• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multi-Site Model

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Development of Multi-Site Daily Rainfall Simulation Based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain Model Coupled with Chow-Liu Tree Structures (Chow-Liu Tree 모형과 동질성 Hidden Markov Model을 연계한 다지점 일강수량 모의기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae Jeong;Kim, Oon Ki;Lee, Dong Ryul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.10
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    • pp.1029-1040
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to develop a multivariate daily rainfall simulation model considering spatial coherence across watershed. The existing Hidden Markov Model (HMM) has been mainly applied to single site case so that the spatial coherences are not properly addressed. In this regard, HMM coupled with Chow-Liu Tree (CLT) that is designed to consider inter-dependences across rainfall networks was proposed. The proposed approach is applied to Han-River watershed where long-term and reliable hydrologic data is available, and a rigorous validation is finally conducted to verify the model's capability. It was found that the proposed model showed better performance in terms of reproducing daily rainfall statistics as well as seasonal rainfall statistics. Also, correlation matrix across stations for observation and simulation was compared and examined. It was confirmed that the spatial coherence was well reproduced via CLT-HMM model.

DEVELOPMENT OF BUILDING INFORMATION MODEL FOR RESOURCES OPTIMIZATION IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECT

  • Gopal M. Naik;Rokhsareh Badamahgan
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.634-639
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    • 2013
  • The aim of the study is to develop the 3D visualization of Building Information Model and integrated 4D model for optimization of resources in the construction project. This study discuss the process of methodology and creation of 4D model of the project and simulate it to monitor the workflow at the site. Different stages of the construction process and activities are generated by using Revit and MS Project. MS project has been used for creation of the schedules and these are linked with the Revit for 3D modeling. The time used as the fourth dimension and 4D model created by using Navisworks Time liner software. Narges shopping center is presented as a case study to realize the actual uses and benefits of Building Information Model (BIM). Narges shopping mall is located in Tehran, Iran. As a part of Hekmat master plan, Narges shopping center is an 11 stores building with a total area of 30000 Sq.m. This shopping and entertainment center is comprised of 150 retails and two multi-use public halls with a capacity of 400 persons each and underground parking with total 400 parking space. The main purpose of architecture was to create an urban public center along with its revolving, spiral like form and an ever changing continuous façade by means of different colors, materials, which is in harmony with the other building of the master plan. The approximate cost of the project is $17 million and duration of the project schedule is 30 months. The developed Building Information Model enabled us to identify the potential collisions or clashes between various structural and architectural systems. 4D model has been used for limiting the interaction between subcontractors installing the different systems so rework could be avoided and productivity maximized. It is also observed that the utility of BIM for construction stimulation and clash detection is the best suitable method. Clash detection before the implementation of work is highly recommended to avoid rework.

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Prediction of intensive care unit admission using machine learning in patients with odontogenic infection

  • Joo-Ha Yoon;Sung Min Park
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.216-221
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    • 2024
  • Objectives: This study aimed to develop and validate a model to predict the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission in patients with dental infections using an automated machine learning (ML) program called H2O-AutoML. Materials and Methods: Two models were created using only the information available at the initial examination. Model 1 was parameterized with only clinical symptoms and blood tests, excluding contrast-enhanced multi-detector computed tomography (MDCT) images available at the initial visit, whereas model 2 was created with the addition of the MDCT information to the model 1 parameters. Although model 2 was expected to be superior to model 1, we wanted to independently determine this conclusion. A total of 210 patients who visited the Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery at the Dankook University Dental Hospital from March 2013 to August 2023 was included in this study. The patients' demographic characteristics (sex, age, and place of residence), systemic factors (hypertension, diabetes mellitus [DM], kidney disease, liver disease, heart disease, anticoagulation therapy, and osteoporosis), local factors (smoking status, site of infection, postoperative wound infection, dysphagia, odynophagia, and trismus), and factors known from initial blood tests were obtained from their medical charts and retrospectively reviewed. Results: The generalized linear model algorithm provided the best diagnostic accuracy, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic values of 0.8289 in model 1 and 0.8415 in model 2. In both models, the C-reactive protein level was the most important variable, followed by DM. Conclusion: This study provides unprecedented data on the use of ML for successful prediction of ICU admission based on initial examination results. These findings will considerably contribute to the development of the field of dentistry, especially oral and maxillofacial surgery.

