• 제목/요약/키워드: Meteorological Parameter

검색결과 172건 처리시간 0.026초

실시간 기상자료를 이용한 다지점 강우 예측모형 연구 (A Study on Multi-site Rainfall Prediction Model using Real-time Meteorological Data)

  • 정재성;이장춘;박영기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 1997
  • For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

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연구노트 산사면에서의 야간 기상요소의 특성에 관한 연구 (On Study on Chatacteristics of Nocturnal Meteorological Parameter at Mountain Slope)

  • 전병일;박재림;박현철
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.633-637
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    • 1999
  • A series of meterological observation using automation weather station(AWS) carried out to investigate characteristics of nocturnal meteorological parameters for 16~17 June 1998 at Buljeongdong mountain slope, Kyungbuk. Dry temperature at valley was lower than mountain because of high lapse rate at valley, so the strong inversion layer occurrenced at mountain slope for nighttime. Contrary of dry temperature, relative humidity of valley was higher than mountain for nighttime. Wind speed at valley from sunset to next day morning was lower than mountain, but that of valley after sunrise was higher than mountain. Wind direction at valley for all observation time were southeasterlies(SE), that of mountain for nighttime were northeasterlies(NE) or northnorthwesterlies(NNW), and that of mountain after sunrise were irregular. Vapor pressure at valley for all observation time was higher mountain, particularly the difference was high for nighttime.

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Ka-밴드 구름레이더 자료품질 및 구름통계 기초연구 (Preliminary Analysis of Data Quality and Cloud Statistics from Ka-Band Cloud Radar)

  • 예보영;이규원;권수현;이호우;하종철;김연희
    • 대기
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2015
  • The Ka-band cloud radar (KCR) has been operated by the National Institute of Meteorological Research (NIMR) of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at Boseong National Center for Intensive Observation of severe weather since 2013. Evaluation of data quality is an essential process to further analyze cloud information. In this study, we estimate the measurement error and the sampling uncertainty to evaluate data quality. By using vertically pointing data, the statistical uncertainty is obtained by calculating the standard deviation of each radar parameter. The statistical uncertainties decrease as functions of sampling number. The statistical uncertainties of horizontal and vertical reflectivities are identical (0.28 dB). On the other hand, the statistical uncertainties of Doppler velocity (spectrum width) are 2.2 times (1.6 times) larger at the vertical channel. The reflectivity calibration of KCR is also performed using X-band vertically pointing radar (VertiX) and 2-dimensional video disdrometer (2DVD). Since the monitoring of calibration values is useful to evaluate radar condition, the variation of calibration is monitored for five rain events. The average of calibration bias is 10.77 dBZ and standard deviation is 3.69 dB. Finally, the statistical characteristics of cloud properties have been investigated during two months in autumn using calibrated reflectivity. The percentage of clouds is about 26% and 16% on September to October. However, further analyses are required to derive general characteristics of autumn cloud in Korea.

부산 구덕산의 미세먼지(PM10) 농도 특성과 기상학적 관련성 (Meteorological Relations and Characteristics of Fine Particles at Guducksan in Busan)

  • 전병일
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권7호
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    • pp.883-892
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    • 2015
  • The study investigates the characteristics of $PM_{10}$ concentration in Guducsan air quality observatory and in particular, analyzes the relationship between sudden increase of $PM_{10}$ concentration in the morning of spring 2014 and meteorological parameters. $PM_{10}$ concentration in April was $46.9{\mu}g/m^3$, the highest, followed by $45.5{\mu}g/m^3$ and $44.6{\mu}g/m^3$ in March and May, and $21.9{\mu}g/m^3$ in August. The low concentration in the early morning appeared on 0800 LST in spring, summer, and fall, whereas it emerged on 0900 LST in winter. High concentration in daytime lasted from 1200 LST to 1500 LST in spring and fall, whereas it continued from 1300 LST to 1600 LST in winter. The findings of $PM_{10}$ concentration and change of meteorological parameters in Guducsan from April 20th to 27th in 2014 are as follows. The low concentration at dawn and in the morning decreased due to strong land breeze. Also, the sudden increase of $PM_{10}$ concentration in the morning was attributable to low wind speed. Lastly, the sudden decrease of $PM_{10}$ concentration in the afternoon was attributed to diffusion by strong sea breeze.

