Estimation of Design Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions

3변수 확률분포에 의한 설계강우량 추정

  • 이순혁 (충북대학교 지역건설공학과) ;
  • 맹승진 (한국수자원공사 수자원연구원) ;
  • 류경식 (충북대학교 지역건설공학과)
  • Published : 2004.05.01

Abstract

This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

Keywords