• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-term Maintenance Plan

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Regional Long-term/Mid-term Load Forecasting using SARIMA in South Korea (계절 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 국내 지역별 전력사용량 중장기수요예측)

  • Ahn, Byung-Hoon;Choi, Hoe-Ryeon;Lee, Hong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.8576-8584
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    • 2015
  • Load forecasting is needed to make supply and demand plan for a stable supply of electricity. It is also necessary for optimal operational plan of the power system planning. In particular, in order to ensure stable power supply, long-term load forecasting is important. And regional load forecasting is important for tightening supply stability. Regional load forecasting is known to be an essential process for the optimal state composition and maintenance of the electric power system network including transmission lines and substations to meet the load required for the area. Therefore, in this paper we propose a forecasting method using SARIMA during the 12 months (long-term/mid-term) load forecasting by 16 regions of the South Korea.

Cost Breakdown Structure for Reasonable Maintenance of Educational Facilities (교육시설물의 합리적인 유지관리를 위한 비용분류체계)

  • Jeong, Jae-Hyuk;Shin, Han-Woo;Kim, Tae-Hui
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.65-67
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    • 2011
  • It is necessary to the development of the best maintenance system for applying the long-term maintenance plan using the cost breakdown structure in the educational facilities. This study developed the cost breakdown structure for the best maintenance system using the delphi method. For the convenience of maintenance, the maintenance cost breakdown structures are separated into building exterior wall, building inside wall, electric installation, heating installation and outdoor facilities. And these results atomized in each parts. And this study constructed the cost breakdown structure to maintenance's practicality and effectiveness through the expert analysis.

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Improvement Plan of Educational Facilities Maintenance based on Space Level (교육환경개선사업 공간단위 업무프로세스 개선방안)

  • Bae, Chang-Joon;Park, Sang-Hun;Cho, Dong-Hyun;Koo, Kyo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.72-73
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    • 2019
  • As the physical functions of school buildings and the changes in the functions of educational facilities due to social change are increasing, the demand for fundamental and long-term measures for the maintenance of educational facilities is expanding. However, depending on the function of the facility, the maintenance work has been carried out only when it is directly related to the safety problem, or when the request of the school facility manager is requested, rather than supporting preventive maintenance. In this study, we investigate the maintenance process of educational facilities and propose a method to manage the maintenance process of the educational facilities in the unit of space for establishing an efficient maintenance management system.

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Development of a Deep Learning-based Long-term PredictionGenerative Model of Wind and Sea Conditions for Offshore Wind Farm Maintenance Optimization (해상풍력단지 유지보수 최적화 활용을 위한 풍황 및 해황 장기예측 딥러닝 생성모델 개발)

  • Sang-Hoon Lee;Dae-Ho Kim;Hyuk-Jin Choi;Young-Jin Oh;Seong-Bin Mun
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose a time-series generation methodology using a generative adversarial network (GAN) for long-term prediction of wind and sea conditions, which are information necessary for operations and maintenance (O&M) planning and optimal plans for offshore wind farms. It is a "Conditional TimeGAN" that is able to control time-series data with monthly conditions while maintaining a time dependency between time-series. For the generated time-series data, the similarity of the statistical distribution by direction was confirmed through wave and wind rose diagram visualization. It was also found that the statistical distribution and feature correlation between the real data and the generated time-series data was similar through PCA, t-SNE, and heat map visualization algorithms. The proposed time-series generation methodology can be applied to monthly or annual marine weather prediction including probabilistic correlations between various features (wind speed, wind direction, wave height, wave direction, wave period and their time-series characteristics). It is expected that it will be able to provide an optimal plan for the maintenance and optimization of offshore wind farms based on more accurate long-term predictions of sea and wind conditions by using the proposed model.

Assessment of The Priority Order of Monitoring Devices on Maintenance for The Long-Term Safety of Existing Fill Dam (기존 필댐 장기간 안전관리를 위한 계측항목 유지보수 우선순위 산정)

  • Lee, Jongwook;Jeon, Jaesung;Lim, Heuidae
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2009
  • Although readjustment of monitoring system for existing fill dam maintenance is needed by the sustainable increasing of the abandonment rate of monitoring devices by malfunction through the life-cycle of dam, monitoring plans for long-term dam safety has relied on the experience and the opinion of minor expert group without systematic and quantitative analysis on the failure modes and the priority order of monitoring devices on maintenance. In this study the priority order of monitoring devices of existing 5 fill dams was evaluated quantitatively based on the preceding study (Andersen et al, 1999) and the result recommended the establishment of real-time monitoring system for seepage, pore pressure and crest settlement as the readjustment plan for existing fill dam monitoring system. This readjustment plan matches well with the recommendation of PWRI (1984), JCOLD (1986) and the results from Bagherzadeh-Khakkahali and Mirghasemi (2005).