기상데이터와 웨이블 파라메타를 이용한 풍력에너지밀도분포 비교 (Comparison of Wind Energy Density Distribution Using Meteorological Data and the Weibull Parameters)

  • 황지욱;유기표;김한영
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.54-64
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    • 2010
  • Interest in new and renewable energies like solar energy and wind energy is increasing throughout the world due to the rapidly expanding energy consumption and environmental reasons. An essential requirement for wind force power generation is estimating the size of wind energy accurately. Wind energy is estimated usually using meteorological data or field measurement. This study attempted to estimate wind energy density using meteorological data on daily mean wind speed and the Weibull parameters in Seoul, a representative inland city where over 60% of 15 story or higher apartments in Korea are situated, and Busan, Incheon, Ulsan and Jeju that are major coastal cities in Korea. According to the results of analysis, the monthly mean probability density distribution based on the daily mean wind speed agreed well with the monthly mean probability density distribution based on the Weibull parameters. This finding suggests that the Weibull parameters, which is highly applicable and convenient, can be utilized to estimate the wind energy density distribution of each area. Another finding was that wind energy density was higher in coastal cities Busan and Incheon than in inland city Seoul.

부산지역 2018년 11월 28일과 11월 30일 황사 발생 시의 기상과 PM2.5 중의 이온성분 특성 (Characteristics of Meteorological Parameters and Ionic Components in PM2.5 during Asian Dust Events on November 28 and 30, 2018 at Busan)

  • 전병일
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.515-524
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    • 2022
  • This study investigated characteristics of meteorological parameters and ionic components of PM2.5 during Asian dust events on November 28 and 30, 2018 at Busan, Korea. The seasonal occurrence frequencies of Asian dust during 1960~2019 (60 years) were 81.7% in spring, 12.2% in winter, and 6.1% in autumn. Recently, autumn Asian dust occurrence in Busan has shown an increasing trend. The result of AWS (automatic weather station), surface weather chart, and backward trajectory analyses showed that the first Asian dust of Nov. 28, 2018, in Busan came with rapid speed through inner China and Bohai Bay from Mongolia. The second Asian dust of Nov. 30, 2018, in Busan seems to have resulted from advection and deposition of proximal residual materials. These results indicated that understanding the characteristics of meteorological parameters and ionic components of PM2.5 during Asian dust events could provide insights into establishing a control strategy for urban air quality.

서울 건물정보 자료를 활용한 UM 기반의 도시캐노피 모델 입력자료 구축 및 평가 (Development and Evaluation of Urban Canopy Model Based on Unified Model Input Data Using Urban Building Information Data in Seoul)

  • 김도형;홍선옥;변재영;박향숙;하종철
    • 대기
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.417-427
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to build urban canopy model (Met Office Reading Urban Surface Exchange Scheme, MORUSES) based to Unified Model (UM) by using urban building information data in Seoul, and then to compare the improving urban canopy model simulation result with that of Seoul Automatic Weather Station (AWS) observation site data. UM-MORUSES is based on building information database in London, we performed a sensitivity experiment of UM-MOURSES model using urban building information database in Seoul. Geographic Information System (GIS) analysis of 1.5 km resolution Seoul building data is applied instead of London building information data. Frontal-area index and planar-area index of Seoul are used to calculate building height. The height of the highest building in Seoul is 40m, showing high in Yeoido-gu, Gangnam-gu and Jamsil-gu areas. The street aspect ratio is high in Gangnam-gu, and the repetition rate of buildings is lower in Eunpyeong-gu and Gangbuk-gu. UM-MORUSES model is improved to consider the building geometry parameter in Seoul. It is noticed that the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of wind speed is decreases from 0.8 to 0.6 m s-1 by 25 number AWS in Seoul. The surface air temperature forecast tends to underestimate in pre-improvement model, while it is improved at night time by UM-MORUSES model. This study shows that the post-improvement UM-MORUSES model can provide detailed Seoul building information data and accurate surface air temperature and wind speed in urban region.

