• Title/Summary/Keyword: Modeling process

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Improvement of Hydrologic Dam Risk Analysis Model Considering Uncertainty of Hydrologic Analysis Process (수문해석과정의 불확실성을 고려한 수문학적 댐 위험도 해석 기법 개선)

  • Na, Bong-Kil;Kim, Jin-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lim, Jeong-Yeul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.10
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    • pp.853-865
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    • 2014
  • Hydrologic dam risk analysis depends on complex hydrologic analyses in that probabilistic relationship need to be established to quantify various uncertainties associated modeling process and inputs. However, the systematic approaches to uncertainty analysis for hydrologic risk analysis have not been addressed yet. In this paper, two major innovations are introduced to address this situation. The first is the use of a Hierarchical Bayesian model based regional frequency analysis to better convey uncertainties associated with the parameters of probability density function to the dam risk analysis. The second is the use of Bayesian model coupled HEC-1 rainfall-runoff model to estimate posterior distributions of the model parameters. A reservoir routing analysis with the existing operation rule was performed to convert the inflow scenarios into water surface level scenarios. Performance functions for dam risk model was finally employed to estimate hydrologic dam risk analysis. An application to the Dam in South Korea illustrates how the proposed approach can lead to potentially reliable estimates of dam safety, and an assessment of their sensitivity to the initial water surface level.

A Study on the Land Suitability Analysis Based on Site Selection Variables using Macro Language (매크로 언어를 이용한 입지인자 변수조정에 따른 토지적합성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yi, Gi-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.59-77
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    • 2003
  • This study is to validate the use of macro language for the land suitability analysis aiming to help to resolve land use conflicts. The silver-town suitability analysis is conducted on the Geejang Gun, Busan Metropolitan city. Such digital maps as terrain, road, facility, and water body were created for various cartographic models. A cartographic model identified the best suitable areas for silver-town development based on the such site selection variables as a distance to facility and road, slope and aspect of terrain, land use etc. Then, the other cartographic model identified the most favorable site among the candidate sites based on the comparison of the aspect of proximity, usage and environmental quality. Macro language was used for these modeling process and was used for the manipulation of all these spatial variables used in the models to resolve land use conflicts relating to the decision making process of the final site selection. This study will improve the effectiveness and rationality of the traditional site suitability analysis.

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Multi-FNN Identification by Means of HCM Clustering and ITs Optimization Using Genetic Algorithms (HCM 클러스터링에 의한 다중 퍼지-뉴럴 네트워크 동정과 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 이의 최적화)

  • 오성권;박호성
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.487-496
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, the Multi-FNN(Fuzzy-Neural Networks) model is identified and optimized using HCM(Hard C-Means) clustering method and genetic algorithms. The proposed Multi-FNN is based on Yamakawa's FNN and uses simplified inference as fuzzy inference method and error back propagation algorithm as learning rules. We use a HCM clustering and Genetic Algorithms(GAs) to identify both the structure and the parameters of a Multi-FNN model. Here, HCM clustering method, which is carried out for the process data preprocessing of system modeling, is utilized to determine the structure of Multi-FNN according to the divisions of input-output space using I/O process data. Also, the parameters of Multi-FNN model such as apexes of membership function, learning rates and momentum coefficients are adjusted using genetic algorithms. A aggregate performance index with a weighting factor is used to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. The aggregate performance index stands for an aggregate objective function with a weighting factor to consider a mutual balance and dependency between approximation and predictive abilities. According to the selection and adjustment of a weighting factor of this aggregate abjective function which depends on the number of data and a certain degree of nonlinearity, we show that it is available and effective to design an optimal Multi-FNN model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, we use the time series data for gas furnace and the numerical data of nonlinear function.

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A Study on the 'Principle-Policy Puzzle' in the Public Opinion of the 'Engagement Policy' (김대중 정부의 통일정책에 대한 여론의 이중성: 원칙과 정책에 대한 의견의 괴리)

  • Rhee, June-Woong
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.26
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    • pp.291-326
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    • 2004
  • This study explores the process within which whereas the majority of Korean people agree on the principle of the unification policy, the opinions about the concrete policy alternatives related to the principle do not converge. To account for this phenomenon, a.k.a. 'the principle-policy puzzle in public opinion', this study constructs and tests a covariance structural model with the explanatory variables such as political knowledge, political ideology, authoritarian personality, social distance, and the evaluation of the president. In addition, the interaction effects of the interpretive frames regarding the unification policy and political knowledge along with the main effects of socio-demographic variables are tested to explain the degree to which people show the gap between the agreements on the unification principle and policy alternatives. A sample of 600 Seoul people are recruited to provide the data for the analysis of structural equation modeling. Ie was found that the proposed model receives empirical supports from the data. In particular, political knowledge and authoritarian personality play key roles in accounting for the complex process of public opinion in the 'principle-policy puzzle'. The findings were discussed in terms of the representations of the Engagement policy in the mass media and the public perception of them.

