• 제목/요약/키워드: Mortgage Loan

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Long-Term Projection of Demand for Reverse Mortgage Using the Bass Diffusion Model in Korea (Bass 확산모형을 활용한 국내 주택연금의 중·장기 수요예측)

  • Yang, Jin-Ah;Min, Daiki;Choi, Hyung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2017
  • Korea is expected to become a super-aged society by 2050. Given an aging population and the increasing pressure for the early retirement, a sufficient social safety net for elderly population becomes important. The Korean government introduced public reverse mortgage program in 2007, which is a product for aging seniors and the elderly, The number of reverse mortgage subscribers has also steadily grown. The demand continues to grow, but the reverse mortgage over a long period of time is a highly uncertain and risky product in the position of guarantee or lending institution. Thus, suitable demand prediction of the reverse mortgage subscribers is necessary for stable and sustainable operation. This study uses a Bass diffusion model to forecast the long-term demand for reverse mortgage and provides insight into reverse mortgage by forecasting demand for stability and substantiality of the loan product. We represent the projections of new subscribers on the basis of the data obtained from Korea Housing Finance Corporation. Results show that potential market size of Korean reverse mortgage reaches approximately 760,000-1,160,000 households by 2020. We validate the results by comparing the estimate of the cumulative number of subscribers with that found in literature.

A Study on the real estate title insurance in the early stage of mortgage loan in Korea (모기지론 도입에 따른 부동산 권원보험 활성화 연구)

  • O Doug-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.466-470
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of the study is to propose the way to activate title insurance in Korea. Title insurance in Korea is at first stage in development cycle. Companies which handle title insurance mainly operate in the services related to real estate. Recently in Korea, Mortgage loan is introduced in market. Mortgage loans may give a new motive in title insurance market. In Korea, registration record in real estate does not prove real ownership and this point can make title insurance spread widely in property transaction. Title insurance offers financial protection against these and other covered title hazards. There are two basic kinds of title insurance: Lender or mortgagee protection, owner's coverage. For the prosperity of title insurance, We should decrease a financial fee, business cost and prepare a on-stop service in a real estate brokerage.

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Proposal of a Model for Co-processing of Real Estate Mortgage Registration in China's Internet Environment

  • Wang, Long;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, based on the real estate registration model in the Chinese internet environment, we propose a model for the joint business of banking collateral registration. This is to increase the efficiency and service level of the real estate mortgage registration process. And it can solve the problems that in the process of registering a mortgage loan, difficulty of data sharing between the real estate registration agency and the bank, and ordinary users and bank clerks duplicate unnecessary work. In addition, it realizes joint processing and data sharing of real estate registration work with real estate registration agencies and banks, increases the efficiency and level of government affairs services, and offers an optimized solution to realize a one-stop service for real estate security registration. The results of this study are expected to provide theoretical support for the application and innovation of the Internet environment real estate registration model.

Risk Analysis of Household Debt in Korea: Using Micro CB Data (개인CB 자료를 이용한 우리나라 가계의 부채상환위험 분석)

  • Hahm, Joon-Ho;Kim, Jung In;Lee, Young Sook
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.1-34
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    • 2010
  • We conduct a comprehensive risk analysis of household debt in Korea for the first time using the whole sample credit bureau (CB) data of 2.2 million individual debtors. After analysing debt service capacity profiles of debtor groups classified by the borrower characteristics such as income, age, occupation, credit scoring, and the type of creditor business companies, we investigate the impact of interest rate and income changes on debt service-to-income ratios (DTIs) and default rates of respective debtor groups. Empirical results indicate that debt service burdens are relatively high for low income wage earners, high income self-employed, low income capital and card loan holders, and high income mutual savings loan holders. We also find that debtors from multiple financial companies are particularly weak in their debt service capacity. The scenario analysis indicates that financial companies, with the current level of capital buffers, may be able to absorb negative consequences arising from the increase in DTIs and loan default rates if the interest rate and income changes remain modest. However, the negative consequences may fall disproportionately on non-bank financial companies such as capital, credit card, and mutual savings banks, whose debtors' DTIs are already high. We also find that the refinancing risk of household debt is relatively high in Korea as more than half of household mortgage debts are bullet loans. As the DTIs of mortgage loan holders are already high, under the current DTI regulation, mortgage loans may not be readily refinanced especially when the interest rate rises. Disruptions in mortgage loan refinancing may put downward pressure on housing prices, which may in turn magnify refinancing risk under the current loan-to-value (LTV) regulation. Overall our analysis suggests that, for more effective monitoring of household debt risk, it is necessary to combine existing surveillance schemes based on macro aggregate indicators with more comprehensive and detailed risk analyses based on micro individual data.

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The Scale of Households in Negative Housing Equity and Policy Direction (하우스푸어 규모 추정 및 정책 방향에 대한 고찰)

  • Choi, Eun-Hee;Lee, Jong-Kwon;Moon, Hyo-Gon;Kim, Kyeong-Mi
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.259-269
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    • 2014
  • After global financial crisis, the ratio of household debt to GDP was decreasing in other advanced countries such as the U.S., and the U.K. and so on. But, in Korea, household debt (of which residential mortgage loan account for a large part) ratio is still increasing. This paper focuses on the scale and characteristics of households in negative housing equity (those are called House-poors in Korea), and also the socio-economic backgrounds of the formation process. In financial perspective, the problem of negative housing equity depends on financial debt repayment capability. We used DSR (Debt Service Ratio) and LTA (Loan to Asset ratio) as financial indicators to evaluate the debt repayment capability. The critical value of DSR is assumed as 40%, and LTA 100%. The socio-economic backgrounds of the House-poors are as follows : increasing households debt dependency, over lending competition of financial institutions and unreasonable loan in household economy, instability of real estate market, week regulation on mortgage loan. Finally, this paper suggests some implications about the range and the target of public intervention.

