• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logit분석

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An Analysis of Multiple-Vehicle Accidents on Freeways Using Multinomial Logit Model (다항로짓모형을 이용한 고속도로 다중추돌사고 특성 분석)

  • Jeon, Hyeonmyeong;Kim, Jinhee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to analyze effects of factors on the number of vehicles involved in traffic accidents on freeway sections. In previous studies about traffic accident severity, the analysis of accidents involving multiple vehicles was insufficient. However, multiple-vehicle accidents are likely to cause casualties and are the main reasons increasing accident duration and social costs. In this study, the number of vehicles involved in an accident was interpreted as the result of the accident, not as the cause of the accident, and the impacts of each accident factor were analyzed using a multinomial logit model. The results indicate that multiple-vehicle accidents are mainly related to following factors: nighttime, driver's faults, obstacles on the road, a downhill slope, heavy vehicles, and freeway mainline sections including tunnels and bridges.

A Bayesian Threshold Model for Ordered Categorical Traits (순서범주형자료 분석을 위한 베이지안 분계점 모형)

  • Choi Byangsu;Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2005
  • A Bayesian threshold model is considered to analyze binary or ordered categorical traits. Gibbs sampler for making full Bayesian inferences about the category probability as well as the regression coefficients is described. The model can be regarded as an alternative to the ordered logit regression model. Numerical examples are shown to demonstrate the efficiency of the model.

The Study of the Effect of Tour Site Personality and Attributes on the Choice of Tour Site (관광지 개성과 속성이 관광지 선택에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byung-Hoon;Ahn, Kwnag-Ho;Ha, Jae-Won
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.149-168
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of brand personality on the choice of tour site. For this purpose, Japanese, Chinese and Korean tourists visiting Jeju-Ireland were sampled and asked to evaluate the personality dimensions and attributes of six major tour sites in Asia. Factor analysis is applied to 42 personality scales of Aaker and 5 personality dimensions are extracted. Then, Multinomial Logit model is applied to estimate the relative impact of personality dimensions and attributes on the choice of tour sites. Results suggest useful implications. The personality of tour sites has meaningful influence on choice of tour sites, in some cases more important than tour site attributes. Among 5 dimensions of personality, sincerity and excitement are found to be important dimensions in the choice process of tour site. Sophistication of the site, expressed as glamorous, charming, handsomeness, uniqueness, and smooth, is also found to be important in determining intention to visit in the future.

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Estimation of Interregional Mode Choice Models and Value of Travel Time Accommodating Taste Variation of Individuals (개인의 선호다양성을 고려한 지역간 수단선택 모형 구축 및 시간가치 추정 연구)

  • Cho, Shin-hyung;Seo, Young-hyun;Kho, Seung-young;Rhee, Sung-mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.288-298
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    • 2017
  • The system of high-speed and conventional railway vehicles is diversified, and significant technological development in performance has been achieved. This study analyzed the modal change characteristics; furthermore, it estimated the value of travel time by improving the travel time and cost for the passenger's perception of railway. In this study, we formulate a mode choice model for passengers and compare it with the mixed logit model which reflects individual taste variation. In addition, the validity of the analysis is presented through an estimation the value of travel time using the derived model. For this purpose, a stated preference survey was conducted with 510 people using public transportation. The benefits of time-saving can be accurately determined by estimating the value of time spent on the railway. Appropriate fares for public transportation can also be estimated.

Modal Choice with Travel Time Reliability (통행시간 신뢰도를 고려한 통행수단선택모형에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Doo-Hee;Park, Dong-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2004
  • In mode choice decision, travelers consider not only travel time but also reliability of its modes. In this paper, reliability was expressed in terms of standard deviation and maximum delay that were measured based on triangular distribution. In order to estimate value of time and value of reliability, the Multinomial and Nested Logit models were used. The analysis results revealed that reliability is an important factor affecting mode choice decisions. Elasticity is used to estimate the impacts of the different policies and system improvements for water transportation mode. Among these policies, decision maker can assess and select the best alternative by doing the benefit and cost analysis based on a new market share, the value of time, and the value of reliability. Finally, a set of promising policies and system improvement of the water transportation were proposed.

Network Theory Based Empirical Studies on the Factors Affecting Global Liners' Port Selection : Focused on Major Trade Port in Korea and China (Network 관점에서 본 글로벌해운선사의 항만선택 결정요인에 관한 연구 - 한국과 중국의 주요 무역항만을 대상으로 -)

  • Jang, Heung-Hoon;Han, Byoung-Sop
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2009
  • Transportation decisions of ship liners are crucial for policy formulation in ports and shipping lines. Ship liners' port selection depends on the location characteristic of port. With network theory based, we empirically investigated determinants of global ship liners' port selection focused on major trade ports in China and Korea during 1995-2007. We present a detailed discussion on the related literatures about port selection, and develop hypothesis using network-based view. With conditional logit model, empirical results show that global liners select globally positioned ports rather than domestic oriented ones. Global ship liners select ports which have intra national network centrality, global ship network centrality and global network linkage.

