile environment. The survivability of the naval ship assessed by three categories (susceptibility, vulnerability and recoverability). The magnitude of susceptibility of a warship encountering with threat is dependent upon the attributes of detection equipment and weapon system. In this paper, as a part of a naval ship's survivability analysis, an assessment process model for the ship's susceptibility analysis technique is developed. Naval ship's survivability emphasizing the susceptibility is assessed by the probability of detection, and the probability of hit. Considering the radar cross section (RCS), the assessment procedure for the susceptibility is described. It's emphasizing the simplified calculation model based on the probability density function for probability of hit. Assuming the probability of hit given a both single-hit and multiple-hit, the susceptibility is accessed for a RCS and the hit probability for a rectangular target is applied for a given threat.

제한적 문맥 인식과 다중 스트림을 기반으로 한 숫자 정정 OCR 모델의 설계 및 구현 (Design and Implementation of OCR Correction Model for Numeric Digits based on a Context Sensitive and Multiple Streams)

  • 신현경
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제18D권1호
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2011
  • 재무 데이터 관리를 위한 자동화된 비지니스 서류 영상 처리 시스템에서 숫자 정보 검색 중 발생한 오류는 심각하여 그 시스템의 가용성 및 성능을 결정한다. 그 동안 자동 맞춤법 교정에 관한 방법론들이 개발되어 정보 검색 시스템 개발에 중요한 역할을 해왔으나 이러한 맞춤법 교정은 알파벳 등 기계학습이 가능하고 사전 형태로 보관이 가능한 기호에 한정되어왔다. 반면에 순수한 마코프 수열에 불과한 숫자들의 순열들은 맞춤법 교정을 위하여 사전적 형태로 보관하여 활용하는 것이 불가능 하다. 본 논문에서는 확률론적 정보 검색 알고리즘의 토대위에 제한적 문맥 인식과 복수의 스트림을 적용한 새로운 형태의 숫자 정정 OCR 모델을 제안하였다. 본 논문에서 제안된 숫자 정정 모델은 기존의 송장 문서 처리 시스템에 구현하였으며 제안된 숫자 정정 모델의 효과를 확인하기 위해 비교 테스트를 실행하였고 테스트 결과 상당한 성능이 개선되었음을 보여 주었다.

Strengthening Risk Evaluation in Existing Risk Diagnosis Method

  • Wong, Shui Yee;Chin, Kwai Sang;Tang, Dawei
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2010
  • An existing risk diagnosing methodology (RDM) diagnoses corporate risk for product-innovation projects. However, it cannot evaluate and compare the risk levels of multiple alternatives in the product development stage. This paper proposes a modified risk diagnosis method to fill the gap of risk evaluation in selections of innovative product alternatives and the application of the method will be also illustrated by a case problem on alternative selections in electrical dimmer designs. With RDM as the foundation, a modified RDM (MRDM) is proposed to deal with the problem of selecting innovative project alternatives during the early stages of product development. The Bayesian network; a probabilistic graphical model, is adopted to support the risk pre-assessment stage in the MRDM. The MRDM is proposed by incorporating the risk pre-assessment stage into the foundation. By evaluating the engineering design risks in two electrical dimmer switches, an application of the MRDM in product innovation development is successfully exemplified. This paper strengthens the existing methodology for RDM in innovative product development projects to accommodate innovative alternatives. It is advantageous for companies to identify and measure the risks associated in product development so as to plan for appropriate risk mitigation strategies.