• Title/Summary/Keyword: Moving-average

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Real-time Location Tracking System Using Ultrasonic Wireless Sensor Nodes (초음파 무선 센서노드를 이용한 실시간 위치 추적 시스템)

  • Park, Jong-Hyun;Choo, Young-Yeol
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.711-717
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    • 2007
  • Location information will become increasingly important for future Pervasive Computing applications. Location tracking system of a moving device can be classified into two types of architectures: an active mobile architecture and a passive mobile architecture. In the former, a mobile device actively transmits signals for estimating distances to listeners. In the latter, a mobile device listens signals from beacons passively. Although the passive architecture such as Cricket location system is inexpensive, easy to set up, and safe, it is less precise than the active one. In this paper, we present a passive location system using Cricket Mote sensors which use RF and ultrasonic signals to estimate distances. In order to improve accuracy of the passive system, the transmission speed of ultrasound was compensated according to air temperature at the moment. Upper and lower bounds of a distance estimation were set up through measuring minimum and maximum distances that ultrasonic signal can reach to. Distance estimations beyond the upper and the lower bounds were filtered off as errors in our scheme. With collecting distance estimation data at various locations and comparing each distance estimation with real distance respectively, we proposed an equation to compensate the deviation at each point. Equations for proposed algorithm were derived to calculate relative coordinates of a moving device. At indoor and outdoor tests, average location error and average location tracking period were 3.5 cm and 0.5 second, respectively, which outperformed Cricket location system of MIT.

A Study on Forecast of Oyster Production using Time Series Models (시계열모형을 이용한 굴 생산량 예측 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Jong-Oh;Noh, Seung-Guk
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.185-195
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    • 2012
  • This paper focused on forecasting a short-term production of oysters, which have been farmed in Korea, with distinct periodicity of production by year, and different production level by month. To forecast a short-term oyster production, this paper uses monthly data (260 observations) from January 1990 to August 2011, and also adopts several econometrics methods, such as Multiple Regression Analysis Model (MRAM), Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) Model, and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). As a result, first, the amount of short-term oyster production forecasted by the multiple regression analysis model was 1,337 ton with prediction error of 246 ton. Secondly, the amount of oyster production of the SARIMA I and II models was forecasted as 12,423 ton and 12,442 ton with prediction error of 11,404 ton and 11,423 ton, respectively. Thirdly, the amount of oyster production based on the VECM was estimated as 10,425 ton with prediction errors of 9,406 ton. In conclusion, based on Theil inequality coefficient criterion, short-term prediction of oyster by the VECM exhibited a better fit than ones by the SARIMA I and II models and Multiple Regression Analysis Model.

Design of 5GHz FIR filter LNA based on a Distribute Amplifier (분산증폭기 기반 5GHz FIR 필터 LNA 설계)

  • Yeo, Hyeopgoo;Jung, Seung-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2012.10a
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    • pp.842-844
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces a 5GHz FIR filter low noise amplifier (LNA) based on a distributed amplifier and analyzes the its characteristics. The proposed FIR filter-LNA has the MA(moving average) filter characteristic which improves the frequency selectivity of the amplifier. Proto-type circuits with FR4 and ${\varepsilon}_r=10.2$ PCB have been realized and simulated using ADS (Advanced Design System). The simulation results verified that the designed LNA had a gain of about 10dB and the frequency characteristic of the MA FIR filter. It is expected that the proposed FIR filter LNA can be applicable to the various applications using an amplifier and a filter in RF systems.

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Mass Estimation of a Permanent Magnet Linear Synchronous Motor Applied at the Vertical Axis (수직축 선형 영구자석 동기전동기의 질량 추정)

  • Lee, Jin-Woo;Ji, Jun-Keun;Mok, Hyung-Soo
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.487-491
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    • 2008
  • Tuning of the speed controller in the linear servo applications needs the accurate information of a mover mass including a load mass. Therefore this paper proposes the mass estimation method of a permanent magnet linear synchronous motor(PMLSM) applied at the vertical axis by using the recursive Least-Squares estimation algorithm. First, this paper derives the deterministic autoregressive moving average(DARMA) model of the mechanical dynamic system used at the vertical axis. The application of the Least-Squares algorithm to the derived DARMA model gives the mass estimation method. Matlab/Simulink-based simulation and experimental results show that the total mover mass of a PMLSM applied at the vertical axis can be accurately estimated at both no-load and load conditions.

Residual-based Robust CUSUM Control Charts for Autocorrelated Processes (자기상관 공정 적용을 위한 잔차 기반 강건 누적합 관리도)

  • Lee, Hyun-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.52-61
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    • 2012
  • The design method for cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts, which can be robust to autoregressive moving average (ARMA) modeling errors, has not been frequently proposed so far. This is because the CUSUM statistic involves a maximum function, which is intractable in mathematical derivations, and thus any modification on the statistic can not be favorably made. We propose residual-based robust CUSUM control charts for monitoring autocorrelated processes. In order to incorporate the effects of ARMA modeling errors into the design method, we modify parameters (reference value and decision interval) of CUSUM control charts using the approximate expected variance of residuals generated in model uncertainty, rather than directly modify the form of the CUSUM statistic. The expected variance of residuals is derived using a second-order Taylor approximation and the general form is represented using the order of ARMA models with the sample size for ARMA modeling. Based on the Monte carlo simulation, we demonstrate that the proposed method can be effectively used for statistical process control (SPC) charts, which are robust to ARMA modeling errors.

