• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-term variability

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The Effect of Economic Openness on Multifactor Productivity: Empirical Evidence from Selected Asian Countries

  • ABIDIN, Noorazeela Zainol;BASRI, Nurliyana Mohd;RASHID, Intan Maizura Abd;SULAIMAN, Nor Fatimah Che
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.12
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2021
  • Variation in demand, natural resource availability, and technological advancement within a country are the main reasons for necessitating export and import activities between nations. Accordingly, this paper aims to analyze the effect of economic openness on Multifactor Productivity (MFP) in selected Asian countries (Vietnam, Thailand, The Philippines, Indonesia, Cambodia, China, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea, and Singapore) based on data for the period 1990-2018. The analysis conducted in the study employed the panel ARDL approach based on the estimation by Pooled Mean Group (PMG), Mean Group (MG), and Dynamic Fixed Effect (DFE). The Hausman test conducted indicates that the PMG estimation is better than that of MG and DFE since it has a higher variability value than the significance value. The results revealed that economic openness is able to elicit significant and positive effects on short-term and long-term MFP growth. In addition, the study established that other variable, such as the number of schooling years, are also able to produce a positive and significant effect on MFP growth in the long term. Since economic openness can impact MFP growth, every country should thus increase its export activities through more capital and worker inputs that will stimulate greater production.

Assessment of Long-Term Effectiveness of Speed Monitoring Displays on Speed Variation (어린이보호구역에 과속경보시스템 적용에 따른 장기적 속도변화 평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.3 s.75
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2006
  • Speeding is one of major causes of frequent and severe traffic accidents in school zones. In this paper, the long-term effectiveness of speed monitoring displays (SMD) on speed variability was investigated through a field study in a school zone environment. The performance difference was discussed with several dependent variables including average speed, 85th percentile speed, and distribution of speed. Study results showed that the speed of vehicles began to reduce where the driver recognized the presence of an SMD, and about 12.4 percent (5.8km/h) of average speed was reduced at the SMD location. This speed reduction was observed throughout the day regardless of time of day. Statistical tests showed that the speed difference was statistically significant. In addition, analysis results of speed distribution showed that the number of speeding vehicle was greatly reduced after the SMD was installed, and 85th percentile speed also decreased from 54.3km1h to 45.0km/h. Therefore, it was concluded that the application of SMD produced a positive impact on the driver's behavior for a long period of times.

The short-term effect of Blood Pressure Reduction after Biofeedback in Malignant Hypertension: A case report (악성고혈압의 바이오피드백 단기 혈압강하 치험1례)

  • Seung-Yun Oh;Yeon-Ju Kim;Lak-Hyung Kim;Soo-Jung Park
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.251-256
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    • 2024
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to report the short-term blood pressure-lowering effects observed in a patient with malignant hypertension through slow breathing maneuver with heart rate variability(HRV) biofeedback. Methods: Biofeedback sessions, totaling 13, each lasting 10 minutes, were administered. Blood pressure was measured pre and post-treatment, as well as thrice daily at 10 am, 4 pm, and 8 pm. Systolic blood pressure(SBP), diastolic blood pressure(DBP), and pulse rate were recorded for comparative analysis. Results: Before biofeedback, the average SBP, DBP, and pulse rate were 227.2±18.3, 135.2±11.0, and 104.4±5.3, respectively. Immediately post-biofeedback, these values changed to 213.7±15.2, 126.9±8.5, and 99.2±3.6. However, sustained long-term blood pressure reduction was not observed. Conclusions: The findings suggest that biofeedback therapy induces a short-term reduction in blood pressure in cases of malignant hypertension, potentially associated with autonomic nervous system regulation. Integrating biofeedback with other Korean medicine treatments, such as acupuncture or moxibustion, may offer a comprehensive approach for managing malignant hypertension.

Investigation of Korean Precipitation Variability using EOFs and Cyclostationary EOFs (EOF와 CSEOF를 이용한 한반도 강수의 변동성 분석)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Sun, Ming-Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1260-1264
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    • 2009
  • Precipitation time series is a mixture of complicate fluctuation and changes. The monthly precipitation data of 61 stations during 36 years (1973-2008) in Korea are comprehensively analyzed using the EOFs technique and CSEOFs technique respectively. The main motivation for employing this technique in the present study is to investigate the physical processes associated with the evolution of the precipitation from observation data. The twenty-five leading EOF modes account for 98.05% of the total monthly variance, and the first two modes account for 83.68% of total variation. The first mode exhibits traditional spatial pattern with annual cycle of corresponding PC time series and second mode shows strong North South gradient. In CSEOF analysis, the twenty-five leading CSEOF modes account for 98.58% of the total monthly variance, and the first two modes account for 78.69% of total variation, these first two patterns' spatial distribution show monthly spatial variation. The corresponding mode's PC time series reveals the annual cycle on a monthly time scale and long-term fluctuation and first mode's PC time series shows increasing linear trend which represents that spatial and temporal variability of first mode pattern has strengthened. Compared with the EOFs analysis, the CSEOFs analysis preferably exhibits the spatial distribution and temporal evolution characteristics and variability of Korean historical precipitation.