Structural Optimization and Improvement of Initial Weight Dependency of the Neural Network Model for Determination of Preconsolidation Pressure from Piezocone Test Result (피에조콘을 이용한 선행압밀하중 결정 신경망 모델의 구조 최적화 및 초기 연결강도 의존성 개선)

  • Kim, Young-Sang;Joo, No-Ah;Park, Hyun-Il;Park, Sol-Ji
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.3C
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2009
  • The preconsolidation pressure has been commonly determined by oedometer test. However, it can also be determined by insitu test, such as piezocone test with theoretical and(or) empirical correlations. Recently, Neural Network (NN) theory was applied and some models were proposed to estimate the preconsolidation pressure or OCR. It was already found that NN model can come over the site dependency and prediction accuracy is greatly improved when compared with present theoretical and empirical models. However, since the optimization process of synaptic weights of NN model is dependent on the initial synaptic weights, NN models which are trained with different initial weights can't avoid the variability on prediction result for new database even though they have same structure and use same transfer function. In this study, Committee Neural Network (CNN) model is proposed to improve the initial weight dependency of multi-layered neural network model on the prediction of preconsolidation pressure of soft clay from piezocone test result. Prediction results of CNN model are compared with those of conventional empirical and theoretical models and multi-layered neural network model, which has the optimized structure. It was found that even though the NN model has the optimized structure for given training data set, it still has the initial weight dependency, while the proposed CNN model can improve the initial weight dependency of the NN model and provide a consistent and precise inference result than existing NN models.

Analysis on the Dynamic Characteristics of KOMPSAT-2 Shipping Container (다목적 실용위성 2호 운송콘테이너의 동특성분석)

  • Kim, Hong-Bae;Woo, Sung-Hyun;Moon, Sang-Mu;Lee, Sang-Seol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.11b
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    • pp.535-540
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    • 2002
  • A satellite shipping container must afford the satellite a relatively benign thermal, vibration, and particle environment that is oblivious to the extreme temperatures, sand, dust, vibrations, and shock that can accompany the transportation. Korea Aerospace Research Institute has developed a new shipping container system that will be used to transport KOMPSAT-2(Korea Multi-Purpose SATellite) from Tae-jon to launch site. To verify the dynamic characteristics, a Finite Element Analysis model and a 1/3 scaled mockup of the container were developed before the fabrication of real one. After fabrication of real shipping container, experimental modal analysis was peformed to identify the dynamic characteristics. This paper presents a series of development process of KOMPSAT-2 shipping container.

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Special cases in fatigue analysis of wind turbines

  • Gunes, Onur;Altunsu, Elif;Sari, Ali
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.501-508
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    • 2021
  • The turbine industry demands a reliable design with affordable cost. As technological advances begin to support turbines of huge sizes, and the increasing importance of wind turbines from day to day make design safety conditions more important. Wind turbines are exposed to environmental conditions that can affect their installation, durability, and operation. International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) 61400-1 design load cases consist of analyses involving wind turbine operating conditions. This design load cases (DLC) is important for determining fatigue loads (i.e., forces and moments) that occur as a result of expected conditions throughout the life of the machine. With the help of FAST (Fatigue, Aerodynamics, Structures, and Turbulence), an open source software, the NREL 5MW land base wind turbine model was used. IEC 61400-1 wind turbine design standard procedures assessed turbine behavior and fatigue damage to the tower base of dynamic loads in different design conditions. Real characteristic wind speed distribution and multi-directional effect specific to the site were taken into consideration. The effect of these conditions on the economic service life of the turbine has been studied.

Application of Common Land Model in the Nakdong River Basin, Korea for Simulation of Runoff and Land Surface Temperature (Common Land Model의 국내 적용성 평가를 위한 유량 및 지면온도 모의)

  • Lee, Keon Haeng;Choi, Hyun Il;Kwon, Hyun Han;Kim, Sangdan;Chung, Eu Gene;Kim, Kyunghyun
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.247-258
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    • 2013
  • A grid-based configuration of Land Surface Models (LSMs) coupled with a climate model can be advantageous in impact assessment of climate change for a large scale area. We assessed the applicability of Common Land Model (CoLM) to runoff and land surface temperature (LST) simulations at the domain that encompasses the Nakdong river basin. To establish a high resolution model configuration of a $1km{\times}1km$ grid size, both surface boundary condition and atmospheric inputs from the observed weather data in 2009 were adjusted to the same resolution. The Leaf Area Index (LAI) was collected from MODerate esolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the downward short wave flux was produced by a nonstationary multi-site weather state model. Compared with the observed runoffs at the stations on Nakdong river, simulated runoffs properly responded to rainfall. The spatial features and the seasonal variations of the domain fairly well were captured in the simulated LSTs as well. The monthly and seasonal trend of LST were described well compared to the observations, however, the monthly averaged simulated LST exceeded the observed up to $2^{\circ}C$ at the 24 stations. From the results of our study, it is shown that high resolution LSMs can be used to evaluate not only quantity but also quality of water resources as it can capture the geographical features of the area of interest and its rainfall-runoff response.