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Performance Analysis of a Statistical Packet Voice/Data Multiplexer (통계적 패킷 음성 / 데이터 다중화기의 성능 해석)

  • 신병철;은종관
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.179-196
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    • 1986
  • In this paper, the peformance of a statistical packet voice/data multiplexer is studied. In ths study we assume that in the packet voice/data multiplexer two separate finite queues are used for voice and data traffics, and that voice traffic gets priority over data. For the performance analysis we divide the output link of the multiplexer into a sequence of time slots. The voice signal is modeled as an (M+1) - state Markov process, M being the packet generation period in slots. As for the data traffic, it is modeled by a simple Poisson process. In our discrete time domain analysis, the queueing behavior of voice traffic is little affected by the data traffic since voice signal has priority over data. Therefore, we first analyze the queueing behavior of voice traffic, and then using the result, we study the queueing behavior of data traffic. For the packet voice multiplexer, both inpur state and voice buffer occupancy are formulated by a two-dimensional Markov chain. For the integrated voice/data multiplexer we use a three-dimensional Markov chain that represents the input voice state and the buffer occupancies of voice and data. With these models, the numerical results for the performance have been obtained by the Gauss-Seidel iteration method. The analytical results have been verified by computer simylation. From the results we have found that there exist tradeoffs among the number of voice users, output link capacity, voic queue size and overflow probability for the voice traffic, and also exist tradeoffs among traffic load, data queue size and oveflow probability for the data traffic. Also, there exists a tradeoff between the performance of voice and data traffics for given inpur traffics and link capacity. In addition, it has been found that the average queueing delay of data traffic is longer than the maximum buffer size, when the gain of time assignment speech interpolation(TASI) is more than two and the number of voice users is small.

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A Study of the Establishment of Framework for Information Exchange based on IFC Model in Domestic Collaborative Design Environment (국내 협업 설계 환경에서의 IFC기반 정보 교환 프레임워크 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Joonghwan;Kwon, Soonwook;Lee, Kyuhyup;Choi, Sangduck;Kim, Jinman
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2015
  • As recent multilateral collaboration design system has been advanced, BIM based data exchange is a key factor for successful next generation building project. Even though many studies have been trying to set up a data compatibility system for collaboration, There are still a lot of problem in data exchange between design and engineering phase. Therefore, In this study, we analysis causes of problem for information exchange and suggest a IFC based Information exchange framework for improving BIM based design collaboration environment. In order to find out problems that hinder establishment of advanced open BIM information exchange, proper analysis about transition of process from current and to-be BIM based design collaboration process is important, at first. From analysis of main obstacles to information exchange, this research suggests solution plan using open API and IFC based BIM collaboration supporting system. The suggested open API solution named Integrity feedback system perform a role making up for weak point derived from IFC based data exchange. And main system suggestion about framework for IFC based information exchange reflect technological system support, requirement of function for collaboration including API/BCF plug-in.

A Study on the Design of Horizontal Traverse Units in an Automatic Object Changer Unit to Establish a Flexible Production System (Part 2) (유연생산 시스템 구축을 위한 공작물 자동교환 유닛의 수평 이송 기구 설계에 관한 연구(파트 2))