Monthly rainfall forecast of Bangladesh using autoregressive integrated moving average method

  • Mahmud, Ishtiak;Bari, Sheikh Hefzul;Rahman, M. Tauhid Ur
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2017
  • Rainfall is one of the most important phenomena of the natural system. In Bangladesh, agriculture largely depends on the intensity and variability of rainfall. Therefore, an early indication of possible rainfall can help to solve several problems related to agriculture, climate change and natural hazards like flood and drought. Rainfall forecasting could play a significant role in the planning and management of water resource systems also. In this study, univariate Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was used to forecast monthly rainfall for twelve months lead-time for thirty rainfall stations of Bangladesh. The best SARIMA model was chosen based on the RMSE and normalized BIC criteria. A validation check for each station was performed on residual series. Residuals were found white noise at almost all stations. Besides, lack of fit test and normalized BIC confirms all the models were fitted satisfactorily. The predicted results from the selected models were compared with the observed data to determine prediction precision. We found that selected models predicted monthly rainfall with a reasonable accuracy. Therefore, year-long rainfall can be forecasted using these models.

A Method to Enhance Dynamic Range for Seismic Sensor Using ARMA Modelling of Low Frequency Noise and Kalman Filtering (지진계 저주파수 잡음의 ARMA 모델링 및 칼만필터를 이용한 지진계 동적범위 향상 방법)

  • Seong, Sang-Man;Lee, Byeung-Leul;Won, Jang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2015
  • In this study, a method to enhance the dynamic range of seismic sensor is proposed. The low frequency noise included in the measurement of seismic sensor is modelled as an ARMA(Auto Regressive Moving Average) model and the order and parameters of the model are identified through system identification method. The identified noise model is augmented into Kalmman filter which estimate seismic signal from sensor measurement. The proposed method is applied to a newly developed seismic sensor which is MEMS based 3-axis accelerometer type. The experiment show that the proposed method can enhance the dynamic range compared to the simple low pass filtering.

Development of Short-Run Standardized Control Charts and Acceptance Control Charts Classified by the Demand Volume and Variety (수요량과 다양성 패턴에 의해 유형화된 단기간 표준화 관리도와 단기간 합격판정 관리도의 개발)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.255-263
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    • 2010
  • The research developes short-run standardized control charts(SSCC) and short-run acceptance control charts(SACC) under the various demand patterns. The demand patterns considered in this paper are three types such as high-variety and repetitive low-volume pattern, extremely-high-variety and nonrepetitive low-volume pattern, and high-variety and extremely-low-volume pattern. The short-run standardized control charts developed by extending the long-run ${\bar{x}}$-R, ${\bar{x}}$-s and I-MR charts have strengths for practioners to understand and use easily. Moreover, the short-range acceptance control charts developed in the study can be efficiently used through combining the functions of the inspection and control chart. The weighting schemes such as Shewhart, moving average (MA) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) can be considered by the reliability of data sets. The two types according to the use of control chart are presented in the short-range standardized charts and acceptance control charts. Finally, process capability index(PCI) and process performance index(PPI) classified by the demand patterns are presented.

Recursive Least Squares Run-to-Run Control with Time-Varying Metrology Delays

  • Fan, Shu-Kai;Chang, Yuan-Jung
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.262-274
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    • 2010
  • This article investigates how to adaptively predict the time-varying metrology delay that could realistically occur in the semiconductor manufacturing practice. Metrology delays pose a great challenge for the existing run-to-run (R2R) controllers, driving the process output significantly away from target if not adequately predicted. First, the expected asymptotic double exponentially weighted moving average (DEWMA) control output, by using the EWMA and recursive least squares (RLS) prediction methods, is derived. It has been found that the relationships between the expected control output and target in both estimation methods are parallel, and six cases are addressed. Within the context of time-varying metrology delay, this paper presents a modified recursive least squares-linear trend (RLS-LT) controller, in combination with runs test. Simulated single input-single output (SISO) R2R processes subject to various time-varying metrology delay scenarios are used as a testbed to evaluate the proposed algorithms. The simulation results indicate that the modified RLS-LT controller can yield the process output more accurately on target with smaller mean squared error (MSE) than the original RLSLT controller that only deals with constant metrology delays.

A novel SARMA-ANN hybrid model for global solar radiation forecasting

  • Srivastava, Rachit;Tiwaria, A.N.;Giri, V.K.
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.131-143
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    • 2019
  • Global Solar Radiation (GSR) is the key element for performance estimation of any Solar Power Plant (SPP). Its forecasting may help in estimation of power production from a SPP well in advance, and may also render help in optimal use of this power. Seasonal Auto-Regressive Moving Average (SARMA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are combined in order to develop a hybrid model (SARMA-ANN) conceiving the characteristics of both linear and non-linear prediction models. This developed model has been used for prediction of GSR at Gorakhpur, situated in the northern region of India. The proposed model is beneficial for the univariate forecasting. Along with this model, we have also used Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA), SARMA, ANN based models for 1 - 6 day-ahead forecasting of GSR on hourly basis. It has been found that the proposed model presents least RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and produces best forecasting results among all the models considered in the present study. As an application, the comparison between the forecasted one and the energy produced by the grid connected PV plant installed on the parking stands of the University shows the superiority of the proposed model.