SHM-based probabilistic representation of wind properties: statistical analysis and bivariate modeling

  • Ye, X.W.;Yuan, L.;Xi, P.S.;Liu, H.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.591-600
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    • 2018
  • The probabilistic characterization of wind field characteristics is a significant task for fatigue reliability assessment of long-span railway bridges in wind-prone regions. In consideration of the effect of wind direction, the stochastic properties of wind field should be represented by a bivariate statistical model of wind speed and direction. This paper presents the construction of the bivariate model of wind speed and direction at the site of a railway arch bridge by use of the long-term structural health monitoring (SHM) data. The wind characteristics are derived by analyzing the real-time wind monitoring data, such as the mean wind speed and direction, turbulence intensity, turbulence integral scale, and power spectral density. A sequential quadratic programming (SQP) algorithm-based finite mixture modeling method is proposed to formulate the joint distribution model of wind speed and direction. For the probability density function (PDF) of wind speed, a double-parameter Weibull distribution function is utilized, and a von Mises distribution function is applied to represent the PDF of wind direction. The SQP algorithm with multi-start points is used to estimate the parameters in the bivariate model, namely Weibull-von Mises mixture model. One-year wind monitoring data are selected to validate the effectiveness of the proposed modeling method. The optimal model is jointly evaluated by the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and coefficient of determination, $R^2$. The obtained results indicate that the proposed SQP algorithm-based finite mixture modeling method can effectively establish the bivariate model of wind speed and direction. The established bivariate model of wind speed and direction will facilitate the wind-induced fatigue reliability assessment of long-span bridges.

Large Scale SWAT Watershed Modeling Considering Multi-purpose Dams and Multi-function Weirs Operation - For Namhan River Basin - (다목적 댐 및 다기능 보 운영을 고려한 대유역 SWAT 모형 구축기법 연구 - 남한강 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Ahn, So Ra;Lee, Ji Wan;Jang, Sun Sook;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 2016
  • This study is to evaluate the applicability of SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model for multi-purpose dams and multi-function weirs operation in Namhan river basin ($12,577km^2$) of South Korea. The SWAT was calibrated (2005 ~ 2009) and validated (2010 ~ 2014) considering of 4 multi-purpose dams and 3 multi-function weirs using daily observed dam inflow and storage, evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and groundwater level data. Firstly, the dam inflow was calibrated by the five steps; (step 1) the physical rate between total runoff and evapotranspiration was controlled by ESCO, (step 2) the peak runoff was calibrated by CN, OV_N, and CH_N, (step 3) the baseflow was calibrated by GW_DELAY, (step 4) the recession curve of baseflow was calibrated by ALPHA_BF, (step 5) the flux between lateral flow and return flow was controlled by SOL_AWC and SOL_K, and (step 6) the flux between reevaporation and return flow was controlled by REVAPMN and GW_REVAP. Secondly, for the storage water level calibration, the SWAT emergency and principle spillway were applied for water level from design flood level to restricted water level for dam and from maximum to management water level for weir respectively. Finally, the parameters for evapotranspiration (ESCO), soil water (SOL_AWC) and groundwater level fluctuation (GWQMN, ALPHA_BF) were repeatedly adjusted by trial error method. For the dam inflow, the determination coefficient $R^2$ was above 0.80. The average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was from 0.59 to 0.88 and the RMSE was from 3.3 mm/day to 8.6 mm/day respectively. For the water balance performance, the PBIAS was between 9.4 and 21.4 %. For the dam storage volume, the $R^2$ was above 0.63 and the PBIAS was between 6.3 and 13.5 % respectively. The average $R^2$ for evapotranspiration and soil moisture at CM (Cheongmicheon) site was 0.72 and 0.78, and the average $R^2$ for groundwater level was 0.59 and 0.60 at 2 YP (Yangpyeong) sites.

Construction Plan by Large Diameter Shield TBM Method and Analysis of Deformation on Site Under Soo-Young River (대구경 Shield TBM공법에 의한 수영강 하저터널 시공계획 및 시공중 발생되는 거동의 공학적 분석)

  • 윤현돈;황규호;최기훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2001.03a
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2001
  • Doosan Construction & Engineering Co., Ltd is building a railway tunnel beneath the Soo-Young River connecting MinLak Station and Centum City Station, a section 230, subway line 2, Pusan City, Korea. When completed the tunnel will have a finished inner diameter of 6.5m(21.311) throughout its total length of 840m(420m = 0.52 miles, Two Single Track Tunnel : 420m+420m). The ground profile of the face toward shield machine is composed of multi layers, silty clay, clayey gravel, soft rock etc. This research paper is to predict ground deformation and variation of stresses around tunnel using Hyperbolic model, and to reflect the works on the next shield tunneling project. And this research paper is analyzed data of measuring instrument (such as settlement gauge, inclinometer, Multiple extensometer, etc.) which is installed along tunnel line for safety of tunnel. For calculations, the finite difference Method is applied. Backfill grouting material is supposed to have instantly strength of 10kg/$\textrm{cm}^2$ above, although its strength is available after 24 hours passed.

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