  • Park, Hoo-Myung;Sung, Jae-Kyung;Lee, Yong-Joong;Ha, Man-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this study is to develop an automatic object changer unit to improve processing problems existed in the conventional horizontal machining center. To achieve this goal, this study designed a horizontal transfer as the second project continued to the first project that designed a upward and downward traverse unit. A horizontal traverse unit shows a symmetric structure and consists of frame, which consists of four unit tools, motor and reducer, which are fixed at a frame, operation unit with pinions, first traverse unit, and second traverse unit. Constraint conditions based on the operation mechanism with these elements were configured and obtained following results after modeling a model for a traverse motor. In the kinematic expression of sliding motion with one degree of freedom, the sliding motion is constrained. Also, the rack 3 installed at a frame is used to configure possible kinematic constraint conditions of the rack 2 according to the rolling motion of the pinion 2 in the first traverse unit. In addition, the moment of inertia that is a type of kinetic energy in a converted horizontal traverse unit in the side of the reducer can be applied to introduce the moment of inertia of a converted horizontal traverse unit in the side of the reducer by using the sum of kinetic energy in the rack and pinion, which is a part of the horizontal traverse unit. Also, the equation of motion of the converted upward and downward traverse unit in the side of the motor using the equation of motion of the motor. Furthermore, the horizontal traverse unit predetermines the mass of the first and second traverse unit and applied load including the radius and reduction ratio of the pitch circle in the pinion 1 and applied load to the rack 2. Then, a proper motor can be determined using several parameters in the upward and downward traverse unit in order to verify such predetermined specifications. In future studies later this study, a simulation that verifies the results of the previous two stages of studies using a finite element method.

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A Study on Optimal Operation for Flare systems (플레어 시스템의 최적 운영방안에 대한 연구)

  • Song, Bang-Un;Bok, Hyeong-Jun;Woo, In-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2019
  • Most oil refineries and chemical plants have flare systems designed to mitigate pressure rises in process facilities in case of emergencies that require the release of large amounts of gas due to sudden process shutdowns such as power outages. However, the rise of the flame of the flare system causes civil complaints from residents around the factory due to visible pollution, and economic loss occurs in the company, which requires constant management. In this study, two items were diagnosed and analyzed in order to derive the optimal operation method of flare system. First, to detect the cause of the rise in flame height, the acoustic leak detector was used to check gas leaks in safety valves and pressure control valves. Second, to identify the cause of flame instability, the pulsation phenomenon was diagnosed through the CFD simulation and modeling experiments of the sealing drum. By confirming the leak at 4.3% of the safety valve and 10% of the pressure control valve, the cause of abnormal sparking was derived. The information presented in this study can be easily applied to any company that has a flare system, and is expected to prevent complaints and product loss.

Robust Optimal Design of Disc Brake Based on Response Surface Model Considering Standard Normal Distribution of Shape Tolerance (표준정규분포를 고려한 반응표면모델 기반 디스크 브레이크의 강건최적설계)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ki;Lee, Yong-Bum;Han, Seung-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.1305-1310
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    • 2010
  • In a practical design process, the method of extracting the design space information of the complex system for verifying, improving, and optimizing the design process by taking into account the design variables and their shape tolerance is very important. Finite element analysis has been successfully implemented and integrated with design of experiment such as D-Optimal array; thus, a response surface model and optimization tools have been obtained, and design variables can be optimized by using the model and these tools. Then, to guarantee the robustness of the design variables, a robust design should be additionally performed by taking into account the statistical variation of the shape tolerance of the optimized design variables. In this study, a new approach based on the use of the response surface model is proposed; in this approach, the standard normal distribution of the shape tolerance is considered. By adopting this approach, it is possible to simultaneously optimize variables and perform a robust design. This approach can serve as a means of efficiently modeling the trade-off among many conflicting goals in the applications of finite element analysis. A case study on the robust optimal design of disc brakes under thermal loadings was carried out to solve multiple objective functions and determine the constraints of the design variables, such as a thermal deformation and weight.

A Study on the Using of BIM Data and Template for Construction Progress Management (건설공정관리를 위한 BIM데이터와 템플릿 활용 방안)

  • Oh, Kun-Soo;Park, So-Hyun;Song, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.8
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2016
  • BIM is currently applied in some domestic construction firms, but it is not being actively utilized due to changes in working environments and qualms about new studies. In order to utilize a BIM model in the design phase, process information is needed during construction, but the input system and utilization method of the process information's state are not complete. Therefore, we propose a BIM template for construction progress management that can show basic BIM information as the construction progresses in an easy and convenient way. This method will facilitate the adoption of BIM and enhance the productivity of construction companies. To this end, we designed a progress explorer for step-by-step progress and work schedules, and we generated three-dimensional views and a progress list by applying unit information (primary units, part units, and detail units) of the work breakdown structure (WBS) to the parameters. To use the BIM template, work progress information is input to the BIM modeling objects through Dynamo. We also used Dynamo for quick and easy calculation of the quantity of materials needed for construction work. To test the BIM template, we applied it to an actual project and evaluated its visibility and a progress list. The results showed that the proposed BIM template facilitates progress management of a project and can thus facilitate the adoption of BIM and improve the productivity of construction companies.