• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logit Models

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Joint analysis of binary and continuous data using skewed logit model in developmental toxicity studies (발달 독성학에서 비대칭 로짓 모형을 사용한 이진수 자료와 연속형 자료에 대한 결합분석)

  • Kim, Yeong-hwa;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.123-136
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    • 2020
  • It is common to encounter correlated multiple outcomes measured on the same subject in various research fields. In developmental toxicity studies, presence of malformed pups and fetal weight are measured on the pregnant dams exposed to different levels of a toxic substance. Joint analysis of such two outcomes can result in more efficient inferences than separate models for each outcome. Most methods for joint modeling assume a normal distribution as random effects. However, in developmental toxicity studies, the response distributions may change irregularly in location and shape as the level of toxic substance changes, which may not be captured by a normal random effects model. Motivated by applications in developmental toxicity studies, we propose a Bayesian joint model for binary and continuous outcomes. In our model, we incorporate a skewed logit model for the binary outcome to allow the response distributions to have flexibly in both symmetric and asymmetric shapes on the toxic levels. We apply our proposed method to data from a developmental toxicity study of diethylhexyl phthalate.

A Study on an ETCS Demand Forecasting Model of Toll Roads in Changwon City (유료도로 ETCS 이용수요 예측모형에 관한 연구 (창원시를 중심으로))

  • Kim, Kyung-Whan;Ha, Man-Bok;Jeon, Yeon-Hoo;Lee, Ik-Su
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1 s.31
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2007
  • Since early 1990s, several developed countries have applied the Electronic Toll Collection System (ETCS) to toll roads in order to solve traffic congestion and delay problems at toll plazas. For the successful operation of the ETCS, it is important to correctly forecast the ETCS using rate. In this study, it was conceived to develop a sophisticated demand forecasting model of the ETCS for toll roads in Changwon City The Binary Logit and neural network models were tested for the model considering 11 explaining variables. The best results in prediction accuracy and goodness-of-fit were obtained on the neural network model. However, because of the difficulty in predicting the 11 variables and its fitness in wide range, the Binary Logit model which considers three policy variables only is recommended as the model to forecast the ETCS using rate.

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Integrated Trip Distribution/Mode Choice Model and Sensitivity Analysis (통행분포/수단선택 통합모형 및 민감도분석)

  • Im, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2011
  • Trip distribution is the second step of the conventional travel demand estimation process, which connects trips between origin and destination, while transport mode choice is the third step of the process, which chooses transport mode among several modes serving for each origin-destination pair. Although these two steps have closely connected, they have been estimated independently each other in the estimation procedure. This paper presents an integrated model combining trip distribution and transport mode choice, and also presents its solution algorithm. The model integrates gravity model adopted for the trip distribution process with logit model employed for the mode choice process. The model would be expected to cope with the inconsistency issue existing in the conventional travel demand estimation procedure. This paper also presents an equilibrium condition, sensitivity of the model, and compares them with those of existing models.

Estimation of Interregional Mode Choice Models and Value of Travel Time Accommodating Taste Variation of Individuals (개인의 선호다양성을 고려한 지역간 수단선택 모형 구축 및 시간가치 추정 연구)

  • Cho, Shin-hyung;Seo, Young-hyun;Kho, Seung-young;Rhee, Sung-mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.288-298
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    • 2017
  • The system of high-speed and conventional railway vehicles is diversified, and significant technological development in performance has been achieved. This study analyzed the modal change characteristics; furthermore, it estimated the value of travel time by improving the travel time and cost for the passenger's perception of railway. In this study, we formulate a mode choice model for passengers and compare it with the mixed logit model which reflects individual taste variation. In addition, the validity of the analysis is presented through an estimation the value of travel time using the derived model. For this purpose, a stated preference survey was conducted with 510 people using public transportation. The benefits of time-saving can be accurately determined by estimating the value of time spent on the railway. Appropriate fares for public transportation can also be estimated.

Modal Choice with Travel Time Reliability (통행시간 신뢰도를 고려한 통행수단선택모형에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Doo-Hee;Park, Dong-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2004
  • In mode choice decision, travelers consider not only travel time but also reliability of its modes. In this paper, reliability was expressed in terms of standard deviation and maximum delay that were measured based on triangular distribution. In order to estimate value of time and value of reliability, the Multinomial and Nested Logit models were used. The analysis results revealed that reliability is an important factor affecting mode choice decisions. Elasticity is used to estimate the impacts of the different policies and system improvements for water transportation mode. Among these policies, decision maker can assess and select the best alternative by doing the benefit and cost analysis based on a new market share, the value of time, and the value of reliability. Finally, a set of promising policies and system improvement of the water transportation were proposed.