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Estimation and Adjustment Model Considering Time Value of Money for Long-Term Maintenance Cost of Apartment House (시간적 가치를 고려한 공동주택 장기수선충당금 산정 및 조정 모델)

  • Koo, Seonkeun;Kim, Jonghyeob;Jun, Inyeong;Kim, Yeongjin;Yoon, Yousang;Hyun, Changtaek
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.12-21
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    • 2017
  • From 1960, the government decided to build apartment houses on a large scale in order to resolve the rising housing problems. However, the maintenance issues that have arisen from the deterioration of housing has not received adequate attention. The policy focuses only on the supply of housing. By passing new laws, the durable period during which buildings allowed reconstruction was increased, and long term maintenance plans were treated as important issues. The government was then obligated to establish certain long term maintenance plans and costs by legislating a Housing Act and requiring it be adjusted every three years. However, when planning long-term repair costs, doing so without considering the time value of money would become a problem. In addition, if differences between the planned repair costs and actual costs occur, it becomes necessary to adjust the long-term repair costs but, as of yet, the criteria to adjust such things does not exist. For these reasons, if there is lack of money to execute large-scale repair work, a building is unlikely to respond to deterioration of housing; on the other hand, an unnecessary reserve or pool of money can lead to conflict among residents. Therefore, this paper will propose estimation and adjustment models considering the time value of money for long term maintenance costs of apartment houses.

A Study on establishing Improvement Plan of Rail Bridges (철도교량의 개량계획 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Baek, Jae-Wook;Park, Tae-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.10-16
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    • 2008
  • In order to improve stability of rail and ride comfort, railway bridges should be maintained a integrity. However, it is necessary to plan various reinforcements and improvements because of a long term used and external effects. In this paper, the improvement plan which is reflected by investigation for reinforcement and improvement is introduced. The constituents of the structures are defined in order to optimize the improvement plane, and the analysis for relationships between the constituents are performed by several evaluation. Finally, the improvement plan is applied to a structure using impact factors for the external effects in order to obtain the improvements reasonably.

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Comparison of Predicted Maintenance Costs and Actual Maintenance Cost of Military Facilities - Focused on BTL Project - (병영 시설물 수선유지비용 예산대비 실투입 비교에 관한 연구 - BTL사업 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Don-Soo;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.473-481
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    • 2017
  • With the barracks modernization project, the Ministry of National Defense has been operating 60 projects of the 75 that have been announced. It was difficult to investigate and analyze the data in the past because data could not be obtained while it was much easier to do that since data can be obtained from private companies. With the aim of increasing the usability of the facilities, the objective of this study is to present a reasonable alternative for repair and maintenance costs by investigating and analyzing the budget and the actual expenses of repair and maintenance of military facilities for the past 3 to 5 years, and then identifying the problems with these. To accomplish this, a theoretical review of previous studies and legal grounds related to repair and maintenance costs was performed, and data on the estimates and the actual expenses data used in BTL projects carried out by private companies were analyzed. First, one of the problems was that there are some items omitted, including consumables, and these items should be included in order to secure their budget. Second, in terms of the items for divided payments, two improvements had been presented: a short-term payment plan for the operation period of 3 to 5 years and a long-term payment plan for an additional and complemented period other than the operation period. The repair and maintenance costs should be further studied at the point of time in a future when the actual data on the costs and operation period of military facilities can be secured. This study is expected to serve as empirical data that will form the basis for a reasonable calculation of the construction cost for military facilities.

Organizational Program Management of Multiple Maintenance Projects Under Fund Constraints (복수 개${\cdot}$보수 프로젝트의 자금제약하 프로그램 관리 - 자원제약 마스터-일정계획을 중심으로 -)

  • Koo Kyo-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.2 s.18
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 2004
  • In a large owner organization, a program manager of multiple maintenance and remodeling projects has experienced increasing scale and complexity of coordinating the M/R projects with in-house technicians who belong to multiple trade shops. This paper proposes a dual-level hierarchical planning strategy that consists of a program master plan in the long-term horizon and a master construction schedule in an operational scheduling window. A rolling horizon approach to the program master plan is proposed to deal with the external uncertainty of unknown stream of project requests. A resource-constrained scheduling algorithm is developed to generate the master construction schedule in a scheduling window. During development of the algorithm, more emphasis is placed on long-term organizational resource continuity, especially flow management of program constraint resources, than ephemeral events of an individual activity and project. Monte Carlo simulation experiments of three scheduling windows are used to evaluate the relative performance of the proposed scheduling algorithm against three popular scheduling heuristics for resource-constrained multiple projects.

A Study on Forecasting the Repair Time Range of the Building Components in the Apartment Housing (공동주택 구성재의 예상수선시기 범위 설정 연구)

  • Lee Kang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2006
  • Building would be deteriorated with time elapse, influenced by its geographic situation, climate and other environmental conditions. In addition, the systematic maintenance could be provided to keep the resident a recent living condition. The existing breakdown maintenance will be changed into the preventive maintenance. The preventive maintenance is required to get the repair time, the repair scope and frequency. In this paper, it aimed at providing the repair time range over the building components, utilizing the relation between the determination curve and the performance recovery through repair. Results of this study are as follows : First, the forecast of the repair time over the building components could be calculated and equalized with the deterioration and performance degree. Second, the repair time range of building components would be provided into five categories and 3rd repair time. Results of this study will set up the long-term repair plan of building, and finally keep an housing condition comfortable.