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Sub-mm variability of a YSO (EC53) in Serpens main region : JCMT Transient survey

  • Yoo, Hyunju;Lee, Jeong-Eun;Johnstone, Doug;Mairs, Steve;Herczeg, Gregory
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.39.2-39.2
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    • 2017
  • Stars form through the gravitational collapse of molecular clouds. However, the rate at which a star gains most of its mass and the physics that drives the main phase of stellar growth is still unclear. The typical luminosity of observed protostars is smaller than what expected from the Shu's inside-out collapse model, which predicts a constant mass accretion rate. The episodic accretion model has been suggested as a solution of this luminosity problem. The JCMT Transient survey is a long term monitoring program using JCMT/SCUBA-2 to detect accretion variability of protostars in the eight nearby star-forming regions. Recently, we found a rise of the 850 micron flux at a clump in the Serpens main region at the rate of ~17% relative to the mean flux over previous observations. The submm clump is associated with a class I protostar, EC53, which has been reported as a binary system with a periodic variability. In this talk, we will provide a brief overview of the JCMT Transient Survey project, present the detection of the variable source, and discuss about follow-up observations.

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Interdecadal Variability and Future Change in Spring Precipitation over South Korea (한반도 봄철 강수량의 장기변동과 미래변화)

  • Kim, Go-Un;Ok, Jung;Seo, Kyong-Hwan;Han, Sang-Dae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.449-454
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    • 2012
  • This study presents the long-term variability of spring precipitation over the Korean peninsula. It is found that the significant interdecadal change in the spring precipitation has occurred around year 1991. Over the Korean peninsula the precipitation for the post-1991 period increased by about 30 mm per year in CMAP and station-measured data compared to the precipitation prior to year 1991. Due to an increased baroclinicity during the later period, the low-level negative pressure anomaly has developed with its center over northern Japan. Korea is situated at the western end of the negative pressure anomaly, receiving moisture from westerly winds and producing more precipitation. Also, we estimate the change in the near future (years 2020~2040) spring precipitation using six best performing Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 3 (CMIP3) models. These best model ensemble mean shows that spring precipitation is anticipated to increase by about 4% due to the strengthened westerlies accompanied by the northwestern enhancement of the North Pacific subtropical high.

Sea Level Variations in the East Asian Marginal Seas by Topex/Poseidon Altimeter Data (Topex/Poseidon 고도계자료를 이용한 동북아시아 연변해역의 해수면 변화 연구)

  • Yoon, Hong-Joo;Kim, Sangwoo;Lee, Moon-Ock;Park, Il-Heum
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.300-303
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    • 2001
  • The first 7 years of altimeter data from the TOPEX/POSEIDON (T/P) were analyzed to study the surface circulation and its variability in the East Asian Marginal Seas. Long term averaged T/P sea level time series data where compared with in situ sea level measurements from a float-operated type tide gauge around of south Korea and Japan. T/P data are a large contaminated by 60-day tidal aliasing effect, very near the alias periods of M2 and S2. When this 60-day effect is removed, the data agree well with the tide gauge data with 4.6 cm averaged RMS difference. The T/P derived sea level variability reveals clearly the well-known, strong current-topography such as Kuroshio. The T/P mean sea level of North Pacific (NP) was higher than Yellow Sea (YS) and East Sea (ES). The T/P sea level valibility, with strong eddy and meandaring, was the largest in eastern part of Japan and this variability was mainly due to the influence of bottom topography in Kuroshio Extention area.

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RADIO VARIABILITY AND RANDOM WALK NOISE PROPERTIES OF FOUR BLAZARS

  • PARK, JONG-HO;TRIPPE, SASCHA
    • Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.433-437
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    • 2015
  • We show the results of a time series analysis of the long-term light curves of four blazars. 3C 279, 3C 345, 3C 446, and BL Lacertae. We used densely sampled light curves spanning 32 years at three frequency bands (4.8, 8, 14.5 GHz), provided by the University of Michigan Radio Astronomy Observatory monitoring program. The spectral indices of our sources are mostly flat or inverted (-0.5 < ${\alpha}$ < 0), which is consistent with optically thick emission. Strong variability was seen in all light curves on various time scales. From the analyses of time lags between the light curves from different frequency bands and the evolution of the spectral indices with time, we find that we can distinguish high-peaking flares and low-peaking flares according to the Valtaoja et al. classification. The periodograms (temporal power spectra) of the light curves are in good agreement with random-walk power-law noise without any indication of (quasi-)periodic variability. We note that random-walk noise light curves can originate from multiple shocks in jets. The fact that all our sources are in agreement with being random-walk noise emitters at radio wavelengths suggests that such behavior is a general property of blazars. We are going to generalize our approach by applying our methodology to a much larger blazar sample in the near future.

Long-term Changes in Wintertime Precipitation and Snowfall over Gangwon Province (강원 지역의 장기 겨울철 강수 및 강설 변화의 경향 분석)

  • Baek, Hee-Jeong;Ahn, Kwangdeuk;Joo, Sangwon;Kim, Yoonjae
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.109-123
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    • 2017
  • The effects of recent climate change on hydrological systems could affect the Winter Olympic Games (WOG) because the event is dependent on suitable snow and ice conditions to support elite-level competitions. We investigate the long-term variability and change in winter total precipitation (P), snowfall water equivalent (SFE), and ratios of SFE to P during the period 1973/74~2015/16 in Gangwon province. The climatological percentages of SFE relative to winter total precipitation were 71%, 28%, and 44% in Daegwallyeong, Chuncheon, and Gangneung, respectively. The winter total P, SFE, and SFE/P has decreased (but not significantly), although significant increases of winter maximum and minimum temperature were detected at a 95% confidence level. Notably, a significant negative trend of SFE/P at Daegwallyeong in February, the month of the WOG, was attributable to a larger decrease in SFE related to the increases in maximum and minimum temperature. Winter wet-day minimum temperatures were warmer than climatological minimum temperatures averaged over the study period. The 20-year return values of daily maximum P and SFE decreased in Yongdong area. Since the SFE/P decrease with increasing temperature, the probability of rainfall rather than snowfall can increase if global warming continues.