Suppression for Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀모형에서의 SUPPRESSION)

  • Hong C. S.;Kim H. I.;Ham J. H.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.701-712
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    • 2005
  • The suppression for logistic regression models has been debated no longer than that for linear regression models since, among many other reasons, sum of squares for regression (SSR) or coefficient of determination ($R^2$) could be defined into various ways. Based on four kinds of $R^2$'s: two kinds are most preferred, and the other two are proposed by Liao & McGee (2003), four kinds of SSR's are derived so that the suppression for logistic models is explained. Many data fitted to logistic models are generated by Monte Carlo method. We explore when suppression happens, and compare with that for linear regression models.

Factors Influencing on the Perception of Helpfulness of Marking the Country of Origin in Predicting the Quality and Safety of Pork (돼지고기 원산지 표시의 도움에 대한 지각도에 미치는 영향 요인 평가)

  • Lee, Seong-Hee;Kang, Jong-Heon
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.12 no.3 s.30
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to measure the factors influencing on the perception of helpfulness of marking the country of origin in predicting the quality and safety of pork. A total of 239 questionnaires were completed. A multinomial logit model is specified in order to estimate which factors influence the probability that a consumer perceives the country of origin as helpful in assessing food quality and food safety. The estimations were carried out using the logistic procedure of SAS. The results are as follows. The proportional odds assumptions of models were not violated at p<0.05. The effects of age, income, children, occupation and respondents informed on the importance of the country of origin in pork quality model were statistically significant. The effects of age, children, occupation and trust on the importance of the country of origin in pork safety model were statistically significant. The results from this study could be useful in developing marketing and health promotion strategies as well as government trade policies.

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Longitudinal associations between job demands and health behaviors of middle-aged and older male workers (남성 중고령 근로자의 직무요구도와 건강행동의 종단적 관계)

  • Jung, Yunkyung
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: The present study aims to examine associations between job demands and problem drinking, smoking, and practice of regular exercise among middle-aged and older male employees. Methods: Analyses were based on 239 employees aged 50+ and participated the 1st(2006) and the 4th(2012) waves of the Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing(KLoSA). Panel logit regression analyses were performed to explore longitudinal associations between physical and cognitive job demands and the health behaviors when effects of demographic characteristics and objective job conditions were controlled. Results: Results suggested that first, workers who reported greater cognitive job demands were less likely to engage in problem drinking over the 6-year-period. Second, increased physical demands of the job were associated with greater odds of smoking, while physical demands predicted a reduced likelihood of practicing regular exercise. Conclusions: Results from the present analyses emphasize job demands could lead workers to problem health behaviors and suggest areas for health promotion efforts at the workplace that are sensitive to the needs of aging workers.

A Study on Change of Travel Patterns According to Public Transportation Reform (A Case Study of Gyeongsan City) (대중교통체계 개편에 따른 대중교통 이용자들의 통행패턴 변화에 관한 연구 (경산시를 사례로))

  • Yun, Dae-Sik;Park, Hyeon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2010
  • The main objective of this paper is to analyze change of travel patterns according to public transportation reform. The paper uses data collected from Gyeongsan City. So far few researches, especially using before-and-after individual travel survey, have been conducted on analyzing effects of public transportation reform. For this research, some descriptive statistical analyses and statistical hypotheses tests were conducted. Furthermore, some empirical logit models were estimated for analyzing the individual effects of the public transportation reform. Finally, some important foundings, policy implications, and limitations of this research are discussed.

A study of Airline Choice Behavior of Air Freight Forwarders (화물운송주선업자의 항공사 선택행위 연구)

  • Kim, M.S.;Lee, D.S.;Yoo, K.E.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this study is to investigate freight forwarders' airline choice behaviors in the Korean air cargo transportation market. This study identifies the major factors affecting airline choice and their relative importance by analyzing the data gathered by the survey from freight forwarders in Seoul. The questionnaire of the survey is composed of two parts; the first part is to identify the significant variables of airline choice and the second part is to gather the data about airline choice using stated preference techniques. The relative importance of major variables considered in forwarders' airline choice is estimated by the logit models calibrated with stated preference data. To strength the reliability of the analysis, this study segments the market by three routes; Seoul-Los Angeles, Seoul-Amsterdam and Seoul-Hongkong. The five major variables that are considered seriously in airline choice are reliability, space availability, frequency, cost and flight schedule. The utility trade-offs between variables are estimated by the ratio analysis of coefficients of logit model of each route, and the results of ratio analysis is interpreted as reflecting the reality of market conditions.

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