Effects of Security Design and Investor Utilities on the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS의 발행구조, 가치평가 몇 투자자 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.147-179
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    • 2005
  • It is frequently said that mortgage-backed securities (MBS) of different security designs are issued in an attempt to meet the varying needs and expectations of investors. If this is true indeed, MBS of complicated risk-return characteristics are likely to be priced higher than MBS of simple risk-return characteristics we. We test this implication by establishing a recombining binomial interest rate prepayment model with a burnout effect embedded. More specifically, we compare the relative values (utilities) of a pass-through and a PAC- Support collateralized mortgage obligation(CMO), and theoretically show why and how the CMO is more highly valued than is the pass-through. The model is established such that mortgage prepayment is a function of the current value of, and the past path of, the mort-gage market rate. Since we work on not the total value of the two MBS but the value of each tranche of either MBS, the test results could be robust to slightly different versions of similar tests, which may be done in the future.

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A Study on the Measures to Activate the Credit Loans for the Venture Companies (벤처기업신용대출 활성화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Keun-Soo
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2005
  • This paper study the way of increasing the credit loan for the Venture Companies. They are very important in national economics. But they are short of financial and mortgage although they have many kinds of superb ideas and technologies. Korean government has tried to financially support them. But the support has had its own limit. Banks and other financial institutions have not been in a positive position to loan money out to venture companies because their businesses are highly risky. The credit evaluation system of medium and small business are need to improve in order to increase the Venture Companies. loan. So, it is necessary to find new measures to activate credit loans to them.

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A Study on the Effect of Household Loans on Financial Soundness in Banks (주택담보대출이 국내은행의 재무건전성에 미치는 영향)

  • Huang, Zi Xin;Bae, Soo Hyun
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of household loan share on bank management soundness. The results of the empirical analysis are summarized as follows. First, as a result of estimating coefficient of the mortgage loan ratio shows a significant negative relationship with the BIS equity capital ratio of banks. In addition, it was found that the mortgage loan ratio had a significant positive (+) effect on Eunhae's BIS and equity capital ratio after the financial crisis. Second, as a result of the estimation coefficient of the mortgage ratio showed a significant positive (+) relationship with the NPL of the bank and below. In addition, it is estimated that the bank's secured loan ratio changed significantly before and after the financial crisis in the effect of banks' NPL and substandard-and-below loans. It is expected to make implication to financial policy and banking regulation and supervision. We believe that more efforts should be made to increase the soundness of household loans in preparation for risk factors that may arise from exogenous factors such as changes in the international financial environment and falling property prices.

A Recognition Analysis on Activation of Housing Reverse Mortgage Loans and Mortgage Loans (주택연금과 주택담보대출의 활성화 방안 인식분석)

  • Lee, Chan Ho;Shin, Yeong Mi
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.197-203
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    • 2014
  • This study deals with a comparative analysis on reverse mortgage loans and mortgage loans in order to pave a path for activation of real estate financing. The fact-revealing analysis was conducted through surveys based on theoretical consideration and advanced researches, which has drawn a range of findings. As the results of this study, the important findings concerning the improvement on the activation of practical housing reverse mortgages are applicable to all real estate, diversifying the tax benefits, and deregulation of 1 house, etc. and findings concerning the improvement to activate mortgage loans are diversifying types of interest rates, diversifying types of repayment, tax benefits for less than 15 years maturity period, and granting benefits(low interest rates, higher loan limits) to low-income households, etc. This study has a significance for providing basic materials in order to accomplish advanced finance policies along with social welfare services as suggesting measures to improve and activate real estate financing through the findings out of the fact-revealing analysis conducted as above.

Analysis of the Korean Real Estate Market and Boosting Policies Focusing on Mortgage Loans: Using System Dynamics (주택담보대출 규제 완화에 따른 부동산시장 영향 분석: 시스템다이내믹스 모형 개발)

  • Hwang, Sung-Joo;Park, Moon-Seo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Yoon, You-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2010
  • The Korean real estate market currently is experiencing a slowdown due to the global economic crisis which has resulted from subprime mortgage lending practices. In response, the Korean government has enforced various policies, based on intend to deregulate real estate speculation, such as increasing the Loan to value ratio (LTV) in order to stimulate housing supply, demand and accompanying housing transactions. However, these policies have appeared to result in deep confusion in the Korean housing market. Furthermore, analyses for housing market forecasting particularly those which examine the impact of the international financial crisis on the Korean real estate market have been partial and fragmentary. Therefore, a comprehensive and systematical approach is required to analyze the real estate financial market and the causal nexus between market determining factors. Thus, with an integrated perspective and applying a system dynamics methodology, this paper proposes Korean Real Estate and Mortgage Market dynamics models based on the fundamental principles of housing markets, which are determined by supply and demand. As well, the potential effects of the Korean government's deregulation policies are considered by focusing on the main factor of these policies: the mortgage loan.