• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션

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Analysis of Cost Variation of Piping Equipment Design of a Steel Manufacturing Plant by Simulation (시뮬레이션을 통한 제철플랜트 배관장치 설계비용의 변동 범위 분석)

  • Bae, Kyung-Suk;Heo, Ki-Moo;Yoon, Sung-Hoon;Moon, Yoon-Jae;Yoo, Ho-seon;Lee, Jae-Heon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2014
  • In this consideration, this research investigated the piping design items and drew out key design items through interview with experts and surveys to apply them to actual project examples and look into piping design item-specific significance and cost variation ranges. Based on this investigation, the Monte-Carlo simulation was employed herein to analyze the cost variation range for the entire piping design costs with a view to presenting a way to calculate a reasonable bidding price for any similar project and verify the appropriateness of joining a bid.

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Estimation of Extreme Wind Speeds in Southern and Western Coasts by Typhoon Simulation (태풍 시뮬레이션을 통한 서남해안의 극한풍속 예측)

  • Kwon, Soon-Duck;Lee, Jae-Hyoung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.4A
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    • pp.431-438
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    • 2008
  • An updated Monte Carlo procedure for Typhoon simulation is presented to estimate the extreme wind speed at typhoon prone southern and western coasts in Korea. The reconstructed wind field model for typhoon in this study is compared with measured typhoon data for validation. The fitness of the proposed probability distribution models for typhoon parameters are tested by using data for the typhoon passed near the specific site. The simulated maximum wind speed associated with various return periods along southern and western coasts indicate that the extreme wind speed gradually increases inversely according to latitude of the coast, and that the basic wind speeds given in Korea Bridge Design Code are excessive compared with present results.

Numerical Simulajtions of Non-ergodic Solute Transport in Strongly Heterogeneous Aquiferss (불균질도가 높은 대수층내에서의 비에르고딕 용질이동에 관한 수치 시뮬레이션)

  • Seo Byong-Min
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.245-255
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    • 2005
  • Three dimensional Monte-Carlo simulations of non-ergodic transport of a non-reactive solute plume by steady-state groundwater flow under a uniform mean velocity in isotropic heterogeneous aquifers were conducted. The log-normally distributed hydraulic conductivity, K(x), is modeled as a random field. Significant efforts are made to reduce the simulation uncertainties. Ensemble averages of the second spatial moments of the plume, $$lt;S_{ij}'(t',l')$gt;$ and plume centroid variances, $$lt;R_{ij}'(t',l')$gt;$ were simulated with 3200 Monte Carlo runs for three variances of log K, $\omega^2_y1.0,,2.5,$ and 5.0, and three dimensionless lengths of line plume sources ( l=,5 and 10) normal to the mean velocity. The simulated second spatial moment and the plume centroid variance in longitudinal direction fit well to the first order theoretical results while the simulated transverse moments are not fit well with the first order results. The first order theoretical results definitely underestimated the simulated transverse second spatial moments for the aquifers of large u: and small initial plume sources. The ergodic condition for the second spatial moments is far from reaching, and the first order theoretical results of the transverse second spatial moment of the ergodic plume slightly underestimated the simulated moments.

The comparisons of three scatter correction methods using Monte Carlo simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 산란보정 방법들에 대한 비교)

  • 봉정균;김희중;이종두;권수일
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 1999
  • Scatter correction for single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) plays an important role to improve image quality and quantitation. The purpose of this study was to investigate three scatter correction methods using Monte Carlo simulation. Point source and Jaszack phantom filled with Tc-99m were simulated by Monte Carlo code, SIMIND. For scatter correction, we applied three methods, Compton window (CW) method, triple window (TW) method, and dual photopeak window (DPW) method. Point sources located at various depths along the center line within a 20-cm phantom were simulated to calculate the window ratios and corresponding scatter fractions by evaluating the polynomial coefficients for DPW method. Energy windows were located in W$_1$=92-125 keV, W$_2$=124-126 keV, W$_3$=136-140 keV, W$_4$=140-141 keV, and W$_{5}$=154-156 keV. The results showed that in Jaszack phantom with cold sphere and hot sphere, the TW gave the closest contrast and percentage recovery to the ideal image, respectively, while CW overestimated and DPW underestimated the contrast of ideal one. All three scatter correction methods showed an improved image contrast. In conclusion, scatter correction is essential for improving image contrast and accurate quantification. The choice of scatter correction method should be made on the basis of accuracies and ease of implementation.