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A Study on the Determinants of Migration Types of the Youth in Non-metropolitan Areas by using a Hierarchical Logit Model (위계로짓모형을 활용한 비수도권 청년층의 이주유형별 결정요인 비교분석)

  • Hansoun Woo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.421-442
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    • 2023
  • This research focuses on the fact that the characteristics of migration types of the youth in non-metropolitan areas vary by region and has the primary objective of comparing and analyzing the differences in determinants of each migration type. First, An exploratory analysis of the migration status and characteristics of the youth in non-metropolitan areas was conducted, and then a hierarchical logit model was used to estimate the determinants of migration types separately. The results showed that the characteristics of migration types vary by region, and each determinant of migration types is composed of different bundles of variables(individual and regional levels). In the future, policies aimed at securing young workforce in non-metropolitan areas will be more effective when they take into account various determinants of migration choices and reflect the regional context.

A Analysis on Preference of Funeral Type by Socioeconomic Characteristics using Nested Logit Model (네스티드로짓모형을 활용한 사회경제적 특성에 따른 장사유형 선호 분석)

  • Joo, Ho Sang;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.933-943
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to identify determinants for preferred funeral methods depending on socio-economic characteristics. In South Korea, the Act on Funeral Services, Etc. categorizes funeral methods into burial, inurnment, and natural burial. This study empirically analyzes how and what socio-economic characteristics affect choices among these three categories. Data is collected from Social Survey 2017 and funeral facilities in the country. The data to be analyzed is developed in terms of a hierarchy which puts the burial and cremation methods in an upper class and the inurnment and natural burial methods in a lower class. Based on this data, a nested logit model is employed to conduct empirical analysis. The analysis indicates that those characteristics that have a statistically significant influence on preferred methods include gender, age, householder, marriage, satisfaction with life, class awareness, monthly income, housing type, housing tenure type, and living in city area. Each variable's modulus of calculated direct and cross elasticity need to be used to analyze the outcome of a nested logit model. In this study, the modulus of direct and cross elasticity are determined for the significant variables. The calculated direct elasticity is applied to analyze the likelihood of choosing each funeral method when there are changes in the significant variables. When a particular method has been selected, on the other hand, the cross elasticity is utilized to analyze changes to the likelihood of choosing the other methods. One of the most notable results is related to natural burial. In order to meet the demand for natural burial, it is necessary to provide more burial sites and raise awareness of natural burial. This will facilitate the efficient use of national territorial space.

Using Choice Experiments Methods to Estimate Consumer Preference of Rice (실험선택분석을 이용한 쌀의 소비자 선호 분석)

  • Yoo, Jin-Chae;Jeong, Yun-Hee;Kong, Ki-Seo
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.135-150
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    • 2009
  • This paper was to use choice experiments in the analysis of consumer choice behavior and preferences for five different attributes(the origin of rice, a quality certificate, a quality control, a traceability system, the price of rice) in Cheongju City. Completed surveys yielded 712 responses which were analyzed using the conditional logit model to analyze the marginal willingness to pay of the four attributes(the origin of rice, a quality certificate, a quality control and a traceability system) per household and estimated the marginal willingness to pay of the set of feasible options. The result of this study can be used as a guide for the rice industry in the design of possible labeling schemes.

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Analysis of Residential Environment Satisfaction and Residential Preference in Daegu Downtown (대구 도심의 주거환경만족도와 거주의향 분석)

  • Song, Heung-Soo;Im, Jun-Hong;Kim, Han-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2015
  • As an empirical study on Daegu Downtown showing decentralization phenomenon, the purpose of this study is, based on the residential satisfaction research targeting the Downtown residents, to analyze the residential environment satisfaction and residential preference. Considering the parameters of measurement, we used the Ordered Logit Model and Logistic Regression. The results are as follows: First, the comprehensive residential environment satisfaction is relatively lower than that in 2008 and the residential preference in Downtown is similar to that of the past. Second, among the 7 factors that constitute the Downtown residential environment, the house, the landscape, and the security have a relatively large influence on the comprehensive residential environment satisfaction. Third, the residential environment factors which affect those who are hoping continuous Downtown residence are the safety, the house and the complex.