초단기 파랑예측시스템 구축 및 예측성능 검증 (Development and Verification of a Rapid Refresh Wave Forecasting System)

  • 노민;라나리;오상명;강기룡;장필훈
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.340-350
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    • 2020
  • 한반도 대기모델의 해상풍을 입력자료로 사용하는 초단기 파랑예측시스템을 구축하고, 예측성능을 결정하는 중요한 요소인 입력바람장-파랑 상호작용을 고려하여, 수치모의실험을 수행하였다. 예측성능을 검증하기 위해 비태풍시기와 태풍시기에 대한 파랑모델의 예측결과를 기상청 계류부이 관측자료와 비교하였다. 비태풍시기에는 전반적으로 모델의 과소모의 경향이 나타났으며, 입력바람장과 파랑의 상호작용 물리계수를 증가시키면 과소모의하는 예측경향과 평균제곱근오차(RMSE)는 감소하는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. RMSE가 최소가 되는 실험조건을 적용하여 태풍시기를 분석한 결과, 비태풍시기와 비교하여 예측오차가 증가하였다. 이는 파랑모델이 상대적으로 약한 비태풍시기의 바람장 영향을 고려했기 때문으로 보이며, 강한 바람장 형성으로 인한 파랑의 비선형효과와 파랑에너지 소산효과가 충분히 반영되지 않았던 것으로 판단된다.

매개변수 보정 전문가시스템을 이용한 HSPF 모형의 수문 매개변수 보정 및 적용성 평가 (Evaluation of Applicability and Hydrologic Parameter Calibration for HSPF Model using Expert System for HSPF)

  • 김성민;김상민
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the applicability of the HSPEXP expert system for the calibration of the Hydrological Simulation Program - Fortran (HSPF) for the study watershed. HSPEXP offers advice to the modeler, suggesting parameter changes that might result in better representation of a river basin and provides explanations supporting the recommended parameter changes. The study watershed, Sancheong, is located within the Nakdong River Basin and having the size of $1,072.4km^2$. Input data for the HSPF model were obtained from the landuse map, digital elevation map, meteorological data and others. Water flow data from 2006 to 2008 were used for calibration and from 2009 to 2010 were for validation. Using the HSPEXP expert system, hydrological parameters were adjusted based on total volume, then low flows, storm flows, and finally seasonal flows. For the calibration and validation period, all the HSPEXP model performance criteria were satisfied.

마이크로 유전알고리즘을 이용한 적운물리과정 모수 최적화에 따른 여름철 강수예측성능 개선 (The Improvement of Summer Season Precipitation Predictability by Optimizing the Parameters in Cumulus Parameterization Using Micro-Genetic Algorithm)

  • 장지연;이용희;최현주
    • 대기
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.335-346
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    • 2020
  • Three free parameters included in a cumulus parameterization are optimized by using micro-genetic algorithm for three precipitation cases occurred in the Korea Peninsula during the summer season in order to reduce biases in a regional model associated with the uncertainties of the parameters and thus to improve the predictability of precipitation. The first parameter is the one that determines the threshold in convective trigger condition. The second parameter is the one that determines boundary layer forcing in convective closure. Finally, the third parameter is the one used in calculating conversion parameter determining the fraction of condensate converted to convective precipitation. Optimized parameters reduce the occurrence of convections by suppressing the trigger of convection. The reduced convection occurrence decreases light precipitation but increases heavy precipitation. The sensitivity experiments are conducted to examine the effects of the optimized parameters on the predictability of precipitation. The predictability of precipitation is the best when the three optimized parameters are applied to the parameterization at the same time. The first parameter most dominantly affects the predictability of precipitation. Short-range forecasts for July 2018 are also conducted to statistically assess the precipitation predictability. It is found that the predictability of precipitation is consistently improved with the optimized parameters.