• Title/Summary/Keyword: MTBF(Mean time between failure)

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Prediction of MTBF Using the Modulated Power Law Process

  • Na, Myung-Hwan;Son, Young-Sook;Yoon, Sang-Hoo;Kim, Moon-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.535-541
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    • 2007
  • The Non-homogeneous Poisson process is probably the most popular model since it can model systems that are deteriorating or improving. The renewal process is a model that is often used to describe the random occurrence of events in time. But both these models are based on too restrictive assumptions on the effect of the repair action. The Modulated Power Law Process is a suitable model for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems when both renewal-type behavior and time trend are present. In this paper we propose maximum likelihood estimation of the next failure time after the system has experienced some failures, that is, Mean Time Between Failure for the MPLP model.

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A Study on the Reliability Analysis Methodology of Passenger Door System of Electrical Type (전기식 출입문 시스템의 신뢰도 분석기법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chul Sub;Lee, Hi Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2014
  • The door system for railway vehicles is the critical device directly influences on safety and satisfaction of passengers, Recently, electrical type of passenger door system is widely used for EMU type train instead of pneumatic type of passenger door system. The estimation of MTBF and failure rates for electrical type door system is essential. The manufacturor simply provides intrinsic reliability data for the railway operator. But actual reliability data based on operation and maintenance data is not complying with intrinsic reliability. In this study, operation and failure data associated with electrical door system were analyzed in order to determine actual MTBF and failure data. Intrinsic reliability data and service reliability data were studied to finallize much more practical and reliable actual reliability. Relax 2011 was used to predict intrinsic reliability and 217Plus model was also used to estimate of actual reliability data based on field data. Furthermore, it is necessary to keep studying on reliability prediction methodology and applying it in the field and doing research on improvement of reliability through feedback as well.

Heuristic Method for RAM Design of Multifunctional System (다기능 시스템의 RAM 목표값 설정을 위한 휴리스틱 기법)

  • Han, Young-Jin;Kim, Hee-Wook;Yun, Won-Young;Kim, Jong-Woon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 2012
  • When designing a multifunctional system consisting of many components performing many functions or missions, it is important to determine the reliability, availability, and maintainability (RAM) of the system and components, and we consider system availability to be the optimization criterion. For given intervals of mean time between failure (MTBF) and mean time to repair (MTTR) of the components, we want to determine the values of MTBF and MTTR for all components that satisfy the target availability. A heuristic method is proposed for finding near-optimal solutions through simulation. We also study numerical examples to check effects of model parameters on the optimal solutions.

Reliability Prediction & Design Review for Core Units of Machine Tools (공작기계 핵심 Units의 신뢰성 예측 및 Design Review)

  • 이승우;송준엽;이현용;박화영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.133-136
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    • 2003
  • In these days, the reliability analysis and prediction are applied for many industrial products and many products require guaranteeing the quality and efficiency of their products. In this study reliability prediction for core units of machine tools has been performed in order to improve and analyze its reliability. ATC(Automatic Tool Changer) and interface Card of PC-NC that are core component of the machine tools were chosen as the target of the reliability prediction. A reliability analysis tool was used to obtain the reliability data(failure rate database) for reliability prediction. It is expected that the results of reliability prediction be applied to improve and evaluate its reliability. Failure rate, MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) and reliability for core units of machine tools were evaluated and analyzed in this study.

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Reliability Assessment of Machine Tools Using Failure Mode Analysis Programs (고장모드 분석 프로그램을 통한 공작기계의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Kim Bong-Suk;Lee Soo-Hun;Song Jun-Yeob;Lee Seung-Woo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2005
  • For reliability assessment for machine tools, failure mode analyses by two viewpoints were studied in this paper. First, this study developed the reliability data analysis program, which searches f3r optimal failure distribution like failure rate or MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure) using failure data and reliability test data of mechanical parts in the web. Moreover, this data analysis program saves both failure data or reliability data and their failure rate or MTBF for database establishment. Second, this paper conducted failure mode analysis through such performance tests as circular movement test and vibration testing for machine tools when reliability data is not available. A developed web-based analysis program shows correlations between failure mode and performance test result and also accumulates all the data. These kinds of data analysis programs and stored data furnish valuable information for improving the reliability of mechanical system.

Bayes Estimation of Component Steady-State Availability (Component Steady-State Availabilty 의 Bayes 추정)

  • 박춘일
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 1993
  • This paper presents a class of Bayes estimation of component steady-state availability . Throughout this paper, we will denote the mean time between failure and the mean time between repair by MTBF and MTBR respectively. In section 2 , we investigated Bayes estimation of the steady-state availability for noninformative prior density function and in section 3, we compute Bayes estimation for conjugate prior density function.

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Reliability Evaluation of ATC for High Speed Line Center (고속 Line Center의 ATC 신뢰성 평가)

  • Lee S.W.;Kim D.H.;Lee H.K.;Shin D.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1914-1917
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    • 2005
  • Recently, the reliability evaluation and analysis are applied for many industrial products, and many products are required to guarantee in quality and in efficiency. The purpose of this paper is to present some of reliability evaluation methodologies that are applicable to machine tools. Especially ATC(Automatic Too Changer), which is core component of line center, was chosen as the target of the reliability evaluation and analysis. The scope of research is reliability prediction, reliability test and evaluates their results. The results of this research has shown the failure rate, MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure), reliability for those components and real tests reliability through constructed reliability test-bed. It is expected that proposed methodologies will increase reliability for high speed line center.

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Reliability Evaluation of ATC for High-Speed Line Center (고속 Line Center의 ATC 신뢰성 평가)

  • Lee Seung-Woo;Lee Hwa-Ki;Shin Dong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the reliability evaluation and analysis are applied far many industrial products which are required to guarantee in quality and efficiency. The purpose of this paper is to present some of reliability evaluation methodologies that are applicable to machine tools. Especially ATC (Automatic Tool Changer), which is a core component of line center, was chosen as the target of the reliability evaluation and analysis. The scope of research is reliability prediction, reliability test and evaluates their results. The results of reliability evaluation have shown the failure rates, MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure), reliability for those components of ATC and real tests reliability through the constructed reliability test-bed. It is expected that proposed methodologies would increase reliability for a high-speed line center.

Evaluation of Reliability for critical unit of machinery system (기계류 핵심 유니트의 신뢰성 평가기술)

  • 이승우;송준엽;강재훈;황주호;이현용;박화영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1014-1017
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    • 2000
  • Reliability engineering is regarded as the major and important roll for all industry. And advanced manufacturing systems with high speed and intelligent have been developed for the betterment of machining ability. In this study, we have systemized evaluation of reliability for machinery system. We proposed the reliability assessment and design review method using analyzing critical units of high speed and intelligent machine system. In addition, we have not only designed and developed test bed system for acquiring reliability data, but also have constructing WEB system for suppling reliability which is provided in design phase. From this study, we will expect to guide and introduce the reliability engineering in developing and processing phase of high quality product.

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