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Monte-Carlo Tree Search Applied to the Game of Tic-Tac-Toe (삼목 게임에 적용된 몬테카를로 트리탐색)

  • Lee, Byung-Doo
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2014
  • The game of Go is one of the oldest games and originated at least more than 2,500 years ago. In game programming the most successful approach is to use game tree searches using evaluation functions. However it is really difficult to construct feasible evaluation function in computer Go. Monte-Carlo Tree Search(MCTS) has created strong computer Go programs such as MoGo and CrazyStone which defeated human Go professionals played on the $9{\times}9$ board. MCTS is based on the winning rate estimated by Monte-Carlo simulation. Prior to implementing MCTS into computer Go, we tried to measure each winning rate of three positions, center, corner and side, in Tic-Tac-Toe playing as the best first move. The experimental result revealed that the center is the best, a corner the next and a side the last as the best first move.

Simulation of Beta Ray Spectra in Liquid Scintillation Counting System by means of Monte Carlo Method (Monte Carlo 계산에 의한 액체섬광계수기의 베타선 스펙트럼 Simulation)

  • Yi, Chul-Young;Jun, Jae-Shik
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 1993
  • Beta ray spectra of $^3H,\;^{14}C\;and\;^{36}Cl$ in liquid scintillation counting system have been calculated using the Monte Carlo method by which physical behaviors of particle transport in medium were simulated. The calculations have been carried out on the basis of beta rays being slowing down according to the continuous slowing down approximation(CSDA) model. Beta rays generated in simulation geometry were traced until they lost their energy below 0.3keV that in known to be the detection limit in the liquid scintillation counter. Scintillator solution in which pure beta emitting radionuclides were dissolved uniformly was assumed to be bottled in the shape of right circular cylinder with 12.5mm in radius and 35mm in height. The comparison of the calculated and measured results showed satisfactory agreement between those two, with slight discrepancy due to self quenching in the case of lower energy of emitted beta particles in the solution.

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A Monte Carlo Simulation and 1D Hydraulic Model-Based Approach for Estimating River Discharge at the Confluence using Artificial Multi-Segmented Rating Curves (K-RIVER와 Monte Carlo 방법을 이용한 홍수기 간접유량 추정 기법)

  • 강한솔;김연수;노준우;허영택;변지선;안현욱
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.483-483
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    • 2023
  • 2020년 8월 섬진강 유역에서 100년 빈도 이상의 대홍수가 발생함에 따라 제방이 붕괴되거나 하천 범람이 발생하는 피해가 발생하였다. 8월 홍수를 대상으로 섬진강 본류 남원(신덕리) 수위국에서 기존의 수위-유량 관계 곡선식(이하 Rating curve)의 최대 적용 가능 수위는 2.53m 이지만, 해당 기간 첨두 수위는 10m 이상을 기록하였다. 이러한 대홍수의 경우 기왕의 관측데이터가 없을 뿐만 아니라 기존의 Rating curve를 외삽하여 활용하는 것에도 한계가 있어 간접적으로 유량을 산정할 수 있는 기법이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 이와 같이 유량측정이 어려운 지점을 대상으로 주어진 유량에 대하여 수위를 재현할 수 있는 K-water에서 개발된 K-River모형(1차원 하천수리해석모형)과 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션 기법을 활용하여 간접적으로 유량을 산정할 수 있는 기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 방법론은 고수위 구간에 대한 Rating curve의 불확실성으로 인하여 본류와 지류의 유입량 추정이 어려웠던 섬진강 요천 합류부에 적용하였다. 대상구간은 본류(섬진강) 26km 및 지류(요천) 15km로 구성되어 있으며, 본류와 지류의 상류인 수위국 남원(신덕리) 관측소와 남원(동림교) 관측소에는 각각 기존의 Rating curve가 존재한다. 불확실성이 높은 Rating curve의 고수위 구간에 대한 매개변수를 조정하여 다수의 Rating curve를 생성하고, 이를 기반으로 관측수위를 다수의 상류 시계열 유량자료(경계조건)로 환산하였다. 다음으로 이 유량자료를 기반으로 앙상블 모의를 수행 후 대상구간의 중간지점에 위치한 수위국(고달(고달교) 관측소, 송동(요천대교) 관측소, 곡성(금곡교) 관측소)에서 수위재현성(NSE, RSR등 활용)을 평가하여 최적 샘플 추출을 추출하였다. 추출된 샘플로부터 상류 경계지점의 적정 Rating curve 선정과 각 지점에서의 시계열 수위 및 유량을 역으로 추정하였다. 이를 통해 실제 유량측정결과 없이도 간접적으로 신뢰도 높은 유량 자료를 확보할 수 있음을 확인할 수 있었으며, 향후 수자원의 효율적 관리 및 홍수관리를 위하여 효율적으로 활용이 가능할 것으로 생각된다.

