• 제목/요약/키워드: Maximum Probability

검색결과 1,097건 처리시간 0.028초

토사 적체에 따른 우수관의 성능불능확률 (Probability of performance failure of storm sewer according to accumulation of debris)

  • 권혁재
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.509-517
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    • 2010
  • Statistical distribution of annual maximum rainfall intensity of 18 cities in Korea was analyzed and applied to the reliability model which can calculate the probability of performance failure of storm sewer. After the analysis, it was found that distribution of annual maximum rainfall intensity of 18 cities in Korea is well matched with Gumbel distribution. Rational equation was used to estimate the load and Manning's equation was used to estimate the capacity in reliability function to calculate the probability of performance failure of storm sewer. Reliability analysis was performed by developed model applying to the real storm sewer. It was found that probability of performance failure is abruptly increased if the diameter is smaller than certain size. Therefore, cleaning the inside of storm sewer to maintain the original diameter can be one of the best ways to reduce the probability of performance failure. In the present study, probability of performance failure according to accumulation of debris in storm sewer was calculated. It was found that increasing the amount of debris seriously decrease the capacity of storm sewer and significantly increase the probability of performance failure.

다중 서비스 다중 사용자 OFDMA 시스템에서의 자원할당방식에 따른 임의접근 채널 성능 분석 (Analysis of the performances of random access channels in multi-service multi-user OFDMA systems according to resource management schemes)

  • 구인수;이영두
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2007년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.237-239
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    • 2007
  • In the paper, we analyze the performances of random access channels in multi-service multi-user OFDMA systems. The resource of the random access channels in OFDMA systems is the nubmer of available sub-channels and PN-codes. For given available sub-channels and PN-codes. we analyze the performances of the random access channels of OFDMA systems according to three resource allocation methods (resource full sharing, resource partial sharing, resource partition) in tenus of the access success probability, the blocking probability, the access delay and the throughput of each service class. Further, we find the feasible region of the access probability of each service class in which the allowable minimum access success probability, the allowable maximum blocking probability and the allowable maximum access delay are satisfied. The results also can be utilized to find proper region of the access probabilities of each service class for differentiated quality of service(QoS)s, and for the system operations.

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유한수심에서의 불규칙파의 파고 분포 (Distribution of Irregular Wave Height in Finite Water Depth)

  • 안경모;마이클오찌
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 1994
  • 유한수심에서의 불규칙파에 적용할 수 있는 파고의 확률분포함수를 2가지 해석적 방법으로 유도하였다. 첫번째 방법으로 새로이 유도된 확률분포함수는 Rayleigh 확률분포함수에 대한 직교 다항식을 유도함으로써 급수형태로 표시된다. 유도된 확률밀도함수를 비정규성이 강한 천해에서 측정한 파랑자료와 비교하였다. 확률밀도함수가 자료의 막대그래프와 잘 일치하였으나, 확률밀도함수가 급수로 표시되어 있기 때문에 파고가 큰 부분에서 음의 확률값이 된다. 비록 음의 확률값의 크기가 작다 하더라도 파고의 극치분포함수를 구하기에 부적절하다고 판단된다. 두번째 방법은 최대 엔트로피 법(maximum entropy method)을 적용하여 파고 분포와 매우 잘 일치하며, 극치파고분포와 파고의 통계적인 특성 등을 추정하는 데 매우 유용함을 알 수 있다. 그러나 최대 엔트로피 법을 사용했을 경우, 비정규분포 특성을 나타내는 변위의 분포함수와 파고의 분포함수 사이의 함수관계를 구할 수 없었다.

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순별증발량 자료의 적정 확률분포형 선정 (Selection of Appropriate Probability Distribution Types for Ten Days Evaporation Data)

  • 김선주;박재흥;강상진
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1998년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.338-343
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    • 1998
  • This study is to select appropriate probability distributions for ten days evaporation data for the purpose of representing statistical characteristics of real evaporation data in Korea. Nine probability distribution functions were assumed to be underlying distributions for ten days evaporation data of 20 stations with the duration of 20 years. The parameter of each probability distribution function were estimated by the maximum likelihood approach, and appropriate probability distributions were selected from the goodness of fit test. Log Pearson type III model was selected as an appropriate probability distribution for ten days evaporation data in Korea.

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Statistical properties of the maximum elastoplastic story drift of steel frames subjected to earthquake load

  • Li, Gang
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.185-198
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    • 2003
  • The concept of performance based seismic design has been gradually accepted by the earthquake engineering profession recently, in which the cost-effectiveness criterion is one of the most important principles and more attention is paid to the structural performance at the inelastic stage. Since there are many uncertainties in seismic design, reliability analysis is a major task in performance based seismic design. However, structural reliability analysis may be very costly and time consuming because the limit state function is usually a highly nonlinear implicit function with respect to the basic design variables, especially for the complex large-scale structures for dynamic and nonlinear analysis. Understanding statistical properties of the structural inelastic deformation, which is the aim of the present paper, is helpful to develop an efficient approximate approach of reliability analysis. The present paper studies the statistical properties of the maximum elastoplastic story drift of steel frames subjected to earthquake load. The randomness of earthquake load, dead load, live load, steel elastic modulus, yield strength and structural member dimensions are considered. Possible probability distributions for the maximum story are evaluated using K-S test. The results show that the choice of the probability distribution for the maximum elastoplastic story drift of steel frames is related to the mean value of the maximum elastoplastic story drift. When the mean drift is small (less than 0.3%), an extreme value type I distribution is the best choice. However, for large drifts (more than 0.35%), an extreme value type II distribution is best.

마산지방 확률강우강도식의 유도 (Derivation of Probable Rainfall Intensity Formula at Masan District)

  • 김지홍;배덕효
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2000
  • The frequency analysis of annual maximum rainfall data and the derivation of probable rainfall intensity formula at Masan station are performed in this study. Based on the eight different rainfall duration data from 10 minutes to 24 hours, eight types of probability distribution (Gamma, Lognormal, Log-Pearson type III, GEV, Gumbel, Log-Gumbel, Weibull, and Wakeby distributions), three types of parameter estimation scheme (moment, maximum likelihood and probability weighted methods) and three types of goodness-of-fit test (${\chi}^2$, Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer von Mises tests) were considered to find an appropriate probability distribution at Masan station. The Lognormal-2 distribution was selected and the probable rainfall intensity formula was derived by regression analysis. The derived formula can be used for estimating rainfall quantiles of the Masan vicinity areas with convenience and reliability in practice.

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3변수 확률분포에 의한 설계강우량 추정 (Estimation of Design Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions)

  • 이순혁;맹승진;류경식
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.595-598
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    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

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Dual-Hop Amplify-and-Forward Multi-Relay Maximum Ratio Transmission

  • Erdogan, Eylem;Gucluoglu, Tansal
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the performance of dual-hop multi-relay maximum ratio transmission (MRT) over Rayleigh flat fading channels is studied with both conventional (all relays participate the transmission) and opportunistic (best relay is selected to maximize the received signal-to-noise ratio (SNR)) relaying. Performance analysis starts with the derivation of the probability density function, cumulative distribution function and moment generating function of the SNR. Then, both approximate and asymptotic expressions of symbol error rate (SER) and outage probability are derived for arbitrary numbers of antennas and relays. With the help of asymptotic SER and outage probability, diversity and array gains are obtained. In addition, impact of imperfect channel estimations is investigated and optimum power allocation factors for source and relay are calculated. Our analytical findings are validated by numerical examples which indicate that multi-relay MRT can be a low complexity and reliable option in cooperative networks.

3변수 확률분포형에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석 (Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions)

  • 김병준;맹승진;류경식;이순혁
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

Decision of Maximum Congestion Window Size for TCP Performance Improvement by Bandwidth and RTT Measurement in Wireless Multi-Hop Networks

  • Huh, In;Lee, Jae-Yong;Kim, Byung-Chul
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.34-38
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    • 2006
  • In the wireless network, TCP performs poorly because it was originally designed for wired networks and does not take into consideration wireless characteristics such as mobility, high-loss probability, and hidden-terminal problems. In particular, in the wireless multi-hop networks, a large congestion window increases the probability of contention and packet losses, and TCP performance is degraded severely as a result. So, it is necessary to limit the TCP congestion window size in order keep the probability of contention loss in the system to a minimum. In this paper, we propose a new scheme for determining the maximum congestion window size based on the measured bandwidth and Round-Trip-Time (RTT). Using ns-2 simulation, we show that the proposed scheme reduces the probability of packet contention and improves TCP performance.