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Monte Carlo Simulation-Based Mammographic Anti-Scatter Grids to Evaluate Performance of Digital Mammography Detector (디지털 맘모 디텍터 성능평가를 위한 몬테카를로용 산란선 제거 그리드 작성에 관한 연구)

  • Yeji Kim;Hyejin Jo;Yongsu Yoon
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2024
  • In Recent years, there has been a noticeable increase in the global incidence of breast cancer, with approximately 2.3 million cases of female breast cancer reported worldwide in 2020. Numerous studies are currently underway to enhance the accuracy of breast cancer diagnosis through the development of digital mammography detectors. This study aims to create Monte Carlo simulation-based mammographic anti-scatter grids and investigate their utility in evaluating the performance of digital mammography detector. Two types of mammographic anti-scatter grids, MAM-CP and Senographe 600T HF, were created using Monte Carlo simulation software (MCNPX 2.7.0), with grid ratios of 3.7 : 1 and 5 : 1, respectively. The grid physical characteristics (sensitivity, exposure factor, contrast improvement ratio) were calculated based on the KS C IEC60627 in the simulations using two X-ray qualities, RQA-M2 (28 kVp) and MW4 (35 kVp). As the X-ray tube voltage increased from 28 kVp to 35 kVp, sensitivity and exposure factor exhibited a decreasing trend, while contrast improvement ratio demonstrated an increasing trend. With an increase in grid ratio from 3.7 : 1 to 5 : 1, all physical characteristics showed an upward trend. Our results were consistent with a previous study that conducted measurements of physical properties using a real phantom. However, the pattern of change in the contrast improvement ratio with X-ray tube voltage differed from the previous study.

Stochastic numerical study on the propagation characteristics of P-Wave in heterogeneous ground (지반의 비균질성이 탄성파 전파 특성에 미치는 영향에 대한 추계론적 수치해석 연구)

  • Song, Ki-Il
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2013
  • Various elastic wave-based site investigation methods have been used to characterize subsurface ground because the dynamic properties can be correlated with various geotechnical parameters. Although the inherent spatial variability of the geotechnical parameters affects the P-wave propagation characteristics, ground heterogeneity has not been considered as an influential factor. Thus, the effect of heterogeneous ground on the travel-time shift and wavefront characteristics of elastic waves through stochastic numerical analyses is investigated in this study. The effects of the relative correlation lengths and relative propagation distances on the travel-time shift of P-waves considering various intensities of ground heterogeneity were investigated. Heterogeneous ground fields of stiffness (e.g., the coefficient of variation = 10 ~ 40%) were repeatedly realized in numerical finite difference grids using the turning band method. Monte Carlo simulations were undertaken to simulate P-wave propagation in heterogeneous ground using a finite difference method-based numerical approach. The results show that the disturbance of the wavefront becomes more significant with stronger heterogeneity and induces travel-time delays. The relative correlation lengths and propagation distances are systematically related to the travel-time shift.

A Parallel Spreadsheet-based Monte Carlo Algorithm for Financial Derivatives Pricing (파생 상품의 가치 평가를 위한 몬테카를로 알고리즘에 기반한 병렬 스프레드시트)

  • Lee, Jae-Geun;Kim, Jin-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.1006-1008
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    • 2005
  • 최근에 계산금융 분야에서 복잡한 수식을 이용한 연산이 증가하고 있다. 그리고 계산금융 분야에서 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션은 대표적인 계산방법 중에 하나이다. 그러나 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션은 많은 반복연산을 수행하므로 연산시간이 오래 걸리는 문제점이 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 본 논문에서는 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션과 스프레드시트를 병렬로 처리하였다. 또한 실험을 통하여 병렬 스프레드시트의 계산 노드가 증가함에 따라 파생상품의 계산 시간이 단축되는 것을 보였다.

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